Altitudinal, latitudinal and longitudinal responses of cloud forest species to Quaternary glaciations in the northern Neotropics
Abstract The glaciations of the Quaternary caused changes in the geographical distributions of species associated with tropical montane cloud forests. The most obvious effect of the glacial conditions was the downward displacement of cloud forest species, thus giving opportunities for population connectivity in the lowlands. Considerable attention has been paid to these altitudinal changes, but latitudinal and longitudinal movements remain poorly understood in the northern Neotropics. Here, I use ecological niche modelling to generate palaeodistributions of small-eared shrews (Mammalia: Soricidae) closely associated with cloud forests in the mountain systems of Mexico and then retrodict their range shifts during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), one of the coldest periods of the Quaternary. The results suggest that cloud forest species not only migrated downwards in response to global cooling and dryness but also migrated latitudinally and longitudinally onto those slopes that maintained moist conditions (other slopes remained unsuitable during the LGM), thus revealing a hitherto unknown route for postglacial colonization of cloud forest species. This scenario of past distributional change probably had genetic and demographic implications and has repercussions for the identification of areas of refugia and postglacial colonization routes of cloud forest species.