scholarly journals Air quality assessment and pollution forecasting using artificial neural networks in Metropolitan Lima-Peru

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chardin Hoyos Cordova ◽  
Manuel Niño Lopez Portocarrero ◽  
Rodrigo Salas ◽  
Romina Torres ◽  
Paulo Canas Rodrigues ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Pm 10 ◽  
Monitoring Stations

AbstractThe prediction of air pollution is of great importance in highly populated areas because it directly impacts both the management of the city’s economic activity and the health of its inhabitants. This work evaluates and predicts the Spatio-temporal behavior of air quality in Metropolitan Lima, Peru, using artificial neural networks. The conventional feedforward backpropagation known as Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and the Recurrent Artificial Neural network known as Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) were implemented for the hourly prediction of $$\hbox {PM}_{10}$$ PM 10 based on the past values of this pollutant and three meteorological variables obtained from five monitoring stations. The models were validated using two schemes: The Hold-Out and the Blocked-Nested Cross-Validation (BNCV). The simulation results show that periods of moderate $$\hbox {PM}_{10}$$ PM 10 concentration are predicted with high precision. Whereas, for periods of high contamination, the performance of both models, the MLP and LSTM, were diminished. On the other hand, the prediction performance improved slightly when the models were trained and validated with the BNCV scheme. The simulation results showed that the models obtained a good performance for the CDM, CRB, and SMP monitoring stations, characterized by a moderate to low level of contamination. However, the results show the difficulty of predicting this contaminant in those stations that present critical contamination episodes, such as ATE and HCH. In conclusion, the LSTM recurrent artificial neural networks with BNCV adapt more precisely to critical pollution episodes and have better predictability performance for this type of environmental data.

scholarly journals Air Quality Assessment and Pollution Forecasting using Recurrent Artificial Neural Networks in Metropolitan Lima-Peru

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chardin Hoyos Cordova ◽  
Manuel Niño Lopez Portocarrero ◽  
Rodrigo Salas ◽  
Romina Torres ◽  
Paulo Canas Rodrigues ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Air Quality Assessment ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Lstm Network ◽  
Recurrent Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract The prediction of air pollution is of great importance in highly populated areas because it has a direct impact on both the management of the city's economic activity and the health of its inhabitants. In this work, the spatio-temporal behavior of air quality in Metropolitan Lima was evaluated and predicted using the recurrent artificial neural network known as Long-Short Term Memory networks (LSTM). The LSTM was implemented for the hourly prediction of PM10 based on the past values of this pollutant and three meteorological variables obtained from five monitoring stations. The model was evaluated under two validation schemes: the hold-out (HO) and the blocked-nested cross-validation (BNCV). The simulation results show that periods of low PM10 concentration are predicted with high precision. Whereas, for periods of high contamination, the LSTM network with BNCV has better predictability performance. In conclusion, recurrent artificial neural networks with BNCV adapt more precisely to critical pollution episodes and have better performance to forecast this type of environmental data, and can also be extrapolated to other pollutants.

Prediction Modeling of PM-10 in Chiangmai City Moat by Using Artificial Neural Networks

2015 ◽  
Vol 781 ◽  
pp. 628-631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rati Wongsathan ◽  
Issaravuth Seedadan ◽  
Metawat Kavilkrue
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Chiang Mai ◽  
Adverse Health Effects ◽  
High Pollution ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Pm 10 ◽  
Respiratory Conditions

A mathematical prediction model has been developed in order to detect particles with a diameter of 10 micrometers or less (PM-10) that are responsible for adverse health effects because of their ability to cause serious respiratory conditions in areas of high pollution such as Chiang Mai City moat area. The prediction model is based on 3 types of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), including Multi-layer perceptron (MLP-NN), Radial basis function (RBF-NN), and hybrid of RBF and Genetic algorithm (RBF-NN-GA). The model uses 8 input variables to predict PM-10, consisting of 4 air pollution substances ( CO, O3, NO2 and SO2) and 4 meteorological variables related PM-10 (wind speed, temperature, atmospheric pressure and relative humidity). These 3 types of ANN have proved efficient instrument in predicting the PM-10. However, the performance of RBF-NN was superior in comparison with MLP-NN and RBF-NN-GA respectively.

scholarly journals Artificial Neural Networks, Sequence-to-Sequence LSTMs, and Exogenous Variables as Analytical Tools for NO2 (Air Pollution) Forecasting: A Case Study in the Bay of Algeciras (Spain)

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 1770
Author(s):  
Javier González-Enrique ◽  
Juan Jesús Ruiz-Aguilar ◽  
José Antonio Moscoso-López ◽  
Daniel Urda ◽  
Lipika Deka ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Monitoring Network ◽  
Exogenous Variables ◽  
Prediction Horizon ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Analytical Tools

