scholarly journals 2000. Utilization of a ‘Never Event’ Framework to Classify Antimicrobial Appropriateness

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. S670-S671
Author(s):  
Jiajun Liu ◽  
Nicholas Mercuro ◽  
Susan L Davis ◽  
Paul Yarnold ◽  
Twisha S Patel ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Contemporary strategies can be leveraged to predict antimicrobial overuse, yet little information is gained on the appropriateness of antibiotics prescribed. Classifying appropriateness is complicated by the lack of a standard definition for appropriateness. Thus, we created and implemented a novel ‘antibiotic never event’ (NE) framework to systematically classify the most inappropriate usages of vancomycin and correlated these NE to abnormal consumption trends (i.e., antibiotic outbreaks). Methods Vancomycin use was categorized by an algorithm using data query from the electronic medical records. Extracted data included vancomycin use, relevant patient demographics, and microbiological data. Electronic classifications placed each vancomycin therapy into type 1 (use for non-susceptible organism after susceptibility finalization) or type 2 (use exceeding 48h after susceptibility report when a safe de-escalation is possible) NE. Patients were categorized as cases or controls (no NE) at Northwestern Memorial Hospital (NM) and Henry Ford Hospital (HF) between January 2014 and October 2017. A manual chart review was performed. Sensitivity (SEN), specificity (SPEC), PPV, and NPV were calculated for NE prediction. Vancomycin use was quantified during the same period. Linear models with prediction intervals (PI) were generated to identify potential outbreaks, which were linked to monthly NE counts defined as a binary factor. Results A total of 220 NE cases were electronically identified for vancomycin at NM (n = 197) and HF (n = 23). Random cases were matched 1:1 (NM = 200) and 1:5 (HF = 115) to controls for manual review. At NM and HF, 35 and 24 true positives were identified, respectively. Thus, overall SEN and SPEC were 93.7% and 75.1% and PPV and NPV were 45.7% and 98.1%, respectively. Linear models revealed 11 potential outbreak periods at HF and 5 at NM. A PI of 80% showed a combined SEN below 10% and SPEC above 90%, respectively. Conclusion The methodology was generalizable across two centers. In the pilot review, our method was highly sensitive and an effective screening tool for NE identification. Antibiotic consumption trends did not correlate with NE. In summary, the NE classification was sensitive in assessment of antibiotic appropriateness, whereas consumption alone does not predict NE. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 371-377
Author(s):  
Punith Kempegowda ◽  
Eka Melson ◽  
Agnes Johnson ◽  
Lucy Wallett ◽  
Lucretia Thomas ◽  
...  

Objective COVID-19 in people with diabetes is associated with a disproportionately worse prognosis. DKA is an acute complication of diabetes with a mortality rate of approximately 0.67%. Little is known about the natural history of DKA in the presence of COVID-19. This study aimed to explore the effects of COVID-19 on presentation, clinical course and outcome in patients presenting with DKA. Design Retrospective cohort study. Methods All patients treated for DKA between 1 March 2020 and 30 May 2020 were included. Patients were categorised as COVID-positive or COVID-negative based on the swab test. A pre-COVID group was established using data from 01 March 2019 to 30 May 2019 as external control. Data regarding demographics, diabetes type, pH, bicarbonate, lactate, glucose, DKA duration, complications and outcome were collected. Results A total of 88 DKA episodes were included in this study. There was no significant difference in the severity or duration of DKA between the three groups. COVID-positive T1DM were more hyperglycaemic on admission compared to COVID-negative and pre-COVID patients. There was an over representation of T2DM in COVID-positive patients with DKA than in pre-COVID or COVID-negative groups. Conclusion COVID-19 appears to influence the natural history of DKA differently in T1DM and T2DM. Patients with T1DM and COVID-19 presented with more hyperglycaemia (60 mmol/L (35.9–60.0) vs 31.4 mmol/L (28.0–39.1) vs 24 mmol/L (20.2–33.75), respectively). Patients with T2DM were unusually presenting in DKA when infected with COVID-19 with greater ICU need and higher mortality rates. A collaborative, multi-centre study is needed to provide more definitive results.


