Egypt insecurity will persist through Sisi’s new term

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Nile Delta ◽  
Living Standards ◽  
Nile Valley ◽  
Cost Of Living ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Government Failure ◽  
The North ◽  
Desert Areas ◽  
The Military

Significance The military launched 'Operation Sinai 2018' on February 9 to “confront terrorism”, covering the north and middle Sinai, the Nile Delta and the desert areas west of the Nile valley. The operation comes as President Abdel Fatah el-Sisi gears up for re-election on March 26-28. Impacts Public opinion remains broadly supportive of the president, but this could change if violence reaches Cairo. Most Egyptians will be more preoccupied with the rising cost of living than terrorism. Government failure to improve living standards will increase dissatisfaction despite the completion of ‘mega-projects’.

Nigerian insecurity could worsen after polls

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
North Central ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The North ◽  
The Military

Significance Attacks by Boko Haram’s two factions pose the greatest immediate danger, but insecurity from banditry in Zamfara and Sokoto states and inter-communal conflicts across much of the north-central ‘Middle Belt’ could impinge on the elections and after. Impacts An over-extended military and partisan political divisions will hamper the development of a coordinated counterinsurgency response. Journalists and human rights groups could face a growing clampdown over critical reporting on the military. Ethnic and religious-inspired Middle Belt clashes risk disrupting polling in rural areas and fuelling worsening cycles of reprisal violence.

Kidal will be test of the state's return to north Mali

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Far North ◽  
The North ◽  
North Eastern ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Military ◽  
Northern City

Subject Kidal's significance. Significance In mid-February, the government deployed 600 soldiers and auxiliary forces to the far north-eastern city of Kidal and 200 more to Timbuktu, another key northern city. There are also plans to deploy troops to Menaka and Taoudenit. All these towns have been under the de facto control of shifting constellations of rebels, former rebels and militias since April 2012. The return of the military as part of a ‘reconstituted army’ consisting of one-third government soldiers, one-third former rebel fighters and one-third government-aligned militia members indicates a softening of tensions. Impacts The Kidal deployment may blunt some Western criticism of the Malian government’s performance. Legislative elections in March and talks with jihadists could yet change political balances in Kidal. Relations between the government and former rebels in the north are better now than in years. The Algiers Accord’s different provisions are so interconnected that the success of any one depends on agreement on multiple other elements.

Prospects for Afghan peace talks are dwindling

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Confidence ◽  
Security Strategy ◽  
National Unity ◽  
Open Spaces ◽  
Security Forces ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Civil Unrest ◽  
The North ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Military

Significance The attack was an attempt to undermine the nine month old national unity government headed by President Ashraf Ghani, who is already losing public confidence since the cabinet is still incomplete and the country still lacks a viable security plan. Meanwhile, Taliban gains in the north have prompted the government to arm local militias to bolster its security forces. According to UN figures, the insurgency has left 974 dead and 1,963 injured in the first four months of 2015 -- a 16% rise on 2014. Impacts Growing public discontent could open spaces for competing leaders and groups opposed to the government, threatening civil unrest. Absent a viable security strategy, NATO may slow the military drawdown, implying extended involvement. Foreign investors, especially China, could renege on their investment commitments if the Taliban continue taking new territory.

Nigerian north-east relief gains could be reversed

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Niger Delta ◽  
Regional Security ◽  
Security Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political Situation ◽  
North East ◽  
The North ◽  
North Eastern ◽  
The Military

Significance Delivery of relief to 8.5 million people in north-eastern Nigeria is complicated by persistent insecurity due to the Boko Haram insurgency, the dependency of the aid community on military cooperation for access, alleged corruption and mismanagement by government agents and contractors, an uncertain domestic political situation and ambiguity about mid-term funding from international sources. These challenges have led to an enduring humanitarian disaster and the possibility of reversals on the regional security front. Impacts Political uncertainty due to President Muhammadu Buhari’s poor health will hamper national efforts on the humanitarian front. An unimproved humanitarian situation will complicate the military’s counter-insurgency campaign, and harm long-term security efforts. Ongoing corruption revelations, particularly within the military, could undermine security sector and federal executive relations. Renewed Niger Delta militancy and pro-Biafra separatism could distract the federal government's attention from the north-east.

Yemen's tribes will gain power from Huthi conflict

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Living Standards ◽  
Central State ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Withdrawal Of Support ◽  
The Military ◽  
Substantial Rise

Significance Yemen's tribes have played a powerful role in the country's post-2011 uprising conflicts. Their withdrawal of support from former President Ali Abdallah Saleh fuelled the protests and the split in the military that led to his overthrow in November 2011. In the current conflict, as a Saudi-led military coalition seeks to defeat Huthi rebels and reinstate the Hadi government in the capital, all sides are seeking to mobilise Yemen's tribes to support them. Impacts The Saudi-led coalition will be unable to go ahead with a military offensive on Sana'a without tribal support. Tribes will remain strong so long as the central state remains weak. Without a substantial rise in living standards, jihadist groups will continue to attract recruits among tribes and other Yemenis.

