Distribution of hemispheric solar activity during various phases of solar cycles

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (S340) ◽  
pp. 261-262
Author(s):  
G. L. Jayalekshmi ◽  
P. R. Prince
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Hemispheric Asymmetry ◽  
The Other ◽  
Solar Dynamo ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Periodic Behaviour ◽  
The Asymmetry ◽  
Very High ◽  
South Asymmetry

AbstractHemispheric asymmetry is one of the significant parameters related to the action of solar dynamo. Comparison of hemispheric activities during various phases are found out for solar cycles 12 to 23. Asymmetry of solar activity shows extremum values during the cycles 14 and 19. Lowest and highest levels of north-south asymmetry are mainly observed during minimum and maximum phases respectively of solar cycles. A change of phase is found to be existing between the asymmetries at solar maxima and the whole cycle, after solar cycle 15 and 18. Also, for cycles 17-19, the behaviour of the asymmetry is observed to be peculiar and different from that of the other cycles. Periodic behaviour of north-south asymmetry mainly occurs in 8.8 years and noticed very high during the cycles 18-22.

scholarly journals Complexes of activity on the Sun in solar cycle 21

2021 ◽  
pp. 3-9
Author(s):  
Sergey Yazev ◽  
Maria Ulianova ◽  
Elena Isaeva
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Natural Environment ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Sunspot Activity ◽  
The Sun ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
The North ◽  
South Asymmetry

The paper provides statistical data on solar activity complexes (ACs) observed in solar cycle 21. From the synoptic charts for the 1976–1986 sunspot activity, we have detected the regions where the sunspot generation was observed at least through three Carrington Rotations (CRs). These regions were identified as AC cores. We have compiled an AC catalogue. ACs are shown to evolve quasi-periodically, in pulses that are 15–20 rotations long. We have analyzed the North-South asymmetry in the AC location. In cycle 21, 90 % of the proton flares that affected the natural environment are shown to have occurred in ACs. We note a tendency for AC activity to decrease, as well as the manifestation of the Gnevyshev—Ohl rule in AC properties, in solar cycles 21–24.

scholarly journals Complexes of activity on the Sun in solar cycle 21

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 3-9
Author(s):  
Sergey Yazev ◽  
Maria Ulianova ◽  
Elena Isaeva
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Natural Environment ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Sunspot Activity ◽  
The Sun ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
The North ◽  
South Asymmetry

The paper provides statistical data on solar activity complexes (ACs) observed in solar cycle 21. From the synoptic charts for the 1976–1986 sunspot activity, we have detected the regions where the sunspot generation was observed at least through three Carrington Rotations (CRs). These regions were identified as AC cores. We have compiled an AC catalogue. ACs are shown to evolve quasi-periodically, in pulses that are 15–20 rotations long. We have analyzed the North-South asymmetry in the AC location. In cycle 21, 90 % of the proton flares that affected the natural environment are shown to have occurred in ACs. We note a tendency for AC activity to decrease, as well as the manifestation of the Gnevyshev—Ohl rule in AC properties, in solar cycles 21–24.

scholarly journals On the Prediction of Solar Cycles

Solar Physics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 296 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Courtillot ◽  
F. Lopes ◽  
J. L. Le Mouël
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Transfer Function ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Activity Cycle ◽  
Solar Activity Cycle ◽  
Planetary Motion ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Jovian Planets

AbstractThis article deals with the prediction of the upcoming solar activity cycle, Solar Cycle 25. We propose that astronomical ephemeris, specifically taken from the catalogs of aphelia of the four Jovian planets, could be drivers of variations in solar activity, represented by the series of sunspot numbers (SSN) from 1749 to 2020. We use singular spectrum analysis (SSA) to associate components with similar periods in the ephemeris and SSN. We determine the transfer function between the two data sets. We improve the match in successive steps: first with Jupiter only, then with the four Jovian planets and finally including commensurable periods of pairs and pairs of pairs of the Jovian planets (following Mörth and Schlamminger in Planetary Motion, Sunspots and Climate, Solar-Terrestrial Influences on Weather and Climate, 193, 1979). The transfer function can be applied to the ephemeris to predict future cycles. We test this with success using the “hindcast prediction” of Solar Cycles 21 to 24, using only data preceding these cycles, and by analyzing separately two 130 and 140 year-long halves of the original series. We conclude with a prediction of Solar Cycle 25 that can be compared to a dozen predictions by other authors: the maximum would occur in 2026.2 (± 1 yr) and reach an amplitude of 97.6 (± 7.8), similar to that of Solar Cycle 24, therefore sketching a new “Modern minimum”, following the Dalton and Gleissberg minima.

