scholarly journals Reliability centered maintenance actions prioritization using fuzzy inference systems

2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 433-452 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahmoud Awad ◽  
Rami Afif As’ad

Purpose Deploying an effective maintenance strategy across an organization stands out as an essential risk mitigation measure that plays a critical role toward improving the reliability and availability of production facilities. The purpose of this paper is to propose a simple, yet well-structured approach toward prioritizing maintenance actions as part of a reliability centered maintenance (RCM) implementation plan, and selecting the most important subset of those actions subject to time and budget constraints. Design/methodology/approach A comprehensive RCM actions prioritization methodology is proposed using four criteria: severity, benefit to cost ratio, customer satisfaction, and easiness of action implementation. The method utilizes fuzzy inference system (FIS) to incorporate subject matter experts’ feedback into the decision-making process. The output of the FIS, which takes the form of a numerical weight that assesses the relative importance of each criterion, is then fed into a binary integer program that selects the optimal maintenance actions out of a set of possible actions. Findings The implementation of the developed methodology is demonstrated using a real-life example of a hydraulic brake system circuit that is used in construction equipment. The computational results illustrate the validity of the proposed approach and indicate that the selection of which maintenance actions to carry out is impacted by the relative importance (i.e. weight) of the considered criteria. Originality/value The work presented in this paper provides the decision makers with a systematic procedure that helps in selecting the most relevant maintenance actions instead of making the selection in a complete ad hoc manner or based merely on subjective opinions.

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Meysam Azimian ◽  
Mahdi Karbasian ◽  
Karim Atashgar ◽  
Golam Kabir

PurposeThis paper addresses special reliability-centered maintenance (RCM) strategies for one-shot devices by providing fuzzy inferences system with the assumption that, to data, there is no data available on their maintenance. As far as one-shot devices are concerned, the relevant data is inadequate.Design/methodology/approachIn this paper, a fuzzy expert system is proposed to effectively select RCM strategies for one-shot devices. In this research: (1) a human expert team is provided, (2) spatial RCM strategies for one-shot devices and parameters bearing upon those strategies are determined, (3) the verbal variables of the expert team are transformed into fuzzy sets, (4) the relationship between parameters and strategies are designed whereupon a model is developed by MATLAB software, (5) Finally, the model is applied to a real-life one-shot system.FindingsThe finding of this study indicates that the proposed fuzzy expert system can determine the parameters affecting the choice of the appropriate one-shot RCM strategies, and a fuzzy inference system can help for effective decision making.Originality/valueThe developed model can be used as a fast and reliable method for determining an appropriate one-shot RCM strategy, whose results can be relied upon with a suitable approximation in respect of the behavior test. To the best authors’ knowledge, this problem is not addressed yet.


Kybernetes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
İlker Gölcük

PurposeThis paper proposes an integrated IT2F-FMEA model under a group decision-making setting. In risk assessment models, experts' evaluations are often aggregated beforehand, and necessary computations are performed, which in turn, may cause a loss of information and valuable individual opinions. The proposed integrated IT2F-FMEA model aims to calculate risk priority numbers from the experts' evaluations and then fuse experts' judgments using a novel integrated model.Design/methodology/approachThis paper presents a novel failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) model by integrating the fuzzy inference system, best-worst method (BWM) and weighted aggregated sum-product assessment (WASPAS) methods under interval type-2 fuzzy (IT2F) environment. The proposed FMEA approach utilizes the Mamdani-type IT2F inference system to calculate risk priority numbers. The individual FMEA results are combined by using integrated IT2F-BWM and IT2F-WASPAS methods.FindingsThe proposed model is implemented in a real-life case study in the furniture industry. According to the case study, fifteen failure modes are considered, and the proposed integrated method is used to prioritize the failure modes.Originality/valueMamdani-type singleton IT2F inference model is employed in the FMEA. Additionally, the proposed model allows experts to construct their membership functions and fuzzy rules to capitalize on the experience and knowledge of the experts. The proposed group FMEA model aggregates experts' judgments by using IT2F-BWM and IT2F-WASPAS methods. The proposed model is implemented in a real-life case study in the furniture company.


