External validation of PRECISE-DAPT score and PARIS bleeding risk score in a real-world cohort of patients with acute coronary syndrome

Abstract Background In patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) shortened duration of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) should be considered in those at high risk of bleeding. Risk scores may be used to assess the bleeding risk, but their predictive value remains unclear. Purpose To externally validate and compare the PRECISE-DAPT and the PARIS bleeding risk scores in patients with ACS. Methods From January 2015 to June 2018, all patients admitted with ACS were consecutively included in a single center, observational, prospective registry with follow-up of at least one year. In all patients, the PRECISE-DAPT and the PARIS risk-score were retrospectively assessed. Primary endpoint was moderate or severe bleeding defined as Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) 3 or 5 bleeding within one year after ACS. Kaplan-Meier curves showed the probabilty of bleeding during follow-up as assessed by both scores. Score discrimination using c-statistic were calculated and calibration curves were visually assessed. Results 2,729 patients were included for analysis. 93.6% were discharged with ≥2 antithrombotic drugs. At one year follow-up, the event rate of moderate or severe bleeding was 5.5%. High bleeding risk as stratified by both risk scores was associated with higher bleeding rates. Discriminative values for BARC 3 or 5 bleeding at one year were 0.67 [95% CI 0.61–0.72] for the PRECISE-DAPT score and 0.62 [95% CI 0.57–0.68] for the PARIS bleeding score (p=0.31). Conclusion The PRECISE-DAPT and the PARIS bleeding scores both showed adequate discriminative performances in predicting moderate or severe bleeding in this study. Kaplan-meier and ROC-curves Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Download Full-text

Clinical impact of CREDO-kyoto risk score on in-hospital bleeding in patients with acute coronary syndrome

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehab724.1412 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

Y Minematsu ◽

M Natsuaki ◽

G Yoshioka ◽

K Shinzato ◽

Y Nishimura ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽

High Risk ◽

Risk Score ◽

Major Bleeding ◽

Bleeding Risk ◽

Risk Groups ◽

University Hospital ◽

Severe Bleeding ◽

Bleeding Events ◽

Coronary Syndrome

Abstract Background/Introduction CREDO-Kyoto bleeding risk score was developed to predict the post-discharge bleeding events in patients with percutaneous coronary intervention. However, there were limited reports of the effectiveness of this score to predict the in-hospital bleeding events in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods We evaluated 562 consecutive ACS patients in Saga university hospital between 2014 and 2019. Primary outcome was major bleeding during hospitalization. Major bleeding was defined as the GUSTO moderate/severe bleeding. Patients were classified into three groups according to the CREDO-Kyoto bleeding risk score (low, intermediate and high). Results Major bleeding events occurred in 12.1% of all patients during hospitalization. Patients in the high risk group (n=22) had significantly higher incidence of major bleeding than those in the intermediate (n=113) and the low risk groups (n=427) (22.7%, 18.6%, versus 9.8%, respectively, p=0.018, see figure). Multivariate analysis showed that intermediate and high risk groups were independent predictors for the in-hospital major bleeding. Conclusions CREDO-Kyoto risk score successfully identified high risk ACS patients for the major bleeding during hospitalization. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Results

Download Full-text

Development and external validation of a post-discharge bleeding risk score in patients with acute coronary syndrome: The BleeMACS score

International Journal of Cardiology ◽

10.1016/j.ijcard.2017.10.103 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 254 ◽

pp. 10-15 ◽

Cited By ~ 27

Author(s):

Sergio Raposeiras-Roubín ◽

Jonas Faxén ◽

Andrés Íñiguez-Romo ◽

Jose Paulo Simao Henriques ◽

Fabrizio D'Ascenzo ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽

Risk Score ◽

External Validation ◽

Bleeding Risk ◽

Post Discharge ◽

Coronary Syndrome

Download Full-text

ACEF performed better than other risk scores in non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome during long term follow-up

BMC Cardiovascular Disorders ◽

10.1186/s12872-020-01841-2 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Ivica Kristić ◽

