scholarly journals Viscous and elastic buoyancy stresses as drivers of ice-shelf calving

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (258) ◽  
pp. 643-657 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cyrille Mosbeux ◽  
Till J. W. Wagner ◽  
Maya K. Becker ◽  
Helen A. Fricker
Keyword(s):  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Elastic Model ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Bending Stresses ◽  
Iceberg Calving ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Maximum Stresses

AbstractThe Antarctic Ice Sheet loses mass via its ice shelves predominantly through two processes: basal melting and iceberg calving. Iceberg calving is episodic and infrequent, and not well parameterized in ice-sheet models. Here, we investigate the impact of hydrostatic forces on calving. We develop two-dimensional elastic and viscous numerical frameworks to model the ‘footloose’ calving mechanism. This mechanism is triggered by submerged ice protrusions at the ice front, which induce unbalanced buoyancy forces that can lead to fracturing. We compare the results to identify the different roles that viscous and elastic deformations play in setting the rate and magnitude of calving events. Our results show that, although the bending stresses in both frameworks share some characteristics, their differences have important implications for modeling the calving process. In particular, the elastic model predicts that maximum stresses arise farther from the ice front than in the viscous model, leading to larger calving events. We also find that the elastic model would likely lead to more frequent events than the viscous one. Our work provides a theoretical framework for the development of a better understanding of the physical processes that govern glacier and ice-shelf calving cycles.

scholarly journals Melting and freezing under Antarctic ice shelves from a combination of ice-sheet modelling and observations

2017 ◽  
Vol 63 (240) ◽  
pp. 731-744 ◽  
Author(s):  
JORGE BERNALES ◽  
IRINA ROGOZHINA ◽  
MAIK THOMAS
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Model Set ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Antarctic

ABSTRACTIce-shelf basal melting is the largest contributor to the negative mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet. However, current implementations of ice/ocean interactions in ice-sheet models disagree with the distribution of sub-shelf melt and freezing rates revealed by recent observational studies. Here we present a novel combination of a continental-scale ice flow model and a calibration technique to derive the spatial distribution of basal melting and freezing rates for the whole Antarctic ice-shelf system. The modelled ice-sheet equilibrium state is evaluated against topographic and velocity observations. Our high-resolution (10-km spacing) simulation predicts an equilibrium ice-shelf basal mass balance of −1648.7 Gt a−1 that increases to −1917.0 Gt a−1 when the observed ice-shelf thinning rates are taken into account. Our estimates reproduce the complexity of the basal mass balance of Antarctic ice shelves, providing a reference for parameterisations of sub-shelf ocean/ice interactions in continental ice-sheet models. We perform a sensitivity analysis to assess the effects of variations in the model set-up, showing that the retrieved estimates of basal melting and freezing rates are largely insensitive to changes in the internal model parameters, but respond strongly to a reduction of model resolution and the uncertainty in the input datasets.

Some future projections from coupling the U.K. Earth System Model to the Antarctic ice sheets

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Siahaan
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Mass Gain ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Increasing Precipitation

<p>A UKESM climate model which is coupled annually to the BISICLES ice sheet model to enable a two way interactions in Antarctica has been developed <br>and run through a small ensemble of four SSP1-1.9 & SSP5-8.5 scenario members. Under the extreme anthropogenic forcing, all the initial condition <br>ensemble members develop strong melting under the cold & large Ross and Filchner-Ronne ice-shelves, where it starts after the first half of simulation <br>period for the former and in the last decade of the run for the latter. Despite that, during the 85 years timescale of these scenario runs, the stronger radiative forcing has positive effects on the ice-sheet mass gain through increasing precipitation on grounded ice regions which offsets the impact of basal melting in ice discharge across the grounding lines.</p>

scholarly journals Modelling the long-term response of the Antarctic ice sheet to global warming

1998 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 161-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roland C. Warner ◽  
W.Κ. Budd
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Mass Loss ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Term Response

The primary effects of global warming on the Antarctic ice sheet can involve increases in surface melt for limited areas at lower elevations, increases in net accumulation, and increased basal melting under floating ice. For moderate global wanning, resulting in ocean temperature increases of a few °C, the large- increase in basal melting can become the dominant factor in the long-term response of the ice sheet. The results from ice-sheet modelling show that the increased basal melt rates lead to a reduction of the ice shelves, increased strain rates and flow at the grounding lines, then thinning and floating of the marine ice sheets, with consequential further basal melting. The mass loss from basal melting is counteracted to some extent by the increased accumulation, but in the long term the area of ice cover decreases, particularly in West Antarctica, and the mass loss can dominate. The ice-sheet ice-shelf model of Budd and others (1994) with 20 km resolution has been modified and used to carry out a number of sensitivity studies of the long-term response of the ice sheet to prescribed amounts of global warming. The changes in the ice sheet are computed out to near-equilibrium, but most of the changes take place with in the first lew thousand years. For a global mean temperature increase of 3°C with an ice-shelf basal melt rate of 5 m a−1 the ice shelves disappear with in the first few hundred years, and the marine-based parts of the ice sheet thin and retreat. By 2000 years the West Antarctic region is reduced to a number of small, isolated ice caps based on the bedrock regions which are near or above sea level. This allows the warmer surface ocean water to circulate through the archipelago in summer, causing a large change to the local climate of the region.

