Probabilistic linguistic multi-criteria decision-making based on evidential reasoning and combined ranking methods considering decision-makers’ psychological preferences

2019 ◽  
Vol 71 (5) ◽  
pp. 700-717 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhang-Peng Tian ◽  
Ru-Xin Nie ◽  
Jian-Qiang Wang
Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 2754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Indre Siksnelyte ◽  
Edmundas Zavadskas ◽  
Dalia Streimikiene ◽  
Deepak Sharma

The measurement of sustainability is actively used today as one of the main preventative instruments in order to reduce the decline of the environment. Sustainable decision-making in solving energy issues can be supported and contradictory effects can be evaluated by scientific achievements of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques. The main goal of this paper is to overview the application of decision-making methods in dealing with sustainable energy development issues. In this study, 105 published papers from the Web of Science Core Collection (WSCC) database are selected and reviewed, from 2004 to 2017, related to energy sustainability issues and MCDM methods. All the selected papers were categorized into 9 fields by the application area and into 10 fields by the used method. After the categorization of the scientific articles and detailed analysis, SWOT analysis of MCDM approaches in dealing with sustainable energy development issues is provided. The widespread application and use of MCDM methods confirm that MCDM methods can help decision-makers in solving energy sustainability problems and are highly popular and used in practice.


2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (02) ◽  
pp. 465-486 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ardalan Bafahm ◽  
Minghe Sun

The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) has been believed to be one of the most pragmatic and widely accepted methods for multi-criteria decision making. However, there have been various criticisms of this method within the last four decades. In this study, the results of AHP contradicting common expectations are examined for both the distributive and ideal modes. Specifically, conflicting priorities, conflicting decisions, and conflicting preference relations are investigated. A decision-making scenario is used throughout the paper and an illustrative example constructed from the decision-making scenario is provided to demonstrate each of the conflicting results recommended by AHP. With a parametric formulation of each unexpected result, the possibility of unexpected results of AHP is generalized irrespective of applying the distributive or ideal mode. The logic and causes of these contradictions are also analyzed. This study shows that AHP is not always reliable, and could lead the decision makers towards incorrect decisions.


Mekatronika ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-25
Author(s):  
Omar Ayasrah ◽  
Faiz Mohd Turan

The aim of this research is to develop a new multi-criteria decision-making method that integrates an intuitionistic fuzzy entropy measure and variable weight theory to be implemented in different fields to provide a solution for MCDM problems when the available information is incomplete. A limited number of studies have considered determining decision maker’s weights by performing objective techniques, and almost all of these researches detected a constant weights for the decision makers. In addition, most of the MCDM studies were not formulated to perform sensitivity analysis. The new method is based on the TOPSIS model with an intuitionistic fuzzy entropy measure in the exponential-related function form and the engagement of the variable weight theory to determine weights for the decision-makers that vary as per attibutes. Lastly, a mathematical model was developed in this research to be as an input for developing the mobile-aplication based method in future for virtual use of the new MCDM method.


Author(s):  
Samira Keivanpour ◽  
Hassan Haleh ◽  
Hamed Shakouri Ganjavi

Applying a MCDM model has many benefits for decision makers in the course of oil field master development plans preparation and evaluation. In this study, a multi-criteria decision making model is proposed in order to achieve an optimum production profile. The most important criteria and parameters for selection of best production profile are identified. These parameters are derived by several interviews with Iranian oil Industry’s experts. The candidate alternatives for production profile are ranked using a combination of group decision making approach and social choice theory. The degree of group consensus is evaluated by using a statistic model to confirm the validity of decision making model.


Mathematics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 1081 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng ◽  
Tian ◽  
Zhang ◽  
Song ◽  
Wang

Single-valued neutrosophic sets (SVNSs), which involve in truth-membership, indeterminacy-membership and falsity-membership, play a significant role in describing the decision-makers’ preference information. In this study, a single-valued neutrosophic multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach is developed based on Shapley fuzzy measures and power aggregation operator that takes a correlative relationship among criteria into account and also simultaneously reduces the effects of abnormal preference information. Firstly, two aggregation operators, namely, generalized weighted single-valued neutrosophic power Shapley Choquet average (GWSVNPSCA) operator and generalized weighted single-valued neutrosophic power Shapley Choquet geometric (GWSVNPSCG) operator, are accordingly defined, and the corresponding properties are discussed as well. Secondly, based on the proposed aggregation operators, an integrated MCDM approach is proposed to effectively solve single-valued neutrosophic problems where the weight information is incompletely known. A programming model is constructed to obtain the optimal Shapley fuzzy measure. Next, the proposed operators are utilized to aggregate the decision-makers’ preference information. Finally, a theoretical example with tourism attraction selection is provided to examine the efficacy of the developed approach, in which the results is found reasonable and credible.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (19) ◽  
pp. 2420
Author(s):  
Qianyun Wen ◽  
Qiyao Yan ◽  
Junjie Qu ◽  
Yang Liu

