scholarly journals Association between comorbidities and the risk of death in patients with COVID-19: sex-specific differences

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingyang Wu ◽  
Shuqiong Huang ◽  
Jun Liu ◽  
Yanling Shu ◽  
Yinbo Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Kidney Diseases ◽  
Hubei Province ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Clinical Severity ◽  
Chronic Kidney Diseases ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Increased Risk

AbstractBackgroundThe coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) spreads rapidly around the world.ObjectiveTo evaluate the association between comorbidities and the risk of death in patients with COVID-19, and to further explore potential sex-specific differences.MethodsWe analyzed the data from 18,465 laboratory-confirmed cases that completed an epidemiological investigation in Hubei Province as of February 27, 2020. Information on death was obtained from the Infectious Disease Information System. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the association between comorbidities and the risk of death in patients with COVID-19.ResultsThe median age for COVID-19 patients was 50.5 years. 8828(47.81%) patients were females. Severe cases accounted for 20.11% of the study population. As of March 7, 2020, a total of 919 cases deceased from COVID-19 for a fatality rate of 4.98%. Hypertension (13.87%), diabetes (5.53%), and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (CBVDs) (4.45%) were the most prevalent comorbidities, and 27.37% of patients with COVID-19 reported having at least one comorbidity. After adjustment for age, gender, address, and clinical severity, patients with hypertension (HR 1.55, 95%CI 1.35-1.78), diabetes (HR 1.35, 95%CI 1.13-1.62), CBVDs (HR 1.70, 95%CI 1.43-2.02), chronic kidney diseases (HR 2.09, 95%CI 1.47-2.98), and at least two comorbidities (HR 1.84, 95%CI 1.55-2.18) had significant increased risks of death. And the association between diabetes and the risk of death from COVID-19 was prominent in women (HR 1.69, 95%CI 1.27-2.25) than in men (HR 1.16, 95%CI 0.91-1.46) (P for interaction = 0.036).ConclusionAmong laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Hubei province, China, patients with hypertension, diabetes, CBVDs, chronic kidney diseases were significantly associated with increased risk of death. The association between diabetes and the risk of death tended to be stronger in women than in men. Clinicians should increase their awareness of the increased risk of death in COVID-19 patients with comorbidities.

scholarly journals Laxative use and mortality in patients on haemodialysis: a prospective cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Honda ◽  
Seiji Itano ◽  
Aiko Kugimiya ◽  
Eiji Kubo ◽  
Yosuke Yamada ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background Patients on haemodialysis (HD) are often constipated. This study aimed to assess the relationship between constipation and mortality in such patients. In this study, constipation was defined as receiving prescription laxatives, based on the investigation results of “a need to take laxatives is the most common conception of constipation” reported by the World Gastroenterology Organization Global Guidelines. Methods This cohort study included 12,217 adult patients on HD enrolled in the Japan-Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns study phases 1 to 5 (1998 to 2015). The participants were grouped into two based on whether they were prescribed laxatives during enrolment at baseline. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality in 3 years, and the secondary endpoint was cause-specific death. Missing values were imputed using multiple imputation methods. All estimations were calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model with an inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score. Results Laxatives were prescribed in 30.5% of the patients, and there were 1240 all-cause deaths. There was a significant association between laxative prescription and all-cause mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (AHR), 1.12; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03 to 1.21]. Because the Kaplan-Meier curves of the two groups crossed over, we examined 8345 patients observed for more than 1.5 years. Laxative prescription was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (AHR, 1.35; 95% CI: 1.17 to 1.55). The AHR of infectious death was 1.62 (95% CI: 1.14 to 2.29), and that of cancerous death was 1.60 (95% CI: 1.08 to 2.36). However, cardiovascular death did not show a significant inter-group difference. Conclusions Constipation requiring use of laxatives was associated with an increased risk of death in patients on HD. It is important to prevent patients receiving HD from developing constipation and to reduce the number of patients requiring laxatives.

