scholarly journals Probability of Failure and Slope Safety Factors Based on Geological Structure of Plane failure on Open Pit Batu Hijau Nusa Tenggara Barat

Author(s):  
N Neman ◽  
Z Zakaria ◽  
R I Sophian ◽  
Y Adriansyah
2020 ◽  
Vol 57 (5) ◽  
pp. 742-753
Author(s):  
Ignatius Tommy Pratama ◽  
Chang-Yu Ou ◽  
Jianye Ching

This study calibrated the required factors of safety of five analysis methods for sand boiling using reliability theory. The factors of safety computed by the five analysis methods were compared with the results of a series of sand boiling model tests. The comparison shows that rigorous methods (Terzaghi’s and Harza’s methods) were more accurate in predicting the factors of safety compared to the simplified methods (Harr’s, simplified Terzaghi’s, and simplified Harza’s methods). The statistics of the model factor for each method, defined as the actual factor of safety divided by the computed one, was calibrated by the model test results. These statistics were then used to establish the relationship between the target probability of failure and the required factor of safety by reliability theory. Verification using a full-scale sand boiling case history shows that the required factor of safety calibrated by the reliability theory was more reasonable than the required factors of safety in references and design codes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 303 ◽  
pp. 01029
Author(s):  
Alexander Katsubin ◽  
Victor Martyanov ◽  
Milan Grohol

Information about the geological structure of Kuznetsky coal basin (Kuzbass) allows us to note that coal deposits developed by open-cast method are characterized by complicated conditions and have the following features: large length of deposits at significant depths of occurrence; coal series bedding of different thicknesses (from 1 to 40 m); different dip angles (from 3 to 90º); a significant number of dip and direction disturbances; different thickness of unconsolidated quaternary sediments (from 5 to 40 m); a wide range of strength values of rocks. In addition, there is a thickness irregularity and frequent variability of elements of occurrence of coal seams within the boundaries of a quarry field both in length and depth of mining. From the point of view of open-pit mining, such deposits are complex-structured. The factors listed above have a decisive influence on the choice of technical means, the order of development and the possibility of carrying out surface mining operations. Therefore, there is a need for a systematization of mining and geological conditions for the development of coal deposits, the purpose of which is to ensure a process of evaluation of complex-structured coal deposits for the development of coal-bearing zones by various complexes of equipment.


Author(s):  
Юрий Григорьевич Матвиенко ◽  
Дмитрий Александрович Кузьмин ◽  
Владимир Васильевич Зацаринный ◽  
Максим Сергеевич Пугачев ◽  
Владимир Вячеславович Потапов

Проведен анализ влияния коэффициентов вариации сопротивления материала разрушению и коэффициентов вариации нагрузки на вероятность разрушения и, следовательно, на коэффициенты запаса по характеристикам сопротивления материала разрушению при заданных показателях вероятности разрушения. Снижение неопределенности в условиях нагружения и повышение качества материала позволяют снизить коэффициенты запаса по пределу текучести и вязкости разрушения для заданных целевых показателей безопасности. На примере трубных сталей марок Ст 20 и 16ГС показана возможность снижения коэффициента запаса по пределу текучести до значений n = 1,45 при коэффициенте вариации нагрузки 0,1 и сохранении целевого показателя безопасности в терминах вероятности разрушения на уровне 10. Возможность снижения коэффициентов запаса по пределу текучести и вязкости разрушения при заданных целевых показателях безопасности в терминах вероятности разрушения позволяет оптимизировать металлоемкость и максимальные допустимые давления в эксплуатируемых трубопроводах. The analysis of the influence of the coefficients of variation of the material resistance and the coefficients of the load variation on the probability of failure as well as on the safety factors for the characteristics of the material resistance to failure has been done at given indicators of the probability of failure. Reducing uncertainty under loading conditions and improving material quality allow reducing the safety factors against fracture and collapse for given targets safety. Using the example of pipe steels of grades St 20 and 16GS, it seems possible to reduce the safety factor against collapse up to 1.45 with a load variation coefficient of 0.1 and maintaining the safety target in terms of the fracture probability at the level of 10. The possibility of reducing the safety factors against collapse and fracture at the given target safety indicators in terms of the fracture probability allows optimizing the metal consumption and the maximum allowable pressures in the operating pipelines.


Author(s):  
B.V. Ekvist ◽  
N.G. Barnov

A method to optimize drilling and blasting parameters with account of the physical and technical properties of rocks within the blasted block is proposed to improve the quality of blasting in open pit mines characterized by complex geological settings. The results of laboratory tests are provided that confirm improvement in the quality of rock sample crushing by blasting charges with variable delays and locations, depending on the strength properties of the samples, relative to blasting charges with unchanged parameters. The proposed method can be used in combination with GPR surveys of the rock mass. Explosive fragmentation of the rock masses with complex structures is characterized with a number of features caused by changes in the strength properties within the blasted block. In order to optimize the fragmentation efficiency of rock masses with complex geological structure, it is required to assess physical and technical properties of rocks and to determine their location and variations of the strength properties within the blasted block. It is possible to quickly assess the physical and technical properties of the blasted rocks using the surface georadar method. The outcome of this method is georeferencing of the reoradar data to the location and properties of the rocks to be blasted, along with the methodology of applying the georadar surveys, selection of the areal assembly type depending on the size and properties of detected jointing, and economic justification of applying this method. The novelty consists in linking the georadar data on the rocks to be blasted with drilling and blasting parameters.


