scholarly journals High-resolution monthly precipitation and temperature time series from 2006 to 2100

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dirk Nikolaus Karger ◽  
Dirk R. Schmatz ◽  
Gabriel Dettling ◽  
Niklaus E. Zimmermann
2018 ◽  
Vol 45 ◽  
pp. 147-153 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hristos Tyralis ◽  
Georgia A. Papacharalampous

Abstract. We assess the performance of the recently introduced Prophet model in multi-step ahead forecasting of monthly streamflow by using a large dataset. Our aim is to compare the results derived through two different approaches. The first approach uses past information about the time series to be forecasted only (standard approach), while the second approach uses exogenous predictor variables alongside with the use of the endogenous ones. The additional information used in the fitting and forecasting processes includes monthly precipitation and/or temperature time series, and their forecasts respectively. Specifically, the exploited exogenous (observed or forecasted) information considered at each time step exclusively concerns the time of interest. The algorithms based on the Prophet model are in total four. Their forecasts are also compared with those obtained using two classical algorithms and two benchmarks. The comparison is performed in terms of four metrics. The findings suggest that the compared approaches are equally useful.


2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 4703-4720 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Förster ◽  
G. Meon ◽  
T. Marke ◽  
U. Strasser

Abstract. Detailed physically based snow models using energy balance approaches are spatially and temporally transferable and hence regarded as particularly suited for scenario applications including changing climate or land use. However, these snow models place high demands on meteorological input data at the model scale. Besides precipitation and temperature, time series of humidity, wind speed, and radiation have to be provided. In many catchments these time series are rarely available or provided by a few meteorological stations only. This study analyzes the effect of improved meteorological input on the results of four snow models with different complexity for the Sieber catchment (44.4 km2) in the Harz Mountains, Germany. The Weather Research and Forecast model (WRF) is applied to derive spatial and temporal fields of meteorological surface variables at hourly temporal resolution for a regular grid of 1.1 km × 1.1 km. All snow models are evaluated at the point and the catchment scale. For catchment-scale simulations, all snow models were integrated into the hydrological modeling system PANTA RHEI. The model results achieved with a simple temperature-index model using observed precipitation and temperature time series as input are compared to those achieved with WRF input. Due to a mismatch between modeled and observed precipitation, the observed melt runoff as provided by a snow lysimeter and the observed streamflow are better reproduced by application of observed meteorological input data. In total, precipitation is simulated statistically reasonably at the seasonal scale but some single precipitation events are not captured by the WRF data set. Regarding the model efficiencies achieved for all simulations using WRF data, energy balance approaches generally perform similarly compared to the temperature-index approach and partially outperform the latter.


2015 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 198-212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dylan J. Irvine ◽  
Roger H. Cranswick ◽  
Craig T. Simmons ◽  
Margaret A. Shanafield ◽  
Laura K. Lautz

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Malvina Silvestri ◽  
Federico Rabuffi ◽  
Massimo Musacchio ◽  
Sergio Teggi ◽  
Maria Fabrizia Buongiorno

In this work, the land surface temperature time series derived using Thermal InfraRed (TIR) satellite data offers the possibility to detect thermal anomalies by using the PCA method. This approach produces very detailed maps of thermal anomalies, both in geothermal areas and in urban areas. Tests were conducted on the following three Italian sites: Solfatara-Campi Flegrei (Naples), Parco delle Biancane (Grosseto) and Modena city.


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