scholarly journals North–south asymmetry of different solar activity features during solar cycle 23

New Astronomy ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 561-568 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neeraj Singh Bankoti ◽  
Navin Chandra Joshi ◽  
Seema Pande ◽  
Bimal Pande ◽  
Kavita Pandey
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Solar Cycle 23 ◽  
South Asymmetry

scholarly journals Does the mean-field α effect have any impact on the memory of the solar cycle?

2020 ◽  
Vol 642 ◽  
pp. A51
Author(s):  
Soumitra Hazra ◽  
Allan Sacha Brun ◽  
Dibyendu Nandy
Keyword(s):  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Mean Field ◽  
Solar Dynamo ◽  
Dynamo Model ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Poloidal Field ◽  
Flux Transport ◽  
Solar Convection ◽  
The Mean ◽  
And Diffusion

Context. Predictions of solar cycle 24 obtained from advection-dominated and diffusion-dominated kinematic dynamo models are different if the Babcock–Leighton mechanism is the only source of the poloidal field. Some previous studies argue that the discrepancy arises due to different memories of the solar dynamo for advection- and diffusion-dominated solar convection zones. Aims. We aim to investigate the differences in solar cycle memory obtained from advection-dominated and diffusion-dominated kinematic solar dynamo models. Specifically, we explore whether inclusion of Parker’s mean-field α effect, in addition to the Babcock–Leighton mechanism, has any impact on the memory of the solar cycle. Methods. We used a kinematic flux transport solar dynamo model where poloidal field generation takes place due to both the Babcock–Leighton mechanism and the mean-field α effect. We additionally considered stochastic fluctuations in this model and explored cycle-to-cycle correlations between the polar field at minima and toroidal field at cycle maxima. Results. Solar dynamo memory is always limited to only one cycle in diffusion-dominated dynamo regimes while in advection-dominated regimes the memory is distributed over a few solar cycles. However, the addition of a mean-field α effect reduces the memory of the solar dynamo to within one cycle in the advection-dominated dynamo regime when there are no fluctuations in the mean-field α effect. When fluctuations are introduced in the mean-field poloidal source a more complex scenario is evident, with very weak but significant correlations emerging across a few cycles. Conclusions. Our results imply that inclusion of a mean-field α effect in the framework of a flux transport Babcock–Leighton dynamo model leads to additional complexities that may impact memory and predictability of predictive dynamo models of the solar cycle.

ESTABLISHING SOLAR ACTIVITY TREND FOR SOLAR CYCLES 21 – 24

2021 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 100-106
Author(s):  
A.K. Singh ◽  
◽  
A. Bhargawa ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Sunspot Number ◽  
Cosmic Ray ◽  
Occurrence Rate ◽  
The Sun ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Lyman Alpha ◽  
Rate Versus ◽  
Alpha Index

Solar-terrestrial environment is manifested primarily by the physical conditions of solar interior, solar atmosphere and eruptive solar plasma. Each parameter gives unique information about the Sun and its activity according to its defined characteristics. Hence the variability of solar parameters is of interest from the point of view of plasma dynamics on the Sun and in the interplanetary space as well as for the solar-terrestrial physics. In this study, we have analysed various solar transients and parameters to establish the recent trends of solar activity during solar cycles 21, 22, 23 and 24. The correlation coefficients of linear regression of F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index, Mg II index, cosmic ray intensity, number of M & X class flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) occurrence rate versus sunspot number was examined for last four solar cycles. A running cross-correlation method has been used to study the momentary relationship among the above mentioned solar activity parameters. Solar cycle 21 witnessed the highest value of correlation for F10.7 cm index, Lyman alpha index and number of M-class and X-class flares versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles which were 0.979, 0.935 and 0.964 respectively. Solar cycle 22 recorded the highest correlation in case of Mg II index, Ap index and CMEs occurrence rate versus sunspot number among all the considered solar cycles (0.964, 0.384 and 0.972 respectively). Solar cycle 23 and 24 did not witness any highest correlation compared to solar cycle 21 and 22. Further the record values (highest value compared to other solar three cycles) of each solar activity parameters for each of the four solar cycles have been studied. Here solar cycle 24 has no record text at all, this simply indicating that this cycle was a weakest cycle compared to the three previous ones. We have concluded that in every domain solar 24 was weaker to its three predecessors.

