Annual Electricity Consumption Forecasting with Neural Network in High Energy Consuming Industrial Sectors of Iran

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ali Azadeh ◽  
Sara Sohrabkhani
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Energy Consuming

scholarly journals Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on a Bidirectional Long-Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 104
Author(s):  
Dana-Mihaela Petroșanu ◽  
Alexandru Pîrjan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Storage Room ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Commercial Center ◽  
Business And Management

The accurate forecasting of the hourly month-ahead electricity consumption represents a very important aspect for non-household electricity consumers and system operators, and at the same time represents a key factor in what regards energy efficiency and achieving sustainable economic, business, and management operations. In this context, we have devised, developed, and validated within the paper an hourly month ahead electricity consumption forecasting method. This method is based on a bidirectional long-short-term memory (BiLSTM) artificial neural network (ANN) enhanced with a multiple simultaneously decreasing delays approach coupled with function fitting neural networks (FITNETs). The developed method targets the hourly month-ahead total electricity consumption at the level of a commercial center-type consumer and for the hourly month ahead consumption of its refrigerator storage room. The developed approach offers excellent forecasting results, highlighted by the validation stage’s results along with the registered performance metrics, namely 0.0495 for the root mean square error (RMSE) performance metric for the total hourly month-ahead electricity consumption and 0.0284 for the refrigerator storage room. We aimed for and managed to attain an hourly month-ahead consumed electricity prediction without experiencing a significant drop in the forecasting accuracy that usually tends to occur after the first two weeks, therefore achieving a reliable method that satisfies the contractor’s needs, being able to enhance his/her activity from the economic, business, and management perspectives. Even if the devised, developed, and validated forecasting solution for the hourly consumption targets a commercial center-type consumer, based on its accuracy, this solution can also represent a useful tool for other non-household electricity consumers due to its generalization capability.

Modeling of lime production process using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Production Process ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Rotary Kilns ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Lime Production

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.

Monthly Electricity Consumption Forecasting: A Step-Reduction Strategy and Autoencoder Neural Network

2020 ◽  
pp. XX10-XX10
Author(s):  
Zhenghui Li ◽  
Kangping Li ◽  
Fei Wang ◽  
Zhiming Xuan ◽  
Zengqiang Mi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Reduction Strategy ◽  
Monthly Electricity Consumption

scholarly journals Analysis of Energy System in Norway with Focus on Energy Consumption Prediction

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam Hamlehdar ◽  
Alireza Aslani
Keyword(s):  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Energy System ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Regression Result ◽  
Industry Growth ◽  
The Status

Abstract Today, the fossil fuels have dominant share of energy supply in order to respond to the high energy demand in the world. Norway is one of the countries with rich sources of fossil fuels and renewable energy sources. The current work is to investigate on the status of energy demand in Norway. First, energy and electricity consumption in various sectors, including industrial, residential are calculated. Then, energy demand in Norway is forecasted by using available tools. After that, the relationship between energy consumption in Norway with Basic economics parameters such as GDP, population and industry growth rate has determined by using linear regression model. Finally, the regression result shows a low correlation between variables.

scholarly journals Statistical and Artificial Neural Networks Models for Electricity Consumption Forecasting in the Brazilian Industrial Sector

Energies ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 588
Author(s):  
Felipe Leite Coelho da Silva ◽  
Kleyton da Costa ◽  
Paulo Canas Rodrigues ◽  
Rodrigo Salas ◽  
Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Statistical Approach ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Neural Network Approach ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The One ◽  
Mlp Model

Forecasting the industry’s electricity consumption is essential for energy planning in a given country or region. Thus, this study aims to apply time-series forecasting models (statistical approach and artificial neural network approach) to the industrial electricity consumption in the Brazilian system. For the statistical approach, the Holt–Winters, SARIMA, Dynamic Linear Model, and TBATS (Trigonometric Box–Cox transform, ARMA errors, Trend, and Seasonal components) models were considered. For the approach of artificial neural networks, the NNAR (neural network autoregression) and MLP (multilayer perceptron) models were considered. The results indicate that the MLP model was the one that obtained the best forecasting performance for the electricity consumption of the Brazilian industry under analysis.

scholarly journals Prediction of Electropulse-Induced Nonlinear Temperature Variation of Mg Alloy Based on Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 58 (6) ◽  
pp. 413-422
Author(s):  
Jinyeong Yu ◽  
Myoungjae Lee ◽  
Young Hoon Moon ◽  
Yoojeong Noh ◽  
Taekyung Lee
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Temperature Variation ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Mg Alloy ◽  
Model Complexity ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Learning Technology ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Nonlinear Temperature

Electropulse-induced heating has attracted attention due to its high energy efficiency. However, the process gives rise to a nonlinear temperature variation, which is difficult to predict using a traditional physics model. As an alternative, this study employed machine-learning technology to predict such temperature variation for the first time. Mg alloy was exposed to a single electropulse with a variety of pulse magnitudes and durations for this purpose. Nine machine-learning models were established from algorithms from artificial neural network (ANN), deep neural network (DNN), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The ANN models showed an insufficient predicting capability with respect to the region of peak temperature, where temperature varied most significantly. The DNN models were built by increasing model complexity, enhancing architectures, and tuning hyperparameters. They exhibited a remarkable improvement in predicting capability at the heating-cooling boundary as well as overall estimation. As a result, the DNN-2 model in this group showed the best prediction of nonlinear temperature variation among the machinelearning models built in this study. The XGBoost model exhibited poor predicting performance when default hyperparameters were applied. However, hyperparameter tuning of learning rates and maximum depths resulted in a decent predicting capability with this algorithm. Furthermore, XGBoost models exhibited an extreme reduction in learning time compared with the ANN and DNN models. This advantage is expected to be useful for predicting more complicated cases including various materials, multi-step electropulses, and electrically-assisted forming.

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