Risk assessment in commercial real estate development

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (5) ◽  
pp. 427-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malka Thilini ◽  
Nishani Champika Wickramaarachchi
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Social Economic ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Assessment Criteria ◽  
Commercial Development ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Risk Management Strategies

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the commercial property development risk factors from the entrepreneur’s point of view against social, economic, environmental, technological and political risk assessment criteria. After that, this study aims to assess the risk factors based on the analytical network process (ANP) model and to prioritize the key risk factors to identify which risk factor is highly affected to the commercial development process. Design/methodology/approach The data were collected through face-to-face interviews using a structured questionnaire. The analysis of the risk factors involved the ANP model using super decision software. Findings The results revealed that there are five major risk factors such as environmental, social, economic, technological and political risk, and 32 sub-risk factors. According to the super matrix calculation, the synthesized values for three projects were 0.0704, 0.0532 and 0.0431, respectively. It was identified that Ward City was 0.0704, indicating that it is comparatively less risky and, hence, can be categorized as the best development and considering the sub-risk factors; the results show that the highly affected risk factors for the development are: the council approval process, climate changes and natural disaster, and the least affected risk factors are confidence to the market, lifecycle value, investment return and currency conversion factor. Practical implications The paper includes implications for the development of commercial properties, risk and risk assessment criteria to make risk management strategies and policy implementation. Originality/value The research findings are helpful in improving risk management strategies in the country, and policy formulation should focus on the above identified three risk factors in order to mitigate the risk in every stage and to achieve sustainable project development while increasing the satisfaction of long-term investment goals.

The Effects of Decision Aid Orientation on Risk Factor Identification and Audit Test Planning

2002 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 39-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean C. Bedard ◽  
Lynford E. Graham
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Decision Aid ◽  
Decision Aids ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Risk Identification ◽  
Matched Pair ◽  
Audit Planning ◽  
Audit Firms ◽  
Risk Management Strategies

In auditing, risk management involves identifying client facts or issues that may affect engagement risk, and planning evidence-gathering strategies accordingly. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether auditors' identification of risk factors and planning of audit tests is affected by decision aid orientation, i.e., a “negative” focus wherein client risk and its consequences are emphasized, or a “positive” focus where such factors are not emphasized. Specifically, we expect that auditors will identify more risk factors using a negatively oriented risk identification decision aid, but only when engagement risk is relatively high. We address this issue in the context of auditors' knowledge of actual clients, manipulating decision aid orientation as negative or positive in a matched-pair design. Results show that auditors using the negative decision aid orientation identify more risk factors than do those using a positive orientation, for their higher-risk clients. We also find that decisions to apply substantive tests are more directly linked to specific risk factors identified than to direct risk assessments. Further, our results show that auditors with repeat engagement experience with the client identify more risk factors. The findings of this study imply that audit firms may improve their risk management strategies through simple changes in the design of decision aids used to support audit planning.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Physical Risk during Necropsy and Morgue Activities as Risk Management Strategy

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (16) ◽  
pp. 8266
Author(s):  
Zoe Del Fante ◽  
Nicola Di Fazio ◽  
Adriano Papale ◽  
Paola Tomao ◽  
Fabio Del Duca ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Risk Management Strategy ◽  
Work Related ◽  
Activity Measurements ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Physical Risk ◽  
Critical Issues ◽  
Load Handling

Physical risk assessments allow us to understand work-related critical issues, thus representing a useful tool in risk management strategies. In particular, our study focuses on the identification of already known and emerging physical risks related to necropsy and morgue activities, as well as crime scene investigations. The aim of our study is, therefore, to identify objective elements in order to quantify exposure to such risk factors among healthcare professionals and working personnel. For the research of potentially at-risk activities, data from the Morgue of Policlinico Umberto I Hospital in Rome were used. The scientific literature has been reviewed in order to assess the risks associated with morgue activity. Measurements were performed on previously scheduled days, in collaboration with the activities of different research units. The identified areas of risk were: microclimate; exposure to noise and vibrations; postural and biomechanical aspects of necropsy activities. The obtained results make it possible to detect interindividual variability in exposure to many of the aforementioned risk factors. In particular, the assessment of microclimate did not show significant results. On the contrary, exposure to vibrations and biomechanical aspects of load handling have shown potential risk profiles. For this reason, both profiles have been identified as possible action targets for risk management strategies.