Political role for Nigerian army would amplify risks

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Poor Performance ◽  
National Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Political Role ◽  
The North ◽  
Significant Damage ◽  
Army Officers ◽  
Dialogue Process ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Military

Subject Military and politics in Nigeria. Significance The military is in its third week of the renewed fight against Boko Haram, an operation used as rationale to delay national elections. The long and bitter campaign against the militants has inflicted significant damage to military morale and prestige. It has contributed to growing divisions between military ranks, at a time when army officers are getting increasingly involved in the political sphere. The elections rescheduled for March 28 (presidential and parliamentary) and April 11 (gubernatorial) may begin to highlight the risks of the military's fragmentation. Impacts A Buhari presidency would likely replace the military and defence high command, given personal animosities and poor performance. It would also seek to better equip the army than attempt another dialogue process with northern militants, which would lack credibility. However, focusing on the north to the detriment of latent tensions in the Niger Delta would be equally dangerous for the stability outlook.

German-Russian ties should survive Navalny attack

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Natural Gas ◽  
Content Type ◽  
North West ◽  
Natural Gas Pipeline ◽  
The North ◽  
Intelligence Services ◽  
Nord Stream ◽  
The Baltic ◽  
The Military ◽  
The Eu

Significance Leading politicians have called for the cancellation for the Nord Stream 2 (NS2) natural gas pipeline from Russia to Germany, while NATO and the EU are considering fresh sanctions on Russian individuals in the military and intelligence services. Impacts Germany will likely increase its capacity for importing US LNG, focusing on the Wilhelmshaven and Brunsbuettel terminals in the north-west. Russia's questioning of Germany's investigation of the poisoning will make Berlin more vigilant over Russian disinformation efforts. Continuing to 'work' with Russia could undermine German credibility in Poland, the Baltic states and Ukraine.

Jihadists will try to provoke new Burkinabe faultlines

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Religious Pluralism ◽  
Armed Forces ◽  
Religious Leaders ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Profile ◽  
The Past ◽  
Christian Churches ◽  
The North ◽  
The Military

Subject Burkinabe jihadists' tactics. Significance Over the past month, jihadist insurgents have begun attacking Christian churches and worshippers. With Burkina Faso enjoying a reputation for religious pluralism and tolerance, this is likely an attempt to push non-Muslims out of the north of the country, while also turning Christians and Muslims against each other. Following earlier successful attempts to provoke community confrontations along ethnic lines, this new jihadist tactic is testing the government’s ability to pursue counterinsurgency measures and preserve social cohesion. Impacts Influential ethnic and religious leaders will likely begin to take more prominent roles in mediating local conflicts. The authorities’ inability to effectively manage other social unrest could see its popularity weaken before the 2020 polls. Civil society activists will become more vocal in their scrutiny of the armed forces and its human rights record. Following recent high-profile hostage kidnappings, the military is tightening coordination with both Benin and Niger.

THE POVERTY REDUCTION SOLUTIONS FOR ETHNIC MINORITIES IN THE NORTH EASTERN BORDER AREA USING THE MARKET ACCESS

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Phi Hung Cuong ◽  
Vu Van Anh
Keyword(s):  
Ethnic Minorities ◽  
Poverty Reduction ◽  
Market Access ◽  
Poverty Rate ◽  
Living Standards ◽  
Mountainous Areas ◽  
Important Indicator ◽  
The North ◽  
North Eastern ◽  
Eastern Border

Income is an important indicator for assessing the level of economy development as well as identifying and assessing living standards. The population in Northeast border is poor, facilities are outdated, people’s life is difficult, but it hold great potentials for economic development. However, the region’s biggest challenge today is low living standards and high poverty rate. Differences in income and living standards across regions and strata tend to increase the gap. The sustainability of the trend of income increase and improvement of living standards of the population is not stable. As a result, the development of mountainous areas is dependent on poverty reduction solutions for ethnic minorities through the increase of incomes and improvement of market connectivity for ethnic minorities in mountainous areas.

Wage disparities between high and low wage cities with and without the cost of living within Punjab and Sindh: An application of Oaxaca-Blinder using PSLM with HIES

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Farrukh Mahmood ◽  
Shumaila Hashim ◽  
Uzma Iram ◽  
Muhammad Zubair Chishti
Keyword(s):  
Estimation Method ◽  
Living Standards ◽  
Wage Dispersion ◽  
Cost Of Living ◽  
Wage Policy ◽  
Essential Component ◽  
Sindh Province ◽  
Economic Survey ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Wage Disparities

Wage disparities research hardly incorporate for the cost of living differences due to data restriction, while the wage disparity issue is the crucial area of economist interest. The study aims to examine the wage disparities between high and low wage cities for Punjab and Sindh province of Pakistan with and without the cost of living, deploying the data of Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Survey (PSLM) with Household Integrated Economic Survey (HIES) for 2005, 2007, 2010, and 2013. Applying the Oaxaca-Blinder estimation method, the findings infer that wage dispersion is high without the cost of living model for both provinces (Punjab and Sindh) as compared to with cost of the living model. Moreover, the results reveal that the wage dispersion is greater in Punjab province than Sindh province. For policymakers, our study suggests that the cost of living is an essential component of the wage dispersion in Pakistan’s cities; it should be considered while formulating for wage policy.

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