Determinants of loan losses of Indian Banks: a panel study

2015 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Satyajit Dhar ◽  
Avijit Bakshi

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the factors that influence the variability of loan losses (termed as non-performing advances or NPA in India) of Indian banks in the public sector during the period of five years from 2001 to 2005. Design/methodology/approach – The analysis is based on a panel approach, which considers both spatial and time dimensions of observations. Panel regression was used to explore the impact of different bank-specific factors on NPAs of 27 public sector banks (PSBs). Standard tests were used to find out suitability of different models of panel data analysis. Eight bank-specific factors were identified for analysis on the basis of review of extant literature. Findings – Certain bank-specific factors, in particular, net interest margin and capital adequacy ratio exhibit negative and significant impact on gross non-performing advances (GNPA) ratio of Indian PSBs. The results also suggest that relative quantum of sensitive sector (SEN) (comprised of commercial real estate, commodity and capital market) advances has a positive relationship with NPA ratio, and such a relationship is statistically significant. Research limitations/implications – The sample is restricted to India and may not be reflective of other countries. The study considers bank-level factors, and there are some macro factors (e.g. gross domestic product, interest rate and inflation rate) which could have explained the variability of GNPA ratio. Practical implications – Provisioning against loan losses is a major issue for stability of the banking system. Identification of appropriate causes of variability of such loan losses is important for managing credit portfolio of a bank. A positive and significant relationship between SEN advances and NPA calls for a more cautionary approach toward lending to those sectors. Originality/value – This paper is believed to be the first attempt to empirically examine the role of bank-specific factors. This study attempts to enrich empirical research in the field and provides an insight into the role of various bank-specific factors on loan losses in the context of Indian PSBs. The study provides contrary evidence regarding the role of priority sector advances on a GNPA ratio.

2018 ◽  
Vol 44 (4) ◽  
pp. 459-477 ◽  
Author(s):  
Santi Gopal Maji ◽  
Preeti Hazarika

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the association between capital regulation and risk-taking behavior of Indian banks after incorporating the influence of competition. Further, the study intends to enrich the existing literature by providing empirical evidence on the role of human resources in managing risk along with the influence of other bank specific and macroeconomic variables. Design/methodology/approach Secondary data on 39 listed Indian commercial banks are collected from “Capitaline Plus” corporate data database for a period of 15 years. Capital is measured by capital adequacy ratio as defined by the regulators, and two definitions of risk – credit risk and insolvency risk – are employed. Competition is measured by Herfindahl-Hirschman deposits index, concentration ratio and H-statistic. The value-added intellectual coefficient model is employed to compute human capital efficiency (HCE). Three-stage least squares technique in a simultaneous equation framework is used to estimate the coefficients. Findings The study finds that absolute level of regulatory capital and bank risk are positively associated, although the influence of capital on risk is not statistically significant. The influence of competition on risk is negative for all the models, which supports the “competition stability” view. The impact of human capital on bank risk is also negative for all cases. Practical implications The findings of the study are useful for the decision makers in several ways based on the inverse influence of competition and HCE on bank risk. Further, the observed positive association between capital and risk indicates that the capital regulation is not sufficient to enhance the stability in the banking sector. Originality/value This is the first study in the Indian context that incorporates the competition in the banking industry as an explanatory variable in the extant bank capital and risk relationship.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prodromos Chatzoglou ◽  
Dimitrios Chatzoudes ◽  
Lazaros Sarigiannidis ◽  
Georgios Theriou

Purpose This paper aims to attempt to bring together various organisational aspects that have never been collectively investigated before in the strategic management literature. Its main objective is to examine the relationship between “strategic orientation” and “firm performance”, in the light of two firm-specific factors (“distinct manufacturing capabilities” and “organisational structure”). The proposed research model of the present study is built upon the resource-based view (RBV) of the firm and the organisational aspect of the VRIO framework (the “O” from the VRIO model). Design/methodology/approach The study proposes a newly developed research model that adopts a four-factor approach, while examining a number of direct and indirect effects. The examination of the proposed research model was made with the use of a newly developed structured questionnaire that was distributed on a sample of Greek manufacturing companies. Research hypotheses were tested using the structural equation modelling technique. The present study is explanatory (examines cause and effect relationships), deductive (tests research hypotheses), empirical (collects primary data) and quantitative (analyses quantitative data that were collected using a structured questionnaire). Findings The empirical results suggest the coexistence of three distinct categories of effects on “firm performance”: strategy or “utility” effects, depending on the content of the implemented strategy; firm-specific effects, depending on the content of the organisational resources and capabilities; and organisational effects, depending on the implemented organisational structure. More specifically, the statistical analysis underlines the significant mediating role of “strategic orientation” and the complementary role of “organisational structure”. Finally, empirical results support the argument that “strategy follows structure”. Research limitations/implications The use of self-reported scales constitutes an inherent methodological limitation. Moreover, the present study lacks a longitudinal approach because it provides a static picture of the subject under consideration. Finally, the sample size of 130 manufacturing companies could raise some concerns. Despite that, previous empirical studies of the same field, published in respectable journals, were also based on similar samples. Practical implications When examining the total (direct and indirect) effects on “firm performance”, it seems that the effect of “organisational structure” is, almost, identical to the effect of “distinct manufacturing capabilities”. This implies that “organisational structure” (an imitable capability) has, almost, the same contribution on “firm performance” as the manufacturing capabilities of the organisation (an inimitable capability). Thus, the practical significance of “organisational structure” is being highlighted. Originality/value There has been little empirical research concerning the bundle of firm-specific factors that enhance the impact of strategy on business performance. Under the context of the resource-based view (RBV) of the firm, the present study examines the impact of “organisational structure” on the “strategy-capabilities-performance” relationship, something that has not been thoroughly investigated in the strategic management literature. Also, the present study proposes an alternate measure for capturing the concept of business strategy, the so-called factor of “strategic orientation”. Finally, the study adopts a “reversed view” in the relationship between structure and strategy. More specifically, it postulates that “strategy follows structure” and not the opposite (“structure follows strategy”). Actually, the empirical data supported that (reversed) view, challenging the traditional approach of Chandler (1962) and calling for additional research on that ongoing dispute.


