scholarly journals N2O fluxes from long-term limed soils following P and glucose addition: Nonlinear response to liming rates and interaction from added P

Author(s):  
Zhi Liang ◽  
Lars Elsgaard
2010 ◽  
Vol 278 (1712) ◽  
pp. 1661-1669 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Alonso ◽  
Menno J. Bouma ◽  
Mercedes Pascual

Climate change impacts on malaria are typically assessed with scenarios for the long-term future. Here we focus instead on the recent past (1970–2003) to address whether warmer temperatures have already increased the incidence of malaria in a highland region of East Africa. Our analyses rely on a new coupled mosquito–human model of malaria, which we use to compare projected disease levels with and without the observed temperature trend. Predicted malaria cases exhibit a highly nonlinear response to warming, with a significant increase from the 1970s to the 1990s, although typical epidemic sizes are below those observed. These findings suggest that climate change has already played an important role in the exacerbation of malaria in this region. As the observed changes in malaria are even larger than those predicted by our model, other factors previously suggested to explain all of the increase in malaria may be enhancing the impact of climate change.


1997 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. R. Mosier ◽  
W. J. Parton ◽  
D. W. Valentine ◽  
D. S. Ojima ◽  
D. S. Schimel ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Thomas B. Johannessen ◽  
Øistein Hagen

The present paper is concerned with the accurate estimation of wave induced design responses in model test campaigns where only a relatively low number of seastates can be simulated. Three response types are considered, namely an essentially linear response type such as the linear elevation of wave crests, a weakly nonlinear response type such as the second order crest elevation, and finally a discontinuous badly behaved response type such as wave in deck loading. For each of these response types, the 100 year and 10 000 year response levels are calculated for a Norwegian Sea environment. The fractiles at which these response levels occur at the governing seastate along the 100 year and 10 000 year contours, are also calculated. Having established these quantities, the efficiency of three methods is evaluated. Firstly an extreme value approach with a Gumbel assumption is considered and it is evaluated how many three hour simulations are required to obtain a good estimate of the relevant fractile levels in the governing seastate. Similarly, a peak over threshold analysis of maxima is considered and the number of seastates required is compared with the Gumbel results. Finally, the 100 year and 10 000 year response levels are estimated directly by employing an iterative procedure on the probability integral of the long term distribution of the responses together with a simple interpolation procedure. It is found that the latter procedure is efficient, particularly for strongly nonlinear response types.


2004 ◽  
Vol 48 (04) ◽  
pp. 261-272
Author(s):  
Gro Sagli Baarholm ◽  
Jørgen Juncher Jensen

This paper is concerned with estimating the response value corresponding to a long return period, say 20 years. Time domain simulation is required to obtain the nonlinear response, and long time series are required to limit the statistical uncertainty in the simulations. It is crucial to introduce ways to improve the efficiency in the calculation. A method to determine the long-term extremes by considering only a few short-term sea states is applied. Long-term extreme values are estimated using a set of sea states that have a certain probability of occurrence, known as the contour line approach. Effect of whipping is included by assuming that the whipping and wave-induced responses are independent, but the effect of correlation of the long-term extreme value is also studied. Numerical calculations are performed using a nonlinear, hydroelastic strip theory as suggested by Xia et al (1998). Results are presented for the S-175 containership (ITTC 1983) in head sea waves. The analysis shows that whipping increases the vertical bending moment and that the correlation is significant.


1969 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 277-284 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. G. Lovell ◽  
I. K. McIvor

When a circular cylindrical shell (plane strain) is subjected to a uniform radial impulse, the resulting circular mode may be unstable. In such a case flexural motion is excited, resulting in rather large displacements and stress. A previous nonlinear analysis [1]1 used a linear inextensionality constraint and displacement representation for the flexural response. A formulation employing a nonlinear inextensionality constraint is presented in this paper, and a comparison is made with the earlier work. The most significant result is a fundamental difference between the equations of motion; in this analysis the nonlinear modal coupling is primarily inertial. The condition for stability of the circular mode is unaffected, but substantial differences may occur in the long-term (nonlinear) response.


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 675
Author(s):  
Fabien Ferchaud ◽  
Céline Peyrard ◽  
Joël Léonard ◽  
Eric Gréhan ◽  
Bruno Mary

Field N2O emissions are a key point in the evaluation of the greenhouse gas benefits of bioenergy crops. The aim of this study was to investigate N2O fluxes from perennial (miscanthus and switchgrass), semi-perennial (fescue and alfalfa) and annual (sorghum and triticale) bioenergy crops and to analyze the effect of the management of perennials (nitrogen fertilization and/or harvest date). Daily N2O emissions were measured quasi-continuously during at least two years in a long-term experiment, using automated chambers, with 2–5 treatments monitored simultaneously. Cumulative N2O emissions from perennials were strongly affected by management practices: fertilized miscanthus harvested early and unfertilized miscanthus harvested late had systematically much lower emissions than fertilized miscanthus harvested late (50, 160 and 1470 g N2O-N ha−1 year−1, respectively). Fertilized perennials often had similar or higher cumulative emissions than semi-perennial or annual crops. Fluxes from perennial and semi-perennial crops were characterized by long periods with low emissions interspersed with short periods with high emissions. Temperature, water-filled pore space and soil nitrates affected daily emissions but their influence varied between crop types. This study shows the complex interaction between crop type, crop management and climate, which results in large variations in N2O fluxes for a given site.


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