Improvement of Observer/Kalman Filter Identification (OKID) by Residual Whitening

1995 ◽  
Vol 117 (2) ◽  
pp. 232-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Phan ◽  
L. G. Horta ◽  
J.-N. Juang ◽  
R. W. Longman

This paper presents a time-domain method to identify a state space model of a linear system and its corresponding observer/Kalman filter from a given set of general input-output data. The identified filter has the properties that its residual is minimized in the least squares sense, orthogonal to the time-shifted versions of itself, and to the given input-output data sequences. The connection between the state space model and a particular auto-regressive moving average description of a linear system is made in terms of the Kalman filter and a deadbeat gain matrix. The procedure first identifies the Markov parameters of an observer system, from which a state space model of the system and the filter gain are computed. The developed procedure is shown to improve results obtained by an existing observer/Kalman filter identification method, which is based on an auto-regressive model without the moving average terms. Numerical and experimental results are presented to illustrate the proposed method.

Author(s):  
Minh Q. Phan ◽  
Francesco Vicario ◽  
Richard W. Longman ◽  
Raimondo Betti

This paper describes an algorithm that identifies a state-space model and an associated steady-state Kalman filter gain from noise-corrupted input–output data. The model structure involves two Kalman filters where a second Kalman filter accounts for the error in the estimated residual of the first Kalman filter. Both Kalman filter gains and the system state-space model are identified simultaneously. Knowledge of the noise covariances is not required.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1596 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Zhao ◽  
Haikun Wei ◽  
Chenxi Li ◽  
Kanjian Zhang

The ability to predict wind speeds is very important for the security and stability of wind farms and power system operations. Wind speeds typically vary slowly over time, which makes them difficult to forecast. In this study, a hybrid nonlinear estimation approach combining Gaussian process (GP) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is proposed to predict dynamic changes of wind speed and improve forecasting accuracy. The proposed approach can provide both point and interval predictions for wind speed. Firstly, the GP method is established as the nonlinear transition function of a state space model, and the covariance obtained from the GP predictive model is used as the process noise. Secondly, UKF is used to solve the state space model and update the initial prediction of short-term wind speed. The proposed hybrid approach can adjust dynamically in conjunction with the distribution changes. In order to evaluate the performance of the proposed hybrid approach, the persistence model, GP model, autoregressive (AR) model, and AR integrated with Kalman filter (KF) model are used to predict the results for comparison. Taking two wind farms in China and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) database as the experimental data, the results show that the proposed hybrid approach is suitable for wind speed predictions, and that it can increase forecasting accuracy.


2005 ◽  
Vol 50 (02) ◽  
pp. 175-196 ◽  
Author(s):  
EE LENG LAU ◽  
G. K. RANDOLPH TAN ◽  
SHAHIDUR RAHMAN

In the folklore of emerging markets, there is a popular belief that bubbles are inevitable. In this paper, our objective is to estimate a state-space model for rational bubbles in selected Asian economies with the aid of the Kalman Filter. For each economy, we derive a possible picture of the bubble formation process that is implied by the state-space formulation. The estimation is based on the rational valuation formula for stock prices. Our results provide a possible way of defining the presence of rational bubbles in the stock markets of Taiwan, Singapore, Korea, and Malaysia.


1996 ◽  
Vol 118 (2) ◽  
pp. 169-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun Chang Lee ◽  
Min-Hung Hsiao ◽  
Jen-Kuang Huang ◽  
Chung-Wen Chen

A method based on projection filters is presented for identifying an open-loop stochastic system with an existing feedback controller. The projection filters are derived from the relationship between the state-space model and the AutoRegressive with eXogeneous input (ARX) model including the system, Kalman filter and controller. Two ARX models are identified from the control input, closed-loop system response and feedback signal using least-squares method. Markov parameters of the open-loop system, Kalman filter and controller are then calculated from the coefficients of the identified ARX models. Finally, the state-space model of the open-loop stochastic system and the gain matrices for the Kalman filter and controller are realized. The method is validated by simulations and test data from an unstable large-angle magnetic suspension test facility.


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