scholarly journals Simulation Modeling to Extend Clinical Trials of Adjuvant Chemotherapy Guided by a 21-Gene Expression Assay in Early Breast Cancer

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinani Jayasekera ◽  
Joseph A Sparano ◽  
Robert Gray ◽  
Claudine Isaacs ◽  
Allison Kurian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Simulation Modeling ◽  
Treatment Effects ◽  
Distant Recurrence ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Decision Tools ◽  
Hormone Receptor Positive ◽  
Chemoendocrine Therapy

Abstract Purpose The Trial Assigning Individualized Options for Treatment (TAILORx) found chemotherapy could be omitted in many women with hormone receptor–positive, HER2-negative, node-negative breast cancer and 21-gene recurrence scores (RS) 11–25, but left unanswered questions. We used simulation modeling to fill these gaps. Methods We simulated women eligible for TAILORx using joint distributions of patient and tumor characteristics and RS from TAILORx data; treatment effects by RS from other trials; and competing mortality from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program database. The model simulations replicated TAILORx design, and then tested treatment effects on 9-year distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) in 14 new scenarios: eight subgroups defined by age (≤50 and >50 years) and 21-gene RS (11–25/16–25/16–20/21–25); six different RS cut points among women ages 18–75 years (16–25, 16–20, 21–25, 26–30, 26–100); and 20-year follow-up. Mean hazard ratios SD, and DRFS rates are reported from 1000 simulations. Results The simulation results closely replicated TAILORx findings, with 75% of simulated trials showing noninferiority for chemotherapy omission. There was a mean DRFS hazard ratio of 1.79 (0.94) for endocrine vs chemoendocrine therapy among women ages 50 years and younger with RS 16–25; the DFRS rates were 91.6% (0.04) for endocrine and 94.8% (0.01) for chemoendocrine therapy. When treatment was randomly assigned among women ages 18–75 years with RS 26–30, the mean DRFS hazard ratio for endocrine vs chemoendocrine therapy was 1.60 (0.83). The conclusions were unchanged at 20-year follow-up. Conclusions Our results confirmed a small benefit in chemotherapy among women aged 50 years and younger with RS 16–25. Simulation modeling is useful to extend clinical trials, indicate how uncertainty might affect results, and power decision tools to support broader practice discussions.

Similar Efficacy for Ovarian Ablation Compared With Cyclophosphamide, Methotrexate, and Fluorouracil: From a Randomized Comparison of Premenopausal Patients With Node-Positive, Hormone Receptor–Positive Breast Cancer

2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (31) ◽  
pp. 4956-4962 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bent Ejlertsen ◽  
Henning T. Mouridsen ◽  
Maj-Britt Jensen ◽  
Nils-Olof Bengtsson ◽  
Jonas Bergh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Hormone Receptor ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Breast Cancer Patients ◽  
Ovarian Ablation ◽  
Hormone Receptor Positive ◽  
Disease Free ◽  
Positive Breast Cancer

Purpose To compare the efficacy of ovarian ablation versus chemotherapy in early breast cancer patients with hormone receptor–positive disease. Patients and Methods We conducted an open, randomized, multicenter trial including premenopausal breast cancer patients with hormone receptor–positive tumors and either axillary lymph node metastases or tumors with a size of 5 cm or more. Patients were randomly assigned to ovarian ablation by irradiation or to nine courses of chemotherapy with intravenous cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil (CMF) administered every 3 weeks. Results Between 1990 and May 1998, 762 patients were randomly assigned, and the present analysis is based on 358 first events. After a median follow-up time of 8.5 years, the unadjusted hazard ratio for disease-free survival in the ovarian ablation group compared with the CMF group was 0.99 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.22). After a median follow-up time of 10.5 years, overall survival (OS) was similar in the two groups, with a hazard ratio of 1.11 (95% CI, 0.88 to 1.42) for the ovarian ablation group compared with the CMF group. Conclusion In this study, ablation of ovarian function in premenopausal women with hormone receptor–positive breast cancer had a similar effect to CMF on disease-free and OS. No significant interactions were demonstrated between treatment modality and hormone receptor content, age, or any of the well-known prognostic factors.

