Real-Estate Derivatives

Author(s):  
Radu S. Tunaru

This book brings together the latest concepts and models in real-estate derivatives, the new frontier in financial markets. The importance of real-estate derivatives in managing property price risk that has destabilized economies frequently in the last hundred years has been brought into the limelight by Robert Shiller over the last three decades. In spite of his masterful campaign for the introduction of real-estate derivatives, these financial instruments are still in a state of infancy. This book aims to provide a state-of-the-art overview of real-estate derivatives at this moment in time, covering the description of these financial products, their applications, and the most important models proposed in the literature in this area. In order to facilitate a better understanding of the situations when these products can be successfully used, ancillary topics such as real-estate indices, mortgages, securitization, and equity release mortgages are also discussed. The book is designed to pay attention to the econometric aspects of realestate index prices, time series, and also to financial engineering no-arbitrage principles governing pricing of derivatives. The emphasis is on understanding the financial instruments through their mechanics and comparative description. The examples are based on real-world data from exchanges or frommajor investment banks or financial houses in London. The numerical analysis is easily replicable with Excel and Matlab. This is the most advanced published book in this area, combining practical relevance with intellectual rigour. Real-estate derivatives will become important for managing macro risks in order to pass stress tests imposed by regulators.

Author(s):  
Thomas A. Knetsch

Abstract The compilation of commercial property price indices (CPPIs) is challenging. Policymakers urge for timely, reliable and comprehensive data. In Germany, lack of data prevents the calculation of official figures by the national statistical authority. Different applications of price indices need different definitions of commercial real estate. CPPIs according to these definitions are constructed on the basis of existing data for 127 German towns and cities (that cover about one-third of German population). The overall price developments revealed by the various indices are rather similar in terms of central time series characteristics, while differences in detail can be explained by their specific compositions. Price increases for all definitions have been strongest in the seven largest cities. The definitions tend to lead to more marked differences for medium-sized towns.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 235
Author(s):  
Otilia Manta ◽  
Kostas Gouliamos ◽  
Jie Kong ◽  
Zhou Li ◽  
Nguyen Minh Ha ◽  
...  

At the global level and in particular the European level, challenges related to climate change and the transition to green transactions have created an imperative where identifying or developing innovative financial instruments, appropriate for these priorities, have become our research priorities and objectives. Starting from the analysis of the European Investment Plan for green transactions, as well as the EU Directive 2018/410 of the European Parliament and of the Council, in conjunction with ongoing efforts to identify innovative financing tools, research is presented based on hypotheses using concepts and models of green financing. The paper aims to analyze the main concepts and phenomena that could be considered generative factors for current financial market trends, as well as the inventory of facts and acts that provide a picture of the financial market. Based on these investigations, this paper suggest how we can best analyze the economic environment, processes, and resources in terms of their predictions regarding the sustainability of financial markets in the context of current challenges. Moreover, our paper aims to highlight in our empirical research the above-mentioned aspects, including the analysis of the emergence of new financial instruments at the global level with a direct impact on financial sustainability at the European level, including reflecting certain particularities of financial markets Romania. This research will be both a scientific contribution to the specialized literature and a possible support tool for the practical activities of entrepreneurs in their economic endeavor of developing sustainable businesses.


2014 ◽  
pp. 85-90
Author(s):  
Ákos Fischl

In modern market economies residential real estate prices, price shifts and their correlations with macroeconomic factors are surveyed quite frequently. However, in contrast with the wide scope of foreign examples, so far existing analyses in Hungary have ignored examining relation and extensity of macroeconomic indicators and failed to examine their effect on real estate pricing. The scope of this survey is to highlight these potential correlations and thus develop new aspects of analysis. Although the examination needs further extension both in time and space, the results of this survey may help to understand the importance of the responsible management of the most precious element of national wealth from the perspective of sustainable rural development. Based on my preliminary results, there exists a strong correlation between the number of inhabitants of a settlement and the average real estate prices. Nevertheless, the correlation seems to be significant only for cities. In the case of smaller settlements the correlation still exists but at a lower level. As opposed to the results of former publications and my own expectations, no direct link could be tackled between the amount of income tax paid by private individuals and real estate prices either in the cities or in the villages within the territory and time span examined in my analysis. Although this correlation is measurable on a macro-economic level, my micro-regional analyses revealed the complexity of asset pricing and price volatility. Continuing this survey, my goal is to identify the hidden factors influencing real estate prices, whose thorough mapping may promote conscious rural development.


2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tijana Šoja ◽  
Zumreta Galijašević ◽  
Emina Ćeman

