The value relevance of “too-big-to-fail” guarantees

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (5) ◽  
pp. 498-518 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armin Varmaz ◽  
Christian Fieberg ◽  
Jörg Prokop
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Too Big To Fail ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Government Aid ◽  
Small Banks ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – This paper aims to analyze the impact of conjectural “too-big-to-fail” (TBTF) guarantees on big and small US financial institutions’ stock prices during the 2008-2009 banking crisis. Design/methodology/approach – The paper analyzes shocks to stock market investors’ expectations of government aid to banks in distress and respective spillover effects using an event study approach. We focus on three major events in late 2008, namely, the Lehman bankruptcy, the Citigroup bailout and the first announcement of the Capital Purchase Program (CPP) by the US Government. Findings – The authors found significant differences in market reactions to the respective events between small and large banks. For both the Lehman and the CPP event, abnormal returns on big banks’ stocks are negative, while small banks’ stocks tend to generate positive abnormal returns. In contrast, large banks strongly outperform small banks in the case of the Citigroup bailout. Results for a control group of non-financial firms indicate that this behavior may be specific to the banking industry. The authors observed significant spillover effects to both competitors and non-competitors of Lehman and Citigroup, and concluded that while the Lehman event shook the widely held belief in an implicit TBTF subsidy to large banks, the TBTF doctrine was reinstated shortly thereafter. Originality/value – This paper shows that conjectural TBTF guarantees are priced in by equity investors. While government aid to large banks in distress may prevent negative effects on the stability of the financial system, it may also create negative externalities by putting small banks at a competitive disadvantage. The findings suggest that US and European regulators’ recent policy measures directed at establishing reliable bank resolution schemes should be a step in the right direction to level the playing field for small and large financial institutions.

Market reactions to the inclusion of people with disabilities

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Araceli Hernández González
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
People With Disabilities ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Research Advance ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis study aims to provide evidence of market reactions to organizations' inclusion of people with disabilities. Cases from financial journals in 1989–2014 were used to analyze the impact of actions taken by organizations to include or discriminate people with disabilities in terms of the companies' stock prices.Design/methodology/approachThis research is conducted as an event study where the disclosure of information on an organization's actions toward people with disabilities is expected to impact the organization's stock price. The window of the event was set as (−1, +1) days. Stock prices were analyzed to detect abnormal returns during this period.FindingsResults support the hypotheses that investors value inclusion and reject discrimination. Furthermore, the impact of negative actions is immediate, whereas the impact of positive actions requires at least an additional day to influence the firm's stock price. Some differences among the categories were found; for instance, employment and customer events were significantly more important to a firm's stock price than philanthropic actions. It was observed that philanthropic events produce negative abnormal returns on average.Originality/valueThe event study methodology provides a different perspective to practices in organizations regarding people with disabilities. Moreover, the findings in this research advance the literature by highlighting that organizations should consider policies and practices that include people with disabilities.

The stock market’s reaction to accounting information: the cases of Chile and Peru

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 254-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricio Melgarejo ◽  
Eduardo Montiel ◽  
Luis Sanz
Keyword(s):  
Latin American ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Small Firms ◽  
Accounting Information ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyze the stock price and volume reactions around firms’ earnings announcement dates in two Latin American stock markets: Chile and Peru. Design/methodology/approach – This study uses multivariate regression analysis to determine the impact of accounting information on stock prices and volume traded around the firms’ earnings announcement dates. Findings – The authors find that quarterly earnings surprises explain stock abnormal returns and abnormal trading volumes around the earnings announcement dates in the Santiago (Chile) and Lima (Peru) stock exchanges. The authors also find that these two effects are driven by small firms. Originality/value – This is one of the first articles to study the price and volume reactions to accounting information in Latin American stock markets.