the Development of an Annual Iceberg Calving Dataset of the Antarctic Ice Shelves 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengzhen Qi ◽  
Yan Liu ◽  
Xiao Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Satellite Imagery ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Important Variable ◽  
Average Thickness ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Subsequent Research ◽  
Iceberg Calving ◽  
The Antarctic

<p>  Iceberg calving, one of the key processes of Antarctic mass balance, has been regarded as an important variable in fine monitoring the changes of ice shelves. Based on multi-source satellite imagery, all annual calving events larger than 1 km² that occurred from August 2005 to August 2019 were extracted. Also, their area, thickness, mass, and calving recurrence cycle were calculated to derive the annual iceberg calving dataset. This dataset contains the distribution of 14-year annual calving events, along with the attributes of each calving event including calving year, length, area, average thickness, mass, recurrence interval, and calving type, and it can directly reflect the magnitude characteristics and distribution of Antarctic iceberg calving in different years, which fills the gap of fine monitoring dataset of iceberg calving and provides fundamental data for subsequent research on calving mechanism and mass balance of Antarctic ice shelf-ice sheet system.</p>

scholarly journals Impact of ice-shelf basal melting on inland ice-sheet thickness: a model study

2012 ◽  
Vol 53 (60) ◽  
pp. 129-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jürgen Determann ◽  
Malte Thoma ◽  
Klaus Grosfeld ◽  
Sylvia Massmann
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Sheet Thickness ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Impact

AbstractIce flow from the ice sheets to the ocean contains the maximum potential contributing to future eustatic sea-level rise. In Antarctica most mass fluxes occur via the extended ice-shelf regions covering more than half the Antarctic coastline. The most extended ice shelves are the Filchner–Ronne and Ross Ice Shelves, which contribute ~30% to the total mass loss caused by basal melting. Basal melt rates here show small to moderate average amplitudes of <0.5ma–1. By comparison, the smaller but most vulnerable ice shelves in the Amundsen and Bellinghausen Seas show much higher melt rates (up to 30 ma–1), but overall basal mass loss is comparably small due to the small size of the ice shelves. The pivotal question for both characteristic ice-shelf regions, however, is the impact of ocean melting, and, coevally, change in ice-shelf thickness, on the flow dynamics of the hinterland ice masses. In theory, ice-shelf back-pressure acts to stabilize the ice sheet, and thus the ice volume stored above sea level. We use the three-dimensional (3-D) thermomechanical ice-flow model RIMBAY to investigate the ice flow in a regularly shaped model domain, including ice-sheet, ice-shelf and open-ocean regions. By using melting scenarios for perturbation studies, we find a hysteresis-like behaviour. The experiments show that the system regains its initial state when perturbations are switched off. Average basal melt rates of up to 2 ma–1 as well as spatially variable melting calculated by our 3-D ocean model ROMBAX act as basal boundary conditions in time-dependent model studies. Changes in ice volume and grounding-line position are monitored after 1000 years of modelling and reveal mass losses of up to 40 Gt a–1.

scholarly journals A 15-year circum-Antarctic iceberg calving dataset derived from continuous satellite observations