PAM50 Risk of Recurrence Score Predicts 10-Year Distant Recurrence in a Comprehensive Danish Cohort of Postmenopausal Women Allocated to 5 Years of Endocrine Therapy for Hormone Receptor–Positive Early Breast Cancer

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (8) ◽  
pp. 735-740 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne-Vibeke Lænkholm ◽  
Maj-Britt Jensen ◽  
Jens Ole Eriksen ◽  
Birgitte Bruun Rasmussen ◽  
Ann S. Knoop ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Postmenopausal Women ◽  
Endocrine Therapy ◽  
Early Breast Cancer ◽  
Hormone Receptor ◽  
Distant Recurrence ◽  
Node Negative ◽  
Node Positive ◽  
Hormone Receptor Positive

Purpose The PAM50-based Prosigna risk of recurrence (ROR) score has been validated in randomized clinical trials to predict 10-year distant recurrence (DR). The value of Prosigna for predicting DR was examined in a comprehensive nationwide Danish cohort consisting of postmenopausal women with hormone receptor–positive early breast cancer treated with 5 years of endocrine therapy alone. Patients and Methods Using the population-based Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group database, follow-up data were collected on all patients diagnosed from 2000 through 2003 who, by nationwide guidelines, were treated with endocrine therapy for 5 years. Primary tumor blocks from 2,740 patients were tested with Prosigna and, after determination of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status, data from 2,558 hormone receptor–positive/HER2-negative samples were analyzed, including 1,395 node-positive patients. Fine and Gray models were applied to determine the prognostic value of ROR for DR. Results Median follow-up for recurrence was 9.2 years. Twenty-six percent of the node-positive patients were classified as low ROR (n = 359) with a DR risk of 3.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9% to 6.1%) versus a DR risk of 22.1% (95% CI, 18.6% to 25.8%) at 10 years for patients classified as high ROR (n = 648). Node-negative patients classified as low and high ROR had a risk of DR of 5.0% (95% CI, 2.9% to 8.0%) and 17.8% (95% CI, 14.0% to 22.0%), respectively. Luminal B tumors (n = 947; DR risk, 18.4% [95% CI: 15.7% to 21.3%]) had a significantly worse outcome than luminal A tumors (n = 1,474,;DR risk, 7.6% [95% CI: 6.1% to 9.2%]; P < .001). Conclusion Prosigna ROR score improved the prediction of outcome in this nationwide Danish population. In a real-world setting, Prosigna can reliably identify node-negative patients and a significant proportion of patients with one to three positive nodes who can be spared treatment with adjuvant chemotherapy.

scholarly journals Clinical case of the treatment of metastatic luminal breast cancer

2021 ◽  
pp. 160-166
Author(s):  
A. F. Nasretdinov ◽  
A. V. Sultanbaev ◽  
K. V. Menshikov ◽  
Sh. I. Musin ◽  
N. I. Sultanbaeva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Hormone Therapy ◽  
Hormone Receptor ◽  
Clinical Case ◽  
Luminal Breast Cancer ◽  
Hormone Receptor Positive ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Visceral Metastases

Hormone therapy currently open up the prospect of long-term, comfortable and relatively low-toxic treatment for patients with hormone receptor – positive advanced breast cancer. For a long time, the presence of visceral metastases prompted oncologists to abandon hormone therapy in favor of cytostatic agents. Now days, even in the presence of visceral metastases, clinical guidelines allow use of modern hormonal therapy in the absence of a visceral crisis. In particular, the so-called CDK 4/6 inhibitors, presented on the Russian market by drugs: palbociclib, ribociclib and abemacyclib, became the drugs that significantly improved the  results of  hormone therapy. Each of  them has demonstrated its effectiveness in  clinical trials; moreover, there are lots of clinical cases demonstrating the benefits of this therapy in real clinical practice. The article presents a clinical case of treatment of advanced hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. The effectiveness of treatment with CDK 4/6 inhibitors has been demonstrated, a comparatively analysed with the data obtained in the course of clinical trials. The analysis of the tactics of treatment of cytomegalovirus infection of the cornea during therapy with ribociclib was carried out. 

Final analysis of the PROMISE-GIM6 phase III trial assessing GnRH agonist use during chemotherapy as a strategy to preserve ovarian function in premenopausal patients with early breast cancer.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 516-516
Author(s):  
Matteo Lambertini ◽  
Luca Boni ◽  
Andrea Michelotti ◽  
Emanuela Magnolfi ◽  
Alessio Aligi Cogoni ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Hormone Receptor ◽  
Ovarian Function ◽  
Final Analysis ◽  
Post Treatment ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Hormone Receptor Positive ◽  
Premenopausal Patients

