UK Parliament is unlikely to stop no-deal Brexit

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Member State ◽  
Labour Party ◽  
General Election ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Members Of Parliament ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Eu

Significance Members of Parliament (MPs) opposed to a no-deal Brexit have won a crucial vote that will allow them to take control of the parliamentary timetable today and table a motion to block a no-deal Brexit on October 31, which they are expected to win. Impacts If legislation is not approved before prorogation, it will be wiped out, as a new parliamentary session will commence on October 14. An early general election could prove, in effect, a second referendum on Brexit. The Conservatives, following the deselection of dissidents, will have a much clearer Brexit strategy in the election than the Labour Party. Under a no-deal scenario, London would be negotiating the future UK-EU relationship with less leverage as a non-member state. Brexit, deal or no deal, will be the prelude to the negotiation of a final relationship with the EU that could prove highly contentious.

Divisions may limit rise of Europe's populist parties

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Member State ◽  
House Of Commons ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Members Of Parliament ◽  
Eu Policies ◽  
Election Victory ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Eu

Subject Divisions between populist parties. Significance Populist parties are having a growing impact on politics in Europe, partly through their success in elections, partly through the impact this success has had on centrist parties. Growing opposition to particular EU policies and the EU itself is perhaps the area where this impact has been most clearly evident -- but so far only in Greece has this led to an existential challenge to the relationship with a member state. Impacts Portugal has endured a bailout and ongoing austerity, but almost 80% of voters support one of the four traditional parties. Despite close links, Spain's Podemos has shifted its rhetoric about Greece's Syriza since the latter's January election victory. UKIP will probably not increase its representation in the House of Commons (currently two members of parliament).

Prospects for Europe in the third quarter

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Single Currency ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Third ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Eu ◽  
The Way

Subject Prospects for Europe in the third quarter. Significance For the rest of June and the third quarter, the EU will grapple with the future positions within the bloc of two member states, the United Kingdom and Greece. The period will see the resolution, one way or another, of the immediate crisis in Greece's relations with its international creditors. The way in which this takes place will have profound implications for the future of the single currency.

Migrants help keep Central European populists in power

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central Europe ◽  
Migration Policy ◽  
Refugee Crisis ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Central European ◽  
Eu Integration ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Eu

Subject Populists' exploitation of the refugee crisis in Central Europe. Significance Support for populist parties has risen after last year's refugee crisis across the EU, but nowhere have they been as successful as in Central Europe (CE). Peddling migrant fears has secured the re-election of Robert Fico's Smer (Slovakia) and the revival of Viktor Orban's Fidesz (Hungary) from a post-election popularity slump. On the back of the migration tide, populists are transforming CE's political trajectory. Impacts A united CE front will gain prominence at the EU, stoking tensions with Berlin on migration policy and the future of EU integration. The strengthened legitimacy of illiberal positions on migration will foster the emergence of imitators elsewhere in Europe. The chance of an EU-level, long-term solution to the refugee crisis will remain slim in the medium term.

Opposition split may mean more violence for Kosovo

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
The Other ◽  
Self Determination ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Future ◽  
United Front ◽  
The Government ◽  
The One ◽  
The Eu

Subject Kosovo's violent and fragmenting opposition. Significance Three parties which had formed a united front against the government have split into two camps. Vetevendosje (Self-Determination) is on the one side; the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK) and the Initiative for Kosovo (Nisma), which have formed a formal coalition, are on the other. The split strengthens the government's position. Impacts Further unrest will have damaging consequences for the economy, implementing the Brussels Agreement and Kosovo's passage towards the EU. The governing parties will gain from opposition disunity in any electoral contest, increasing the prospect of early elections. Kosovo's Serbs may implement the devolution aspects of the Brussels Agreement unilaterally, further exacerbating tensions.

Economic prospects may boost Dutch mainstream parties

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
The Netherlands ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Labour Party ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Healthcare Provision ◽  
Far Right ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Absolute ◽  
The Eu

Subject Political and economic consequences of austerity in the Netherlands. Significance The popularity of the Dutch governing parties has declined steadily since they came into power in 2012. The absolute winner in the polls continues to be the far-right Freedom Party (PVV) led by Geert Wilders. There are signs, however, that mainstream parties are coming back into favour, thanks to a combination of promising economic prospects and relatively stable immigration levels. Impacts The EU, healthcare provision, integration and care of the elderly are likely to be key themes during the election campaign. Calls for a referendum on the withdrawal of the Netherlands from the EU -- a 'Nexit' -- are likely to intensify. Prospects for the Labour Party in the next election will depend on whom the party elects as its leader.