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 4583-4601
Author(s):  
Mengzhen Qi ◽  
Yan Liu ◽  
Jiping Liu ◽  
Xiao Cheng ◽  
Yijing Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Iceberg Calving ◽  
Calving Rate ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Iceberg calving is the main process that facilitates the dynamic mass loss of ice sheets into the ocean, which accounts for approximately half of the mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet. Fine-scale calving variability observations can help reveal the calving mechanisms and identify the principal processes that influence how the changing climate affects global sea level through the ice shelf buttressing effect on the Antarctic ice sheet. Iceberg calving from entire ice shelves for short time intervals or from specific ice shelves for long time intervals has been monitored before, but there is still a lack of consistent, long-term, and high-precision records on independent calving events for all of the Antarctic ice shelves. In this study, a 15-year annual iceberg calving product measuring every independent calving event larger than 1 km2 over all of the Antarctic ice shelves that occurred from August 2005 to August 2020 was developed based on 16 years of continuous satellite observations. First, the expansion of the ice shelf frontal coastline was simulated according to ice velocity; following this, the calved areas, which are considered to be the differences between the simulated coastline, were manually delineated, and the actual coastline was derived from the corresponding satellite imagery, based on multisource optical and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images. The product provides detailed information on each calving event, including the associated year of occurrence, area, size, average thickness, mass, recurrence interval, and measurement uncertainties. A total of 1975 annual calving events larger than 1 km2 were detected on the Antarctic ice shelves from August 2005 to August 2020. The average annual calved area was measured as 3549.1 km2 with an uncertainty value of 14.3 km2, and the average calving rate was measured as 770.3 Gt yr−1 with an uncertainty value of 29.5 Gt yr−1. The number of calving events, calved area, and calved mass fluctuated moderately during the first decade, followed by a dramatic increase from 2015/2016 to 2019/2020. During the dataset period, large ice shelves, such as the Ronne–Filchner and Ross ice shelves, advanced with low calving frequency, whereas small- and medium-sized ice shelves retreated and calved more frequently. Iceberg calving of ice shelves is most prevalent in West Antarctica, followed by the Antarctic Peninsula and Wilkes Land in East Antarctica. The annual iceberg calving event dataset of Antarctic ice shelves provides consistent and precise calving observations with the longest time coverage. The dataset provides multidimensional variables for each independent calving event that can be used to study detailed spatial–temporal variations in Antarctic iceberg calving. The dataset can also be used to study ice sheet mass balance, calving mechanisms, and responses of iceberg calving to climate change. The dataset, entitled “Annual iceberg calving dataset of the Antarctic ice shelves (2005–2020)”, is shared via the National Tibetan Plateau Data Center: https://doi.org/10.11888/Glacio.tpdc.271250 (Qi et al., 2021). In addition, the average annual calving rate of 18.4±6.7 Gt yr−1 for calving events smaller than 1 km2 of the Antarctic ice shelves and the calving rate of 166.7±15.2 Gt yr−1 for the marine-terminating glaciers were estimated.

An assessment of basal melting parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clara Burgard ◽  
Nicolas Jourdain
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Global Sea Level ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Antarctic

&lt;p&gt;Ocean-induced melting at the base of ice shelves is one of the main drivers of the currently observed mass loss of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. A good understanding of the interaction between ice and ocean at the base of the ice shelves is therefore crucial to understand and project the Antarctic contribution to global sea-level rise.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Due to the high difficulty to monitor these regions, our understanding of the processes at work beneath ice shelves is limited. Still, several parameterisations of varying complexity have been developed in past decades to describe the ocean-induced sub-shelf melting. These parameterisations can be implemented into standalone ice-sheet models, for example when conducting long-term projections forced with climate model output.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;An assessment of the performance of these parameterisations was conducted in an idealised setup (Favier et al, 2019). However, the application of the better-performing parameterisations in a more realistic setup (e.g. Jourdain et al., 2020) has shown that individual adjustments and corrections are needed for each ice shelf.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In this study, we revisit the assessment of the parameterisations, this time in a more realistic setup than previous studies. To do so, we apply the different parameterisations on several ice shelves around Antarctica and compare the resulting melt rates to satellite and oceanographic estimates. Based on this comparison, we will refine the parameters and propose an approach to reduce uncertainties in long-term sub-shelf melting projections.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;References&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;em&gt;- Favier, L., Jourdain, N. C., Jenkins, A., Merino, N., Durand, G., Gagliardini, O., Gillet-Chaulet, F., and Mathiot, P.: Assessment of sub-shelf melting parameterisations using the ocean&amp;#8211;ice-sheet coupled model NEMO(v3.6)&amp;#8211;Elmer/Ice(v8.3) , Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2255&amp;#8211;2283, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2255-2019, 2019.&amp;#160;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;em&gt;- Jourdain, N. C., Asay-Davis, X., Hattermann, T., Straneo, F., Seroussi, H., Little, C. M., and Nowicki, S.: A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections, The Cryosphere, 14, 3111&amp;#8211;3134, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020, 2020.&amp;#160;&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

scholarly journals Finite Element Analysis of Calving From Ice Fronts

1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 103-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
James L. Fastook ◽  
William F. Schmidt
Keyword(s):  
Finite Element ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Element Analysis ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Ablation Mechanism ◽  
Iceberg Calving ◽  
Ice Velocity ◽  
The Antarctic

