A novel approach to long term load forecasting where functional relations and impact relations coexist

Author(s):  
N.X. Jia ◽  
R. Yokoyama ◽  
Y.C. Zhou
Author(s):  
Behnam Jahangiri ◽  
Punyaslok Rath ◽  
Hamed Majidifard ◽  
William G. Buttlar

Various agencies have begun to research and introduce performance-related specifications (PRS) for the design of modern asphalt paving mixtures. The focus of most recent studies has been directed toward simplified cracking test development and evaluation. In some cases, development and validation of PRS has been performed, building on these new tests, often by comparison of test values to accelerated pavement test studies and/or to limited field data. This study describes the findings of a comprehensive research project conducted at Illinois Tollway, leading to a PRS for the design of mainline and shoulder asphalt mixtures. A novel approach was developed, involving the systematic establishment of specification requirements based on: 1) selection of baseline values based on minimally acceptable field performance thresholds; 2) elevation of thresholds to account for differences between short-term lab aging and expected long-term field aging; 3) further elevation of thresholds to account for variability in lab testing, plus variability in the testing of field cores; and 4) final adjustment and rounding of thresholds based on a consensus process. After a thorough evaluation of different candidate cracking tests in the course of the project, the Disk-shaped Compact Tension—DC(T)—test was chosen to be retained in the Illinois Tollway PRS and to be presented in this study for the design of crack-resistant mixtures. The DC(T) test was selected because of its high degree of correlation with field results and its excellent repeatability. Tailored Hamburg rut depth and stripping inflection point thresholds were also established for mainline and shoulder mixes.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ala Suleiman ◽  
Bashar Hilal ◽  
Phalgun Paila ◽  
Sahir Abdelhadi ◽  
Khalid Alwahedi ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Chiara Giola ◽  
Piero Danti ◽  
Sandro Magnani

In the age of AI, companies strive to extract benefits from data. In the first steps of data analysis, an arduous dilemma scientists have to cope with is the definition of the ’right’ quantity of data needed for a certain task. In particular, when dealing with energy management, one of the most thriving application of AI is the consumption’s optimization of energy plant generators. When designing a strategy to improve the generators’ schedule, a piece of essential information is the future energy load requested by the plant. This topic, in the literature it is referred to as load forecasting, has lately gained great popularity; in this paper authors underline the problem of estimating the correct size of data to train prediction algorithms and propose a suitable methodology. The main characters of this methodology are the Learning Curves, a powerful tool to track algorithms performance whilst data training-set size varies. At first, a brief review of the state of the art and a shallow analysis of eligible machine learning techniques are offered. Furthermore, the hypothesis and constraints of the work are explained, presenting the dataset and the goal of the analysis. Finally, the methodology is elucidated and the results are discussed.


1990 ◽  
Vol 216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul A. Clifton ◽  
Paul D. Brown

ABSTRACTThe interface between Hg1-xCdxTe(0 ≦ x ≦ 1) and Hg1-yCdyTe(0 ≦ y ≦ 1) epitaxial layers of different composition (x ≠ y) is unstable with regard to the intermixing of the Hg and Cd cations within the Group II sublattice. This phenomenon may give rise to long-term stability problems in HgTe-(Hg,Cd)Te superlattices and composition grading between (Hg,Cd)Te absorber layers and CdTe buffer or passivation layers in epitaxial infra red detectors. In this paper, a novel approach to the inhibition of interdiffusion in these systems is discussed. This involves the growth of an intervening ZnTe barrier layer at the heterointerface between two (Hg,Cd)Te layers. Initial results are presented which indicate the effectiveness of this technique in reducing interdiffusion in an experimental heterostructure grown by MOVPE. Some possible applications in a variety of HgTe-based long wavelength devices are discussed.


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