Honduras election may hinder murder probes

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Annual Report ◽  
The United States ◽  
The Political ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Profile ◽  
Domestic Security ◽  
American States ◽  
International Attention ◽  
Vested Interests ◽  
The Government

Significance A report released by international NGO Global Witness in January found that violence against such individuals was growing, and was frequently linked to vested interests in the political and military spheres. While the murder of high-profile indigenous activist Berta Caceres last March -- cited in Amnesty International's Annual Report released yesterday -- prompted the government to pledge a crackdown on such violence, the trend does not yet appear to be reversing. Impacts A new anti-corruption accord with the Organization of American States should underpin Hernandez’s domestic security credentials. Increased criminal deportations from the United States could have a serious impact on security. The international attention generated by Global Witness may encourage the Mission against Corruption and Impunity to shift its priorities.

Election reinforces the regime’s control of Algeria

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Political System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
The Political ◽  
Young Generation ◽  
National Liberation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Liberation Front ◽  
The Government

Significance The National Liberation Front (FLN) and Democratic National Rally (RND) received the most seats, as expected, amid widespread voter apathy. Impacts The government will continue its austerity strategy in response to the low oil price, and face more social tension and protests. The young generation will lose even more trust in the political system and opt for protest, resignation and emigration. The supporters of security and economic cooperation with the United States within the regime were strengthened.

Al-Shabaab's threat to Somalia's capital will persist

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Political Process ◽  
The United States ◽  
Political Transition ◽  
Terrorist Attacks ◽  
The Political ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Profile ◽  
Soft Targets

Significance This is the latest in a series of deadly terrorist attacks attributed to al-Shabaab since late July hitting high-profile targets in Mogadishu. The militant group is succeeding in carrying out these strikes as the country prepares for a political transition. Impacts The United States and other Western backers of the Somali government will step up security support to safeguard the elections. Al-Shabaab will accelerate complex attacks into November aimed at soft targets. The attacks will fail to disrupt upcoming indirect elections but could undermine confidence in security and the political process.

Congolese political upheaval will fuel unrest

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Political Violence ◽  
The United States ◽  
The Political ◽  
Mass Graves ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Security Environment ◽  
Political Upheaval ◽  
International Attention ◽  
Conducting Research ◽  
Mining Regions

Significance The Council’s decision came as a fragile political agreement struck at the new year unravels, with security deteriorating in several parts of the country. The spike in unrest drew international attention when the UN confirmed that two experts conducting research on mass graves in Kasai were found slain after being abducted with their Congolese colleagues just days before the Council’s vote. Impacts The United States appears indifferent to the UN mission and may play a limited role if turmoil escalates. Opposition splits could limit the salience of political violence while further fragmenting the security environment. Unrest related to the political standoff is currently not affecting the main mining regions. Chances for holding credible, inclusive and legitimate elections this year appear remote.

Maduro risks mounting militarisation in Venezuela

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Military Intervention ◽  
The United States ◽  
Political Crisis ◽  
General Assembly ◽  
Security Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
American States ◽  
Course Of Action ◽  
The Government

Significance It is as yet unclear whether the police officer in question acted alone, although he apparently once worked for former Interior and Justice Minister Miguel Rodriguez Torres, who, the government claims, is linked to the CIA and whose arrest has reportedly been ordered. The death toll in ongoing anti-government protests continues to rise, now totalling an estimated 75 since April. The failure of the Organization of American States (OAS) to agree a resolution on Venezuela at its General Assembly has emboldened Caracas while demonstrating the inability of the regional body to determine a course of action that can help to resolve the country’s political crisis. Impacts Violence will continue as the opposition relies on protests to weaken the government and erode participation in the assembly elections. Each protest-related death is serving to entrench a paralysing cycle of demonstration and repression. As the OAS flounders, the United States will likely move unilaterally to impose new sanctions on Venezuelan officials. Changes to military figures in the government will deepen political rifts between different elements and factions in the security sector. Yesterday's attack suggests that, in the event of a serious military intervention, this would be violent and bloody.

Nigeria readies for far-reaching, complex oil reform

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Petroleum Industry ◽  
The United States ◽  
Structural Reforms ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Global Context ◽  
Vested Interests ◽  
The Government ◽  
Policy Direction ◽  
Oil And Gas Sector

Significance The announcement mirrors the structural reforms first envisaged in the long-delayed Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB). President Muhammadu Buhari's policy direction in the oil and gas sector will determine the economy's stability in a global context of declining oil prices, set the pace for other important economic reforms, and be indicative of the government's ability to rein in vested interests. Impacts Brent crude's latest price drop from early June reveals persistent downside demand pressures. Nigeria has partially offset the slowdown in exports to the United States; Indian refineries recently became the largest buyers. Economic vulnerabilities will persist so long as the government fails to diversify its base of foreign exchange receipts.

