Probabilistic Assessment of the Clashing Between Flexible Marine Risers

Author(s):  
Jian Wen He ◽  
Ying Min Low

Flexible marine risers are compliant to external forces from waves, current and platform motions, and clashing between risers is an important concern. In deepwater developments where the number of connected risers is large, it is not economical to space them too far apart. In this regard, it is necessary to establish the probability of riser clashing throughout the service life; however, at present there appears to be no systematic procedure for assessing this risk. This paper presents a novel procedure for estimating the probability of riser clashing based on post-processing results obtained from time domain simulations of flexible risers subjected to random wave loads. First, an efficient technique is employed to sieve out critical pairs among riser elements. From these element pairs, the time history of a normalized clearance parameter is derived from the nodal displacements of the elements. Subsequently, the mean up-crossing rate of this parameter is extracted and extrapolated to the threshold of clashing using extreme value theory. As this method is still in its early developmental stage, critical effects such as vortex-induced vibrations and wake interference will not be considered in the present work.

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 380
Author(s):  
Wei Lin ◽  
Cheng Su

The growing demand for the application of jacket platforms in deep water requires more attention on the assessment of structural reliability. This paper is devoted to the dynamic reliability analysis of jacket platforms subjected to random wave loads with Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS), in which a sample size of the order of magnitude of 104 to 105 for repeated time–history analyses is required for small failure probability problems, and a duration time up to three hours needs to be considered in the time–history analyses for a specific sea condition. To tackle the difficulty involved in MCS, the explicit time-domain method (ETDM) is used for the required time–history analyses of jacket platforms, in which truncated explicit expressions of critical responses with regards to the contributing loading terms are first established and then used for numerous repeated sample analyses. The use of ETDM greatly enhances the computational efficiency of MCS, making it feasible for the dynamic reliability analysis of jacket platforms under random wave loads. A jacket platform with 11,688 degrees of freedom was analyzed for the evaluation of dynamic reliability under a given sea condition, indicating the accuracy and efficiency of the present approach and its feasibility to practical structures.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1036 ◽  
pp. 935-940
Author(s):  
Leonard Domnisoru ◽  
Ionica Rubanenco ◽  
Mihaela Amoraritei

This paper is focused on an enhanced integrated method for structural safety assessment of maritime ships under extreme random wave loads. In this study is considered an 1100 TEU container test ship, with speed range 0 to 18 knots. The most comprehensive criteria for ships structural safety evaluation over the whole exploitation life is based on the long term ship structures analysis, that includes: stress hot-spots evaluation by 3D/1D-FEM hull models, computation of short term ship dynamic response induced by irregular waves, long term fatigue structure assessment. The analysis is enhanced by taking into account the ships speed influence on hydroelastic response. The study includes a comparative analysis on two scenarios for the correlation between the ships speed and waves intensity. The standard constant ship speed scenario and CENTEC scenario, with total speed loss at extreme waves condition, are considered. Instead of 20 years ship exploitation life estimated by classification societies rules from the long term structural safety criteria, the enhanced method has predicted more restrictive values of 14.4-15.7 years. The numerical analyses are based on own software and user subroutines. The study made possible to have a more realistic approach of ships structural strength assessment, for elastic and faster ships as container carriers, in compare to the standard one based only on naval rules, delivering a method with higher confidence in the designed structural safety.


