Analysis of Flood Hydrograph to the Land Use Change on Flood Peak Discharge in the Sekanak Watershed

Jakarta is a lowland area with 40% of its territory at an elevation below the sea level so it is very vulnerable to flooding. One of out many causes floods in Jakarta is by the overflow of the Ciliwung River. The Ciliwung Watershed has a very strategic value in Indonesia because the Ciliwung River is one of thirteen rivers crossing the nation's capital. The rapid urbanization and population growth led to an increasing impervious area in the Ciliwung Watershed which resulted in a flood hydrograph change. This research aims to determine the influence of land use change, which is taking into account the spatial discretization and the riparian characteristic of Middle - Lower Ciliwung Sub-Watershed on flood hydrograph at Manggarai Weir. This research reviews the related literature on the implementation of HEC-GeoHMS version 10.1 developed by US Army Corps of Engineers (2013) to estimate the effect of land use change on flood hydrographs by taking into account the characteristics of the riparian described descriptively and present arguments to claim that the discretization spatial method can provide significantly more flood hydrographs results with existing conditions.

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Deriving Design Flood Hydrograph Based on Conditional Distribution: A Case Study of Danjiangkou Reservoir in Hanjiang Basin

Mathematical Problems in Engineering ◽

10.1155/2016/4319646 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 2016 ◽

pp. 1-16 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Changjiang Xu ◽

Jiabo Yin ◽

Shenglian Guo ◽

Zhangjun Liu ◽

Xingjun Hong

Keyword(s):

Joint Probability ◽

Flood Frequency ◽

Peak Discharge ◽

Flood Frequency Analysis ◽

Design Flood ◽

Copula Functions ◽

Danjiangkou Reservoir ◽

Flood Peak ◽

Flood Hydrograph

Design flood hydrograph (DFH) for a dam is the flood of suitable probability and magnitude adopted to ensure safety of the dam in accordance with appropriate design standards. Estimated quantiles of peak discharge and flood volumes are necessary for deriving the DFH, which are mutually correlated and need to be described by multivariate analysis methods. The joint probability distributions of peak discharge and flood volumes were established using copula functions. Then the general formulae of conditional most likely composition (CMLC) and conditional expectation composition (CEC) methods that consider the inherent relationship between flood peak and volumes were derived for estimating DFH. The Danjiangkou reservoir in Hanjiang basin was selected as a case study. The design values of flood volumes and 90% confidence intervals with different peak discharges were estimated by the proposed methods. The performance of CMLC and CEC methods was also compared with conventional flood frequency analysis, and the results show that CMLC method performs best for both bivariate and trivariate distributions which has the smallest relative error and root mean square error. The proposed CMLC method has strong statistical basis with unique design flood composition scheme and provides an alternative way for deriving DFH.

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Investigation into impacts of land-use changes on floods in the upper Huaihe River basin, China

Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences ◽

10.5194/piahs-370-103-2015 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 370 ◽

pp. 103-108

Author(s):

M. Yu ◽

Q. Li ◽

G. Lu ◽

H. Wang ◽

P. Li

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

Land Use Change ◽

River Basin ◽

Agricultural Land ◽

Potential Evapotranspiration ◽

Meteorological Data ◽

Huaihe River Basin ◽

Huaihe River ◽

Flood Peak ◽

Hourly Rainfall

Abstract. To investigate the agricultural land-use change on flood regime, the upper Huaihe River basin above the Dapoling station was selected as the case study site. Based on topography, land-use, hydrological and meteorological data in 1990s and 2010s, the improved distributed Xinanjiang model, with potential evapotranspiration being computed by coupling a dual-source evapotranspiration model with a simplified plant growth model, was adopted to simulate the daily and hourly rainfall-runoff processes over 1990s and 2010s, and then the effects of land-use change on flood volume, flood peak, occurring time of flood peak, the percentage of surface runoff component were investigated respectively. The results was interesting and indicated that impacts of land-use change on flood characteristics varied significantly with land-use types. The outputs could provide valuable references for flood risk management and water resources management in the Huaihe River basin.

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Runoff evolution according to land use change in a small Sahelian catchment

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions ◽

10.5194/hessd-8-1569-2011 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 8 (1) ◽

pp. 1569-1607 ◽

Cited By ~ 11

Author(s):

L. Descroix ◽

M. Esteves ◽

K. Souley Yéro ◽

J.-L. Rajot ◽

M. Malam Abdou ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

Land Use Change ◽

Water Cycle ◽

Land Use Changes ◽

Strong Increase ◽

Rainfall Runoff ◽

Runoff Water ◽

Flood Peak ◽

Water Transmission ◽

Sahel Region

Abstract. Significant land use changes have been observed in West Africa, particularly in the Sahel region where climatic and demographic factors have led to a rise in cultivated areas, in recent decades. These changes caused strong modifications in the water cycle and in river regimes. By comparing the rainfall-runoff relationships for two periods (1991–1994 and 2004–2010) in two small neighbouring catchments (approx. 0.1 km2 each) of the Sahel, this study highlights the different hydrological consequences of land use change, particularly vegetation clearing and the consequent degradation of topsoil. Runoff increased in the upper basin, while it decreased in the lower basin, due to a strong increase in in-channel infiltration. Flood peak durations have become shorter in the downstream part of the catchment due to the huge increase of runoff water transmission losses within the gullies. Further study will consist of equipping one of the catchments with anti-erosion devices (mainly "half-moons" and terraces) in order to evaluate the influence of anti-erosion devices on runoff and suspended load.

