UK Labour Party is unlikely to split before 2020 vote

Significance While 62% of party members and registered supporters voted for Corbyn, over 80% of members of parliament (MPs) supported a vote of no confidence against him on June 28. However, the current crisis engulfing the party has deeper roots than Corbyn's leadership. Impacts A comfortable Conservative victory at the next election is highly probable. Labour's woes mean that the real dividing line in UK politics is currently between the right and centrist wings of the Conservative Party. Labour's struggle for a clear identity is shared by other European centre-left parties, including Germany's Social Democrats. Corbyn appeals to the radical left while traditional working-class voters increasingly favour the identity politics of the populist right.

Significance The new government will have only 34 of the 179 seats, because policy differences among the right-wing parties, and the political strategy of the electorally strengthened anti-immigration, Euro-sceptic Danish People's Party (DF), mean DF will remain outside. Policy-making will be difficult. The government will be more economically liberal and pro-EU than it would have been with DF, but to make policy it will rely on partners across the political spectrum, especially the ousted Social Democrats -- who remain the largest party -- and DF. Impacts If DF is seen as a welfarist protector of ordinary citizens, it is more likely to repeat, at least, its 22% vote in the next election. The much-tighter immigration regime which is in prospect could taint Denmark's image and make it less attractive to foreign investment. The new government is likely to be an ally for much of UK Prime Minister David Cameron's EU reform agenda.


Author(s):  
James Retallack

This chapter begins by examining the violent street protests in 1905 in favor of suffrage reform in Saxony. At this time, the authority of Saxony’s state ministry reached a new low, and opponents of Social Democracy were forced to temporize even as they considered which suffrage reform proposals to adopt. Then the culture of working-class protest is examined from the perspective of Social Democracy’s new confidence and bourgeois fears of “the rabble.” This chapter’s second section examines the setback suffered by Social Democrats in the Reichstag election of 1907, and the lessons they and their enemies learned. This section examines the reasons for Social Democratic losses in Saxony, which included a new willingness on the Right to undertake the hard labor of grass-roots agitation. Yet the Right still sought to slow or halt Germany’s political democratization.


Significance On September 11, Norwegian voters signalled their continued confidence in Solberg and her centre-right coalition government. After a very close election in which all governing parties lost ground, those on the right defended their parliamentary majority, even as two potential coalition members appear reluctant to join the government. Impacts The largest electoral victor, the Centre Party, gained eight new seats, reflecting a growing rural-urban divide. The small Christian Democrats have become an effective kingmaker. The once-ostracised Progress Party has been normalised and maintained its grassroots support, despite participating in government. The Labour Party will undergo a critical evaluation of its campaign strategy and electoral defeat, with a likely change in leadership. The new parliament will contain more female representatives than ever in its history: 69, or 41%.


Significance Members of Parliament (MPs) opposed to a no-deal Brexit have won a crucial vote that will allow them to take control of the parliamentary timetable today and table a motion to block a no-deal Brexit on October 31, which they are expected to win. Impacts If legislation is not approved before prorogation, it will be wiped out, as a new parliamentary session will commence on October 14. An early general election could prove, in effect, a second referendum on Brexit. The Conservatives, following the deselection of dissidents, will have a much clearer Brexit strategy in the election than the Labour Party. Under a no-deal scenario, London would be negotiating the future UK-EU relationship with less leverage as a non-member state. Brexit, deal or no deal, will be the prelude to the negotiation of a final relationship with the EU that could prove highly contentious.


Author(s):  
Kelly Bogue

This chapter raises questions about the concept of ‘community’ and place attachment in the midst of neoliberal restructuring and ideas around the ‘big society’ by reflecting on the experiences of participants who feel threatened with displacement. It explores how a perception of forced displacement creates a feeling that community is being deliberately undermined by outside forces. Tenants who must re-join social housing waiting lists in order to downsize face the reality of the current crisis in social housing. At the local level, the re-allocation of homes is highly visible leading to resentment and tension about who belongs and who has the right to belong. When home and community are threatened nativism will manifest and claims to entitlements staked. This chapter follows chapter 5 in highlighting the ruptures in and between the working class over access to housing.


