scholarly journals P-OGC60 Predicting the risk of venous thromboembolism during neoadjuvant therapy for oesophagogastric cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michele Calabrese ◽  
Jakub Chmelo ◽  
Pooja Prasad ◽  
Joshua Brown ◽  
Lauren Wallace ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Locally advanced oesophageal cancer is usually treated with neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) followed by surgery. Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a recognised complication in these patients. Those who develop VTE may have an inferior vena cava filter placed prior to surgery to reduce the risk of further complications. This study aimed to identify specific risks for VTE during (NAT) for oesophagogastric cancer (OGC) and whether this increases postoperative morbidity. Methods Patients undergoing NAT for OGC followed by surgery at a single high-volume centre between January 2015 and June 2020 were identified from a prospectively maintained database. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for the development of VTE as well as the association between diagnosis of VTE and morbidity. Results The incidence of VTE in this cohort was 6.7% (27/406). Independent risk factors for developing VTE in multivariable analysis were BMI – OR 1.093 (p = 0.045) and age – OR 1.067 (p = 0.019). Type of chemo(radio)therapy regimen used, pT, pN stage, previous history of ischaemic heart disease or being an active smoker at diagnosis was not associated with VTE occurrence. Diagnosis of VTE during neoadjuvant treatment was not associated with a higher risk of developing a serious postoperative complication (Clavien-Dindo grade III and above) (p = 0.699). Conclusions Patients with a raised BMI or older age are at higher risk of developing VTE during NAT for OGC. These patients must be appropriately counseled on the higher risk of VTE prior to commencing NAT. However, the development of a VTE does not appear to confer any additional post-operative complication risk.

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Klaus-Peter Dieckmann ◽  
David Marghawal ◽  
Uwe Pichlmeier ◽  
Christian Wülfing

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Thromboembolic events (TEEs) may significantly complicate the clinical management of patients with testicular germ cell tumours (GCTs). We analysed a cohort of GCT patients for the occurrence of TEEs and looked to possible pathogenetic factors. <b><i>Patients, Methods:</i></b> TEEs occurring within 6 months after diagnosis were retrospectively analysed in 317 consecutive patients with testicular GCT (median age 37 years, 198 seminoma, 119 nonseminoma). The following factors were analysed for association with TEE: histology, age, clinical stage (CS), chemotherapy, use of a central venous access device (CVA). Data analysis involved descriptive statistical methods with multivariable analysis to identify independent risk factors. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Twenty-three TEEs (7.3%) were observed, 18 deep vein thromboses, 4 pulmonary embolisms, and 1 myocardial infarction. Univariable risk calculation yielded the following odds ratios (ORs) : &#x3e;CS1 OR = 43.7 (95% confidence intervals [CIs] 9.9–191.6); chemotherapy OR = 7.8 (95% CI 2.3–26.6); CVA OR = 30.5 (95% CI 11.0–84.3). Multivariable analysis identified only CS &#x3e; 1 (OR = 16.9; 95% CI 3.5–82.4) and CVA (OR = 9.0; 95% CI 2.9–27.5) as independent risk factors. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Patients with CSs &#x3e;CS1 are at significantly increased risk of TEEs even without chemotherapy. Particular high risk is associated with the use of CVA devices for chemotherapy. Caregivers of GCT patients must be aware of the particular risk of TEEs.


2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. i12-i42
Author(s):  
M Patel ◽  
U Umasankar ◽  
B McCall