Social transitions in the Savannah

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 535-547
Author(s):  
Ayodele O. Majekodunmi
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Social Cohesion ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Current Status ◽  
Social Risk ◽  
Exchange Networks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Attitudes And Practices ◽  
Reciprocal Exchange ◽  
Risk Management Strategies

Purpose The purpose of this paper is twofold: first, to explore social risk management strategies amongst Fulani in the subhumid zone of Nigeria; and second, to determine current status and nature of reciprocal exchange networks, risk pooling and social support for pastoral livelihoods in North-Central Nigeria. Design/methodology/approach Surveys of cattle productivity and pastoral livelihoods were carried out amongst Fulani pastoralists on the Jos Plateau: between 2008 and 2013 using participatory epidemiology methods and the sustainable livelihoods framework. Qualitative and quantitative data on livelihood activities, knowledge, attitudes and practices of animal husbandry and disease control, wealth grouping, herd entries and exits was gathered to determine the current state of cattle productivity and pastoral livelihoods in the study area. Findings Results show that reciprocal exchange networks for risk management have mostly disintegrated and patron-client relationships have become an important social risk management strategy. Practical implications This research has significant implications for sustainability of Fulani livelihoods and communities: decreased social risk-management strategies and increased self-reliance means that the most vulnerable households will find it more difficult to withstand shocks and climb out of poverty. Wealthier households may cope better with high incidence/low severity shocks like but are more vulnerable to low incidence/high severity shocks. Likewise, decreased social cohesion reduces the ability of communities to mobilise and act collectively in the face of community-level shocks. This is very important for engagement with the state – a crucial process, given current levels of acrimony and conflict. Originality/value Given the high levels of farmer-herder conflict and civil unrest in this region over the past 15 years this research is valuable in providing insights into economic drivers of conflict, current dynamics of pastoral livelihoods and social cohesion within and between communities.

Approach to Prioritizing the Commercial Real Estate Development Risk

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 114-126
Author(s):  
Malka Thilini ◽  
Nishani Champika Wikcramaarachchi ◽  
P.A.N.S. Anuradha
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Property Development ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Development Risk

After 30 years of war in Sri Lanka, the demand for real estate has increased tremendously across the nation. Similarly, numerous real estate sub-sectors have avidly participated in the worldwide boom. However, with failures and poor functioning of many investment projects, the industry's risk management reputation has been put in jeopardy, followed by the coronavirus (COVID-19). Though it is less popular among Sri Lankan property developers, risk management strategies in development projects have become a pressing requirement. This paper's goal is to look at commercial property development risk elements from the perspective of a real estate developer in relation to Social, Economic, Environmental, Technological, Political, and Pandemic Risks. The research first evaluates risk variables using a super decision software model based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), then prioritizes the most important risk factors, and lastly examines effective risk management measures for successful real estate developments. The data collection has been carried out using interviews through telephone conversations with the help of a structured questionnaire. Accordingly, 35 risk factors have been assessed altogether. For the three projects, the synthesized values were 1.0000, 0.510763, and 0.604037, respectively. Based on the analysis of superMatrix calculation, project A is regarded as the best alternative project in such circumstances. Pandemic Risk, Economic Risk, and Political Risk have all had a significant impact on the primary risk criteria. Therefore, COVID-19 Pandemic Risk Emergence, Workforce Availability, Duration, Delays in Council Approval/License Approval Process and Natural Disaster Impact were identified as the highest influenced sub-risk factors. Identifying the risk factors on this avenue will also help in making better investment decisions while increasing the unpredictable nature of the real estate field and future satisfaction of loan team investment goals within the country.