More than 110 countries, including 500 cities worldwide, have set the goal of reaching carbon neutrality. Heating contributes to most of the residential energy consumption and carbon emissions. The green energy transition of fossil-based heating systems is needed to reach the emission goals. However, heating systems vary in energy source, heating technology, equipment location, and these complexities make it challenging for households to compare heating systems and make decisions. Hence, a decision support tool that provides a generalized ranking of individual heating alternatives is proposed for households as decision makers to identify the optimal choice. This paper presents an analysis of 13 heating alternatives and 19 quantitative criteria in technological, environmental, and financial aspects, combines ideal solution-based multi-criteria decision making with 6 weighting methods and 4 normalization methods, and introduces ensemble learning with a fuzzy membership function derived from Cauchy distribution to finalize the ultimate ranking. The robustness of the proposed method is verified by three sensitive analyses from different aspects. Air-to-water heat pump, solar heating and direct district heating are the top three rankings in the final result under Danish national average data. A framework is designed to guide decision makers to apply this ranking guideline with their practical, feasible situations.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-35
Author(s):  
Petrus Sokibi ◽  
Nurul Bahiyah

Talun sub-district is a government institution that provides public services to the public, which at this time there is no assessment of service satisfaction from the community so that the District Talun cannot know the assessment or complaints from the public to public services provided. The research aims to determine the level of public satisfaction of Public Service in Talun Sub-district. AHP is a complex multi-criteria decision-making method, in an unstructured situation into sections that are then shaped into functional hierarchies to present problems to be solved and then build a priority sequence for alternatives by pairwise alternative comparisons based on judgments of decision makers against a system. The appraisal application yields the value of the public satisfaction level and the eigenvector ranked according to the highest data as the final value of the AHP calculation so that the eigenvector value obtained can facilitate the Camat to see which elements of service are not good.


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-59
Author(s):  
Tjaša Šmidovnik ◽  
Petra Grošelj

Nowadays the multi-criteria decision making is very complicated due to uncertainty, vagueness, limited sources, knowledge and time. The Decision-making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) method is a widely used multi-criteria decision-making method to analyze the structure of a complex system. It is useful in analysing the cause and effect relationships between the components of the system. Fuzzy sets can be used to include uncertainty in multi-criteria decision making. Linguistic assessments of decision makers can be translated into fuzzy numbers. In this study, fuzzy numbers, intuitionistic fuzzy numbers and neutrosophic fuzzy numbers were used for the decision makers evaluations in the DEMATEL method. The aim of this study was to evaluate how different types of fuzzy numbers affect the final results. An application of risk in construction projects was selected from the literature, where seven experts used a linguistic scale to evaluate different criteria. The results showed that there are only slight differences between the weights of the criteria with regard to the type of fuzzy numbers.


2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (05) ◽  
pp. 1271-1292
Author(s):  
Xu Libo ◽  
Li Xingsen ◽  
Cui Honglei

In this paper, a novel approach and framework based on interval-dependent degree and probability distribution for multi-criteria decision-making problems with multi-valued neutrosophic sets (MVNSs) is proposed. First, a simplified dependent function and distribution function are given and integrated into a concise formula, which is called the interval-dependent function and contains interval computing and probability distribution information in an interval. Then a transformation operator is defined and it is shown how to convert MVNSs into an interval set. Subsequently, the interval-dependent function with the probability distribution of MVNSs is deduced. Finally, an example and comparative analysis are provided to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method. In addition, uncertainty analysis, which reflects the dynamic change of the ranking result with decision-makers’ preferences, is performed by setting different distribution functions, which increases the reliability and accuracy of the proposed method.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 4285-4298
Author(s):  
Ran Tao ◽  
Fuyuan Xiao

Group multi-criteria decision-making (GMCDM) is an important part of decision theory, which is aimed to assess alternatives according to multiple criteria by collecting the wisdom of experts. However, in the process of evaluating, because of the limitation of human knowledge and the complexity of problems, an efficient GMCDM approach under uncertain environment still need to be further explored. Thus, in this paper, a novel GMCDM approach with linguistic Z-numbers based on TOPSIS and Choquet integral is proposed. Firstly, since linguistic Z-numbers performs better in coping with uncertain information, it is used to express the evaluation information. Secondly, TOPSIS, one of the most useful and systematic multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method, is adopted as the framework of the proposed approach. Thirdly, frequently it exists interaction between criteria, so Choquet integral is introduced to capture this kind of influence. What’s more, viewing that decision makers (DMs) show different preferences for uncertainty, the risk preference is regarded as a vital parameter when calculating the score of linguistic Z-numbers. An application in supplier selection is illustrated to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Finally, a further comparison and discussion of the proposed GMCDM method is given.


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