Factors associated with a high-risk return visit to the emergency department

2021 ◽  
Vol Publish Ahead of Print ◽  
Author(s):  
Chih-Wei Sung ◽  
Tsung-Chien Lu ◽  
Cheng-Chung Fang ◽  
Jia-You Lin ◽  
Huang-Fu Yeh ◽  
...  
CJEM ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (S1) ◽  
pp. S38
Author(s):  
L. Yau ◽  
M.A. Mukarram ◽  
S. Kim ◽  
K. Arcot ◽  
K. Thavorn ◽  
...  

Introduction: The majority of syncope patients transported to the emergency department (ED) by emergency medical services (EMS) are low-risk with very few suffering serious adverse events (SAE) within 30-days and over 50% are diagnosed with vasovagal syncope. These patients can potentially be diverted by EMS to alternate pathways of care (primary care or syncope clinic) if appropriately identified. We sought to identify high-risk factors associated with SAE within 30-days of ED disposition as a step towards developing an EMS clinical decision tool. Methods: We prospectively enrolled adult syncope patients who were transported to 5 academic EDs by EMS. We collected standardized variables at EMS presentation from history, clinical examination and investigations including ECG and ED disposition. We also collected concerning symptoms identified and EMS interventions. Adjudicated SAE included death, myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, structural heart disease, pulmonary embolism, hemorrhage and procedural interventions. Multivariable logistic regression was used for analysis. Results: 990 adult syncope patients (mean age 58.9 years, 54.9% females and 16.8% hospitalized) were enrolled with 137 (14.6%) patients suffering SAE within 30-days of ED disposition. Of 42 candidate predictors, we identified 5 predictors that were significantly associated with SAE on multivariable analysis: ECG abnormalities [OR=1.77; 95%CI 1.36-2.48] (non-sinus rhythm, high degree atrioventricular block, left bundle branch block, ST-T wave changes or Q waves), cardiac history [OR=2.87; 95%CI 1.86-4.41] (valvular or coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, congestive heart failure, arrhythmias or device insertions), EMS interventions or concerning symptoms [OR=4.88; 95%CI 3.13- 7.62], age >50 years [OR=3.18; 95%CI 1.68-6.02], any abnormal vital signs [OR=1.58; 95%CI 1.03-2.42] (any EMS systolic blood pressure >180 or <100 mmHg, heart rate <50 or >100/minute, respiratory rate >25/minute, oxygen saturation <91%). [C-statistic: 0.81; Hosmer Lemeshow p=0.30]. Conclusion: We identified high-risk factors that are associated with 30-day SAE among syncope patients transported to the ED by EMS. This will aid in the development of a clinical decision tool to identify low-risk patients for diversion to alternate pathways of care.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 914-914
Author(s):  
A. Boteanu ◽  
A. García Fernández ◽  
N. De la Torre ◽  
M. Pavia Pascual ◽  
O. Sanchez Pernaute ◽  
...  

Background:Patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRD) infected with SARS-CoV-2 may be at risk to develop a severe course of COVID-19 due to the immune dysregulation or the influence of immunomodulating drugs on the course of the infection. For a better understanding of SARS-CoV-2 infections in patients with IRD and due to the high incidence of COVID-19 in Madrid from the beginning of this pandemic infection in Spain, the Society of Rheumatology from Madrid (SORCOM) established a registry (REUMA-COVID SORCOM) shortly after the beginning of the pandemic in Spain.Objectives:To determine factors associated with severity of infection with SARS-CoV-2 in patients with inflammatory rheumatic diseases in MadridMethods:The REUMA-COVID SORCOM registry is a multicenter, retrospective, observational cohort study conducted in Madrid, a SORCOM initiative. All rheumatology departments from Madrid were invited to participate. The study includes patients with IRD presenting with a confirmed or highly suspected diagnosis of COVID-19 between March 1, 2020, and November 10, 2020. We consider severe infection death or need of hospitalization. Inclusion criteria was having an IRD and at least 1 of the following 4 criteria: (1) a biologically confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis based on a positive result of a SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test on a nasopharyngeal swab; (2) Detection of IgM or IgG anti SARS-CoV2 in a symptomatic or asymptomatic patients (3)typical thoracic computed tomography (CT) abnormalities (ground-glass opacities) in epidemic areas; (4) COVID19–typical symptoms in an epidemic zone of COVID-19.Results:As of November 10, 2020, 417 patients with IRD were included in the REUMA-COVID SORCOM registry. 5 patients were discharged for incomplete data. Of 412 patients (mean age 57 years, 87.4% Caucasian race, 66.3% female) 174 need hospitalization (42.2%) and 33 patients died (18.4% mortality in hospitalized patients). 82.3% had comorbidities. 234 (56.8%) patients were classified as inflammatory arthropathy, 133 (32.3%) had connective tissue diseases (CTD). 41.1% of the patients had a large history of IRD (> 10 years). 10.4% of patients had previously pulmonary involvement. The study includes 143 patients taking Methotrexate, 89 patients taking anti-TNFα therapy and 27 Rituximab. In the univariant analysis, no differences were seen in the severity of COVID-19 infection in patients taking methotrexate. 63% of the all patients taking Rituximab included in the registry need hospitalization and 22% of them died. Hypertension, COPD or cardiovascular disease was associated with hospitalization.Independent factors associated with COVID-19 hospitalization in the multivariate analysis was: age (>62 years), male sex, IMC >30, previous cardiovascular comorbidities and the IRD disease duration (> 10 years). Independent factors associated with COVID-19 related death was: age (> 62 years), having a CTD diagnose, pulmonary involvement before infection and chronical GC treatment.Conclusion:Patients with IRD represent a population of particular interest in the pandemic context because the baseline immunological alteration and the treated with immunosuppressants agents they receive, comorbidities and the well-known risk of severe infection. Older age, male sex, cardiovascular comorbidities were factors associated with high risk of hospitalization in IRD patients. CTD diseases, previously pulmonary involvement and chronical GC treatment with more than 10mg/day were associated with high risk of death. Neither anti TNF-α treatment nor Methotrexate were risk factor for hospitalization or death COVID-19 related in IRD patients.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


Healthcare ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 431
Author(s):  
Chun-Fu Lin ◽  
Yi-Syun Huang ◽  
Ming-Ta Tsai ◽  
Kuan-Han Wu ◽  
Chien-Fu Lin ◽  
...  