Abstract Introduction Whilst most patients during the COVID pandemic made an uneventful recovery,there was a significant minority in whom the disease was severe and unfortunately fatal. This survey aims to examine and evaluate risk factors for those patients who died of COVID and to identify any markers for improvement in the management of such patients during future COVID surges. Methods Medical records of all patients who died within a multi-ethnic, inner city acute district general hospital over a 6-week period in 2020 were examined. Data collected included demographic details, medical comorbidities, and type of ward where they received care. Multivariable analysis using stepwise backward logistic regression was conducted to examine independent risk factors for these patients. Results Of 275 deaths,204 were related to COVID. Compared to non-COVID deaths(n = 71), there were no age differences. There were significantly more deaths in males (58%vs39%,P &lt; 0.001)) and in Black African and South Asian groups. 18% of COVID deaths were those who were not frail (Frailty Rockwood Scale 1–3) whereas there were no non-COVID deaths in this group(P &lt; 0.001). 69% of COVID deaths occurred in general medical wards whereas 19% in critical care units (90% and 7% for non-COVID deaths,p &lt; 0.001). COVID patients died more quickly compared to non-COVID patients (length of stay mean, 11vs21,p &lt; 0.001). Medical factors prevalent in &gt;20% of COVID deaths included Diabetes, Hypertension, Chronic Heart Disease, Chronic Kidney Disease,and Dementia. Multivariable analyses showed males (OR 1.9), age &gt; 70(OR 2.0), frailty (OR 2.3) were independent risk factors for COVID deaths. Discussion Compared to non-COVID deaths,COVID deaths were more common in previously well individuals,males,Black African and South Asian ethnicity, but multivariable analyses showed males, age &gt; 70 and frailty were independent risk factors for COVID deaths. This survey indicates that greater psychological support may be required for healthcare workers on general medical wards who looked after greater proportion of COVID deaths.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1429.1-1429
Author(s):  
Q. Peng ◽  
L. Long ◽  
J. Liu

Background:Venous thromboembolism (VTE) includes thrombotic disease of venous system, but primarily includes lower extremity deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE). Population-based epidemiological studies have shown an association between systemic autoimmune diseases and VTE[1]. The Padua prediction score(PPS) is a new 20-point risk assessment model proposed by Professor Barbar et al[2] in 2010. A large number of researches have shown that low serum albumin concentration is associated with an increased risk of VTE [3],but there is a lack of studies on serum albumin in VTE, and there are no reports on PPS in rheumatology inpatients.Objectives:To investigate the status of VTE in patients in the department of rheumatology, and to explore the value of PPS combined with serum albumin in the identification of VTE in this patient population.Methods:Baseline data of inpatients in rheumatology department were collected at Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital from September 2018 to September 2020. Occurrence of VTE was compared between high and low risk groups. PPSs were analyzed in VTE and non-VTE patients. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the independent risk factors of VTE. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the probablity of value of rheumatic inpatients with VTE assessed by PPS,serum albumin and PPS with serum albumin. P<0.05 indicates that the difference was statistically significant.Results:A total of 2282 patients were included in this study, and 50(2.2%) had symptomatic VTE. Among the symptomatic VTE cases,38(1.6%) had DVT only,8(0.4%) had PE only, and 4(0.2%) were diagnosed with DVT and PE. PPSs in VTE and non-VTE groups were 3.00(2.00~6.00) and2.00(1.00~2.00) respectively (P< 0.05). One hundred and eighty-eight cases was divided into high-risk group of VTE (PPS≥4), while 2094 cases (PPS<4) were in the low-risk group. Logistic regression analysis showed that known thrombophilic condition, history of VTE, reduced mobility, and D-dimer were independent risk factors of VTE in rheumatology patients, the odd ration(OR) values were 161.90, 26.08, 8.73,and1.04. Serum albumin was the independent protection factor [OR= 0.92(95%CI:0.87~0.98)]. The AUC of PPS model, serum albumin model and the combined predictive model were 0.77, 0.75, 0.84, respectively. The difference between the combined prediction model and PPS model was statistically significant (Z=3.813, P<0.05). The optimal sensitivity of PPS and serum albumin models is 60%, 82%, respectively, and the optimal specificity of is 82.5%,58.6%, respectively. The combination model corresponds to a sensitivity of 62% and a specificity of 90.4%.Conclusion:The incidence of symptomatic VTE was relatively higher in hospitalized patients in rheumatology department. Serum albumin was the protective factor. The combination of albumin and PPS can improve the accuracy of screening for VTE in rheumatology in-patients.References:[1]Tamaki H,Khasnis A.Venous thromboembolism in systemic autoimmune diseases: A narrative review with emphasis on primary systemic vasculitides.[J].Vasc Med, 2015, 20: 369-76.[2]Barbar S, Noventa F, Rossetto V,et al. A risk assessment model for the identification of hospitalized medical patients at risk for venous thromboembolism: the Padua Prediction Score[J]. J Thromb Haemost,2010,8(11):2450–2457.[3]Kunutsor SK,Seidu S,Katechia DT et al. Inverse association between serum albumin and future risk of venous thromboembolism: interrelationship with high sensitivity C-reactive protein.[J].Ann Med, 2018, 50: 240-248.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


