scholarly journals Pattern of variation in avian population growth rates

2002 ◽  
Vol 357 (1425) ◽  
pp. 1185-1195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernt–Erik Sæther ◽  
Steinar Engen
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Specific Growth ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Stochastic Effects ◽  
Density Regulation ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Specific Growth Rates

A central question in population ecology is to understand why population growth rates differ over time. Here, we describe how the long–term growth of populations is not only influenced by parameters affecting the expected dynamics, for example form of density dependence and specific population growth rate, but is also affected by environmental and demographic stochasticity. Using long–term studies of fluctuations of bird populations, we show an interaction between the stochastic and the deterministic components of the population dynamics: high specific growth rates at small densities r 1 are typically positively correlated with the environmental variance σ e 2 . Furthermore, θ, a single parameter describing the form of the density regulation in the theta–logistic density–regulation model, is negatively correlated with r 1 . These patterns are in turn correlated with interspecific differences in life–history characteristics. Higher specific growth rates, larger stochastic effects on the population dynamics and stronger density regulation at small densities are found in species with large clutch sizes or high adult mortality rates than in long–lived species. Unfortunately, large uncertainties in parameter estimates, as well as strong stochastic effects on the population dynamics, will often make even short–term population projections unreliable. We illustrate that the concept of population prediction interval can be useful in evaluating the consequences of these uncertainties in the population projections for the choice of management actions.

An Evaluation of RNA–DNA Ratio as a Measure of Long-Term Growth in Fish Populations

1973 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 195-199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terry A. Haines
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Age Distribution ◽  
Smallmouth Bass ◽  
Fish Populations ◽  
Population Growth Rates

The value of RNA–DNA ratio as a measure of long-term growth of fish populations under semi-natural conditions and when subjected to environmental manipulations was determined. Populations of carp and smallmouth bass of known age distribution were established in artificial ponds maintained at two fertility levels. After 15 months, population growth rates (as percent increase in weight) and RNA–DNA ratios of muscle tissue from selected fish were measured. Each species exhibited a range of population growth rates. The relation between population growth rate and individual fish RNA–DNA ratio for each species was significant. When reproduction occurred, the relation was not significant unless young-of-the-year fish were excluded from population growth rate calculations. Age of fish was also found to have an important effect on RNA–DNA ratio, with the ratio being higher in younger fish.RNA–DNA ratio can be a reliable indicator of long-term population growth in fish when population age structure is known and recruitment is controlled. The method has potential for use in detecting response to environmental changes before growth rate changes become severe.

Life history and environmental influences on population dynamics in sockeye salmon

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (8) ◽  
pp. 1198-1208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Douglas C. Braun ◽  
John D. Reynolds
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Life History ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Environmental Conditions ◽  
Sockeye Salmon ◽  
Life History Traits ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Habitat Variables

Understanding linkages among life history traits, the environment, and population dynamics is a central goal in ecology. We compared 15 populations of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) to test general hypotheses for the relative importance of life history traits and environmental conditions in explaining variation in population dynamics. We used life history traits and habitat variables as covariates in mixed-effect Ricker models to evaluate the support for correlates of maximum population growth rates, density dependence, and variability in dynamics among populations. We found dramatic differences in the dynamics of populations that spawn in a small geographical area. These differences among populations were related to variation in habitats but not life history traits. Populations that spawned in deep water had higher and less variable population growth rates, and populations inhabiting streams with larger gravels experienced stronger negative density dependence. These results demonstrate, in these populations, the relative importance of environmental conditions and life histories in explaining population dynamics, which is rarely possible for multiple populations of the same species. Furthermore, they suggest that local habitat variables are important for the assessment of population status, especially when multiple populations with different dynamics are managed as aggregates.

scholarly journals Weather influences M. arvalis reproduction but not population dynamics in a 17-year time series

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Giraudoux ◽  
Petra Villette ◽  
Jean-Pierre Quéré ◽  
Jean-Pierre Damange ◽  
Pierre Delattre
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Common Vole ◽  
Empirical Work ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Female Reproduction ◽  
Population Growth Rates

Abstract Rodent outbreaks have plagued European agriculture for centuries, but continue to elude comprehensive explanation. Modelling and empirical work in some cyclic rodent systems suggests that changes in reproductive parameters are partly responsible for observed population dynamics. Using a 17-year time series of Microtus arvalis population abundance and demographic data, we explored the relationship between meteorological conditions (temperature and rainfall), female reproductive activity, and population growth rates in a non-cyclic population of this grassland vole species. We found strong but complex relationships between female reproduction and climate variables, with spring female reproduction depressed after cold winters. Population growth rates were, however, uncorrelated with either weather conditions (current and up to three months prior) or with female reproduction (number of foetuses per female and/or proportion of females reproductively active in the population). These results, coupled with age-structure data, suggest that mortality, via predation, disease, or a combination of the two, are responsible for the large multi-annual but non-cyclic population dynamics observed in this population of the common vole.

scholarly journals Evolutionary effects of density-dependent selection in plants

1993 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Namkoong ◽  
J. Bishir ◽  
J. H. Roberds
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Energy Allocation ◽  
Gene Frequencies ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Stable Periodic ◽  
Density Dependent Selection ◽  
Allocation Strategies ◽  
Periodic Changes

SummaryThe evolution of traits that affect genotypic responses to density regulated resources can be strongly affected by population dynamics in ways that are unpredictable from individual viability or reproduction potentials. Genotypes that are most efficient in utilizing energy may not always displace less efficient ones, and the evolution of energy allocation strategies may not always favour reproductive fitness because of their effects on destabilizing population growth rates. Furthermore, genetic polymorphisms in single loci that affect such traits can be maintained in populations with stable, periodic changes in population size and gene frequencies in the absence of heterozygote superiority. In fact, in the models investigated in this paper, the polymorphism is maintained, even in the absence of equilibrium genotypic frequencies.