The Antarctic ice sheet has almost no net annual ablation on its surface, so most mass losses are by iceberg calving along its perimeter, which may be either grounded in shallow water or floating in deep water. An ice cliff forms along the perimeter in both cases. Wave action undercuts ice margins in the tide-water zone along beaches, and causes coastal calving if the rate of undercutting compares with the forward ice velocity. If the ice velocity is sufficiently greater, the ice sheet advances into deeper water and becomes a float at depths of 200 to 300 m (Robin 1979). A floating ice shelf then forms and icebergs calve along the ice front. Iceberg calving along this ice front may be due to several causes (Holdsworth 1977,Robin 1979). Since iceberg calving, either from ice shelves or in the tidewater zone of beaches between ice shelves, is the principal ablation mechanism of the Antarctic ice sheet, it is important to understand calving dynamics quantitatively. This paper presents the results of a finite-element examination of calving along floating margins of the ice sheet.

scholarly journals Modelling present-day basal melt rates for Antarctic ice shelves using a parametrization of buoyant meltwater plumes

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Werner M. J. Lazeroms ◽  
Adrian Jenkins ◽  
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson ◽  
Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Field ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Detailed Knowledge ◽  
Ocean Temperature ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Grounding Line ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Basal melting below ice shelves is a major factor in the decline of the Antarctic ice sheet, which can contribute significantly to possible future sea-level rise. Therefore, it is important to have an adequate description of the basal melt rates for use in ice-dynamical models. Most current ice models use rather simple parametrizations based on the local balance of heat between ice and ocean. In this work, however, we use a recently derived parametrization of the melt rates based on a buoyant meltwater plume travelling upward beneath an ice shelf. This plume parametrization combines a nonlinear ocean temperature sensitivity with an inherent geometry dependence, which is mainly described by the grounding-line depth zgl and the local slope α of the ice-shelf base. For the first time, this type of parametrization is evaluated on a two-dimensional grid covering the entire Antarctic continent. In order to apply the essentially one-dimensional parametrization to realistic ice-shelf geometries, we present an algorithm that determines effective values for zgl and α for any point beneath an ice shelf. Furthermore, since detailed knowledge of temperatures and flow patterns in the ice-shelf cavities is sparse or absent, we construct an effective ocean temperature field from observational data with the purpose of matching (area-averaged) melt rates from the model with observed present-day melt rates. The result is a realistic map of basal melt rates around Antarctica, not only in terms of average values, but also in terms of the spatial pattern, with high melt rates typically occurring near the grounding line. The plume parametrization and the effective temperature field are therefore promising tools for future simulations of the Antarctic ice sheet.

scholarly journals The Antarctic contribution to 21st century sea-level rise predicted by the UK Earth System Model with an interactive ice sheet

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antony Siahaan ◽  
Robin Smith ◽  
Paul Holland ◽  
Adrian Jenkins ◽  
Jonathan M. Gregory ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
System Model ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
Basal Melting ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Global Mean

Abstract. The Antarctic Ice Sheet will play a crucial role in the evolution of global mean sea-level as the climate warms. An interactively coupled climate and ice sheet model is needed to understand the impacts of ice—climate feedbacks during this evolution. Here we use a two-way coupling between the U.K. Earth System Model and the BISICLES dynamic ice sheet model to investigate Antarctic ice—climate interactions under two climate change scenarios. We perform ensembles of SSP1-1.9 and SSP5-8.5 scenario simulations to 2100, which we believe are the first such simulations with a climate model with two-way coupling between both atmosphere and ocean models to dynamic models of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. In SSP1-1.9 simulations, ice shelf basal melting and grounded ice mass loss are generally lower than present rates during the entire simulation period. In contrast, the responses to SSP5-8.5 forcing are strong. By the end of 21st century, these simulations feature order-of-magnitude increases in basal melting of the Ross and Filchner-Ronne ice shelves, caused by intrusions of warm ocean water masses. Due to the slow response of ice sheet drawdown, this strong melting does not cause a substantial increase in ice discharge during the simulations. The surface mass balance in SSP5-8.5 simulations shows a pattern of strong decrease on ice shelves, caused by increased melting, and strong increase on grounded ice, caused by increased snowfall. Despite strong surface and basal melting of the ice shelves, increased snowfall dominates the mass budget of the grounded ice, leading to an ensemble-mean Antarctic contribution to global mean sea level of a fall of 22 mm by 2100 in the SSP5-8.5 scenario. We hypothesise that this signal would revert to sea-level rise on longer timescales, caused by the ice sheet dynamic response to ice shelf thinning. These results demonstrate the need for fully coupled ice—climate models in reducing the substantial uncertainty in sea-level rise from the Antarctic Ice Sheet.

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