2013 ◽  
Vol 109 (01) ◽  
pp. 79-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sylvia Reitter-Pfoertner ◽  
Thomas Waldhoer ◽  
Michaela Mayerhofer ◽  
Ernst Eigenbauer ◽  
Cihan Ay ◽  
...  

SummaryData on the long-term survival following venous thromboembolism (VTE) are rare,and the influence of thrombophilia has not been evaluated thus far. Our aim was to assess thrombophilia-parameters as predictors for long-term survival of patients with VTE. Overall, 1,905 outpatients (99 with antithrombin-, protein C or protein S deficiency, 517 with factor V Leiden, 381 with elevated factor VIII and 160 with elevated homocysteine levels, of these 202 had a combination and 961 had none of these risk factors) were included in the study between September 1, 1994 and December 31, 2007. Retrospective survival analysis showed that a total of 78 patients (4.1%) had died during the analysis period, among those four of definite or possible pulmonary embolism and four of bleeding. In multivariable analysis including age and sex an association with increased mortality was found for hyperhomocysteinemia (hazard ratio 2.0 [1.1.-3.5]) whereas this was not the case for all other investigated parameters. We conclude that the classical hereditary thrombophilia risk factors did not have an impact on the long-term survival of patients with a history of VTE. Thus our study supports the current concept that thrombophilia should not be a determinant for decision on long term anticoagulation. However, hyperhomocysteinaemia, known as a risk factor for recurrent VTE and arterial disease, might impact survival.


2015 ◽  
Vol 113 (01) ◽  
pp. 201-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji-hyun Kwon ◽  
Sung Yoon ◽  
Leo Song ◽  
Jae-Ho Yoon ◽  
Seung-Hwan Shin ◽  
...  

SummaryDue to the high risk of thrombocytopenia and haemorrhage, thrombotic complications have received little attention in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Furthermore, the predictive role of cytogenetics on venous thromboembolism (VTE) has largely been ignored. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence, risk factors, and prognostic aspects of VTE in AML. A total of 811 consecutive patients with AML were enrolled and analysed retrospectively. Cox time-dependent covariate regression analysis was used to identify the significant predictors of VTE development. To minimise potential confounding factors, we used propensity-score matching to compare overall survival between patients with and without VTE. The six-month and one-year cumulative incidences of VTE were 3.1 % (95 % confidence interval [CI], 2.0–4.7) and 3.9 % (95 % CI, 2.6–5.7), respectively. Of the 26 cases of VTE, 22 (85 %) developed within 6 months of leukemia diagnosis and 13 (50 %) were catheter-related. In multivariate analysis, advanced age (≥ 65 years) (hazard ratio [HR], 2.70; p = 0.03) and increasing cytogenetic risk (common HR, 1.84; p = 0.05) were independent predictors of VTE. There was no significant association between VTE development and decreased survival (p = 0.32 for matched analysis). Advanced age and increasing cytogenetic risk, well-known predictors for clinical outcome in AML, were also independent risk factors of VTE development. Our results suggest that VTE does not hold prognostic implications for AML.


2020 ◽  
Vol 48 (10) ◽  
pp. 030006052096470
Author(s):  
Jianrong Wang ◽  
Jinyu Huang ◽  
Wei Hu ◽  
Xueying Cai ◽  
Weihang Hu ◽  
...  