Nikola Crnčević ◽

Frane Runjić ◽

Vesna Čapkun ◽

Ozren Polašek ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽

Risk Score ◽

Treatment Strategies ◽

Risk Scores ◽

Coronary Syndrome ◽

Long Term Follow Up ◽

St Elevation ◽

All Treatment

Abstract Background Risk stratification of patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) is an important clinical method, but long-term studies on patients subjected to all-treatment strategies are lacking. Therefore, the aim was to compare several established risk scores in the all-treatment NSTE-ACS cohort during long-term follow-up. Methods Consecutive patients (n = 276) with NSTE-ACS undergoing coronary angiography were recruited between September 2012 and May 2015. Six risk scores for all patients were calculated, namely GRACE 2.0, ACEF, SYNTAX, Clinical SYNTAX, SYNTAX II PCI and SYNTAX II CABG. The primary end-point was Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) which was a composite of cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke or urgent coronary revascularization. Results During a median follow-up of 33 months, 64 MACE outcomes were recorded (23.2%). There was no difference between risk score categories, except in the highest risk group of ACEF and SYNTAX II PCI scores which exhibited significantly more MACE (51.6%, N = 33 and 45.3%, N = 29, P = 0.024, respectively). In the multivariate Cox regression analysis of individual variables, only age and atrial fibrillation were significant predictors for MACE (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.00–1.05, P = 0.023 and HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.04–3.89, P = 0.037, respectively). Furthermore, multivariate analysis of the risk scores showed significant prediction of MACE only with ACEF score (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.36–3.44, P = 0.001). The overall performance of GRACE, SYNTAX, Clinical SYNTAX and SYNTAX II CABG was poor with AUC values of 0.596, 0.507, 0.530 and 0.582, respectively, while ACEF and SYNTAX II PCI showed the best absolute AUC values for MACE (0.630 and 0.626, respectively). Conclusions ACEF risk score showed better discrimination than other risk scores in NSTE-ACS patients undergoing all-treatment strategies over long-term follow-up and it could represent a fast and user-friendly tool to stratify NSTE-ACS patients.

Download Full-text

P4650Ischemic and bleeding risk prediction in Acute Coronary Syndrome - The search for an almighty risk score

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehx504.p4650 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 38 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

M. Coutinho Cruz ◽

A.T. Timoteo ◽

R. Ilhao Moreira ◽

S. Aguiar Rosa ◽

L. Ferreira ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽

Risk Prediction ◽

Risk Score ◽

Bleeding Risk ◽

Coronary Syndrome

Download Full-text

461Modulation of ischemic and bleeding risk by peripheral artery disease after an acute coronary syndrome

European Heart Journal ◽

10.1093/eurheartj/ehz747.0120 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽

Author(s):

M Cespon Fernandez ◽

S Raposeiras Roubin ◽

E Abu-Assi ◽

S Manzano-Fernandez ◽

F Dascenzo ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽

Peripheral Artery Disease ◽

Cumulative Incidence ◽

Bleeding Risk ◽

Peripheral Artery ◽

Data Set ◽

Coronary Syndrome ◽

Artery Disease ◽

The Impact

Abstract Introduction Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is associated with heightened ischemic and bleeding risk in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). With this study from real-life patients, we try to analyze the balance between ischemic and bleeding risk during treatment with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) after an ACS according to the presence or not of PAD. Methods The data analyzed in this study were obtained from the fusion of 3 clinical registries of ACS patients: BleeMACS (2004–2013), CardioCHUVI/ARRITXACA (2010–2016) and RENAMI (2013–2016). All 3 registries include consecutive patients discharged after an ACS with DAPT and undergoing PCI. The merged data set contain 26,076 patients. A propensity-matched analysis was performed to match the baseline characteristics of patients with and without PAD. The impact of prior PAD in the ischemic and bleeding risk was assessed by a competitive risk analysis, using a Fine and Gray regression model, with death being the competitive event. For ischemic risk we have considered a new acute myocardial infarction (AMI), whereas for bleeding risk we have considered major bleeding (MB) defined as bleeding requiring hospital admission. Follow-up time was censored by DAPT suspension/withdrawal. Results From the 26,076 ACS patients, 1,600 have PAD (6.1%). Patients with PAD were older, and with more cardiovascular risk factors. DAPT with prasugrel/ticagrelor was less frequently prescribed in patients with PAD in comparison with the rest of the population (8.2% vs 22.8%, p<0.001). During a mean follow-up of 12.2±4.8 months, 964 patients died (3.7%), and 640 AMI (2.5%) and 685 MB (2.6%) were reported. After propensity-score matching, we obtained two matched groups of 1,591 patients. Patients with PAD showed a significant higher risk of both AMI (sHR 2.17, 95% CI 1.51–3.10, p<0.001) and MB (sHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.07–2.12, p=0.018), in comparison with those without PAD. The cumulative incidence of AMI was 63.9 and 29.8 per 1,000 patients/year in patients with and without PAD, respectively. The cumulative incidence of MB was 55.9 and 37.6 per 1,000 patients/year in patients with and without PAD, respectively. The rate difference per 1,000 patient-years for AMI between patients with and without PAD was +34.1 (95% CI 30.1–38.1), and for MB +18.3 (16.1–20.4). The net balance between ischemic and bleeding events comparing patients with and without PAD was positive (+15.8 per 1,000 patients/year, 95% CI 9.7–22.0). Conclusions PAD was associated with higher ischemic and bleeding risk after hospital discharge for ACS treated with DAPT. However, the balance between ischemic and bleeding risk was positive for patients with PAD in comparison with patients without PAD. As summary, ACS patients with PAD had an ischemic risk greater than the bleeding risk.