FLORESTA ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 545 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sintia Valerio Kohler ◽  
Henrique Soares Koehler ◽  
Afonso Figueiredo Filho ◽  
Julio Eduardo Arce ◽  
Sebastião Do Amaral Machado

A dinâmica da evolução do sortimento em povoamentos de Pinus taeda foi estudada utilizando-se dados de análise de tronco em povoamentos estabelecidos nos estados do Paraná e Santa Catarina, amostrando-se 126 e 120 árvores, respectivamente. O polinômio de potências inteiras e fracionárias foi ajustado para os dados estratificados em classes de idade. Com o programa FlorExel®, foram calculados os volumes por sortimento nas diferentes idades dos povoamentos. Os volumes totais médios por árvore aos 18 anos foram de 1,157 m³ para o estado do Paraná e de 0,959 m³ para o estado de Santa Catarina. Volumes para celulose foram mais representativos na classe de 7 a 9 anos, com 50% do volume. Volumes para serraria tipo 1 foram estimados a partir da idade de 7 anos, e para serraria tipo 2, a partir da idade 8 e 9 anos, respectivamente, representando 70% do volume total (serraria tipo 1 + serraria tipo 2) na classe de 10 a 12 anos. Volumes para laminação foram obtidos a partir dos 13 anos em ambos os estados, chegando a apresentar mais de 30% do volume total a partir da idade de 19 anos. Observa-se uma mudança rápida no sortimento “nobre” a partir da idade de 13 anos.AbstractEvolution of assortment of Pinus taeda stands located at Paraná and Santa Catarina States. The dynamic evolution of assortment of Pinus taeda stands was studied using data from complete stem analysis in stands established at Paraná and Santa Catarina states, sampling 126 and 120 trees respectively. The integer and fractional power equation was fitted to the data set stratified by age classes. With FlorExel ® program volumes assortments by the different ages of stands were estimated. The average tree total volume was 1,157 m³, at age of 18 years in Paraná state and 0,959 m³ at Santa Catarina State. Wood for cellulose had higher representation in the class of 7 to 9 years, with 50% of the volume. Volumes for sawmill type 1 were estimated in plantations from 7 years, and for sawmill type 2 from 8 and 9 years old, respectively, representing 70% of the total volume (sawmill type 1 + sawmill type 2) at 10 to 12 years of age. Tree volumes for veneer were obtained from 13 years of age on, in both stands, arriving to present more than 30% of the total volume from the age 19 years. It was observed a fast change in the "noble" assortment after the age of 13 years.Keywords: Assortment dynamic; multproduct; taper models.


2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 279-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher J. Boyce ◽  
Alex M. Wood ◽  
Liam Delaney ◽  
Eammon Ferguson

Personality is important for a range of life outcomes. However, despite evidence that personality changes across time, there is a concerning tendency for researchers outside of personality psychology to treat measures of personality as if they are non–changing when establishing whether personality predicts important life outcomes. This is problematic when personality changes in response to outcomes of interest and creates a methodological issue that may result in misleading conclusions. We illustrate this methodological issue and suggest using measures before the outcome takes place to mitigate concerns. We then demonstrate, using data from Germany, that using post–event personality measures, as opposed to pre–outcome measures, to predict both occurrence of, and reactions to, socio–economic events results in inconsistent conclusions in the directions hypothesized and therefore increases the likelihood of Type 1 and Type 2 errors. This has implications for research investigating the importance of personality for psychological, behavioural, and socio–economic outcomes. Copyright © 2017 European Association of Personality Psychology


2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 579-613 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Young

In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, governments turned to protectionist policies to support their financial sectors. Yet these policy choices have been highly variegated, and like many recent protectionist policies reflect a process of adaptation to changing circumstances. Using data on a variety of government interventions in the financial sector since the crisis, I show that financial protectionism comes in at leastthreetypes, only two of which have witnessed a traceable increase since the global financial crisis. These are protection through market entry restrictions (Type 1), through asymmetrically applied regulation (Type 2) and protection through subsidies (Type 3). While Type 1 has not appeared to change significantly since the crisis, Type 2 and Type 3 have. I present empirical evidence which suggests that while Type 3 financial protectionism proliferated during and shortly after the crisis, it is unlikely to continue. Type 2 financial protectionism, I conclude, is more likely to take off into the future because of the nature of interest group effects associated with asymmetric regulation as a form of government intervention.


2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (15) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
SHERRY BOSCHERT
Keyword(s):  

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