Author(s):  
Lei Cui ◽  
Jia-nan Xu ◽  
Yong He ◽  
Wei-liang Jin

Fatigue damage is one of the main reasons of the failure of Semi-Submersible platform. As the complex of random loading, it is difficult to analyze fatigue life accurately and determine the sensitivity of parameters. In this paper, the fatigue life on key-components of semi-submersible platform is analyzed with Spectral-based analysis method. Firstly, the stress responses of whole model platform under the random wave loads are calculated. The calculation results of whole model platform for cut-boundary interpolation are used in local model to calculate the key-component stress responses of local model. Generating the fatigue stress energy spectrum by scaling the wave energy spectrum and the complex fatigue stress transfer function in detail local model is described next. The stress response of short-term sea-state is assumed to obey Rayleigh distribution, and the spectral moments are calculated. Finally, the fatigue life of key components is analyzed according to S-N curve and Palmgren-Miner’s rule. The results show that the fatigue life of the connection meets the specification requirements, and the key components are the fatigue sensitive areas of semi-submersible platform.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (10) ◽  
pp. 328
Author(s):  
Xiaoshuang Han ◽  
Weiliang Qiao ◽  
Bo Zhou

This article presents a procedure that simplifies an offshore jacket platform as a non-uniform cantilever beam subjected to an axial force. A Ritz method combined with a pseudo-excitation method is then used to analyze the responses of the jacket platform under random wave loads with the associated power spectral densities, variances and higher spectral moments. The theoretical basis and pertinent governing equations are derived. The proposed procedure not only eases the process of determining the pseudo wave loads, but also requires only the rudimentary structural details that are typically available at the preliminary design stage. Additionally, the merit of the proposed procedure is that the process does not require one to compute the normal modes, which saves time and is particularly convenient for the dynamic-response analysis of a complex structure (such as an offshore platform). An illustrative example based on a three-deck jacket platform is presented to demonstrate the procedure used to obtain the power spectral densities, variances and second spectral moments of jacket-top displacement and the bending moment of the jacket at the mud line. The results obtained are compared with those obtained using a Finite Element Mothed (FEM) model. Based on the findings of the study and good agreement shown in the comparison of results, it is concluded that the proposed method is effective, simple and convenient, and can be a useful tool for the preliminary design analysis of offshore platforms.


2013 ◽  
Vol 373-375 ◽  
pp. 770-784
Author(s):  
Guo Zheng Yew ◽  
M.S. Liew ◽  
Mohd Shahir Liew ◽  
Cheng Yee Ng

Sea state conditions such as wind, wave and current vary in different ocean waters. Two similar offshore structures installed in two different ocean regions will yield different responses. Determining the transfer function of the structure is a system identification exercise that yields the structural response and behaviour given any sea state condition. The transfer function can be determined using available measured sea state data and structural response data. In this paper, a six-legged semisubmersible physical model is developed to a scale of 1:100 and is tested in a wave tank to measure its responses due to simulated random wave loads. The transfer functions of the semisubmersible model are then determined using the measured responses and the measured wave heights.


Author(s):  
Martin So̸reide

As offshore installations are moving into deeper water, engineers have to face new challenges in design of structures. Risers and free-span pipelines, subjected to heavy wave loads and large current velocities, are important components of these installations. Vortex induced vibrations (VIV) is a well known subject for most offshore engineers. VIV can cause large stresses and fatigue damage of slender marine structures. Hence, large safety factors are applied to the fatigue limit state design criterion (FLS), due to uncertainties regarding VIV. The present paper describes the preliminary investigation into the coupling between in-line and cross-flow VIV response. Most experimental data so far has been concentrated on predicting the cross-flow response. However, in-line displacements can make a valuable contribution. In fact, it has been proved that in-line responses may decrease the cross-flow response significantly when allowing the pipe to oscillate in both directions. The paper is based on a master of science thesis at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU).


1996 ◽  
Vol 118 (2) ◽  
pp. 103-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. R. Winterstein ◽  
R. Torhaug

The nonlinear dynamic response of a jack-up structure under random wave loads is considered. For a simplified jack-up model, average behavior and variability in extreme forces and responses are found from simulation over many 6-h seastates. Weibull and Hermite analytical models of response extremes are also presented and evaluated. These models use shorter, less expensive simulations to estimate a limited number of response statistics, such as moments or parameters of the response peak distribution, and fit analytical models to estimate global extremes. Necessary simulation lengths are established both for direct simulation of extremes, and for analytical extreme models.


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