How does capital market respond to Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) announcements in India

2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (7) ◽  
pp. 950-965 ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveen Kumar ◽  
Mohammad Firoz
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Emission Reductions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) information and a firm’s stock prices. Design/methodology/approach The present study is based on 193 CERs announcements by Indian firms over a 13-year period 2005–2017. The event study methodology is used to examine the impact of CERs announcements on a firm’s share prices. Findings The study suggests that the issuance of CERs did not produce any significant abnormal return. More specifically, the outcomes of event study shows that over a two-day event window from the event day to the day after the event (i.e. days 0 to 1), the mean and median of AARs are −0.25 and −0.34 percent, respectively. The abnormal returns on day 1 are not statistically significant as per the t-test. Moreover, the mean and median of abnormal returns after one day (−1) are negative, indicating that investors react negatively to CERs announcements. However, the mean and median of CAARs over both the two-day (i.e. days −1 to 0 and days 0 to +1) and three-day (i.e. days −1 to +1) event windows are positive, but not statistically significant based on the t-test. Research limitations/implications The findings of the study are quite comprehensive, relatively used only market-based criteria of a firm’s financial performance, e.g., share price, at times, inhibits generalizing the results. Originality/value To the best of the author’s knowledge, the present study is a first of its kind to investigate the relationship between the CERs information and a firm’s stock prices.

Did POM Wonderful leave an aftertaste?

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Steven Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Food Processing ◽  
Soft Drink ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Right ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to determine the impact of the Supreme Court’s ruling that POM Wonderful could sue Coca-Cola, a competitor, for misrepresentation of their products. This decision has the potential to alter the legal environment for soft drink and food processing firms.Design/methodology/approachThe author conducted an event study of the shareholder value effects of the court decision. The analysis estimates the market responses to the decisions. To control the effects of market-wide fluctuations, the author uses two alternative models of the returns generating process to calculate abnormal returns, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the Fama-French 3-factor models.FindingsThe author hypothesizes that soft drink firms will be negatively impacted by the Supreme Court’s decision, because it may limit their ability to market beverages with a low percentage of expensive juices. Consistent with this argument, the author finds that the stock prices of publicly traded soft drink firms reacted negatively to the announcement of the Supreme Court’s decision. The author also hypothesizes that there may be a spillover effect to food processing firms. These firms may also be at risk to being sued by competitors for exaggerated claims. Contrary to this argument, the author finds no spillover effect to other types of food processing firms. Thus, the decision did leave an aftertaste for the soft drink industry but not the food processing industry.Originality/valueThis study is the first to examine the impact of the right to sue competitors in the food industry for misrepresentation of products.

scholarly journals The Impact of Scandalous News in the Automobile Manufacture on Companies from the Same Industry: A Comparative Study on the Chinese and European Markets

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (23) ◽  
pp. 67
Author(s):  
Anastasia Mews
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Sales Growth ◽  
Chinese Market ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the effect of scandalous news on corporate reputation of rival firms from the same industry and investigates the effects’ differences in China and in Europe, providing evidence that scandalous news influences not only the target company itself, but also other companies from the industry. For this purpose, the paper uses the 2015 Volkswagen emissions scandal as a natural experiment. Volkswagen, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Audi and Porsche were selected as sample companies. To measure reputational spillover effects, cumulative abnormal stock returns and sales growth of the sample companies are calculated and compared before and after the announcement of the scandal. The methodology adopted for estimating stock returns is the event study method, which measures the impact of a specific event on the value of a firm. Stock price data is collected from Bloomberg and used to calculate cumulative abnormal returns of the sample companies. Furthermore, difference-in-differences estimation is used to compare the sample companies’ sales growth before and after the scandal. Volkswagen, Audi, BMW and Mercedes-Benz are included in the treatment group, whereas 29 non-German car manufacturers were selected as the control group. The results show that overall rival companies were affected by the scandal, cumulative abnormal returns declined by 6% and 10% for BMW and Mercedes-Benz respectively, showing the contagion effect. However, the sales growths of these two manufacturers greatly increased, specifically on the Chinese market for Mercedes-Benz and on the European market for BMW, proving dominance of the competitive effect and differences of the reputational spillover effects across countries.