2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asli Aksoy ◽  
Nursel Öztürk ◽  
Eric Sucky

Purpose – According to literature research and conversations with apparel manufacturers' specialists, there is not any common analytic method for demand forecasting in apparel industry and to the authors' knowledge, there is not adequate number of study in literature to forecast the demand with adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for apparel manufacturers. The purpose of this paper is constructing an effective demand forecasting system for apparel manufacturers. Design/methodology/approach – The ANFIS is used forecasting the demand for apparel manufacturers. Findings – The results of the proposed study showed that an ANFIS-based demand forecasting system can help apparel manufacturers to forecast demand accurately, effectively and simply. Originality/value – ANFIS is a new technique for demand forecasting, combines the learning capability of the neural networks and the generalization capability of the fuzzy logic. In this study, the demand is forecasted in terms of apparel manufacturers by using ANFIS. The input and output criteria are determined based on apparel manufacturers' requirements and via literature research and the forecasting horizon is about one month. The study includes the real-life application of the proposed system, and the proposed system is tested by using real demand values for apparel manufacturers.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 290
Author(s):  
Seyed Hashem Mousavi-Avval ◽  
Shahin Rafiee ◽  
Ali Mohammadi

Energy consumption, economics, and environmental impacts of canola production were assessed using a combined technique involving an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and a multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA). Data were collected from canola farming enterprises in the Mazandaran province of Iran and were used to test the application of the combined modeling algorithms. Life cycle assessment (LCA) for one ha functional unit of canola production from cradle to farm gate was conducted in order to evaluate the impacts of energy, materials used, and their environmental emissions. MOGA was applied to maximize the output energy and benefit-cost ratio, and to minimize environmental emissions. The combined ANFIS–MOGA technique resulted in a 6.2% increase in energy output, a 144% rise in the benefit-cost ratio, and a 19.8% reduction in environmental emissions from the current canola production system in the studied region. A comparison of ANFIS–MOGA with the data envelopment analysis approach was also conducted and the results established that the former is a better system than the latter because of its ability to generate optimum conditions that allow for the assessment of a combination of parameters such as energy, economic, and environmental impacts of agricultural production systems.


2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 166-182 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shabia Shabir Khan ◽  
S.M.K. Quadri

Purpose As far as the treatment of most complex issues in the design is concerned, approaches based on classical artificial intelligence are inferior compared to the ones based on computational intelligence, particularly this involves dealing with vagueness, multi-objectivity and good amount of possible solutions. In practical applications, computational techniques have given best results and the research in this field is continuously growing. The purpose of this paper is to search for a general and effective intelligent tool for prediction of patient survival after surgery. The present study involves the construction of such intelligent computational models using different configurations, including data partitioning techniques that have been experimentally evaluated by applying them over realistic medical data set for the prediction of survival in pancreatic cancer patients. Design/methodology/approach On the basis of the experiments and research performed over the data belonging to various fields using different intelligent tools, the authors infer that combining or integrating the qualification aspects of fuzzy inference system and quantification aspects of artificial neural network can prove an efficient and better model for prediction. The authors have constructed three soft computing-based adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models with different configurations and data partitioning techniques with an aim to search capable predictive tools that could deal with nonlinear and complex data. After evaluating the models over three shuffles of data (training set, test set and full set), the performances were compared in order to find the best design for prediction of patient survival after surgery. The construction and implementation of models have been performed using MATLAB simulator. Findings On applying the hybrid intelligent neuro-fuzzy models with different configurations, the authors were able to find its advantage in predicting the survival of patients with pancreatic cancer. Experimental results and comparison between the constructed models conclude that ANFIS with Fuzzy C-means (FCM) partitioning model provides better accuracy in predicting the class with lowest mean square error (MSE) value. Apart from MSE value, other evaluation measure values for FCM partitioning prove to be better than the rest of the models. Therefore, the results demonstrate that the model can be applied to other biomedicine and engineering fields dealing with different complex issues related to imprecision and uncertainty. Originality/value The originality of paper includes framework showing two-way flow for fuzzy system construction which is further used by the authors in designing the three simulation models with different configurations, including the partitioning methods for prediction of patient survival after surgery. Several experiments were carried out using different shuffles of data to validate the parameters of the model. The performances of the models were compared using various evaluation measures such as MSE.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Prateek Pandey ◽  
Ratnesh Litoriya