A stakeholder-based risk assessment and intervention framework for international construction projects

2019 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tao Wang ◽  
Shangde Gao ◽  
Pinchao Liao ◽  
Tsenguun Ganbat ◽  
Junhua Chen
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Management Practices ◽  
Intervention Strategies ◽  
The Body ◽  
Content Type ◽  
International Construction ◽  
Project Objectives

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to construct a two-stage risk management framework for international construction projects based on the meta-network analysis (MNA) approach. A plethora of international construction studies seems to assume risks as independent and therefore, risk intervention strategies are usually critiqued as ineffective. Design/methodology/approach In the risk assessment stage, a multi-tiered risk network structure was developed with the project objectives, risk events, risk factors and stakeholders, and critical risk factors were selected based on a series of calculations. In the risk intervention stage, targeted risk intervention strategies were proposed for stakeholders based on the results of the first stage. A highway construction project in Eastern Europe was selected as a case study. Findings The results showed that 17 risk factors in three categories – external, stakeholder-related and internal – are critical, and the project manager, construction management department, supplier and contract department are the most critical stakeholders that affect the entire project performance. Based on the critical risk factors and project stakeholders, targeted risk intervention strategies were proposed. The risk assessment results of MNA were found to be more reliable and consistent with the project conditions than the risk matrix method; the risk intervention strategies of MNA can effectively address project objectives. Originality/value This study modeled risk priorities based on risk associations and put forward a new method for risk management, supplementing the body of knowledge of international construction. The results of this study are of critical importance in management practices.

scholarly journals Risk Management in Oil and Gas (EPC) Industry

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1255-1264
Author(s):  
Prashant Pralhad Kadam
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Oil And Gas Industry ◽  
Construction Costs ◽  
Defective Items ◽  
Gas Industry ◽  
Risk Management Strategies

Abstract: The five most important risk factors identified in the design phase are 1] scope uncertainty, 2] failed management and planning, 3] changes in errors and omissions, 4] inadequate projectS team structure, 5] inadequate quality requirements. The top five risk factors determined by the procurement category are 1] Inadequate online resources and equipment, 2] Distribution of suppliers, 3] Uncertainty in design and style, codes, requirements and standards, 4] Defective items, and 5] Compromise. The 5 most important risk factors identified in the construction phase are 1] weak project capability, 2] excessive construction costs, 3] major construction delays, 4] strong project plan, and 5] poor safety management .This was initiated by the link between risk factors and the effects on price, quality and timing, as well as the potential for expensive, common, and high-quality outcomes. Keywords: Disaster risk management, risk management strategies, project risk management, oil and gas industry.

scholarly journals International projects and political risk management by multinational enterprises: insights from multiple emerging markets

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tahir Ali ◽  
Aurangzeab Butt ◽  
Ahmad Arslan ◽  
Shlomo Yedidia Tarba ◽  
Sniazhana Ana Sniazhko ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Social Exchange ◽  
Multinational Enterprises ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Analytical Framework ◽  
International Project ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political Risks

PurposeThis study investigates an under-researched yet fundamental question of how a developed country multinational enterprises (DMNE) perceives and manages political risks when undertaking infrastructure projects in the emerging markets (EMs).Design/methodology/approachThe authors use an abduction-based qualitative research approach to analyze six international project operations of a multinational enterprise originating from Finland in five EMs.FindingsThe findings suggest that the overall nature of political risks in EMs is not the same, except few political risk factors that are visible in most EMs. Consequently, the applied risk management mechanisms vary between EMs, except with few common mechanisms. The authors develop an integrative analytical framework of political risk management based on the findings.Originality/valueThis paper is one of the first studies to identify political risk factors for western MNEs while undertaking international project operations and link them to reduction mechanisms used by them. The authors go beyond the notion of risk being conceptualized at a general level and evaluate 20 specific political risk factors referred to in extant literature. The authors further link these political risk factors with both social exchange and transaction cost theories conceptually as well as empirically. Finally, the authors develop a relatively comprehensive analytical framework of political risk management based on the case projects' findings that combine several strands of literature, including the social exchange theory, transaction cost theory, international market entry, project management and finance literature streams.

scholarly journals Preventing laboratory-associated infections in the COVID-19 era: experience from a tertiary care infectious disease hospital in Southern Vietnam

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Dinh Nguyen Huy ◽  
Ngoc Nghiem My ◽  
Hoang Dang Minh ◽  
Trang Nguyen Hoa ◽  
Thao Duong Thi Phuong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategy ◽  
Tertiary Care ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Cold Chain ◽  
Care Hospital ◽  
Risk Management Strategy ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Monitoring Protocols