516 Background: Current guidelines recommend GnRH agonist (GnRHa) use during chemotherapy (CT) as a strategy to reduce the risk of premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) in premenopausal patients with early breast cancer (EBC). However, no long-term safety data are available raising some concerns on concurrent use of GnRHa during CT in patients with hormone receptor-positive disease. In addition, there is no evidence on the protective role of this strategy in patients with germline BRCA mutations ( mBRCA). Here, we report the final analysis of the PROMISE-GIM6 phase III randomized study, the largest trial addressing the role of GnRHa use during CT in premenopausal EBC patients (Del Mastro et al, JAMA 2011 & Lambertini et al, JAMA 2015). Methods: From October 2003 to January 2008, 281 premenopausal patients aged 18 to 45 years with stage I-III EBC candidates for (neo)adjuvant CT were randomized to receive CT alone or combined with the GnRHa triptorelin. Primary endpoint was incidence of CT-induced POI (defined as amenorrhea and post-menopausal FSH/estradiol levels 1 year following CT). This final analysis reports on post-treatment pregnancies, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). An exploratory descriptive analysis in mBRCA patients is also reported. (ClinicalTrial.gov: NCT00311636) Results: Of the 281 randomized patients (CT+GnRHa arm = 148; CT alone arm = 133), 80% had hormone receptor-positive disease. At the time of this final analysis, 38 (13.5%) patients were lost to follow-up. Median follow-up was 12.4 years (IQR: 11.3-13.2 years). In the CT+GnRHa and CT alone arms, respectively, 9 (10-year cumulative incidence of pregnancy 6.5%, 95% CI 3.5%-12.3%) and 4 (10-year cumulative incidence of pregnancy 3.2%, 95% CI 1.2%-8.3%) patients had a post-treatment pregnancy (HR 2.14, 95% CI 0.66-6.92). No differences in 10-year DFS (72.4% in CT+GnRHa arm vs. 71.2% in CT alone arm: HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.76-1.77) nor in 10-year OS (82.0% in CT+GnRHa arm vs. 85.9% in CT alone arm: HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.67-2.03) were observed. There was no interaction between treatment effect and hormone receptor status. In patients with hormone receptor-positive disease, HR was 1.02 (95% CI 0.63-1.63) for DFS and 1.12 (95% CI 0.59-2.11) for OS. Out of 43 patients tested for BRCA, overall incidence of POI, irrespective of treatment arm, was 20% in mBRCA patients (n = 10) and 12% in patients without mBRCA (n = 33). In mBRCA patients, incidence of POI was 0% and 33% in the CT+GnRHa and CT alone arms, respectively. One post-treatment pregnancy was described in a patient with mBRCA1 in the CT alone arm. Conclusions: The final analysis of the PROMISE-GIM6 trial at a median follow-up of 12.4 years provides reassuring evidence on the safety of GnRHa use during CT as a strategy to preserve ovarian function in premenopausal patients with hormone receptor-positive EBC. Clinical trial information: NCT00311636.

A simulation model-based clinical decision tool to guide personalized treatment based on individual characteristics: Does 21-gene recurrence score assay testing change decisions?

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e12507-e12507
Author(s):  
Jinani Jayasekera ◽  
Joseph A. Sparano ◽  
Young Chandler ◽  
Claudine Isaacs ◽  
Allison W. Kurian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Clinical Decision ◽  
Distant Recurrence ◽  
Decision Tool ◽  
Decision Tools ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Life Years ◽  
Size Grade

e12507 Background: There is a need for web-based decision tools that integrate clinicopathologic features and genomic information to guide breast cancer therapy for women with node-negative, hormone receptor positive, HER2 negative (“early-stage”) breast cancer. We developed a novel simulation model-based clinical decision tool that provides prognostic estimates of treatment outcomes based on age, tumor size, grade, and comorbidities with and without 21-gene recurrence scores (RS). Methods: We adapted an extant breast cancer simulation model developed within the NCI-funded Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) to derive estimates for the 10-year risks of distant recurrence, breast cancer-specific mortality, other cause mortality and life-years gained with endocrine vs. chemo-endocrine therapy for individual women based on their age, tumor size, grade, and comorbidity-level with and without RS test results. The model used an empiric Bayesian analytical approach to combine information from clinical trials, registry and claims data to provide individual estimates. External validation of the model was performed by comparing model-based breast cancer mortality rates and observed rates in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry. Results: Several exemplar profiles were selected to illustrate the clinical utility of the decision tool. For example, the absolute chemotherapy benefit for 10-year distant recurrence risk and life-years gained, without RS testing, and the outcomes if a woman got tested and had a RS 16-20 are provided below for a 40-44-year-old woman and a 65–69-year-old woman diagnosed with a small (≤2cm), intermediate grade tumor and mild comorbidities. Conclusions: Simulation modeling is useful for creating clinical decision tools to support shared decision making for early-stage breast cancer treatment.[Table: see text]

Randomized trial of chemoendocrine therapy started before or after surgery for treatment of primary breast cancer.