Extending Brexit may be needed despite EU deal hopes

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Transition Period ◽  
General Election ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political Opinion ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Article 50 ◽  
The Eu

Subject Final stages of Brexit negotiations. Significance There has been much talk of the possibility of extending the Article 50 process to allow more time for further negotiations, and possibly a second referendum or a general election. With under 150 days to go until the United Kingdom is due to leave the EU, there is much debate about the circumstances under which a delay might be required and, if so, how it could be achieved. Impacts A new government may use an extended transition period to change or prevent Brexit. Calls of a second referendum will deeply polarise UK political opinion. The EU could decide to block an extension to the transition, heightening fears of a no-deal Brexit.

Far-right concerns could harm Austria’s coalition

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Member State ◽  
State Autonomy ◽  
Far Right ◽  
Content Type ◽  
People's Party ◽  
Government Relations ◽  
Anti Semitism ◽  
Tax Reduction ◽  
Share Information ◽  
The Eu

Subject Austrian intra-government relations. Significance Austria’s ruling coalition enjoys strong and stable support for its stance on immigration and tax reduction and its support for greater member-state autonomy within the EU. However, controversial immigration proposals from the Austrian Freedom Party (FPOe), the far-right junior partner in the coalition, have provoked a backlash from Chancellor Sebastian Kurz’s Austrian People’s Party (OeVP). He is now under pressure to crack down on some FPOe officials because of apparent indirect links to the Christchurch mosque killer. Impacts Austria’s relationship with Israel will remain uneasy, as Israel associates the FPOe with anti-Semitism. Austria is highly unlikely to join the UN migration pact while the FPOe is in government. Foreign intelligence agencies will be reluctant to share information with Austria as the FPOe controls the defence and interior ministries.

scholarly journals The Situation and Prospects of Hungarian Rural Development Preceding EU Accession

2004 ◽  
pp. 224-231
Author(s):  
Zoltán Fürj
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Rural Development ◽  
Member State ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Development Programs ◽  
Eu Accession ◽  
Long Period ◽  
The Future ◽  
The Eu

Today’s Hungarian rural development is defined by the fact, that Hungary will be a member state of the European Union from May 1, 2003. Our accession means the end of a long period, and new rural development programs that are going to build on the basic of previously accepted EU standards and experience will highlight the immediate future.From the Hungarian rural development programs I especially dealt with the SAPARD, AVOP and NVT, which in my opinion had and will have the greatest influence on the improvement of the Hungarian county. The AVOP and NVT are still under development (or just submitted to the EU), but their role in the future will be particularly essential, because these programs are going the act as the first programs in Hungary as a member state and a lot will depend on them in the improvement of the rural development.

EU comitology reform could politicise regulation

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Member State ◽  
European Commission ◽  
Interest Group ◽  
European Parliament ◽  
Member States ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Eu Regulation ◽  
Regulatory Decisions ◽  
The Eu ◽  
Final Reform

Subject Proposed reform of the EU comitology procedure. Significance The little-known ‘comitology’ procedure plays a key role in EU regulation. In recent years, this process has been breaking down as member-state expert representatives in comitology committees often abstain from voting, forcing the European Commission to take controversial decisions on its own (and accept any blame for them). In response, the Commission has proposed reforms that would pressure member states to take a position on (and hence political ownership of) controversial regulatory decisions. Impacts Government representatives, interest-group representatives and corporate lobbyists will be most affected by comitology reform. Despite adding transparency and avoiding blame-shifting to Brussels, the reforms would probably not help the EU’s image with citizens. The European Parliament might demand -- as part of any final reform package -- an increase in its involvement in the comitology process.

UK Labour Party is unlikely to split before 2020 vote

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Working Class ◽  
Identity Politics ◽  
Conservative Party ◽  
Labour Party ◽  
Current Crisis ◽  
Social Democrats ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Members Of Parliament ◽  
Party Members ◽  
The Right

Significance While 62% of party members and registered supporters voted for Corbyn, over 80% of members of parliament (MPs) supported a vote of no confidence against him on June 28. However, the current crisis engulfing the party has deeper roots than Corbyn's leadership. Impacts A comfortable Conservative victory at the next election is highly probable. Labour's woes mean that the real dividing line in UK politics is currently between the right and centrist wings of the Conservative Party. Labour's struggle for a clear identity is shared by other European centre-left parties, including Germany's Social Democrats. Corbyn appeals to the radical left while traditional working-class voters increasingly favour the identity politics of the populist right.

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