PurposeThe purpose for writing this article is derived from the misery and chaos prevalent in the world due to the coronavirus pandemic – since late 2019 and still continuing as of December 2020.Design/methodology/approachA blockchain-based solution to verify the country visit trail and disease and treatment history of the passengers who arrive at the immigration counters located at various national borders and entry points is proposed. A fuzzy inference based suspect identifier system is also presented in this article that could be utilized to make further decisions based on the degree of suspicion observed on a particular passenger.FindingsThis paper attempted to put forth a blockchain-based system which consumes the healthcare and visit trail summary of a passenger (appearing for an interview before an immigration officer) and forwards it to a fuzzy inference system to reach to a conclusion that the passenger should be advised to self-quarantine, detained, or should be allowed to enter. Such a system would help to make correct decisions at the immigration counters to check pandemic diseases, like COVID-19, right at the entry points.Research limitations/implicationsThe implications of this work are manifold. First, the proposed framework works independent of the type of pandemic and is a readymade tool to check the spread of disease through infected human carriers. Second, the proposed framework will keep the mortality rates under check, which would give ample time for the authorities to save the lives of the people with co-morbidities and age vulnerabilities (Vichitvanichphong et al., 2018). Third, it is a general phenomenon to restrict the flights from the country where the first few cases of infection are discovered; however, the infected person, at the same time, might travel through alternative routes. The blockchain-enabled proposed framework ensures the detection of such cases at no other cost. Finally, the solution may appear costly in the first place, but it has the potential to hold back the revenue of the countries that would otherwise be spent on reactive measures.Originality/valueAs of now no other study or research article provides the solution to the biggest problem persists in the world in this way. The contribution is original and worth applying.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ammar Chakhrit ◽  
Mohammed Chennoufi

Purpose This paper aims to enable the analysts of reliability and safety system to assess the criticality and prioritize failure modes perfectly to prefer actions for controlling the risks of undesirable scenarios. Design/methodology/approach To resolve the challenge of uncertainty and ambiguous related to the parameters, frequency, non-detection and severity considered in the traditional approach failure mode effect and criticality analysis (FMECA) for risk evaluation, the authors used fuzzy logic where these parameters are shown as members of a fuzzy set, which fuzzified by using appropriate membership functions. The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system process is suggested as a dynamic, intelligently chosen model to ameliorate and validate the results obtained by the fuzzy inference system and effectively predict the criticality evaluation of failure modes. A new hybrid model is proposed that combines the grey relational approach and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to improve the exploitation of the FMECA conventional method. Findings This research project aims to reflect the real case study of the gas turbine system. Using this analysis allows evaluating the criticality effectively and provides an alternate prioritizing to that obtained by the conventional method. The obtained results show that the integration of two multi-criteria decision methods and incorporating their results enable to instill confidence in decision-makers regarding the criticality prioritizations of failure modes and the shortcoming concerning the lack of established rules of inference system which necessitate a lot of experience and shows the weightage or importance to the three parameters severity, detection and frequency, which are considered to have equal importance in the traditional method. Originality/value This paper is providing encouraging results regarding the risk evaluation and prioritizing failures mode and decision-makers guidance to refine the relevance of decision-making to reduce the probability of occurrence and the severity of the undesirable scenarios with handling different forms of ambiguity, uncertainty and divergent judgments of experts.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 484-506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Farhad Mirzaei ◽  
Mahmoud Delavar ◽  
Isham Alzoubi ◽  
Babak Nadjar Arrabi