Author(s):  
B. A. Lindley ◽  
P. M. James

Partial Safety Factors (PSFs) are scaling factors which are used to modify the input parameters to a deterministic fracture mechanics assessment in order to consider the effects of variability or uncertainty in the values of the input parameters. BS7910 and SINTAP have adopted the technique, both of which use the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) to derive values for PSFs. The PSFs are tabulated, varying with the target probability of failure, p(F), and the Coefficient of Variance (COV) of the variable. An accurate assessment of p(F) requires a probabilistic method with enough simulations. This has previously been found to be time consuming, due to the large number of simulations required. The PSF method has been seen as a quick way of calculating an approximate, conservative value of p(F). This paper contains a review of the PSF method, conducted using an efficient probabilistic method called the Hybrid probabilistic method. The Hybrid probabilistic method is used to find p(F) at a large number of assessment points, for a range of different PSFs. These p(F) values are compared to those obtained using the PSF method. It is found that the PSF method was usually, and often extremely, conservative. However there are also cases where the PSF method was non-conservative. This result is verified by a hand calculation. Modifications to the PSF method are suggested, including the establishment of a minimum PSF on each variable to reduce non-conservatisms. In light of the existence of efficient probabilistic techniques, the non-conservatisms that have been found in the PSF method, coupled with the impracticality of completely removing these non-conservatisms, it is recommended that a full probabilistic assessment should generally be performed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Wenwei Li ◽  
Baotian Wang ◽  
Jinyu Zuo ◽  
Bingsheng Zhou ◽  
Haixia Zhang

Based on the characteristics of an expansive soil slope, the slip mass can be simplified to a simpler model with three-broken line rigid bodies. A solution was formulated to calculate the safety factors of the slope, and the results are similar to those based on the strength reduction method. However, similar to conventional methods to analyze the stability of slopes, the deterministic method to obtain the safety factors only calculates the safety factor using deterministic values without considering the randomness of soil parameters, which leads to unstable results. To improve the rationality of the calculated results, this paper aims to construct a reliability analysis method based on the simplified three-broken line model of a landslide. The reliability is calculated with the response surface method in a spreadsheet with efficiency and convenience. The designed program considers the changes in the strength of the shallow soil and the depth of the strongly weathered layer for different stages of the wetting-drying cycles and solves for the probability of failure of the sliding surface at the interface between the strong and weak weathered layers. Considering an expansive soil slope as an example, the reliability of the slope was analyzed based on laboratory test data and the proposed formula. The results show that multiple wetting-drying cycles significantly increase the probability of failure of an expansive soil slope and that the slope typically becomes unstable after six wetting-drying cycles. Slope cutting helps alleviate the adverse effects of wetting-drying cycles.


2021 ◽  
Vol 248 ◽  
pp. 03013
Author(s):  
Feng Shaojie ◽  
Gao Chen ◽  
Liu Wenbo

With the continuous downward mining, more and more attention has been paid to the problem of slope stability under open-pit combined mining. Taking Zijinshan gold and copper mining as an example, the failure properties of overlying rock mass and slope stability under open-pit combined mining under different mining methods are studied by numerical simulation method, and the failure law of overlying rock mass is proposed. Combined with the geological structure distribution of 5-5 section and the influence of different mining stages, the slope stability is evaluated by slip field theory. Relevant reinforcement measures are proposed.


2021 ◽  
pp. 102-106
Author(s):  
O. A. Isyanov ◽  
◽  
D. I. Ilderov ◽  
V. I. Suprun ◽  
S. A. Radchenko ◽  
...  

Instability of pit wall slopes is the most critical accident in open pit mining. The risk of damages to pit walls is proportional to the height of exposed surfaces and to the time of exposure. Among many factors governing pit wall stability, the major factor is geological structure and weakening zones in rock mass. Deformation processes are initiated in host rock mass of coal seams mostly because of undercutting of weak interlayers. Alongside with local undercutting, another cause of landslides is transition of coal mining from down-dip extraction to up-dip extraction. The sequence of mining and morphology of weak interlayers also have influence on initiation and evolution of deformations. The basic component of engineering solutions on pit wall stability control is optimization of mining sequence and methods of accessing working horizons in open pit mines. Large-scale deformation of Western and Southeastern pit walls in Urtui mine could be avoided using the optimized sequence of mining operations. For example, mining advance mostly along the curve of the Urtui centroclinal fold, with early access and destress of the eastern and, first of all, western wings of the fold could make it possible to evade from up-dip mining of coal seams and, as a consequence, to solve the major geomechanical problems in the open pit mine.


2014 ◽  
Vol 501-504 ◽  
pp. 51-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Peng ◽  
Dong Ji ◽  
Liang Zhao ◽  
Zhen Yu Qian ◽  
Fen Hua Ren

An analysis on safety factor of slope through c - φ reduction algorithm by finite elements method is presented. When the system reaches instability, the numerical non-convergence occurs simultaneously. The safety factor is then obtained by c φ reduction algorithm. This paper, which combines with the actual situation of Jinduicheng open pit mine, analysis the stability of the limit height of the dump based on strength reduction of finite element method. And the value of slope safety factor is 1.25 to 1.30. The results show that calculating safety factors of the slope by ANSYS is in full conformity with the basic requirement of safety. That means, the dump is stable, which can reduce the production costs and benefit the enterprise.


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