Venezuela economic angst boosts political turbulence

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Attorney General ◽  
The United States ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
The Political ◽  
Policy Reforms ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Assembly ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Significance Over the holiday period, the government seized the political initiative ahead of a difficult year that will end with legislative elections. Maduro reshuffled his foreign policy team and announced a six-month economic recovery plan, before heading to China to secure a reported 20 billion dollars of new financing. In the National Assembly, the ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) broke with its own constitution to renew judicial, electoral and citizen powers (ombudsman, attorney general and comptroller general) amid claims of opposition filibustering. Impacts Tentative economic policy reforms will not keep pace with the impact of oil price falls. A divided opposition will be focused on the pending anniversary of last year's violent protests. Following sanctions in December, the United States will increase pressure over the trial of opposition leader Leopoldo Lopez.

Libya intervention will heighten Egypt security risks

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
The United States ◽  
Islamic State ◽  
Security Risks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Military Aid ◽  
High Profile ◽  
Security Challenges ◽  
The Government ◽  
State Group ◽  
North Sinai

Significance The government faces three security challenges: an intensifying jihadist insurgency in North Sinai; a persistent campaign of sabotage from Muslim Brotherhood-connected underground groups in Cairo, Alexandria, Suez and parts of Middle Egypt; and the rise of the Islamic State group (ISG) across the Libyan border. The most serious recent incidents have been simultaneous assaults on multiple targets in Sinai by ISG-affiliated insurgents on January 29, and Egyptian air raids on ISG targets in Libya on February 16 following ISG's execution of 21 Egyptian Copts in Libya. Impacts The rising terrorist threat will help Sisi justify crackdowns on protest and dissent more widely. Egypt can sustain airstrikes in Libya, but any ground intervention would degrade Egypt's military's effectiveness rapidly. The United States will be more likely to increase military aid, including F-16 fighter planes. Redeployment of forces to reinforce Libyan border and major cities will reduce the pressure on Sinai militants. High-profile attacks are likely to dampen a recovery in tourism and investment.

Pandemic may drive new wealth taxes in Latin America

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Social Welfare ◽  
The Political ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Latin Americans ◽  
Tax Revenues ◽  
Wealth Tax ◽  
The Government ◽  
Political Spectrum ◽  
Tax Cuts

Significance The region’s current tax and spending policies redistribute very little. The COVID-19 pandemic brought a deep and persistent recession, despite new spending, tax cuts and monetary easing aimed at limiting the damage. In December, the government of Argentina, which was particularly hard hit, passed a temporary (and additional) net wealth tax on the very richest households. Impacts OECD-led transparency efforts offer the long-sought possibility of taxing the foreign assets of wealthy Latin Americans. The pandemic will increase both existing inequalities and the need for tax revenues to finance social welfare and stimulus spending. Efforts to strengthen tax collection more broadly will likely be undertaken by governments across the political spectrum.

Energy reform will hit investor confidence in Mexico

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Trade Agreements ◽  
The United States ◽  
Energy Prices ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Confidence ◽  
International Trade Agreements ◽  
The Government ◽  
Energy Reform

Significance The government will appeal the rulings, which follow action by renewables firms. With constitutional battles over energy investments already unfolding, the future of Mexico’s energy framework has been thrown into turmoil. Impacts Increasing energy prices will probably push inflation above Banxico’s upper target limit of 4%. AMLO’s apparent disregard for international trade agreements will strain relations with the United States. AMLO’s pro-austerity fiscal stance could take a toll on his popularity.

the presidential and the semi-presidential system

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peshraw Mohammed Ameen
Keyword(s):  
Political System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Realistic Model ◽  
The Political ◽  
Kurdistan Region ◽  
Political Responsibility ◽  
Parliamentary System ◽  
Head Of State ◽  
Presidential System ◽  
The Government

In this research we dealt with the aspects of the presidential system and the semi-presidential system, and he problematic of the political system in the Kurdistan Region. Mainly The presidential system has stabilized in many important countries, and the semi-presidential concept is a new concept that can be considered a mixture of parliamentary and presidential principles. One of the features of a semi-presidential system is that the elected president is accountable to parliament. The main player is the president who is elected in direct or indirect general elections. And the United States is a model for the presidential system, and France is the most realistic model for implementing the semi-presidential system. The French political system, which lived a long period under the traditional parliamentary system, introduced new adjustments in the power structure by strengthening the powers of the executive authority vis-à-vis Parliament, and expanding the powers of the President of the Republic. In exchange for the government while remaining far from bearing political responsibility, and therefore it can be said that the French system has overcome the elements of the presidential system in terms of objectivity and retains the elements of the parliamentary system in terms of formality, so it deserves to be called the semi-presidential system. Then the political system in the Kurdistan Region is not a complete parliamentary system, and it is not a presidential system in light of the presence of a parliament with powers. Therefore, the semi-presidential system is the most appropriate political system for this region, where disputes are resolved over the authority of both the parliament and the regional president, and a political system is built stable. And that because The presence of a parliamentary majority, which supports a government based on a strategic and stable party coalition, which is one of the current problems in the Kurdistan region. This dilemma can be solved through the semi-presidential system. And in another hand The impartiality of the head of state in the relationship with the government and parliament. The head of state, with some relations with the government, can participate in legislative competencies with Parliament.

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