1995 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 547-552 ◽  
Author(s):  
T J Powles ◽  
T F Hickish ◽  
A Makris ◽  
S E Ashley ◽  
M E O'Brien ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Adjuvant Therapy ◽  
Randomized Trial ◽  
Response Rate ◽  
Neoadjuvant Treatment ◽  
Operable Breast Cancer ◽  
Chemoendocrine Therapy ◽  
Primary Operable Breast Cancer

PURPOSE To evaluate in a randomized clinical trial systemic chemoendocrine therapy used as primary (neo-adjuvant) treatment before surgery in women with primary operable breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS Patients aged less than 70 years with clinically palpable, primary operable breast cancer diagnostically confirmed by fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) and suitable for treatment with surgery, radiotherapy, cytotoxic chemotherapy, and tamoxifen were considered eligible. Patients randomized to neoadjuvant treatment received four cycles of chemo-therapy for 3 months before surgery followed by another four cycles after surgery, and were compared with patients randomized to adjuvant therapy who received eight cycles of chemotherapy over 6 months after surgery. RESULTS Of 212 patients who were randomized to receive either adjuvant (n = 107) or neoadjuvant (n = 105) chemoendocrine therapy, 200 are now assessable for response. The two groups are comparable for age, menopausal status, disease stage, and surgical requirements. The overall clinical response rate was 85%, with a complete histologic response rate of 10%. There was a significant reduction in the requirement for mastectomy in patients who received neoadjuvant treatment (13%) as compared with those who received adjuvant therapy (28%) (P < .005). Symptomatic and hematologic acute toxicity was low and similar for adjuvant and neoadjuvant therapy. The median follow-up period for patients in this trial is 28 months, during which time four patients have relapsed locally and 20, including one of the local relapses, have developed metastatic disease, 19 of whom have died. The follow-up period is too brief to evaluate relapse rate or survival duration. CONCLUSION This trial confirms previous reports of a high rate of response to neoadjuvant therapy, but is the first to include small primary cancers and to show, in the context of a randomized trial, a reduction in the requirement for mastectomy. Until disease-free and overall survival data are available from the larger National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP)-18 trial, such neoadjuvant treatment cannot be recommended outside of a clinical trial.

Cholesterol, Cholesterol-Lowering Medication Use, and Breast Cancer Outcome in the BIG 1-98 Study

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (11) ◽  
pp. 1179-1188 ◽  
Author(s):  
Signe Borgquist ◽  
Anita Giobbie-Hurder ◽  
Thomas P. Ahern ◽  
Judy E. Garber ◽  
Marco Colleoni ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Endocrine Therapy ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Cancer Recurrence ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Distant Recurrence ◽  
Cholesterol Lowering ◽  
Hormone Receptor Positive ◽  
Cholesterol Levels ◽  
Free Interval

Purpose Cholesterol-lowering medication (CLM) has been reported to have a role in preventing breast cancer recurrence. CLM may attenuate signaling through the estrogen receptor by reducing levels of the estrogenic cholesterol metabolite 27-hydroxycholesterol. The impact of endocrine treatment on cholesterol levels and hypercholesterolemia per se may counteract the intended effect of aromatase inhibitors. Patients and Methods The Breast International Group (BIG) conducted a randomized, phase III, double-blind trial, BIG 1-98, which enrolled 8,010 postmenopausal women with early-stage, hormone receptor–positive invasive breast cancer from 1998 to 2003. Systemic levels of total cholesterol and use of CLM were measured at study entry and every 6 months up to 5.5 years. Cumulative incidence functions were used to describe the initiation of CLM in the presence of competing risks. Marginal structural Cox proportional hazards modeling investigated the relationships between initiation of CLM during endocrine therapy and outcome. Three time-to-event end points were considered: disease-free-survival, breast cancer–free interval, and distant recurrence–free interval. Results Cholesterol levels were reduced during tamoxifen therapy. Of 789 patients who initiated CLM during endocrine therapy, the majority came from the letrozole monotherapy arm (n = 318), followed by sequential tamoxifen-letrozole (n = 189), letrozole-tamoxifen (n = 176), and tamoxifen monotherapy (n = 106). Initiation of CLM during endocrine therapy was related to improved disease-free-survival (hazard ratio [HR], 0.79; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.95; P = .01), breast cancer–free interval (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.97; P = .02), and distant recurrence–free interval (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.97; P = .03). Conclusion Cholesterol-lowering medication during adjuvant endocrine therapy may have a role in preventing breast cancer recurrence in hormone receptor–positive early-stage breast cancer. We recommend that these observational results be addressed in prospective randomized trials.

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