End-of-life Failure Probability Assessment Considering Electric Vehicle Integration

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinping Zhao ◽  
Ali Arefi ◽  
Alberto Borghetti
Keyword(s):  
End Of Life ◽  
Electric Vehicle ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Probability Assessment

scholarly journals Recollection center location for end-of-life electric vehicle batteries using fleet size forecast: Scenario analysis for Germany

Procedia CIRP ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 96 ◽  
pp. 260-265
Author(s):  
Ahmet Yükseltürk ◽  
Aleksandra Wewer ◽  
Pinar Bilge ◽  
Franz Dietrich
Keyword(s):  
End Of Life ◽  
Electric Vehicle ◽  
Scenario Analysis ◽  
Fleet Size ◽  
Center Location

Current status and perspectives on recycling of end-of-life battery of electric vehicle in Korea (Republic of)

2020 ◽  
Vol 106 ◽  
pp. 261-270 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Choi ◽  
Seung-Whee Rhee
Keyword(s):  
End Of Life ◽  
Electric Vehicle ◽  
Current Status

scholarly journals Recoverability Analysis of Critical Materials from Electric Vehicle Lithium-Ion Batteries through a Dynamic Fleet-Based Approach for Japan

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando Enzo Kenta Sato ◽  
Toshihiko Nakata
Keyword(s):  
Lithium Ion Batteries ◽  
End Of Life ◽  
Electric Vehicle ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Raw Material ◽  
Dynamics Modeling ◽  
Environmentally Sustainable ◽  
Wide Scale ◽  
Size Type ◽  
Critical Materials

This study aims to propose a model to forecast the volume of critical materials that can be recovered from lithium-ion batteries (LiB) through the recycling of end of life electric vehicles (EV). To achieve an environmentally sustainable society, the wide-scale adoption of EV seems to be necessary. Here, the dependency of the vehicle on its batteries has an essential role. The efficient recycling of LiB to minimize its raw material supply risk but also the economic impact of its production process is going to be essential. Initially, this study forecasted the vehicle fleet, sales, and end of life vehicles based on system dynamics modeling considering data of scrapping rates of vehicles by year of life. Then, the volumes of the critical materials supplied for LiB production and recovered from recycling were identified, considering variations in the size/type of batteries. Finally, current limitations to achieve closed-loop production in Japan were identified. The results indicate that the amount of scrapped electric vehicle batteries (EVB) will increase by 55 times from 2018 to 2050, and that 34% of lithium (Li), 50% of cobalt (Co), 28% of nickel (Ni), and 52% of manganese (Mn) required for the production of new LiB could be supplied by recovered EVB in 2035.

Failure Probability Assessment of Piping Systems Affected by SCC and Pipe Wall Thinning for LBB Analysis

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiromasa Chitose ◽  
Hideo Machida ◽  
Itaru Saito
Keyword(s):  
Failure Probability ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Pipe Wall ◽  
Probability Assessment ◽  
Wall Thinning ◽  
Piping Systems ◽  
Leak Before Break ◽  
Thinning Rate ◽  
Service Inspection

This paper provides failure probability assessment results for piping systems affected by stress corrosion cracking (SCC) and pipe wall thinning in nuclear power plants. On the basis of the results, considerations for applying the leak-before-break (LBB) concept in actual plants are presented. The failure probability for SCC satisfies the target failure probability even if conservative conditions are assumed. Moreover, for pipe wall thinning analysis, pre-service inspection is important for satisfying the target failure probability because the initial wall thickness affects the accuracy of the wall thinning rate. The pipe wall thinning analysis revealed that the failure probability is higher than the target probability if the bending stress in the pipe is large.

scholarly journals Tackling xEV Battery Chemistry in View of Raw Material Supply Shortfalls

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duygu Karabelli ◽  
Steffen Kiemel ◽  
Soumya Singh ◽  
Jan Koller ◽  
Simone Ehrenberger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
End Of Life ◽  
Electric Vehicle ◽  
Circular Economy ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Raw Material ◽  
Performance Expectations ◽  
Potential Market ◽  
Critical Materials ◽  
The Impact

The growing number of Electric Vehicles poses a serious challenge at the end-of-life for battery manufacturers and recyclers. Manufacturers need access to strategic or critical materials for the production of a battery system. Recycling of end-of-life electric vehicle batteries may ensure a constant supply of critical materials, thereby closing the material cycle in the context of a circular economy. However, the resource-use per cell and thus its chemistry is constantly changing, due to supply disruption or sharply rising costs of certain raw materials along with higher performance expectations from electric vehicle-batteries. It is vital to further explore the nickel-rich cathodes, as they promise to overcome the resource and cost problems. With this study, we aim to analyze the expected development of dominant cell chemistries of Lithium-Ion Batteries until 2030, followed by an analysis of the raw materials availability. This is accomplished with the help of research studies and additional experts’ survey which defines the scenarios to estimate the battery chemistry evolution and the effect it has on a circular economy. In our results, we will discuss the annual demand for global e-mobility by 2030 and the impact of Nickel-Manganese-Cobalt based cathode chemistries on a sustainable economy. Estimations beyond 2030 are subject to high uncertainty due to the potential market penetration of innovative technologies that are currently under research (e.g. solid-state Lithium-Ion and/or sodium-based batteries).

scholarly journals Evaluation of the End-of-Life of Electric Vehicle Batteries According to the State-of-Health

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 63 ◽  
Author(s):  
Casals ◽  
Rodríguez ◽  
Corchero ◽  
Carrillo
Keyword(s):  
End Of Life ◽  
Electric Vehicle ◽  
Statistical Methods ◽  
The State ◽  
Statistical Distributions ◽  
State Of Health ◽  
Battery Degradation ◽  
Daily Trip

As a result of monitoring thousands of electric vehicle charges around Europe, this study builds statistical distributions that model the amount of energy necessary for trips between charges, showing that most of trips are within the range of electric vehicle even when the battery degradation reaches the end-of-life, commonly accepted to be 80% State of Health. According to these results, this study analyses how far this End-of-Life can be pushed forward using statistical methods and indicating the provability of failing to fulfill the electric vehicle (EV) owners’ daily trip needs.

scholarly journals Modeling of Failure Probability for Reliability and Component Reuse of Electric and Electronic Equipment

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2843
Author(s):  
Massimo Conti ◽  
Simone Orcioni
Keyword(s):  
End Of Life ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Circular Economy ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Electrical Equipment ◽  
Electronic Systems ◽  
International Electrotechnical Commission ◽  
Fault Models ◽  
Component Reuse ◽  
Electronic Products

Recently, the concept of “circular economy”, the design for end-of-life, the problem of reduction of waste of electronic and electrical equipment are becoming more and more important. The design of electronic systems for end-of-life considers the possibility of their repair, reuse and recycle, in order to reduce waste. This work proposes a new accurate model of failure probability density, that includes the failure probability of a used component in new equipment. The model has been tested, in conjunction with the International Electrotechnical Commission and Telcordia standard, in real industrial production. Eight years of historical faults have been analyzed and used to derive the fault models of the components. The model and analysis have been used for the analysis of real electronic products. The reuse of components could make an improvement to the reliability of the equipment.

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