Objective We aimed to examine the risk factors and prognosis of nosocomial pneumonia (NP) during extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). Methods We retrospectively analyzed data of patients who received ECMO at the Affiliated Hangzhou Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between January 2013 and August 2019. The primary outcome was the survival-to-discharge rate. Results Sixty-nine patients who received ECMO were enrolled, median age 42 years and 26 (37.7%) women; 14 (20.3%) patients developed NP. The NP incidence was 24.7/1000 ECMO days. Patients with NP had a higher proportion receiving veno-venous (VV) ECMO (50% vs. 7.3%); longer ECMO support duration (276 vs. 140 hours), longer ventilator support duration before ECMO weaning (14.5 vs. 6 days), lower ECMO weaning success rate (50.0% vs. 81.8%), and lower survival-to-discharge rate (28.6% vs. 72.7%) than patients without NP. Multivariable analysis showed independent risk factors that predicted NP during ECMO were ventilator support duration before ECMO weaning (odds ratio [OR] = 1.288; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.111–1.494) and VV ECMO mode (OR = 10.970; 95% CI: 1.758–68.467). Conclusion NP during ECMO was associated with ventilator support duration before ECMO weaning and VV ECMO mode. Clinicians should shorten the respiratory support duration for patients undergoing ECMO to prevent NP.


2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e21566-e21566
Author(s):  
Monika Dudzisz-Śledź ◽  
Pawel Sobczuk ◽  
Katarzyna Kozak ◽  
Tomasz Switaj ◽  
Hanna Kosela-Paterczyk ◽  
...  

e21566 Background: Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare, aggressive skin cancer with a high risk of recurrence and poor prognosis. The treatment of locally advanced disease includes surgery (SUR) and radiotherapy (RTH) to achieve high locoregional control rates. The sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) is recommended procedure in cases without clinical nodal involvement. In selected cases, chemotherapy (CHT) may also be considered, but its role is not confirmed. This study aimed to analyze outcomes for locally advanced MCC pts treated in routine clinical practice. Methods: We conducted the retrospective analysis of data from 156 MCC pts treated with curative surgery in four oncological centers, diagnosed between 01/2010 and 12/2019, with data cut-off on 31/12/2020. The data collected included epidemiological and clinical information. Survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test and multivariate Cox regression. Results: The median patient age at diagnosis was 72 years (30-94); 50.6% were male. The primary tumor (PT) locations were lower limbs (33.3%), upper limbs (30.1%), and head and neck (28.2%). MCC with no PT was diagnosed in 3.9%. In 62.0% the PT was located in the sun-exposed skin. The median tumor size was 25 mm (4-170). Lymph node (LN) involvement (clinical or positive SLNB or LND) at diagnosis was found in 26.9% (n = 42). The scar excision was done in 50.0% (positive in 16.6%), SLNB in 36.5% (positive in 10.5 %), 51.9% of pts received perioperative treatment, including RTH- 86.4%, CHT- 21%. The relapse rate was 38.3% (35.8% local-regional, 11.1% distant). With the median follow-up of 2.2-years, the median disease-free survival (DFS), local relapse-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastases-free survival (DMFS) were not reached. The 1-year DFS, LRFS and DMFS rates were 65%, 68%, and 90%. The negative independent risk factors for DFS were male gender (HR 1.42, 95%CI 1.06-3.01), metastases in LN at diagnosis (HR 5.41, 95%CI 2.39-12.26), no SLNB in pts with no clinical metastases in LN (HR 5.45, 95%CI 2.41-12.3), and no perioperative RTH (HR 2.19, 95%CI 1.29-3.76). The median overall survival (OS) was 6.9 years (95%CI 4.64-9.15). The negative independent risk factors for OS were male gender (HR 1.95, 95%CI 1.16-3.27), age above 70 (HR 2.0, 95%CI 1.15-3.48), metastases in LN at diagnosis (HR 3.15, 95%CI 1.49-6.68), and no SLNB in pts with no clinical metastases in LN (HR 2.30, 95%CI 1.10-4.82). PT location, UV-exposure, and perioperative CHT or RTH were not independent risk factors for OS. Conclusions: Our results confirm that the MCC treatment should be done in an experienced multidisciplinary team. Male gender, nodal involvement at diagnosis, and no SLNB in pts without clinical metastases in LN are associated with poor prognosis in DFS and OS. The perioperative RTH improves the treatment outcomes and reduces disease progression risk but does not impact OS. Perioperative CHT does not affect pts survival.