2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (6) ◽  
pp. 494-508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tommaso Agasisti ◽  
Giuseppe Catalano ◽  
Ferdinando Di Carlo ◽  
Angelo Erbacci

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of full accrual accounting on the Italian public universities and, in this context, how some technical-accounting problems typical of public sector (recognition and valuation issues) have been addressed. An additional purpose investigated in this paper is the role of International Public Sector Accounting Standards (IPSASs) in helping to overcome these technical-accounting issues, for the case under examination. Design/methodology/approach – The paper involves studying whether, and to what degree, some of the accounting choices made by the universities complied with the principles of full accrual accounting for several specific accounting registrations characterised by the presence of recognition and valuation issues. During this investigation, the paper also analyses whether the universities followed the accounting rules set out by the IPSAS Board. Findings – The findings highlight that, in general, there is a low degree of compliance with full accrual accounting principles and they also revealed that IPSASs do not provide any detailed guidelines that can help universities in overcoming the recognition and valuation problems typical of the public sector. Originality/value – The analysis presented in the paper confirms the findings of previous literature identifying a low level of compliance to full accrual accounting principles. This research shed light also on the longstanding debate about the role of IPSASs in promoting full accrual accounting in the public sector, revealing the scarce contribution of IPSASs to this process.


2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-95
Author(s):  
Ahmed Arif ◽  
Mohammad Afzal .

The present study examines the role of credit risk in value creation process in banking system of Pakistan. This study here develops a conceptual model with three antecedents to credit risk. These antecedents are loan loss provision, advances, and capital adequacy ratio. The study analyzes the impact of these antecedents on accounting return on equity (ROE) and market return on shares (ROS). The data come from 20 banks listed on Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) for 2004-2009. The study includes panel data analysis to analyze the relationship between the selected variables. The results of this study expose a minimal role of credit risk in value creation process in banking system of Pakistan. The results further reveal that banks with higher advances in their portfolio are successful in getting the confidence of shareholders.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Neha Chhabra Roy

Purpose The purpose of this study is to measure the impact of technology spend on bank profitability focusing on Indian public and private sector commercial banks. The study also assesses the longevity duration of impact for both public and private sector banks. The trade-off is created between the bank’s profitability and technology spent across four identified columns: increase product sales, reduce cost, enhance employee efficiency and optimally use existing resources. Design/methodology/approach The metrics of four columns converted to measurable 11 financial alarming indicators and impact is again checked on profitability indicator ROE. The data used for empirical analysis for the study are between the year 2003 and 2019, across 12 public and 15 private banks. The interface between technology spend and profitability is measured using panel vector autoregression (VAR) and panel vector error correction model (VECM) and further the link between 11 financial indicators and profitability measures is established using panel data analysis. Findings The study found that there is a mixed effect of technology spent on profitability and performance of Indian banks, where public sector banks were found to be more unstructured over private sector banks. The study advises the optimal technology spend strategies to gain enhanced productivity for banking business which are to name a few – planned technology reserves, customer awareness campaigns for products, robust employee-customer motivation policy and customized technologies aligned to existing infrastructure. Originality/value The data was original and extracted from the Reserve bank of India website and respective banks’ annual reports.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 52-69
Author(s):  
Nimisha Kapoor ◽  
Sandeep Goel

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore the role of independent directors’ diligence in restraining earnings management practices in the Indian context. Design/methodology/approach It employs a panel data analysis to test the association of earnings management with the diligence of independent directors. Findings The results suggest that the diligence of independent directors has a significant impact on earnings management. The findings support the agency theory and provide evidence of the role played by the board processes in restricting earnings management. Originality/value This study is important for the regulators as it highlights the significance of independent directors’ diligence in producing higher quality financial statements, thereby creating the real economic value of companies. This is the first article that explores the impact of independent directors’ diligence on earnings management practices particularly in the context of an emerging economy, like India in the light of new Companies Act 2013 and revised Clause 49 of the Listing Agreement, 2014 by Securities and Exchange Board of India.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Asima Siddique ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Zeeshan Khan

