Increased Role of Late Winter Sea Surface Temperature Variability Over Northern Tropical Atlantic in Spring Precipitation Prediction Over Northeast China

2020 ◽  
Vol 125 (22) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengqi Zhang ◽  
Jianqi Sun
2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (9) ◽  
pp. 2285-2299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruiqiang Ding ◽  
Jianping Li

Abstract This study investigates the persistence characteristics of the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the northern tropical Atlantic (NTA). It is found that a persistence barrier exists around December and January. This winter persistence barrier (WPB) is prominent during the mature phase of strong ENSO events but becomes indistinct during weak ENSO and normal (non-ENSO) events. During strong El Niño events, the NTA SSTA shows a reversal in sign and a rapid warming during December and January. It is possible that this SSTA sign reversal reduces the persistence, leading to the occurrence of the NTA WPB. The present analyses indicate a dynamic relationship among the Pacific ENSO, the NTA SSTA, and the NTA WPB on a quasi-biennial time scale: a strong El Niño event is usually preceded by a strong La Niña event, which leads to a sign reversal of the NTA SSTA in winter as a delayed response to ENSO, finally resulting in the NTA WPB. Analyses also suggest that the NTA WPB is affected by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The NAO enhances the persistence of the NTA SSTA during winter, tending to weaken the NTA WPB.


2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (22) ◽  
pp. 5958-5977 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salil Mahajan ◽  
R. Saravanan ◽  
Ping Chang

Abstract The role of the wind–evaporation–sea surface temperature (WES) feedback in the low-frequency natural variability of the tropical Atlantic is studied using an atmospheric global climate model—the NCAR Community Climate Model, version 3 (CCM3)—thermodynamically coupled to a slab ocean model (SOM). The coupled model is modified to suppress the WES feedback and is compared to a control run. Singular value decomposition (SVD) analysis over the tropical Atlantic reveals that the coupled meridional mode of the Atlantic Ocean is amplified in the presence of the WES feedback. In its absence, the meridional mode still exists, but with a weaker amplitude. A feedback mechanism that involves the near-surface specific humidity is proposed to sustain the weaker Atlantic meridional mode in the absence of the WES feedback. Similar analysis of coupled model integrations when forced with an artificial El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-like SST cycle in the Pacific reveals that in the presence of the WES feedback, the meridional mode is the preferred mode of response of the tropical Atlantic to ENSO forcing. In the absence of the WES feedback, the tropical Atlantic response is unlike the meridional mode and the effects of tropospheric warming and subsidence dominate. Regression analysis over the tropical Atlantic reveals that the meridional mode response to ENSO peaks in the spring and begins to decay in the fall in the coupled model in the presence of the WES feedback. The WES feedback also appears to be responsible for the northward migration of the ITCZ during ENSO events.


2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 6049-6062 ◽  
Author(s):  
X. Yue ◽  
H. Liao ◽  
H. J. Wang ◽  
S. L. Li ◽  
J. P. Tang

Abstract. Mineral dust aerosol can be transported over the nearby oceans and influence the energy balance at the sea surface. The role of dust-induced sea surface temperature (SST) responses in simulations of the climatic effect of dust is examined by using a general circulation model with online simulation of mineral dust and a coupled mixed-layer ocean model. Both the longwave and shortwave radiative effects of mineral dust aerosol are considered in climate simulations. The SST responses are found to be very influential on simulated dust-induced climate change, especially when climate simulations consider the two-way dust-climate coupling to account for the feedbacks. With prescribed SSTs and dust concentrations, we obtain an increase of 0.02 K in the global and annual mean surface air temperature (SAT) in response to dust radiative effects. In contrast, when SSTs are allowed to respond to radiative forcing of dust in the presence of the dust cycle-climate interactions, we obtain a global and annual mean cooling of 0.09 K in SAT by dust. The extra cooling simulated with the SST responses can be attributed to the following two factors: (1) The negative net (shortwave plus longwave) radiative forcing of dust at the surface reduces SST, which decreases latent heat fluxes and upward transport of water vapor, resulting in less warming in the atmosphere; (2) The positive feedback between SST responses and dust cycle. The dust-induced reductions in SST lead to reductions in precipitation (or wet deposition of dust) and hence increase the global burden of small dust particles. These small particles have strong scattering effects, which enhance the dust cooling at the surface and further reduce SSTs.


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