Predictors of Mortality in People with Recent-onset Gout: A Prospective Observational Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 368-373 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zoë L. Vincent ◽  
Greg Gamble ◽  
Meaghan House ◽  
Julie Knight ◽  
Anne Horne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cause Of Death ◽  
Disease Duration ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Recent Onset ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazard Regression

Objective.To determine mortality rates and predictors of death at baseline in people with a recent onset of gout.Methods.People with gout disease duration < 10 years were recruited from primary and secondary care settings. Comprehensive clinical assessment was completed at baseline. Participants were prospectively followed for at least 1 year. Information about death was systematically collected from primary and secondary health records. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated and risk factors for mortality were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression models.Results.The mean (SD) followup duration was 5.1 (1.6) years (a total 1511 patient-yrs accrued). Of the 295 participants, 43 (14.6%) had died at the time of censorship (SMR 1.96, 95% CI 1.44–2.62). In the reduced Cox proportional hazards model, these factors were independently associated with an increased risk of death from all causes: older age (70–80 yrs: HR 9.96, 95% CI 3.30–30.03; 80–91 yrs: HR 9.39, 95% CI 2.68–32.89), Māori or Pacific ethnicity (HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.17–5.29), loop diuretic use (HR 3.99, 95% CI 2.15–7.40), serum creatinine (per 10 µmol/l change; HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00–1.07), and the presence of subcutaneous tophi (HR 2.85, 95% CI 1.49–5.44). The presence of subcutaneous tophi was the only baseline variable independently associated with both cardiovascular (CV) cause of death (HR 3.13, 95% CI 1.38–7.10) and non-CV cause of death (HR 3.48, 95% CI 1.25–9.63).Conclusion.People with gout disease duration < 10 years have an increased risk of death. The presence of subcutaneous tophi at baseline is an independent predictor of mortality, from both CV and non-CV causes.

Brazilian Older People Hospitalized by COVID-19: Characteristics and Prognostic Factors in a Retrospective Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
pp. 073346482098397
Author(s):  
Marquiony M. Santos ◽  
Eudes E. S. Lucena ◽  
Diego Bonfada ◽  
Aramis Costa Santos ◽  
Hareton Teixeira Vechi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Older People ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Access To Health Services ◽  
Multicenter Cohort Study ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Increased Risk

Objective: Analyzing the survival of older people hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Brazil and identifying its main predictive factors for death. Method: This is a retrospective, multicenter cohort study, based on 20,831 records of hospitalizations of older people due to SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil. The observation period was from February 28 to May 18, 2020. Results: There was a reduced overall survival time of 47.70% (95% confidence interval [CI] = [46.72%, 48.67%]) in 10 days. The variables age, race, education, intensive care unit (ICU), region, day of hospitalization, time elapsed between the first symptom and hospitalization, and the municipality that provided assistance showed increased risk of death using the multiple Cox proportional-hazards model. Conclusion: These results emphasize the relevance of inequality and access to health services as determinants for the death of older people with COVID-19.

scholarly journals Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Differentiation Factor ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P&lt;.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

scholarly journals Dementia Adjudication Triggers Associated With Increased Mortality for Older Australians: Evidence From ASPREE

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 161-161
Author(s):  
Jane Banaszak-Holl ◽  
Xiaoping Lin ◽  
Jing Xie ◽  
Stephanie Ward ◽  
Henry Brodaty ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Service Planning ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cognitive Test ◽  
Risk Of Death ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Using Data

Abstract Research Aims: This study seeks to understand whether those with dementia experience higher risk of death, using data from the ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) clinical trial study. Methods: ASPREE was a primary intervention trial of low-dose aspirin among healthy older people. The Australian cohort included 16,703 dementia-free participants aged 70 years and over at enrolment. Participants were triggered for dementia adjudication if cognitive test results were poorer than expected, self-reporting dementia diagnosis or memory problems, or dementia medications were detected. Incidental dementia was adjudicated by an international adjudication committee using the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual for Mental Disorders (DSM-IV) criteria and results of a neuropsychological battery and functional measures with medical record substantiation. Statistical analyses used a cox proportional hazards model. Results: As previously reported, 1052 participants (5.5%) died during a median of 4.7 years of follow-up and 964 participants had a dementia trigger, of whom, 575 (60%) were adjucated as having dementia. Preliminary analyses has shown that the mortality rate was higher among participants with a dementia trigger, regardless of dementia adjudication outcome, than those without (15% vs 5%, Χ2 = 205, p &lt;.001). Conclusion: This study will provide important analyses of differences in the hazard ratio for mortality and causes of death among people with and without cognitive impairment and has important implications on service planning.

scholarly journals Regular Use of VKA Prior to COVID-19 Associated with Lower 7-Day Survival in Hospitalized Frail Elderly COVID-19 Patients: The GERIA-COVID Cohort Study

Nutrients ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Pierre Ménager ◽  
Olivier Brière ◽  
Jennifer Gautier ◽  
Jérémie Riou ◽  
Guillaume Sacco ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cohort Study ◽  
Vitamin K ◽  
Frail Elderly ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Clinical Severity ◽  
Survival Times ◽  
Short Term Mortality

