scholarly journals Short-term Load Forecasting Model for Microgrid Based on HSA-SVM

2018 ◽  
Vol 173 ◽  
pp. 01007
Author(s):  
Han Aoyang ◽  
Yu Litao ◽  
An Shuhuai ◽  
Zhang Zhisheng

Short-term load forecasting for microgrid is the basis of the research on scheduling techniques of microgrid. Accurate load forecasting for microgrid will provide the necessary basis for cooperative optimization scheduling. Short-term loadforecasting model for microgrid based on support vector machine(SVM) is constructed in this paper. The harmony search optimization algorithm(HSA) is used to optimize the parameters of the SVM model, because it has the advantages of fast convergence speed and better optimization ability. Through the simulation and test of the actual microgrid load system, it is proved that the short-term loadforecasting model for microgrid based on HSA-SVM can effectively improve the prediction accuracy.

2012 ◽  
Vol 591-593 ◽  
pp. 1311-1314
Author(s):  
Xing Tong Zhu ◽  
Bo Xu

The values of parameters of support vector machine have close contact with its forecast accuracy. In order to accurately forecast power short-term load,we presented a power short-term load forecasting method based on quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization and support vector machine.First,cauchy distribution was used to improve the quantum particle swarm algorithm.Secondly,the improved quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm was used to optimize the parameter of support vector machine.Finally, the support vector machine was used for power short-term load forecasting. In the proposed method such factors impacting loads as meteorology,weather and date types are comprehensively considered. The experimental results show that the root-mean-square relative error of the proposed method is only 1.90%, which is less than those of SVM and PSO-SVM model by 2.29% and 2.80%, respectively.


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