Download Full-text

Prior Use of Medication for Primary Prevention in Patients with Coronary Syndrome

Journal of Primary Care & Community Health ◽

10.1177/2150132720946949 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 11 ◽

pp. 215013272094694

Author(s):

Andrés Gaviria-Mendoza ◽

Julián Andrés Zapata-Carmona ◽

Andrés Alirio Restrepo-Bastidas ◽

Carmen Luisa Betancur-Pulgarín ◽

Jorge Enrique Machado-Alba

Keyword(s):

Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽

Cardiovascular Risk ◽

Primary Prevention ◽

Risk Score ◽

High Intensity ◽

Real Life ◽

Risk Scores ◽

Coronary Syndrome ◽

Cardiovascular Risk Score ◽

Clinical Records

Background: Cardiovascular disease, especially coronary disease, represents one of the main causes of morbidity and mortality. Objective: To determine the drug prescription profile for primary cardiovascular prevention prior to a first acute coronary syndrome event. Methods: Cross-sectional study. We included adult patients of any sex affiliated with one healthcare insurer of the Colombian Health System, with a diagnosis of a first episode of acute coronary syndrome that occurred during the period of 2015 to 2016. Sociodemographic, clinical and pharmacological variables were evaluated from clinical records. The cardiovascular risk score prior to the event was calculated, and the need for the use of statins and aspirin in primary prevention was defined according to the recommendations of clinical practice guidelines. Results: Clinical records of 322 patients were reviewed with mean age of 61.9 ± 10.8 years, and 77.3% were men. The most frequent comorbidities were dyslipidemia (64.3%), arterial hypertension (62.7%) and diabetes mellitus (30.1%); 22% of the patients were obese, and 33.5% were smokers. The cardiovascular risk score was calculated in 211 patients (65.5%) who had the necessary variables complete. The median 10-year risk according to Framingham risk score was 21.4%, and it was 16.3% according to the American Heart Association. From the 211 patients with risk scores, there were 179 (84.8%) who needed statins (175 of high intensity, 97.8%), and 88 (27.3%) required aspirin as a primary prevention; however, 56 of these patients (31.3%) did not receive any statins, 127 (72.6%) did not receive the high intensity statin they needed, and 38 (43.2% of those with indication) lacked aspirin. Conclusion: Real-life data show that among a group of patients with high cardiovascular risk, a substantial proportion were not receiving medications for primary prevention necessary to reduce their risk and finally suffered an acute coronary event.

Download Full-text

GARFIELD-AF model for prediction of stroke and major bleeding in atrial fibrillation: a Danish nationwide validation study

BMJ Open ◽

10.1136/bmjopen-2019-033283 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 9 (11) ◽

pp. e033283 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Frederik Dalgaard ◽

Karen Pieper ◽

Freek Verheugt ◽

A John Camm ◽

Keith AA Fox ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Ischaemic Stroke ◽

Major Bleeding ◽

Risk Model ◽

Oral Anticoagulants ◽

External Validation ◽

Bleeding Risk ◽

Risk Scores ◽

Secondary Outcome

ObjectivesTo externally validate the accuracy of the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) model against existing risk scores for stroke and major bleeding risk in patients with non-valvular AF in a population-based cohort.DesignRetrospective cohort study.SettingDanish nationwide registries.Participants90 693 patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular AF were included between 2010 and 2016, with follow-up censored at 1 year.Primary and secondary outcome measuresExternal validation was performed using discrimination and calibration plots. C-statistics were compared with CHA2DS2VASc score for ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and HAS-BLED score for major bleeding/haemorrhagic stroke outcomes.ResultsOf the 90 693 included, 51 180 patients received oral anticoagulants (OAC). Overall median age (Q1, Q3) were 75 (66–83) years and 48 486 (53.5%) were male. At 1-year follow-up, a total of 2094 (2.3%) strokes/SE, 2642 (2.9%) major bleedings and 10 915 (12.0%) deaths occurred. The GARFIELD-AF model was well calibrated with the predicted risk for stroke/SE and major bleeding. The discriminatory value of GARFIELD-AF risk model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc for predicting stroke in the overall cohort (C-index: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.70 to 0.72 vs C-index: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.66 to 0.68, p<0.001) as well as in low-risk patients (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.59 to 0.69 vs C-index: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.53 to 0.61, p=0.007). The GARFIELD-AF model was comparable to HAS-BLED in predicting the risk of major bleeding in patients on OAC therapy (C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.66 vs C-index: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.63 to 0.65, p=0.60).ConclusionIn a nationwide Danish cohort with non-valvular AF, the GARFIELD-AF model adequately predicted the risk of ischaemic stroke/SE and major bleeding. Our external validation confirms that the GARFIELD-AF model was superior to CHA2DS2VASc in predicting stroke/SE and comparable with HAS-BLED for predicting major bleeding.

Download Full-text