This study aims to produce accurate predictions of the NO2 concentrations at a specific station of a monitoring network located in the Bay of Algeciras (Spain). Artificial neural networks (ANNs) and sequence-to-sequence long short-term memory networks (LSTMs) were used to create the forecasting models. Additionally, a new prediction method was proposed combining LSTMs using a rolling window scheme with a cross-validation procedure for time series (LSTM-CVT). Two different strategies were followed regarding the input variables: using NO2 from the station or employing NO2 and other pollutants data from any station of the network plus meteorological variables. The ANN and LSTM-CVT exogenous models used lagged datasets of different window sizes. Several feature ranking methods were used to select the top lagged variables and include them in the final exogenous datasets. Prediction horizons of t + 1, t + 4 and t + 8 were employed. The exogenous variables inclusion enhanced the model’s performance, especially for t + 4 (ρ ≈ 0.68 to ρ ≈ 0.74) and t + 8 (ρ ≈ 0.59 to ρ ≈ 0.66). The proposed LSTM-CVT method delivered promising results as the best performing models per prediction horizon employed this new methodology. Additionally, per each parameter combination, it obtained lower error values than ANNs in 85% of the cases.

scholarly journals ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: AN APPLICATION IN THE STUDY OF AIR QUALITY

2014 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amaury De Souza ◽  
Hamilton Germano Pavão ◽  
Ana Paula Garcia Oliveira
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Artificial Neural

A estimativa da concentração do ozônio de superfície propicia a geração de dados para o planejamento de previsão da qualidade do ar, útil na gestão de saúde publica. O objetivo deste trabalho foi elaborar uma Rede Neural Artificial (RNAs) para estimar a concentração do ozônio de superfície em função de dados diários de clima. A RNA, do tipo FeedForward Multilayer Perceptron, foi treinada tomando-se por referência da concentração diária do ozônio medida. Nas camadas intermediárias e de saída foram utilizadas funções de ativação do tipo tan-sigmóide e lineares, respectivamente. O desempenho da RNA desenvolvida foi muito bom, podendo-se considerá-la como integrante do conjunto de métodos indiretos para estimativa da concentração do ozônio de superfície. O modelo proposto pode ser utilizado pelo governo público como ferramenta para ativar ações de ferramentas durante os períodos de estagnação atmosférica, quando os níveis de ozônio na atmosfera possam representar riscos à saúde publica.

Reliability analysis of mooring lines for floating structures using ANN-BN inference

2020 ◽  
pp. 147509022092520
Author(s):  
Yuliang Zhao ◽  
Sheng Dong ◽  
Fengyuan Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Environmental Data ◽  
Mooring Lines ◽  
Widespread Application ◽  
Floating Structures ◽  
Extreme Response ◽  
Artificial Neural

The harsh marine environment is a significant threat to the safety of floating structure systems. To address this, mooring systems have seen widespread application as an important component in the stabilization of floating structures. This article proposes a methodology to assess the reliability of mooring lines under given extreme environmental conditions based on artificial neural network–Bayesian network inference. Different types of artificial neural networks, including radial basis function neural networks and back propagation neural networks, are adopted to predict the extreme response of mooring lines according to a series of measured environmental data. A failure database under extreme sea conditions is then established in accordance with the failure criterion of mooring systems. There is a failure of mooring lines when the maximum tension exceeds the allowable breaking strength. Finally, the reliability analysis of moored floating structures under different load directions is conducted using Bayesian networks. To demonstrate the proposed methodology, the failure probability of a sample semi-submersible platform at a water depth of 1500 m is estimated. This approach utilizes artificial neural networks’ capacity for calculation efficiency and validates artificial neural networks for the response prediction of floating structures. Furthermore, it can also be employed to estimate the failure probability of other complex floating structures.

A Hybrid ARIMA and Artificial Neural Networks Model to Forecast Air Quality in Urban Areas: Case of Tunisia

2012 ◽  
Vol 518-523 ◽  
pp. 2969-2979 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayari Samia ◽  
Nouira Kaouther ◽  
Trabelsi Abdelwahed
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Air Quality ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Model Combining ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Artificial Neural

Forecasting air quality time series represents a very difficult task since air quality contains autoregressive, linear and nonlinear patterns. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models have been widely used in air quality time series forecasting. However, they fail to detect extreme events because of their presumed linear form of data. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) models have proved to be promising nonlinear tools for air quality forecasting. A hybrid model combining ARIMA and ANN improved forecasting more than either of the models used independently. Experimental results with meteorological and Particulate Matter data indicated that the combined model can be used as an efficient forecasting and early warning system for providing air quality information towards the citizen, not only in Sfax Southern Suburbs but in other Tunisian regions that suffer from poor air quality conditions.

Building Energy Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks (LSTM)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sankhanil Goswami
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Significant Proportion ◽  
Cooling Load ◽  
Energy Prediction ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract Modern buildings account for a significant proportion of global energy consumption worldwide. Therefore, accurate energy use forecast is necessary for energy management and conservation. With the advent of smart sensors, a large amount of accurate energy data is available. Also, with the advancements in data analytics and machine learning, there have been numerous studies on developing data-driven prediction models based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). In this work a type of ANN called Large Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is used to predict the energy use and cooling load of an existing building. A university administrative building was chosen for its typical commercial environment. The network was trained with one year of data and was used to predict the energy consumption and cooling load of the following year. The mean absolute testing error for the energy consumption and the cooling load were 0.105 and 0.05. The percentage mean accuracy was found to be 92.8% and 96.1%. The process was applied to several other buildings in the university and similar results were obtained. This indicates the model can successfully predict the energy consumption and cooling load for the buildings studied. The further improvement and application of this technique for optimizing building performance are also explored.

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