1992 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-150 ◽  
Author(s):  
David M. Rayside

AbstractInstitutionalized homophobia in England has been intensified over the last decade, linked to concerns about “permissiveness” so prominent within the lower middle classes so courted by the modern Conservative party. However, anti-gay norms have long been embedded in working-class and middle-class cultures, more than in continental European and North American societies. Moralistic crusades against homosexuality have been common in England, and are still reinforced by the police, the courts and especially the tabloid press. Opposition has been roused within Labour party and Liberal/Liberal Democratic circles, but often reluctantly, and framed by a limited form of tolerance.


1952 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 102-120
Author(s):  
M. A. Fitzsimons

The british elections of October 25 gave the Conservative Party a small majority of 17 members in the House of Commons, although the popular vote provided a majority of 200,000 for the Labour Party. Parliament, however, is the supreme power in the British government and the discrepancy between popular vote and parliamentary results will not seriously shake the self-confidence of the Conservative Party. Members of the Labour Party, less sober and responsible in opposition, will doubtless characterize the Conservative government as a freak and an accident. But British traditions sanction the illogical workings of electoral machinery.


Author(s):  
Mark Stuart

This chapter examines the role of whips and rebellious Members of Parliament (MPs) in the UK Parliament. Whips are MPs or peers who are responsible for managing the Members of their party, and in particular for ensuring that party Members vote in line with their party's policy. The whips are often regarded as bullies and cajolers, whereas MPs are seen as spineless and overly loyal. The chapter first considers the myths and reality about whips before discussing the growing rebelliousness of MPs — that is, they vote against their party line in the division (voting) lobbies. It shows that these rebels have made the role of the whips much harder, citing as an example the case of the Coalition Government of 2010–2015, where the government whips had to try to satisfy the demands of two parties — Liberal Democrats and the Conservative Party.


2014 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 434-452
Author(s):  
Jiska Engelbert

This article explores how non-elitist discourse of members of a political party can be considered as rhetorically well-equipped and ideologically powerful in legitimising a party’s controversial political narrative. By drawing on a well-known contentious political project – the New Labour ‘project’ of the UK’s Labour Party – the article proposes a way for party members’ discourse to be considered for this mode relatively autonomous rhetorical agency. Incorporating conceptualisations and methodologies of rhetorical and discursive psychology, the analysis of Labour Party members’ reflections on New Labour reveals how rhetorical power operates beyond the level of people consistently drawing on particular linguistic or grammatical repertoires. The article concludes that that rhetorical agency is not confined to those with sophisticated access to and knowledge of language’s workings and postulates that discourses of legitimisation may be as characteristic for their contradictions and inconsistencies as they are for their universal principles and grammar-like organisation.


1981 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Marquand

WHATEVER MAY BE IN DOUBT ABOUT THE CURRENT CRISIS IN the Labour Party, one thing is clear. In a sense true of no other internal crisis in the 62 years since the loose and inchoate ‘Labour Alliance’ of 1900 first became a true political party, with individual members and a distinctive claim to power, the arguments which have provoked it concern the rules of the game as well as moves within the game: the way in which party decisions are made and enforced, as well as the content of the decisions themselves. This, of course, is why the arguments are so fierce and the crisis so deep. Policy defeats can be revised later if Fortune's wheel turns again. Constitutional defeats damage the losers permanently. It is true, no doubt, that both sides in the current struggle have exaggerated the likely consequences of the changes forced through at the October party conference. The old French saying that there is more in common between two deputies, one of whom is a Communist, than between two Communists, one of whom is a deputy has not suddenly lost all relevance to Westminster merely because Labour MPs will have to face compulsory reselection between general elections, or because the party leader is elected in an electoral college. Reselection will not re-make the Parliamentary Labour Party in the image of constituency management committees, and the creation of an electoral college will not free the leader from the need to win and hold the confidence of his parliamentary colleagues. When all the necessary qualifications have been made, however, there can be no doubt that the constitutional changes will shift the balance of party power to the advantage of the Left and to the detriment of the Right — as, of course, they were intended to do. That is what the struggle has been about; and the media have been right to concentrate their attention on that aspect of it.


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