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KAJIAN PENANGGULANGAN KERUSAKAN LAHAN AKIBAT PERUBAHAN PENGGUNAAN LAHAN DENGAN PENDEKATAN MODEL HIDROLOGI PADA DAS PAMI

Agrotek ◽

10.30862/agt.v5i6.598 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 5 (6) ◽

Author(s):

Kati Syamsudin Kadang Tola ◽

Siti Hadjar Kubangun

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

Land Use Change ◽

Secondary Forest ◽

Secondary Data ◽

Soil Sampling ◽

Peak Discharge ◽

Primary Data ◽

Primary Forest ◽

Peak Flows ◽

Administrative Area

<em>Changes in land use in watershed will affect peak discharge and degradation land. It is becoming an indicator of better or worse use of land in watershed area. This study aims to analysis land use change, to predict peak flows based on changes in land use and land use change scenarios in the Pami watershed. This study uses a number of primary data and secondary data. Primary data were obtained from observations of the condition of the land and soil sampling, which is then analyzed in the laboratory. Secondary data were obtained from literature and related agencies such as geographical map and thematic maps including land map, administrative area maps, land use maps in 1996-2015 and rainfall in 1996-2015. Data analysis included analysis of changes in land use, identification of watershed characteristics and hydrology analysis. Research results showed that changes in land use in 1996-2015 was dominated by primary forest but experiencing a decline around 39,94%. While land use included secondary forest and settlement area were increased by 73,10% and 70,61% respectively. Predicted peak flows based on changes in land use obtained the average of peak discharge in 1996 was about 118.7 m3/sec, while the average of peak discharge in 2015 amounted to 157.4 m3/sec where there is an increase of 33.5 %. Scenarios of land use change conducted in the mixed farming in Pami watershed obtained peak discharge of 157.4 m3/sec</em>

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Quantifying the impact of land-use changes at the event and seasonal time scale using a process-oriented catchment model

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences ◽

10.5194/hess-8-62-2004 ◽

2004 ◽

Vol 8 (1) ◽

pp. 62-78 ◽

Cited By ~ 86

Author(s):

B. Ott ◽

S. Uhlenbrook

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

Land Use Change ◽

Intensity Distribution ◽

Water Discharge ◽

Land Use Patterns ◽

Flood Peak ◽

Land Use Scenarios ◽

Natural Land ◽

The Impact ◽

Catchment Model

Abstract. For optimal protection and integrated management of water resources, it is essential to quantify the impact of land-use change on hydrological regimes at various scales. Using the process-based catchment model TACD (tracer aided catchment model, distributed) two land-use scenarios were analysed for the rural and mountainous Dreisam basin (258 km2): (i) an increase in urban area from 2.5% to 5%) and (2) a change in a natural land-use to a different kind of forest. The first scenario was executed using the land-use change modelling kit LUCK, which takes into account the topology of land-use patterns in their true positions. The TACD model simulated all hydrological processes both spatially and temporally (200 m x 200 m grid, hourly mode). For this study, physically-based modules for interception and evapotranspiration (Penman and Monteith approach) were introduced. The model was applied to the Dreisam basin with minimal calibration. Both an independent validation period and discharge in four nested sub-basins were modelled well without recalibration. Evapotranspiration patterns were simulated, successfully, both temporally and spatially. Increased urbanisation had an insignificant effect on the modelled single events and on the yearly water balance. Simulations of discharge from forest assuming natural land-use conditions indicated an increase in transpiration, a decrease in groundwater recharge and, consequently, in groundwater discharge (–15%), in surface water discharge (–4%), and in flood peaks (–22.7% and –7.3% for convective and advective floods, respectively). Land-use impact was also investigated by applying rainfall scenarios of different durations (12, 24, 48, and 72 hours), magnitudes (recurrence intervals of 1, 5, and 10 years) and distributions of rainfall intensity, i.e. maximum intensity at the beginning, middle or end of the event. Clearly, the intensity distribution has a greater influence on the simulated events than different land use scenarios. This indicated the importance of careful determination of the temporal intensity distribution for flood peak predictions. The use of the process-based model enabled analysis of the altered composition of internal runoff components. This demonstrated the potentially significant local effects of land-use change on flood runoff and water quality. Keywords: land-use change, predictions, process-based catchment modelling, flood modelling, evapotranspiration modelling TACD model, LUCK

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Impact Assessments of Rainfall–Runoff Characteristics Response Based on Land Use Change via Hydrological Simulation

Water ◽

10.3390/w11040866 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 11 (4) ◽

pp. 866

Author(s):

Minmin Zhou ◽

Simin Qu ◽

Xueqiu Chen ◽

Peng Shi ◽

Shijin Xu ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

Land Use Change ◽

Land Cover ◽

Land Cover Change ◽

Model Parameters ◽

Hydrological Simulation ◽

Discharge Data ◽

Flood Peak ◽

Established Fact ◽

Kurtosis Coefficient

The hydrology response was studied considering the established fact of land use change in Dapoling basin. The whole period was divided into two (1965–1985 and 1986–2012) according to the major land use and land cover change in this region. Xinanjiang model was used to simulate discharge data in the two periods. The hydrologic response to the change could be evaluated by inspecting the response of model parameters and flood elements. The results show that the lag time varied, and the hydrologic elements including the mean runoff depth, flood peak and kurtosis coefficient varied with the rainfall depth. This result is significant for studying the response of runoff characteristic from land use and land cover change.

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