Background. Vitamin K concentrations are inversely associated with the clinical severity of COVID-19. The objective of this cohort study was to determine whether the regular use of vitamin K antagonist (VKA) prior to COVID-19 was associated with short-term mortality in frail older adults hospitalized for COVID-19. Methods. Eighty-two patients consecutively hospitalized for COVID-19 in a geriatric acute care unit were included. The association of the regular use of VKA prior to COVID-19 with survival after 7 days of COVID-19 was examined using a propensity-score-weighted Cox proportional-hazards model accounting for age, sex, severe undernutrition, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, prior myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, prior stroke and/or transient ischemic attack, CHA2DS2-VASc score, HAS-BLED score, and eGFR. Results. Among 82 patients (mean ± SD age 88.8 ± 4.5 years; 48% women), 73 survived COVID-19 at day 7 while 9 died. There was no between-group difference at baseline, despite a trend for more frequent use of VKA in those who did not survive on day 7 (33.3% versus 8.2%, p = 0.056). While considering “using no VKA” as the reference (hazard ratio (HR) = 1), the HR for 7-day mortality in those regularly using VKA was 5.68 [95% CI: 1.17; 27.53]. Consistently, COVID-19 patients using VKA on a regular basis had shorter survival times than the others (p = 0.031). Conclusions. Regular use of VKA was associated with increased mortality at day 7 in hospitalized frail elderly patients with COVID-19.

scholarly journals Blood eosinophils on hospital admission for COPD exacerbation do not predict the recurrence of moderate and severe relapses

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 00543-2020
Author(s):  
Balázs Csoma ◽  
András Bikov ◽  
Ferenc Tóth ◽  
György Losonczy ◽  
Veronika Müller ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Forced Expiratory Volume ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Full Blood Count ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Severe Exacerbation ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Exacerbation Of Copd

Background and objectiveThe relationship between hospitalisation with an eosinophilic acute exacerbation of COPD (AE-COPD) and future relapses is unclear. We aimed to explore this association by following 152 patients for 12 months after hospital discharge or until their first moderate or severe flare-up.MethodsPatients hospitalised with AE-COPD were divided into eosinophilic and non-eosinophilic groups based on full blood count results on admission. All patients were treated with a course of systemic corticosteroid. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to study the association with the time to first re-exacerbation; a generalised linear regression model was applied to identify clinical variables related to the recurrence of relapses.ResultsWe did not find a difference in the time to the next moderate or severe exacerbation between the eosinophilic (≥2% of total leukocytes and/or ≥200 eosinophils·µL−1, n=51, median (interquartile range): 21 (10–36) weeks) and non-eosinophilic groups (n=101, 17 (9–36) weeks, log-rank test: p=0.63). No association was found when other cut-off values (≥3% of total leukocytes and/or ≥300 eosinophils·µL−1) were used for the eosinophilic phenotype. However, the higher number of past severe exacerbations, a lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) at discharge and higher pack-years were related to shorter exacerbation-free time. According to a subgroup analysis (n=73), 48.1% of patients with initial eosinophilic exacerbations had non-eosinophilic relapses on readmission.ConclusionsOur data do not support an increased risk of earlier recurring moderate or severe relapses in patients hospitalised with eosinophilic exacerbations of COPD. Eosinophilic severe exacerbations present a variable phenotype.

Abstract WP79: Choice Of Treatment And Effect On Hemorrhage Rates Of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms

Stroke ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
James Torner ◽  
Jie Zhang ◽  
David Piepgras ◽  
John Huston ◽  
Irene Meissner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Intracranial Aneurysms ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Interventional Procedure ◽  
Careful Consideration ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms ◽  
Increased Risk