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to develop three methods including artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC-ANN), regression and adaptive neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to predict the environmental indicators for land leveling and to analysis the sensitivity of these parameters.Design/methodology/approachThis paper develops three methods including artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC-ANN), regression and adaptive neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) to predict the environmental indicators for land leveling and to analysis the sensitivity of these parameters. So, several soil properties such as soil, cut/fill volume, soil compressibility factor, specific gravity, moisture content, slope, sand per cent and soil swelling index in energy consumption were investigated. A total of 90 samples were collected from three land areas with the selected grid size of (20 m × 20 m). Acquired data were used to develop accurate models for labor, energy (LE), fuel energy (FE), total machinery cost (TMC) and total machinery energy (TM).FindingsBy applying the three mentioned analyzing methods, the results of regression showed that, only three parameters of sand per cent, slope and soil, cut/fill volume had significant effects on energy consumption. All developed models (Regression, ANFIS and ABC-ANN) had satisfactory performance in predicting aforementioned parameters in various field conditions. The adaptive neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) has the most capability in prediction according to least RMSE and the highestR2value of 0.0143, 0.9990 for LE. The ABC-ANN has the most capability in prediction of the environmental and energy parameters with the least RMSE and the highestR2with the related values for TMC, FE and TME (0.0248, 0.9972), (0.0322, 0.9987) and (0.0161, 0.9994), respectively.Originality/valueAs land leveling with machines requires considerable amount of energy, optimizing energy consumption in land leveling operation is of a great importance. So, three approaches comprising: ABC-ANN, ANFIS as powerful and intensive methods and regression as a fast and simplex model have been tested and surveyed to predict the environmental indicators for land leveling and determine the best method. Hitherto, only a limited number of studies associated with energy consumption in land leveling have been done. In mentioned studies, energy was a function of the volume of excavation (cut/fill volume). Therefore, in this research, energy and cost of land leveling are functions of all the properties of the land including slope, coefficient of swelling, density of the soil, soil moisture, special weight and swelling index which will be thoroughly mentioned and discussed. In fact, predicting minimum cost of land leveling for field irrigation according to the field properties is the main goal of this research which is in direct relation with environment and weather pollution.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lie Yu ◽  
Lei Ding ◽  
Fangli Yu ◽  
Jianbin Zheng ◽  
Yukang Tian

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to apply a intelligent algorithm to conduct the force tracking control for electrohydraulic servo system (EHSS). Specifically, the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is selected to improve the control performance for EHSS.Design/methodology/approachTwo types of input–output data were chosen to train the ANFIS models. The inputs are the desired and actual forces, and the output is the current. The first type is to set a sinusoidal signal for the current to produce the actual driving force, and the desired force is chosen as same as the actual force. The other type is to give a sinusoidal signal for the desired force. Under the action of the PI controller, the actual force tracks the desired force, and the current is the output of the PI controller.FindingsThe models built based on the two types of data are separately named as the ANFIS I controller and the ANFIS II controller. The results reveal that the ANFIS I controller possesses the best performance in terms of overshoot, rise time and mean absolute error and show adaptivity to different tracking conditions, including sinusoidal signal tracking and sudden change signal tracking.Originality/valueThis paper is the first time to apply the ANFIS to optimize the force tracking control for EHSS.


2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2656 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wahyu Caesarendra ◽  
Mahardhika Pratama ◽  
Buyung Kosasih ◽  
Tegoeh Tjahjowidodo ◽  
Adam Glowacz

In recent years, the utilization of rotating parts, e.g., bearings and gears, has been continuously supporting the manufacturing line to produce a consistent output quality. Due to their critical role, the breakdown of these components might significantly impact the production rate. Prognosis, which is an approach that predicts the machine failure, has attracted significant interest in the last few decades. In this paper, the prognostic approaches are described briefly and advanced predictive analytics, namely a parsimonious network based on a fuzzy inference system (PANFIS), is proposed and tested for low speed slew bearing data. PANFIS differs itself from conventional prognostic approaches, supporting online lifelong prognostics without the requirement of a retraining or reconfiguration phase. The PANFIS method is applied to normal-to-failure bearing vibration data collected for 139 days to predict the time-domain features of vibration slew bearing signals. The performance of the proposed method is compared to some established methods, such as ANFIS, eTS, and Simp_eTS. From the results, it is suggested that PANFIS offers an outstanding performance compared to those methods.


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