2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (3) ◽  
pp. 338-343
Author(s):  
Satoshi Nitta ◽  
Koji Kawai ◽  
Tomokazu Kimura ◽  
Takashi Kawahara ◽  
Shuya Kandori ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective We retrospectively analyzed the incidence and localization of venous thromboembolism in patients undergoing chemotherapy for advanced germ cell tumor and separately evaluated the risk factors for venous thromboembolism development before and during chemotherapy. Methods We included 121 patients treated with cisplatin-based chemotherapy between 2005 and 2018. Venous thromboembolism was defined as venous thrombosis diagnosed using radiological imaging with or without thromboembolic symptoms. We analyzed the clinical parameters for identifying the possible venous thromboembolism risk factors. Khorana score was used to calculate the venous thromboembolism risk. Results Thirteen patients showed prechemotherapy venous thromboembolism and 13 developed venous thromboembolism during chemotherapy. The most common venous thromboembolism was deep vein thrombosis (10 patients), followed by inferior vena cava thrombus (eight patients) and pulmonary thrombus (six patients). Compared to the group without venous thromboembolism, the group with prechemotherapy venous thromboembolism showed higher proportion of patients with tumors originating in the right testis (10 out of 13), significantly higher lactate dehydrogenase levels (828 IU/L versus 436 IU/L, P = 0.013), significantly higher proportion of patients with retroperitoneal lymph node (RPLN) metastases &gt;5 cm in diameter (76.9% versus 33.7%, P = 0.003) and slightly higher proportion of patients with high-risk Khorana score (≥ 3; 30.8% versus 11.6%). No significant differences were observed between the clinical characteristics of patients with venous thromboembolism developed during chemotherapy and patients without venous thromboembolism. Conclusions We show that both RPLN mass &gt; 5 cm and high lactate dehydrogenase levels are significant risk factors for prechemotherapy venous thromboembolism but not for venous thromboembolism development during chemotherapy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
David Edholm ◽  
Petter Hollertz ◽  
Per Sandström ◽  
Bergthor Björnsson ◽  
Dennis Björk ◽  
...  

Abstract Aim To identify potential risk factors for a microscopically non-radical esophageal cancer resection (R1) and investigate how such a resection affects long-term survival. Background & Methods Esophageal cancer resections that are considered R1 have been associated with worse survival. The Swedish National Register for Esophageal and Gastric Cancer includes information on all esophageal cancer resections in Sweden. All patients having undergone esophageal resection with curative intent 2006-2017 were included. Risk factors for R1 resection were assessed through logistic regression. Factors predicting five-year survival were assessed through Cox-regression, adjusted for T-stage, N-stage, age and R-status. Results The study included 1,504 patients. The margins were microscopically involved in 146 patients (10%). Of these the circumferential margin was involved in 115 (8%). The proximal margin was involved in 55 patients (4%) and the distal in 30 (2%). In 54 (4%) specimens two margins were involved. Independent risk factors for R1-resection were absence of neoadjuvant treatment and clinical T3 stage or higher. The 5-year survival for the entire cohort was 41%, but only 19% for those with an R1 resection. Independent risk factors for death within 5-year from resection were regional lymph node metastasis (Hazard Ratio (HR) 2.6 (95% CI 2.2-3.1), histopathological stage T3 or higher (HR 1.2 95% CI 1.1-1.5), age above 60 years and R1-resection (HR 1.6 95% CI 1.4-2.0) Conclusion Involved margin in the resected specimen is an independent risk factor predicting worse 5-year survival. Besides striving for adequate surgical margins, the rate of R1-resections could be decreased through neoadjuvant treatment in fit patients.


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