INTRODUCTION: The decision regarding whether to perform an interventional procedure as a strategy to prevent hemorrhage of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) requires careful consideration of procedural risk and the UIA natural history. No randomized trial data are available. The International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (ISUIA) included a prospective cohort, examining hemorrhage risk and treatment risk. Hypothesis: The purpose of this analysis was to compare the factors related to treatment selection and determination of the number of hemorrhages prevented. Methods: Patients were allocated into the initial treatment and untreated cohorts based upon observation or treatment practices in 61 centers from 1991-1998. 1691 patients were in the observational cohort, 471 were in the endovascular cohort and 1917 patients were in the surgical cohort. The cohorts were followed for a median follow-up of 9.2 years. Outcomes were determined prospectively and with central review. The data were grouped together and analyzed to determine treatment decisions. A Cox proportional hazards model predicting hemorrhage developed in the observation cohort and was applied to the surgery and endovascular cohorts across the follow-up period. Results: Significant baseline variable differences between treated and observed patients were aneurysm size, symptoms, age, prior SAH group, geographical region, treatment percentage, aneurysm daughter sacs or multiple lobes, and history of hypertension, smoking and myocardial infarction. Aneurysm site and family history were not significant. Site, size, and aspirin use were significant predictors of hemorrhage. Long-term the predicted hemorrhage rates were 6.7% at 5 years and 8.0% at 10 years in the surgery group and 8.1% and 9.6% for the endovascular group, respectively. For comparison the rates in the observed cohort were 4.1% and 4.8%, respectively. Conclusions: Decisions for treatment are influenced by patient characteristics such as age and medical history, aneurysm characteristics such as size and morphology and center and regional practices. Patients in the treated cohorts were at moderately increased risk for hemorrhage compared to those in the observed cohort.

Associations of Endometriosis and Hormone Therapy With Risk of Hyperlipidemia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cherry Yin-Yi Chang ◽  
Chih-Hsin Muo ◽  
Yi-Chun Yeh ◽  
Chung-Yen Lu ◽  
William Wu-Chou Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hormone Therapy ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Marginal Structural Model ◽  
Bilateral Oophorectomy ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Increased Risk

Abstract Using claims data from the universal health insurance program of Taiwan, we conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate whether endometriosis and hormone therapy are associated with the risk of developing hyperlipidemia. We selected 9,155 women aged 20–55 years with endometriosis diagnosed during the period 2000–2013 and 212,641 women without endometriosis with a median follow-up time of 7 years. Among patients with endometriosis, 86% of cases were identified on the basis of diagnosis codes with an ultrasound claim, and 14% were defined by diagnostic laparoscopy or surgical treatments. In a Cox proportional hazards model, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.30 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19, 1.41) for all women, 1.04 (95% CI: 0.81, 1.32) for women under 35 years of age, 1.17 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.32) for women aged 35–44 years, and 1.34 (95% CI: 1.18, 1.52) for women aged 45–54 years. Hysterectomy and/or bilateral oophorectomy accounted for 46.9% of the association between endometriosis and hyperlipidemia, and hormone therapy accounted for 21.6%. Among women with endometriosis, the marginal structural model approach adjusting for time-varying hysterectomy/bilateral oophorectomy showed no association between use of hormone medications and risk of hyperlipidemia. We concluded that women with endometriosis are at increased risk of hyperlipidemia; use of hormone therapy by these women was not independently associated with the development of hyperlipidemia.

Predictive Value of First Posttreatment Imaging Using Standardized Reporting in Head and Neck Cancer

2019 ◽  
Vol 161 (6) ◽  
pp. 978-985 ◽  
Author(s):  
Derek Hsu ◽  
Falgun H. Chokshi ◽  
Patricia A. Hudgins ◽  
Suprateek Kundu ◽  
Jonathan J. Beitler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Treatment Failure ◽  
Head And Neck ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Strong Association ◽  
Treatment Completion ◽  
Tertiary Hospital ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Increased Risk

Objective The Neck Imaging Reporting and Data System (NI-RADS) is a standardized numerical reporting template for surveillance of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Our aim was to analyze the accuracy of NI-RADS on the first posttreatment fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/contrast-enhanced computed tomography (PET/CECT). Study Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting Academic tertiary hospital. Subject and Methods Patients with HNSCC with a 12-week posttreatment PET/CECT interpreted using the NI-RADS template and 9 months of clinical and radiologic follow-up starting from treatment completion between June 2014 and July 2016 were included. Treatment failure was defined as positive tumor confirmed by biopsy or Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors criteria. Cox proportional hazards models were performed. Results This study comprised 199 patients followed for a median of 15.5 months after treatment completion (25% quartile, 11.8 months; 75% quartile, 20.2 months). The rates of treatment failure increased with each incremental increase in NI-RADS category from 1 to 3 (4.3%, 9.1%, and 42.1%, respectively). A Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated a strong association between NI-RADS categories and treatment failure at both primary and neck sites (hazard ratio [HR], 2.60 and 5.22, respectively; P < .001). In the smaller treatment subgroup analysis, increasing NI-RADS category at the primary site in surgically treated patients and treatment failure did not achieve statistically significant association (HR, 0.88; P = .82). Conclusion Increasing NI-RADS category at the baseline posttreatment PET/CECT is strongly associated with increased risk of treatment failure in patients with HNSCC.

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