Abstract Background: Laboratory staff is at higher risk of infection owing to the handling and testing of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patient samples. Reviewing the existing risk assessment and improving risk management are essential for preventing laboratory acquired infections (LAIs) related to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) testing during the COVID-19 epidemic. We present herein the steps taken to prevent LAIs related to SARS-CoV-2 testing in a tertiary care hospital in Vietnam. Methods: A SARS-CoV-2-focused risk assessment exercise was conducted for laboratory processes and workflow. Risk management strategies, including engineering, administrative and operations control procedures, were established. Standard operating procedure (SOP), staff training, COVID-19 symptom reporting, enhanced cleaning and decontamination, and inventory monitoring protocols were implemented. Sample reception and results reported from February 1, 2020 to September 17, 2020 were documented. Results: Based on risk assessment, a risk management strategy for SARS-CoV-2 testing was developed. This strategy includes the use of dedicated facility, instrument, and cold chain units for testing; SOPs; training (testing, decontamination and cleaning staff); the introduction of biosafety level (BSL)2+ laboratory practices; enhanced cleaning protocols for testing; and the assigning of additional staff for testing and safety system implementation. In total, 38,377 (daily mean and range: 166; 3 – 2,377) samples were received, including 301 (0.8%) samples that were rejected. The turnaround time (median ± standard deviation (SD)) was 3.54 ± 2.97 days. Altogether, 32 staff members were involved with SARS-CoV-2 testing and biosafety management, and there were no reports of COVID-19 symptoms among them. Conclusion: For epidemics and outbreak diagnostics, risk assessment and risk management strategies are important for the prevention of LAIs. Clear instruction on revised risk management protocols, necessary training, and leadership in risk management strategy implementation are essential.

scholarly journals Identifying Political Risk Management Strategies in International Construction Projects

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tengyuan Chang ◽  
Bon-Gang Hwang ◽  
Xiaopeng Deng ◽  
Xianbo Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Implementation Phase ◽  
Construction Enterprises ◽  
International Construction ◽  
Political Risks ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
International Experts

International construction projects are plagued with political risk, and international construction enterprises (ICEs) must manage this risk to survive. However, little attention has been devoted to political risk management strategies in international construction projects. To fill this research gap, a total of 27 possible strategies were identified through a comprehensive literature review and validated by a pilot survey with 10 international experts. Appraisals of these 27 strategies by relevant professionals were collected using questionnaires, 155 of which were returned. Exploratory factor analysis was conducted to explore the interrelationships among these 27 strategies. The results show that all of the 27 strategies are important for political risk management in international construction projects. Moreover, these 27 strategies were clustered into six components, namely, (1) making correct decisions, (2) conducting favorable negotiations, (3) completing full preparations, (4) shaping a good environment, (5) reducing unnecessary mistakes, and (6) obtaining a reasonable response. The 6 components can be regarded as 6 typical management techniques that contribute to political risk management in the preproject phase, project implementation phase, and postevent phases. The findings may help practitioners gain an in-depth understanding of political risk management strategies in international construction projects and provide a useful reference for ICEs to manage political risks when venturing outside their home countries.

Risk management in student-managed funds

2018 ◽  
Vol 46 (5) ◽  
pp. 692-702
Author(s):  
J. Christopher Hughen ◽  
Peter P. Lung
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Earnings Announcements ◽  
Investment Funds ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Risk Management Strategies ◽  
Reduction Strategies ◽  
Option Strategies ◽  
Risk Reduction Strategies ◽  
Managed Funds

Purpose Student-managed investment funds typically pursue “plain vanilla” objectives. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the value of adding option strategies to reduce the risk of equity positions around earnings announcements. The collar strategy is one such technique with the advantages of a low net cost and limited potential losses. Design/methodology/approach The authors provide recommendations for utilizing the collar strategy around earnings announcements. The authors also discuss how the value of this strategy is related to the literature on option pricing and earnings announcement returns. Findings Risk management strategies can enhance the pedagogical value of student-managed investment funds. The authors document how students have successfully utilized the collar strategy to immunize risk. Originality/value The collar strategy can enhance the pedagogical value of student-managed investment classes in several ways. First, students learn how to implement risk reduction strategies. Second, the proper implementation of these strategies requires students to learn the complex mechanisms associated with corporate earnings dissemination and analyst coverage. This also provides an opportunity to study earnings drift, which is a persistent and economically significant financial anomaly.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document