PurposeAmong all of the world's continents, Asia is the most important continent and contributes 60% of world growth but facing the serving issue of high nonperforming loans (NPLs). Therefore, the current study aims to capture the effect of credit risk management and bank-specific factors on South Asian commercial banks' financial performance (FP). The credit risk measures used in this study were NPLs and capital adequacy ratio (CAR), while cost-efficiency ratio (CER), average lending rate (ALR) and liquidity ratio (LR) were used as bank-specific factors. On the other hand, return on equity (ROE) and return on the asset (ROA) were taken as a measure of FP.Design/methodology/approachSecondary data were collected from 19 commercial banks (10 commercial banks from Pakistan and 9 commercial banks from India) in the country for a period of 10 years from 2009 to 2018. The generalized method of moment (GMM) is used for the coefficient estimation to overcome the effects of some endogenous variables.FindingsThe results indicated that NPLs, CER and LR have significantly negatively related to FP (ROA and ROE), while CAR and ALR have significantly positively related to the FP of the Asian commercial banks.Practical implicationsThe current study result recommends that policymakers of Asian countries should create a strong financial environment by implementing that monetary policy that stimulates interest rates in this way that automatically helps to lower down the high ratio of NPLs (tied monitoring system). Liquidity position should be well maintained so that even in a high competition environment, the commercial is able to survive in that environment.Originality/valueThe present paper contributes to the prevailing literature that this is a comparison study between developed and developing countries of Asia that is a unique comparison because the study targets only one region and then on the basis of income, the results of this study are compared. Moreover, the contribution of the study is to include some accounting-based measures and market-based measures of the FP of commercial banks at a time.


2021 ◽  
Vol 06 (08) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheila Wamicwe ◽  

The objective of this study was to establish the effects of bank specific factors on stock returns of listed commercial banks in Kenya, with four specific objectives; to determine the effect of capital adequacy on stock returns of listed commercial banks in Kenya, to determine the effect of asset quality on stock returns of listed commercial banks in Kenya, to determine the effect of earnings ability on stock returns of listed commercial banks in Kenya and to determine the effect of liquidity on stock returns of listed commercial banks in Kenya. The Kenyan banking sector instability within the stock market has been of great concern as depicted by continuous fluctuations in the stock prices of listed banks. Studies undertaken in other stock markets displayed mixed findings and much concentration has been on the United States, Turkey and Indonesian stock markets. Hence, a study providing a Kenyan perspective on the link between banks’ internal environment and stock returns of listed banks was crucial. The study was based on market portfolio theory, efficiency structure hypothesis and the buffer capital theory. The research targeted all the 11 listed commercial banks at the Nairobi Securities Exchange. Quarterly data was collected for the period 2010-2019. A pooled panel regression model was used in the estimation of the significance of the impact of the variables. Findings of the research established that capital adequacy and earnings had a significant effect on stock returns. The study recommends that commercial banks should improve their capital base and expand their asset quality through better loan management.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 51-59
Author(s):  
Amir Rafique ◽  
Muhammad Adeel ◽  
Kalsoom Akhtar ◽  
Muhammad Amir Alvi

Current study empirically analyzes bank specific factors and macroeconomic factors that determine the liquidity reserves of banks functioning in Pakistan. To highlight the association, current study performed random effects estimates on a data set of 20 banks from 2006 to 2016.  Bank specific factors include bank size, capital and credit Risk. GDP and Inflation are the macroeconomic factors that were considered. Market competition has been measured through HHI. Based on panel data analysis, current study suggests that bank specific factors (except capital), macroeconomic factors and market competition significantly affect liquidity reserves of banks in Pakistan. These factors include bank size, credit risk, market competition, GDP and inflation. In addition, bank size, credit risk, GDP and Inflation revealed a negative effect on bank liquidity. On the other hand, market competition revealed a positive effect on bank liquidity. Capital showed an insignificant effect on bank liquidity.


2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 30-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali T. Yahya ◽  
Asif Akhtar ◽  
Mosab I. Tabash

This study investigates the impact of political instability, macroeconomic and bank-specific factors on the profitability of Islamic banks in the context of Yemen. The study used two common measures of profitability, namely, Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) as dependent variables. Seven key independent (internal and external) variables are also used. There are five fully-fledged Islamic banks (IBs) working in Yemen. The study selected only three out of five IBs due to the availability of data for the period ranging from 2010 to 2014. The descriptive and multiple regression analyses were done. The results of the study indicate that operating efficiency and financial risk have negative and significant relationships with ROA and ROE. The findings also show that capital adequacy has a negative and insignificant relationship with ROA and ROE. Furthermore, the study reveals that assets size (LogA), assets management, liquidity and deposits have a significant and positive impact on banks’ profitability. GDP, Inflation rate (IR) and Political instability have positive and significant impact on Yemeni banks’ profitability. Based on the best knowledge of the authors, this study is considered one of the first and pioneering studies that determine the factors affecting the profitability of Islamic banks of Yemen. Therefore, the study gives good insights for the policy makers, regulators and interested parties for enhancing the profitability of Islamic banks in Yemen.


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