Governments of many countries, companies and business organizations last decades increasingly pay attention and recognize the importance of the capital market for economic growth and development. One of the factors that has strong influence on the capital market, as a platform for long-term borrowing and obtaining funds, is the price movement of financial instruments traded on capital market. The price movement of financial instruments is linked to the efficiency of the market, and is under strong influence of all available information about companies, which quickly reflect on the prices of financial instruments.Fama (1965) was one of the first economist who used term „efficient financial market“. He conducteda research on the financial market and pointed out that in an efficient market, on average, competition would cause that all effects of the latest market information will be included through the value of shares traded. The hypothesis of an efficient financial market suggests that the price of the shares, financial instruments, reflects all available information, so investor cannot realize extra profits if he has some certain insider information or on the basis of publicly available historical data and information. Many investors are trying to find those securities that are underestimated, and for which is expected to growth in the future. In a case of efficient financial market, it is quite impossible to find underestimated securities because information quickly incorporated into the price of securities. Ttesting of the efficiency of financial market is largely present in the developed markets, while somewhat weaker tests have been carried out on the examples of transitional financial markets. In published researches it is most often confirmed that transition countries have or have had poorly performing financial markets, especially in the initial stages of their development (Bahmani-Oskooee et al, 2016; Kvedaras and Basdevant, 2002).In this research we are testing the efficient market hypothesis for the financial market in Bosnia and Herzegovina. We tested hypothesis that the financial market is weakly efficient. For this test we are using stock index data from the Sarajevo and Banja Luka Stock Exchange, SASX10, BIRS and BATX index. The analysis includes daily, weekly and monthly index movements from 2006 to August 2018, for SASX 10 and BIRS indices, while BATX data is available from 2009 until August 2018. In the first step we calculate returns for all periods (deily, weekly and montly) between indicies and in another step we tested autocorrelation between their returns.Efficient market hypothesis has been tested through three statistical tests: autocorrelation test, run test and variance test. The results obtained by applying different tests do not give a single answer to the question whether financial market in Bosnia and Herzegovina perform at a low level of efficiency. Auto-correlation tests reject the hypothesis of weak form market efficiency,while the run test and the test of variance ratios confirm the weak form of market efficiency. Such findings suggest that it is not possible, with sufficient precision, to predict trends in the financial market in Bosnia and Herzegovina.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Hanlei Hu ◽  
Zheng Yin ◽  
Weipeng Yuan

In financial markets with volatility uncertainty, we assume that their risks are caused by uncertain volatilities and their assets are effectively allocated in the risk-free asset and a risky stock, whose price process is supposed to follow a geometric G-Brownian motion rather than a classical Brownian motion. The concept of arbitrage is used to deal with this complex situation and we consider stock price dynamics with no-arbitrage opportunities. For general European contingent claims, we deduce the interval of no-arbitrage price and the clear results are derived in the Markovian case.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nisha Prakash ◽  
Madhvi Sethi

Purpose Advancing the economies in Asia toward meeting sustainable development goals (SDGs) needs an unprecedented investment in people, processes and the planet. The participation of the private sector is necessary to bridge the financing gap to attain this objective. Engaging the private sector can contribute significantly to attaining the 2030 agenda for SD. However, the financial markets in Asian economies are yet to realize this potential. In this context, this paper aims to discuss the state of finance for SD in Asia and identifies innovative financial instruments for attracting private investments for SDs in these economies. Design/methodology/approach This study relies on published articles, reports and policy documents on financing mechanisms for SD. The literature review covered journal data sources, reports from global institutions such as the UN, World Bank, International Monetary Fund and think-tanks operating in the field of climate change policies. Though the topic was specific to financial market instruments, a broader search was conducted to understand the different sources of sustainable finance available, particularly in Asia. Findings The investments that are required for meeting the SDGs remain underfunded. Though interest in sustainability is growing in the Asian economies, the financial markets are yet to transition to tap the growing interest in sustainable investing among global investors. This paper concludes that to raise capital from private investors the Asian economies should ensure information availability, reduce distortions and unblock regulatory obstacles. It would also need designing policies and introducing blended financing instruments combining private and public funds. Research limitations/implications Though the study has grouped Asian economies, the financing strategy for SDGs should be developed at the country-level considering the domestic financial markets, local developmental stage, fiscal capacity and nationally determined contributions. Further research can focus on developing country-specific strategies for using innovative financial instruments. Originality/value Mobilizing funds for implementing the 2030 Agenda for SD is a major challenge for Asian economies. The paper is addressed to national policymakers in Asian economies for developing strategies to raise capital for SD through private participation. It provides opportunities for revisiting national approaches to sustainable finance in these economies.


2019 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
pp. 539-565
Author(s):  
Barbara Kuchler

Ever since the crisis of 2008, the dynamism and self-referentiality of financial markets have puzzled observers. This article argues that this dynamism is the product of a long process of commensuration, by which ever more heterogeneous financial assets and financial instruments have come to be compared with, substituted for, and valuated relatively to one another, and have thereby been condensed into a highly interconnected financial system. This trajectory can be found both in the long-term historical emergence of financial markets from ancient origins and in the more recent transformations of the financial system since the 1970s, including (i) the rise of derivatives markets, and (ii) the rise of capital markets as against bank-intermediated capital flows. The rise of derivatives markets was triggered by the commensuration of basic securities (such as stock, bond) and derivatives (such as options, futures), established by the Black-Scholes-Merton theory of option pricing. The rise of capital markets was rooted in the commensuration – and hence, competition and substitution – of bank products (such as loans, deposits) and non-bank products (capital market securities).


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 3068 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Barreca ◽  
Rocco Curto ◽  
Diana Rolando

In the literature, several vulnerability/resilience indicators and indexes are based and assessed by taking into account and combining different dimensions. Housing vulnerability is one of these dimensions and is strictly related to the buildings’ physical features and to the socio-economic condition of their occupants. This research aims to study housing vulnerability in relation to the real estate market by identifying possible indicators and spatially analyzing their influence on property prices. Assuming the city of Turin and its territorial segmentation as a case study, spatial analyses were performed to take into account the presence of spatial dependence and to identify the variables that significantly influence the process of property price determination. The results of this study highlighted the fact that two housing vulnerability indicators, representative of fragile buildings’ physical features, were spatially correlated with property prices and had a significant and negative influence on them. In addition, their comparison with two social vulnerability indicators demonstrated that the presence of economical buildings and council houses was spatially correlated with the presence of people with a low education level. The results of the spatial regression model also confirmed that one of the social vulnerability indicators had the highest and most negative explanatory power in the property price determination process.


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