Big is beautiful: the information content of bank rating changes

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 233-252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Fieberg ◽  
Finn Marten Körner ◽  
Jörg Prokop ◽  
Armin Varmaz
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Information Content ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Too Big To Fail ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Small Banks ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
Stock Market Reactions

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study the information content of about 3,300 global bank rating changes before and after the Lehman bankruptcy in September 2008 to assess if differences in stock market reactions for small and big banks emerge. Design/methodology/approach – The analysis of the stock market reactions of rating changes (upgrades and downgrades) and bank’s size (small and big) is conducted by an event study approach. Findings – The authors find that while upgrades are not associated with significant abnormal bank stock returns, downgrades have a significantly negative effect. This result holds for both small and big banks, while negative abnormal returns are considerably stronger for the former. For small banks, the authors observe an increase in negative cumulative abnormal returns post-Lehman. The lack of a reaction to large banks’ rating downgrades in the narrow [−1,+1] event window indicates that their stock prices may, to some extent, be insulated from negative rating information even post-Lehman, which the authors attribute to an implicit “too big to fail” subsidy anticipated by equity investors. Originality/value – This paper provides insights to the differences in the information content of changes in small and big banks’ credit rating on stock returns that is unrelated to the well-known size effect. Compared to small banks, big banks seem to some extent be insulated from negative rating changes even post-Lehman – contributing to the on-going too big to fail debate.

Local clientele: geography and comovement of stock returns

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 231-251 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahap Uysal ◽  
Seth Hoelscher
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Metropolitan Statistical Area ◽  
Individual Investor ◽  
Investor Attention ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Local Firms

Purpose Local investors have the ability to impact the stock prices and returns of local firms. However, the impact of news made by a firm on local investors and neighboring companies is absent from the academic literature. The purpose of this paper is to fill that void and examine how a local investor clientele affects the stock market reactions of firms located within the same geographic proximity as a news-generating firm. Design/methodology/approach After accounting for firm, industry, and geographic characteristics, this study examines how a firm’s dividend initiation announcement (positive news) influences stock prices of seemingly unrelated firms within the same metropolitan statistical area (MSA). Findings Dividend-paying firms located in areas with a higher percentage of dividend clientele experience a positive comovement reaction when a seemingly unrelated firm within the same MSA announces a dividend initiation. The positive reactions are specifically for dividend-paying firms, while non-dividend payers exhibit no significant response. These results are robust to numerous regression methods and alternative explanations. Practical implications These findings are consistent with the positive-investor-attention hypothesis, suggesting positive spillover effects from news announcements for other local firms in the presence of individual investor clientele. Originality/value This is the first study to link how news generated by one firm can influence other geographically local firms, providing evidence on the impact of individual investor clientele on stock returns of local non-news firms.

Cybercrime in Europe: surprising results of an expensive lapse

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Roškot ◽  
Isaac Wanasika ◽  
Zuzana Kreckova Kroupova
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Cyber Attacks ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of ransomware cyber-attacks “WannaCry” and “Petya” on stock prices of publicly traded companies in the European Union. The study analyses a set of case studies related to largest recent cybercrime events, which happened in the first half of 2017. The study answers two questions, what is the impact of cybercrime to public companies? How do cybercrime announcements and publications affect stock prices? Design/methodology/approach Using archival financial data, an event study methodology was used to assess the impact of cybercrime activity on market value of European companies affected during WannaCry and Petya ransomware attacks in 2017. Findings The results suggest that announcements of information breaches because of ransomware exploits have impact on stock market returns. There is evidence of positive investors` reactions to the announcements. Specifically, there was little impact of “Wannacry” ransomware attack on market returns. Although stock market reactions differ by the sector, the market was positively affected in general. Our analysis of the impact of the more aggressive “Petya attack,” aimed at destroying affected data found evidence that such information security breach leads to increased market returns. There were significant abnormal returns starting from the third day of the announcement. These findings contradict previous results and the literature related to the impact of cyber-attacks. Originality/value Contrary to previous findings, the results suggest that ransomware attacks lead to positive market returns. However, cybercrime and other types of cyber-attacks pose serious threats whose implications deserve further investigation. Different attacks may have different consequences and could be potentially damaging to a firm’s reputation. Thus, it is necessary for companies to avoid becoming victim of cybercrime. Information systems should be continuously monitored for vulnerabilities.