Background: Intensive care unit (ICU) admission following a short-term emergency department (ED) revisit has been considered a particularly undesirable outcome among return-visit patients, although their in-hospital prognosis has not been discussed. We aimed to compare clinical outcomes between adult patients admitted to the ICU after unscheduled ED revisits and those admitted during index ED visits. Method: This retrospective study was conducted at two tertiary medical centers in Taiwan from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2017. All adult non-trauma patients admitted to the ICU directly via the ED during the study period were included and divided into two comparison groups: patients admitted to the ICU during index ED visits and those admitted to the ICU during return ED visits. The outcomes of interest included in-hospital mortality, mechanical ventilation (MV) support, profound shock, hospital length of stay (HLOS), and total medical cost. Results: Altogether, 12,075 patients with a mean (standard deviation) age of 64.6 (15.7) years were included. Among these, 5.3% were admitted to the ICU following a return ED visit within 14 days and 3.1% were admitted following a return ED visit within 7 days. After adjusting for confounding factors for multivariate regression analysis, ICU admission following an ED revisit within 14 days was not associated with an increased mortality rate (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89 to 1.32), MV support (aOR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.89 to 1.26), profound shock (aOR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.84 to 1.18), prolonged HLOS (difference: 0.04 days, 95% CI: −1.02 to 1.09), and increased total medical cost (difference: USD 361, 95% CI: −303 to 1025). Similar results were observed after the regression analysis in patients that had a 7-day return visit. Conclusion: ICU admission following a return ED visit was not associated with major in-hospital outcomes including mortality, MV support, shock, increased HLOS, or medical cost. Although ICU admissions following ED revisits are considered serious adverse events, they may not indicate poor prognosis in ED practice.


Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1292
Author(s):  
Luisa Agnello ◽  
Alessandro Iacona ◽  
Salvatore Maestri ◽  
Bruna Lo Sasso ◽  
Rosaria Vincenza Giglio ◽  
...  

(1) Background: The early detection of sepsis is still challenging, and there is an urgent need for biomarkers that could identify patients at a high risk of developing it. We recently developed an index, namely the Sepsis Index (SI), based on the combination of two CBC parameters: monocyte distribution width (MDW) and mean monocyte volume (MMV). In this study, we sought to independently validate the performance of SI as a tool for the early detection of patients at a high risk of sepsis in the Emergency Department (ED). (2) Methods: We enrolled all consecutive patients attending the ED with a request of the CBC. MDW and MMV were measured on samples collected in K3-EDTA tubes on the UniCel DxH 900 haematology analyser. SI was calculated based on the MDW and MMV. (3) Results: We enrolled a total of 703 patients stratified into four subgroups according to the Sepsis-2 criteria: control (498), infection (105), SIRS (52) and sepsis (48). The sepsis subgroup displayed the highest MDW (median 27.5, IQR 24.6–32.9) and SI (median 1.15, IQR 1.05–1.29) values. The ROC curve analysis for the prediction of sepsis showed a good and comparable diagnostic accuracy of the MDW and SI. However, the SI displayed an increased specificity, positive predictive value and positive likelihood ratio in comparison to MDW alone. (4) Conclusions: SI improves the diagnostic accuracy of MDW for sepsis screening.


Author(s):  
James A. Hughes ◽  
Kimberly E. Alexander ◽  
Lyndall Spencer ◽  
Patsy Yates

2021 ◽  
pp. 875512252110117
Author(s):  
Jesus Ruiz Ramos ◽  
Laura Gras-Martin ◽  
Ana María Juanes Borrego ◽  
Marta Blazquez-Andion ◽  
Mireia Puig Campmany ◽  
...  

Background: Drug-related problems (DRPs) are a frequent reason for emergency departments (EDs) visits. However, data about the risk factors associated with EDs revisits are limited. Objective: To develop and validate a predictive model indicating the risk factors associated with EDs revisit within 30 days of the first visit. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted involving patients who attended an ED for DRPs related to cardiovascular drugs. A 30-day prediction model was created in a derivation cohort by logistic regression. An integer score proportional to the regression coefficient was assigned to the variables with P < .100 in the multivariate analysis. Results: 581 patients (mean age: 80.0 [12.6] years) were included, 133 (22.9%) revisited the ED within 30 days from discharge. Six factors (chronic kidney disease, chronic heart failure, visit to an ED in the preceding 3 months, high anticholinergic burden, DRPs associated with heparin, and safety-related DRPs) were identified as risk factors and combined into a final score, termed the DREAMER score. The model reached an area under the receiver operating curve values of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.67-0.77) in the referral cohort and 0.71 (95% CI = 0.65-0.74) in the validation cohort ( P = .273). Three risk categories were generated, with the following scores and estimated risks: low risk (0-8 points): 11.6%; intermediate risk (9-14 points): 21.3%; and high risk (>14 points): 41.2%. Conclusion and Relevance: The DREAMER score identifies patients at high risk for ED revisit within 30 days from the first visit for a DRPs, being a useful tool to prioritize interventions on discharge.


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