Nigerian government will look to prevent more protests

Significance However, except in a few states, these panels have been slow to start restitution processes. Their existence was recently threatened by a legal challenge -- now withdrawn -- by the Nigeria Police Force (NPF), reflecting the authorities’ latest attempts to halt renewed mobilisation of the ‘#EndSARS’ movement. Impacts #EndSARS-affiliated civil society groups could prove an influential youth voting bloc in the 2023 presidential election. A new youth-based party may emerge before the 2023 polls but would struggle to dismantle the dominant two-party system. The decision by most state panels of inquiry to stop accepting new petitions will undermine public confidence in their work and findings.

Significance Kenya has been rocked by a string of corruption scandals in government institutions over recent weeks. The episode has served as a powerful reminder to both ordinary Kenyans and foreign investors that public-sector corruption remains pervasive -- and that President Uhuru Kenyatta’s government has failed to make significant inroads on the issue despite its rhetorical claims of ‘zero tolerance’. Impacts The lack of progress in anti-corruption efforts will raise concern among donor countries. Along with other barriers, evidence of corruption will limit FDI and constrain GDP growth in the medium term. Failure to tackle graft will erode public confidence in the political system, leading to further civil society protests.


Subject Crisis within the Colombian police force. Significance On April 11, former police Captain Anyelo Palacios was fired following claims that during his time as a cadet, he fell victim to a prostitution ring run by a former national police chief, General Rodolfo Palomino. Those allegations saw Palomino resign on February 17. These are the latest developments in a series of scandals that have damaged the reputation of the Colombia National Police (PNC) and exacerbated infighting, threatening to undermine the force's capacity to deal with security threats at a key time ahead of peace agreements with the guerrillas. Impacts Any radical initiatives to reform the PNC or address properly the main issues at hand are unlikely. While the PNC will probably introduce anti-corruption measures, corruption will continue, particularly outside urban centres. The PNC's efforts to dismantle criminal organisations will be widely publicised to regain public confidence. However, low morale may harm the PNC's efficacy and scandals could affect applicant numbers.


Significance Kenyatta's determination to push on with the poll comes after one of the seven IEBC commissioners, Roselyn Akombe, admitted publicly on October 18 that the IEBC could not guarantee a credible presidential election and subsequently fled to the United States. Her public admission came a week after Raila Odinga, the main opposition National Super Alliance (NASA) candidate, withdrew from the poll for which Kenyatta is vigorously campaigning. Impacts Prolonged political uncertainty will confirm to neighbouring countries the risks of regional infrastructure routes going through Kenya. A new Jubilee government may take some measures to curb the independence of institutions such as the courts. Rising civil society pressure calling for postponement of the poll is unlikely to be listened to by the authorities.


Significance Election campaigning has been both divisive and devoid of real substance. Salome Zurabishvili, officially an independent but endorsed by the ruling Georgian Dream-Democratic Georgia (GDDG) party, has run a controversial and unconvincing campaign. The opposition, although divided, has mounted an effective attack campaign against what it calls 'oligarch rule' by the GDDG's patron and head, Bidzina Ivanishvili. Impacts Post-election attacks on media and civil society groups would damage Georgia's democratic credentials. Reduced public confidence in institutions will damage Georgia's international standing. The prosecution service has been particularly tarnished by opposition allegations. Ivanishvili is back in the limelight but will struggle to control the political narrative.


Significance This 'infodemic' is particularly acute where leaders have actively denied the significance of COVID-19 (Burundi, Madagascar, Tanzania), and where government is widely distrusted (Nigeria). Although similar messages have been shared in most countries, they have gained less traction where governments have taken up a strong position on the need for containment measures (Kenya, South Africa). Impacts Harmful rumours and misinformation will hamper the ability of groups such as the Gates Foundation to respond to COVID-19 in Africa. Wilful efforts to cover up the scale of COVID-19 in several states may erode public confidence in the state if fatalities start to mount. Donors, civil society and global health groups will increase pressure on Facebook and Twitter to curb fake news amid failing state efforts.


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 111-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Morrell ◽  
Ben Bradford ◽  
Basit Javid

‘Confidence’ is widely taken to be a crucial measure of the relationship between citizens and public services such as policing. It is acknowledged that confidence is multifaceted and hard to measure, but often discussions are based on one ‘headline’ rating of a single item, for instance: ‘What is your level of confidence in…’. The subsequent focus for research is explaining what might drive ‘confidence’, or what it might predict. We are interested in a more fundamental question: what does it mean when we ask the public if they are ‘confident’ in policing? To answer this, we analyse extensive and detailed survey data specifically designed to measure public confidence, within the jurisdiction of a UK police force – West Midlands Police. We develop then validate a three-part model of confidence as trust, fairness and presence, and find good evidence to support this model across different waves of the survey. This extends existing literature with implications for policy.


Significance Although President Cyril Ramaphosa has publicly committed to increase funding to combat what he calls South Africa’s “second pandemic”, there is a lack of transparency in how the government disburses funds linked to its National Strategic Plan (NSP) on Gender-based Violence and Femicide. Impacts Civil society groups will increase pressure on the government to make expenditure on GBV programmes more transparent. A new private-sector fund to contribute to the NSP has received strong early support, but its management structure is opaque. High levels of GBV will not only have significant humanitarian and social costs but may deter much-needed foreign investment.


Significance Such programmes contribute not only to Indonesia’s efforts to boost the cyber readiness of its booming digital economy, but are also designed to maintain China's friendly relations with South-east Asia’s largest economy amid the intensifying technology tensions between China and the United States. Impacts The Personal Data Protection Law would need to clarify key provisions and concepts to be effective. The BSSN’s extensive powers will fuel civil society concerns about excessive state surveillance. Turning down Chinese technology suppliers carries cost and wider economic ramifications for Jakarta.


Author(s):  
Danny Singh

This book provides a unique study on the lower ranks of the Afghan police force due to the lack of empirical evidence of what attributes to the causes, practices and consequences of corruption in this institution. The book is divided into a number of sections. It commences with an understanding of how corruption, and narrowly police corruption, impact on the police force, state legitimacy and the strategies in place to mitigate such problems as part of broader security and post-conflict reconstruction initiatives. The theoretical framework comprises political, economic and cultural drivers of police corruption by drawing on semi-structured interviews with elites and a survey and structured interview conducted with street-level police officers. The findings infer that weak oversight and low pay are causes of police corruption which intensify bribery and roadside extortion. The lack of professionalism, partly due to short and unclear training, and patronage are deemed as meanings of police corruption. In terms of motivation, there is no sense of pride in Afghan policing to fulfil a clear mandate. Moreover, non-meritocratic recruitment is prevalent which exacerbates local influences, loyalties and job buying in either high-drug cultivating or urban areas. To curb patronage, police officers are rotated to distant provinces but economic hardship is further increased when catering for large families with fewer breadwinners. The book concludes that the problems with police corruption and failure to combat it results in low public confidence and state illegitimacy which can support violent opposition groups to create further instability in war-torn societies.


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