scholarly journals Recent Macroeconomic Dynamics and Agriculture in Historical Perspective

2010 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 467-476 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Orden
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Public Discourse ◽  
Historical Perspective ◽  
Macroeconomic Dynamics ◽  
The Past ◽  
Misery Index

This article explores the similarities, differences, and implications from the 1970s-1980s experience for the macroeconomic dynamic that may arise from the 2008 price spike and subsequent recession. Role of monetary policy (deviations from Taylor rule) is assessed. This is an argument that has not been too prominent in public discourse about causes of the financial crisis or the policies undertaken to restore stability to financial markets and avoid an even deeper downturn than occurred. The “misery index” is compared across the past and recent macroeconomic events. Effects on agriculture of exchange rates are reviewed, effects dependent on currency values and interest rates that can change quickly and in unexpected ways.

Commodities, Futures, Options, and Swaps, 1970–92

2020 ◽  
pp. 57-79
Author(s):  
Ranald C. Michie
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
Central Bank Intervention ◽  
Over The Counter ◽  
Bretton Woods ◽  
Futures Options ◽  
The Past

One of the most dynamic financial markets to appear after 1970 was the trading of derivatives. Prior to 1970 the fixed nature of both interest rates and exchange rates, because of government controls and central bank intervention, limited the need to cover risks in these areas. With the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system in the early 1970s both interest rates and exchange rates experienced rising volatility, forcing banks to turn to derivatives as one way to coping. Governments of countries also began relaxing the prohibition on the trading of futures contracts that had been introduced in the past as a way of coping with destabilizing speculation. The commodity exchanges responded to these opportunities by devising contracts that allowed users to cover risks in financial markets as had already been done for such products as wheat, copper, and, later, oil. Leading these developments were the Chicago commodity exchanges such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange but numerous contracts were also traded in the Over-the-Counter (OTC) market, directly between banks or through interdealer brokers.

scholarly journals Geld verändert die Welt

2018 ◽  
Vol 87 (3) ◽  
pp. 65-81
Author(s):  
Reinhold Rickes
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Intermediation ◽  
Savings Banks ◽  
The World ◽  
Low Interest Rates

Zusammenfassung: In Zeiten von Digitalisierung, Niedrigzinsen und Kryptogeld stehen viele ökonomische Prozesse und insbesondere die Finanzintermediation auf dem Prüfstand. Im vorliegenden Beitrag wird dabei die Rolle der Geldpolitik kritisch mit Blick auf ihre „Ultraexpansivität“ reflektiert und Spekulationsgefahren sowie Risiken der Veränderungen des Geldsystems analysiert. Im Finanzsektor ist entscheidend, wie zukünftige Regulierungen ausgestaltet werden. Summary: Money is changing the world. In times of digitization, low interest rates and cryptocurrency, many economic processes and especially financial intermediation are under scrutiny. In this article, the role of monetary policy is critically reflected with regard to its „ultra-expansionism“ and the necessity of further exit steps is discussed. In addition, the financial markets are being changed by the development of cryptocurrency. As a result, the associated risk of speculation poses a threat. In this context, it is also necessary to warn against the path towards a full-money system. After all, banks and savings banks are facing up to these challenges and mastering them. Therefore, it remains crucial to design further regulations with moderation and balance.

scholarly journals Polityka pieniężna Narodowego Banku Polskiego od roku 1989

2015 ◽  
pp. 173-192
Author(s):  
Paweł Franka ◽  
Anna Wisz
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Open Market ◽  
The Past ◽  
National Bank

The article discusses the activities of National Bank of Poland during the past twenty-five year and more specifically in the years 1989–2013 with particular emphasis on monetary policy. During this time, the Polish central bank has undergone fundamental change, starting from the position of the so-called monobank, i.e. bank without autonomy in activities, characteristic of planned economy. The article describes the process of transformation of the National Bank of Poland to the role of a central bank operating in a market economy. The paper emphasizes all the important events in the transformation, including building of a two-tier banking system, the gradual replacement of the administrative measures by monetary policy instruments, currency denomination, constitutional guarantees of the role and independence of the National Bank of Poland, creation of the Monetary Policy Council – a departure from the single monetary policy-making in favor of collegiality, changing the monetary policy strategy to direct inflation targeting, bank exchange rates policy, open market operations.

Perspectives on inflation Targeting Regime in Russia

2014 ◽  
pp. 107-121 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Andryushin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Indirect Control ◽  
Financial Account ◽  
Domestic Prices ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Private And Public

The paper analyzes monetary policy of the Bank of Russia from 2008 to 2014. It presents the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators testifying to inability of the Bank of Russia to transit to inflation targeting regime. It is shown that the presence of short-term interest rates in the top borders of the percentage corridor does not allow to consider the key rate as a basic tool of monetary policy. The article justifies that stability of domestic prices is impossible with-out exchange rate stability. It is proved that to decrease excessive volatility on national consumer and financial markets it is reasonable to apply a policy of managing financial account, actively using for this purpose direct and indirect control tools for the cross-border flows of the private and public capital.