Using population dynamics modelling to evaluate potential success of restoration: a case study of a Hawaiian vine in a changing climate

2014 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
TAMARA M. WONG ◽  
TAMARA TICKTIN
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Key Management ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Population Decline ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Survival Rates ◽  
Population Modelling ◽  
Population Growth Rates

SUMMARYDemographic comparisons between wild and restored populations of at-risk plant species can reveal key management strategies for effective conservation, but few such studies exist. This paper evaluates the potential restoration success ofAlyxia stellata, a Hawaiian vine. Stage-structured matrix projection models that compared long-term and transient dynamics of wild versus restoredA. stellatapopulations, and restored populations under different levels of canopy cover, were built from demographic data collected over a four year period. Stochastic models of wild populations projected stable or slightly declining long-term growth rates depending on frequency of dry years. Projected long-term population growth rates of restored populations were significantly higher in closed than open canopy conditions, but indicated population decline under both conditions. Life table response experiments illustrated that lower survival rates, especially of small adults and juveniles, contributed to diminished population growth rates in restored populations. Transient analyses for restored populations projected short-term decline occurring even faster than predicted by asymptotic dynamics. Restored populations will not be viable over the long term under conditions commonly found in restoration projects and interventions will likely be necessary. This study illustrates how the combination of long-term population modelling and transient analyses can be effective in providing relevant information for plant demographers and restoration practitioners to promote self-sustaining native populations, including under future climates.

scholarly journals Effect of mutualist partner identity on plant demography

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emilio M Bruna ◽  
Thiago J Izzo ◽  
Brian D Inouye ◽  
Heraldo L Vasconcelos
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Census Data ◽  
Interspecific Variation ◽  
Multiple Partner ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Crematogaster Laevis ◽  
Asymptotic Growth Rate ◽  
Demographic Effects

Mutualisms play a central role in the origin and maintenance of biodiversity. Because many mutualisms have strong demographic effects, interspecific variation in partner quality could have important consequences for population dynamics. Nevertheless, few studies have quantified how a mutualist partner influences population growth rates, and still fewer have compared the demographic impacts of multiple partner species. We used integral projection models parameterized with three years of census data to compare the demographic effects of two ant species – Crematogaster laevis and Pheidole minutula – on populations of the Amazonian ant-plant Maieta guianensis. Estimated population growth rates were positive (i.e., λ>1) for all ant-plant combinations. However, populations with only Pheidole minutula had the highest asymptotic growth rate (λ=1.23), followed by those colonized by Crematogaster laevis (λ=1.16), and in which the partner ant alternated between C. laevis and P. minutula at least once during our study (λ=1.15). Our results indicate that the short-term superiority of a mutualist partner – in this system P. minutula is a better defender of plants against herbivores than C. laevis – can have long-term demographic consequences. Furthermore, the demographic effects of switching among alternative partners appear to be context-dependent, with no benefits to plants hosting C. laevis but a major cost of switching to plants hosting P. minutula. Our results underscore the importance of expanding the study of mutualisms beyond the study of pair-wise interactions to consider the demographic costs and benefits of interacting with different, and multiple, potential partners.

scholarly journals Population growth rates: issues and an application

2002 ◽  
Vol 357 (1425) ◽  
pp. 1307-1319 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Charles J. Godfray ◽  
Mark Rees
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Population Change ◽  
Evolutionarily Stable Strategy ◽  
Model Systems ◽  
Population Growth Rates

Current issues in population dynamics are discussed in the context of The Royal Society Discussion Meeting 'Population growth rate: determining factors and role in population regulation'. In particular, different views on the centrality of population growth rates to the study of population dynamics and the role of experiments and theory are explored. Major themes emerging include the role of modern statistical techniques in bringing together experimental and theoretical studies, the importance of long-term experimentation and the need for ecology to have model systems, and the value of population growth rate as a means of understanding and predicting population change. The last point is illustrated by the application of a recently introduced technique, integral projection modelling, to study the population growth rate of a monocarpic perennial plant, its elasticities to different life-history components and the evolution of an evolutionarily stable strategy size at flowering.

Demography of the lizard Sceloporus grammicus: exploring temporal variation in population dynamics

2008 ◽  
Vol 86 (12) ◽  
pp. 1397-1409 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. J. Zúñiga-Vega ◽  
F. R. Méndez-de la Cruz ◽  
O. Cuellar
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Population Projections ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Population Stability ◽  
Elasticity Analysis ◽  
Yearly Variation ◽  
Population Growth Rates ◽  
Resampling Procedure ◽  
Sceloporus Grammicus

We conducted a 5 year demographic study in one population of the viviparous lizard Sceloporus grammicus Wiegmann, 1828 in central México. The population was structured in three size classes (juveniles, small adults, and asymptotic adults) for which we estimated annual survival and fecundity rates. A population projection matrix was constructed for each annual transition. All of them resulted in finite rates of population growth (λ) that, although variable from year to year (from 0.808 to 1.065), were not significantly different than unity, indicating population stability. Elasticity analysis revealed that survival staying in the same size class was the demographic process that made the greatest contribution to λ values in most years. Similarly, the stasis of large adults was the vital rate with the highest relative importance for population persistence. To incorporate the observed yearly variation in long-term population projections, we used a mean matrix, a stochastic simulation, and a resampling procedure. All these resulted in long-term population growth rates that were not significantly different than unity. Our results indicate overall demographic stability for the studied population of S. grammicus.

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