Managing Risk: Effective Use of Structural Reliability Assessment (SRA) and Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) for Sabah-Sarawak Gas Pipeline (SSGP)

Author(s):  
Wan M Marzuki Wan Ismail ◽  
Mohd Nazmi Mohd Ali Napiah ◽  
Mohd Zazli Mohd Zabidi ◽  
Ahmad Sirwan M Tuselim
Author(s):  
Wenxing Feng ◽  
Xiaoqiang Xiang ◽  
Guangming Jia ◽  
Lianshuang Dai ◽  
Yulei Gu ◽  
...  

The oil and gas pipeline companies in China are facing unprecedented opportunities and challenges because of China’s increasing demand for oil and gas energy that is attributed to rapid economic and social development. Limitation of land resource and the fast urbanization lead to a determinate result that many pipelines have to go through or be adjacent to highly populated areas such as cities or towns. The increasing Chinese government regulation, and public concerns about industrial safety and environmental protection push the pipeline companies to enhance the safety, health and environmental protection management. In recent years, PetroChina Pipeline Company (PPC) pays a lot of attention and effort to improve employees and public safety around the pipeline facilities. A comprehensive, integrated HSE management system is continuously improved and effectively implemented in PPC. PPC conducts hazard identification, risk assessment, risk control and mitigation, risk monitoring. For the oil and gas stations in highly populated area or with numerous employees, PPC carries out quantitative risk assessment (QRA) to evaluate and manage the population risk. To make the assessment, “Guidelines for quantitative risk assessments” (purple book) published by Committee for the Prevention of Disasters of Netherlands is used along with a software package. The basic principles, process, and methods of QRA technology are introduced in this article. The process is to identify the station hazards, determinate the failure scenarios of the facilities, estimate the possibilities of leakage failures, calculate the consequences of failures and damages to population, demonstrate the individual risk and social risk, and evaluate whether the risk is acceptable. The process may involve the mathematical modeling of fluid and gas spill, dispersion, fire and explosion. One QRA case in an oil pipeline station is described in this article to illustrate the application process and discuss several key issues in the assessment. Using QRA technique, about 20 stations have been evaluated in PPC. On the basis of the results, managers have taken prevention and mitigation plans to control the risk. QRAs in the pipeline station can provide a quantitative basis and valuable reference for the company’s decision-making and land use planning. Also, QRA can play a role to make a better relationship between the pipeline companies and the local regulator and public. Finally, this article delivers limitations of QRA in Chinese pipeline stations and discusses issues of the solutions.


Author(s):  
Kofi S. Inkabi ◽  
Robert G. Bea

A comprehensive reliability based formulation is proposed for the assessment of the integrity of corroded pipelines. In this formulation, the inspection technique, the pipeline geometric, material, and operational characteristics, and Limit State model for burst are combined in a general approach. This approach is illustrated with application to evaluation of an in-service gas pipeline.


Author(s):  
Aleksandra Sukhova ◽  
Elena Elizareva

Objective: Identifying an accurate quantitative risk assessment. FEC (Fuel and Energy Complex) plants are a high-risk area as they may cause manmade disasters, various accidents, pose a threat to human life and environment. In addition, the Russian energy industry is noted for its high complexity and social responsibility. Its specific feature is that it is not always possible to make an accurate quantitative risk assessment reasonably in advance and its degree determination methods are not well enough developed. In view of the above, there are some difficulties in minimizing the risks and estimating risk management costs. There has been a recent trend in improved current legislation on industrial safety and Rostechnadzor (Federal Environmental, Industrial and Nuclear Supervision Service of Russia) oversight and supervision activity practice toward implementing a risk-based approach using the risk analysis methods. It allows optimizing the methods and frequency of inspections made by regulatory bodies depending on the risk level of facilities supervised. Methods: The (accident) risk analysis is performed as a certain scientific justification set forth using qualitative and quantitative analysis of a potential accident likelihood, consequences of its occurrence, and identification of the weakest points in the engineering system or complex. Using fault tree analysis, this article identifies hazards and assesses the high-pressure gas pipeline loss of containment risk, one of the events possible for an energy provider in operation. Results: Based on the risk analysis, there has been a proposal to replace gland seal valves with bellows seal valves noted for their optimum relationship between the unit reliability, cost and sophistication level. In case the facilities with gland seal valves remain in operation, improved production process monitoring is recommended using gas leak detectors and automatic interlocking devices. Practical importance: The measures proposed will allow minimizing the gas pipeline loss of containment risk.


2019 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Weipeng Fang ◽  
Jiansong Wu ◽  
Yiping Bai ◽  
Laobing Zhang ◽  
Genserik Reniers

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