On the money: characterizing banking and lending in the California cannabis industry

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zoë Plakias ◽  
Margaret Jodlowski ◽  
Taylor Giamo ◽  
Parisa Kavousi ◽  
Keith Taylor
Keyword(s):  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Banking Regulation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Extensive And Intensive Margins ◽  
Quantitative Results ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Practical Implications

Purpose Despite 2016 legalization of recreational cannabis cultivation and sale in California with the passage of Proposition 64, many cannabis businesses operate without licenses. Furthermore, federal regulations disincentivize financial institutions from banking and lending to licensed cannabis businesses. The authors explore the impact of legal cannabis business activity on California financial institutions, the barriers to banking faced by cannabis businesses, and the nontraditional sources of financing used by the industry.Design/methodology/approach The authors use a mixed methods approach. The authors utilize call data for banks and credit unions headquartered in California and state cannabis licensing data to estimate the impact of the extensive and intensive margins of licensed cannabis activity on key banking indicators using difference-and-difference and fixed effects regressions. The qualitative data come from interviews with industry stakeholders in northern California's “Emerald Triangle” and add important context.Findings The quantitative results show economically and statistically significant impacts of licensed cannabis activity on banking indicators, suggesting both direct and spillover effects from cannabis activity to the financial sector. However, cannabis businesses report substantial barriers to accessing basic financial services and credit, leading to nontraditional financing arrangements.Practical implications The results suggest opportunities for cannabis businesses and financial institutions if regulations are eased and important avenues for further study.Originality/value The authors contribute to the nascent literature on cannabis economics and the literature on banking regulation and nontraditional finance.

scholarly journals The impact of rating classifications on stock prices of Brazilian companies

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernanda Pagin ◽  
Matheus da Costa Gomes ◽  
Rafael Moreira Antônio ◽  
Tabajara Pimenta Júnior ◽  
Luiz Eduardo Gaio
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Asset Allocation ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to identify if there is an impact of the rating announcements issued by the agencies on the returns of the stocks of Brazilian companies listed on Brasil Bolsa Balcão, from August 2002 to August 2018, identifying which types of announcement (upgrade, downgrade or the same initial classification) cause variations in prices around the date of disclosure of the rating. Design/methodology/approach The event study methodology was applied to verify the market reaction around the announcement dates in a 21-day event window (−10, +10). The market model was used to calculate the abnormal returns (ARs), and subsequently, the accumulated ARs. Findings The hypotheses tests allowed to verify that the accumulated ARs are different, before and after the three types of rating announcements (upgrades, downgrades and the same classification); in upgrades, the mean of accumulated ARs increases in the days before the event, while in downgrades, this increase occurs after the event. This paper concluded that the rating announcements have an impact on the return of stock of the Brazilian market and that the market reaction occurs most of the time before the event happens, which indicates that the market can anticipate the information contained in the changes in credit ratings. Practical implications The results have considerable implications for portfolio managers, institutional investors and traders. It facilitates investment decision-making in the face of rating classification announcements. Market participants can pay more attention to their investment strategies and asset allocation during periods of risk rating announcements. Additionally, traders can understand the form of investment strategy for superior earnings. Originality/value The importance of the study is related to the fact that the results may explain the causes of specific movements in the Brazilian financial market related to a source of information that may or may not be able to influence the decisions of the financial agents that operate in this market. The justification is centred on the idea that, for investors who somehow react to the announcements, it is relevant to understand the impact of rating classifications on companies, as access to such information allows for more conscious decision-making.

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