scholarly journals Evidence of a strong relationship between hemispheric asymmetry in solar coronal rotation and solar activity during solar cycle 24

2020 ◽  
Vol 499 (4) ◽  
pp. 5442-5446
Author(s):  
Jaidev Sharma ◽  
Anil K Malik ◽  
Brajesh Kumar ◽  
Hari Om Vats
Keyword(s):  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Rotation Rate ◽  
Hemispheric Asymmetry ◽  
Solar Rotation ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Space Mission ◽  
Asymmetry Index ◽  
Coronal Rotation ◽  
Solar Coronal

ABSTRACT In this paper, we report evidence of a very strong and statistically significant relationship between hemispheric asymmetry in the solar coronal rotation rate and solar activity. Our approach is based on the cross-correlation of the hemispheric asymmetry index (AI) in the rotation rate with annual solar activity indicators. To obtain the hemispheric asymmetry in the solar rotation rate, we use solar full disc (SFD) images at 30.4-, 19.5- and 28.4-nm wavelengths for the 24th solar cycle, that is, for the period from 2008 to 2018, as recorded by the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) space mission. Our analysis shows that the hemispheric asymmetry in rotation rate is high during the solar maxima from 2011 to 2014. However, hemispheric asymmetry decreases gradually on both sides (i.e. from 2008 to 2011 and from 2014 to 2018). The results show that the AI leads sunspot numbers by ∼ 1.56 yr. This is a clear indication that hemispheric asymmetry triggers the formation of sunspots in conjunction with the differential rotation of the Sun.

scholarly journals Breathing of heliospheric structures triggered by the solar-cycle activity

2003 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 1303-1313 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Scherer ◽  
H. J. Fahr
Keyword(s):  
Solar Wind ◽  
Solar Activity ◽  
Solar Cycle ◽  
Activity Cycle ◽  
Periodic Variation ◽  
Galactic Cosmic Rays ◽  
Activity Period ◽  
Solar Cycles ◽  
Interplanetary Physics ◽  
Ram Pressure

Abstract. Solar wind ram pressure variations occuring within the solar activity cycle are communicated to the outer heliosphere as complicated time-variabilities, but repeating its typical form with the activity period of about 11 years. At outer heliospheric regions, the main surviving solar cycle feature is a periodic variation of the solar wind dynamical pressure or momentum flow, as clearly recognized by observations of the VOYAGER-1/2 space probes. This long-periodic variation of the solar wind dynamical pressure is modeled here through application of appropriately time-dependent inner boundary conditions within our multifluid code to describe the solar wind – interstellar medium interaction. As we can show, it takes several solar cycles until the heliospheric structures adapt to an average location about which they carry out a periodic breathing, however, lagged in phase with respect to the solar cycle. The dynamically active heliosphere behaves differently from a static heliosphere and especially shows a historic hysteresis in the sense that the shock structures move out to larger distances than explained by the average ram pressure. Obviously, additional energies are pumped into the heliosheath by means of density and pressure waves which are excited. These waves travel outwards through the interface from the termination shock towards the bow shock. Depending on longitude, the heliospheric sheath region memorizes 2–3 (upwind) and up to 6–7 (downwind) preceding solar activity cycles, i.e. the cycle-induced waves need corresponding travel times for the passage over the heliosheath. Within our multifluid code we also adequately describe the solar cycle variations in the energy distributions of anomalous and galactic cosmic rays, respectively. According to these results the distribution of these high energetic species cannot be correctly described on the basis of the actually prevailing solar wind conditions.Key words. Interplanetary physics (heliopause and solar wind termination; general or miscellaneous) – Space plasma physics (experimental and mathematical techniques)

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