Impact of FII’s and FDI’s on Indian Stock Market

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dr. Kamlesh Kumar Shukla
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Earnings Growth ◽  
The Past ◽  
Bull Market ◽  
Indian Stock Market

FIIs are companies registered outside India. In the past four years there has been more than $41 trillion worth of FII funds invested in India. This has been one of the major reasons on the bull market witnessing unprecedented growth with the BSE Sensex rising 221% in absolute terms in this span. The present downfall of the market too is influenced as these FIIs are taking out some of their invested money. Though there is a lot of value in this market and fundamentally there is a lot of upside in it. For long-term value investors, there’s little because for worry but short term traders are adversely getting affected by the role of FIIs are playing at the present. Investors should not panic and should remain invested in sectors where underlying earnings growth has little to do with financial markets or global economy.

scholarly journals The Dynamics of Bank Spreads and Financial Structure

2014 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reint Gropp ◽  
Christoffer Kok ◽  
Jung-Duk Lichtenberger
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Interest Rate Derivatives ◽  
Developed Markets ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Bank Spreads ◽  
Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy

This paper investigates the effect of within banking sector competition and competition from financial markets on the dynamics of the transmission from monetary policy rates to retail bank interest rates in the euro area. We use a new dataset that permits analysis for disaggregated bank products. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we test whether development of financial markets and financial innovation speed up the pass through. We find that more developed markets for equity and corporate bonds result in a faster pass-through for those retail bank products directly competing with these markets. More developed markets for securitized assets and for interest rate derivatives also speed up the transmission. Further, we find relatively strong effects of competition within the banking sector across two different measures of competition. Overall, the evidence supports the idea that developed financial markets and competitive banking systems increase the effectiveness of monetary policy.

Sukuk and monetary policy transmission in Indonesia: the role of asset price and exchange rate channels

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suriani Suriani ◽  
M. Shabri Abd. Majid ◽  
Raja Masbar ◽  
Nazaruddin A. Wahid ◽  
Abdul Ghafar Ismail
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Asset Price ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary Policy Transmission ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Policy Transmission ◽  
Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism

Purpose The purpose of this study is to empirically analyze the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the asset price and exchange rate channels in the Indonesian economy. Design/methodology/approach Using the monthly data from January 2003 to November 2017, this study uses a multivariate vector error correction model causality framework. To examine the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the asset price channel, this study uses the variables of consumption, inflation, interest rates, economic growth and the composite stock price index. Meanwhile, to examine the role of sukuk in the monetary policy transmission mechanism through the exchange rate channel, this study used variables of inflation, interest rates, economic growth, foreign investment and exchange rate. Findings This study documented that sukuk has no causal relationship with inflation through asset price and exchange rate channels. Nevertheless, sukuk has a bidirectional causal relationship with economic growth through asset price and exchange rate channels. Sukuk is also documented to have a causal relationship with monetary policy variables of interest rate and stock prices through asset price and exchange rate channels. Finally, a unidirectional causality is recorded running from the exchange rate to sukuk in the exchange rate channel. Research limitations/implications The finding of independence of the sukuk market from interest rates provides evidence that the trading of the sukuk in Indonesia has been in harmony with the Islamic tenets. Practical implications The relevant Indonesian authorities need to enhance both domestic and global sukuk markets as part of efforts to promote the sustainability of Islamic capital market development in Indonesia. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this study is among the first attempts to empirically investigate the role of sukuk in monetary policy transmission through asset price and exchange rate channels in the context of the Indonesian economy.

scholarly journals The Effect of FOMC Votes on Financial Markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 101 (5) ◽  
pp. 921-932
Author(s):  
Carlos Madeira ◽  
João Madeira
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Federal Open Market Committee ◽  
2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
Treasury Securities ◽  
Stock Market Reaction

This paper shows that since votes of members of the Federal Open Market Committee have been included in press statements, stock prices increase after the announcement when votes are unanimous but fall when dissent (which typically is due to preference for higher interest rates) occurs. This pattern started prior to the 2007–2008 financial crisis. The differences in stock market reaction between unanimity and dissent remain, even controlling for the stance of monetary policy and consecutive dissent. Statement semantics also do not seem to explain the documented effect. We find no differences between unanimity and dissent with respect to impact on market risk and Treasury securities.

scholarly journals Spillovers of US Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policies to Russian Financial Markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shigeki Ono
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Federal Funds Rate ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Endogenous Variables ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock

This paper investigates the spillovers of US conventional and unconventional monetary policies to Russian financial markets using VAR-X models. Impulse responses to an exogenous Federal Funds rate shock are assessed for all the endogenous variables. The empirical results show that both conventional and unconventional tightening monetary policy shocks decrease stock prices whereas an easing monetary policy shock does not increase stock prices. Moreover, the results suggest that an unconventional tightening monetary policy shock increases Russian interest rates and decreases oil prices, implying reduced liquidity in international financial markets.

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