Estimation of global CO2 fluxes using ground-based and satellite (GOSAT) observation data with empirical orthogonal functions

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 507-516 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. V. Zhuravlev ◽  
A. V. Ganshin ◽  
Sh. Sh. Maksyutov ◽  
S. L. Oshchepkov ◽  
B. V. Khattatov
2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (11) ◽  
pp. 3479-3496 ◽  
Author(s):  
Illia Horenko ◽  
Stamen I. Dolaptchiev ◽  
Alexey V. Eliseev ◽  
Igor I. Mokhov ◽  
Rupert Klein

Abstract This paper presents an extension of the recently developed method for simultaneous dimension reduction and metastability analysis of high-dimensional time series. The modified approach is based on a combination of ensembles of hidden Markov models (HMMs) with state-specific principal component analysis (PCA) in extended space (guaranteeing that the overall dynamics will be Markovian). The main advantage of the modified method is its ability to deal with the gaps in the high-dimensional observation data. The proposed method allows for (i) the separation of the data according to the metastable states, (ii) a hierarchical decomposition of these sets into metastable substates, and (iii) calculation of the state-specific extended empirical orthogonal functions simultaneously with identification of the underlying Markovian dynamics switching between those metastable substates. The authors discuss the introduced model assumptions, explain how the quality of the resulting reduced representation can be assessed, and show what kind of additional insight into the underlying dynamics such a reduced Markovian representation can give (e.g., in the form of transition probabilities, statistical weights, mean first exit times, and mean first passage times). The performance of the new method analyzing 500-hPa geopotential height fields [daily mean values from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40) dataset for a period of 44 winters] is demonstrated and the results are compared with information gained from a numerically expensive but assumption-free method (Wavelets–PCA), and the identified metastable states are interpreted w.r.t. the blocking events in the atmosphere.


2008 ◽  
Vol 39 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 403-423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric Sauquet ◽  
Lars Gottschalk ◽  
Irina Krasovskaia

An approach for estimating mean monthly runoff at ungauged sites is presented. Special attention is paid to include effects of local features such as karst and river regulation by reservoirs. The developments introduced conform with hydrostochastic concepts in that simple physical and statistical laws are inherent in the methods used for mapping. Hence, the approach developed here is consistent with the water balance along the river network. The suggested method combines an application of empirical orthogonal functions and an adapted stochastic interpolation scheme to match the runoff data. The observation data are handled in the frame of a hydrological information system. This allows the display of results either in the form of the change in a statistical parameter along the river branches towards the basin outlet or as a map of the variation of the parameters across the basin or region space. The approach is demonstrated for France.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 753
Author(s):  
Konstantin Belyaev ◽  
Andrey Kuleshov ◽  
Ilya Smirnov

The spatial–temporal variability of the calculated characteristics of the ocean in the Arctic zone of Russia is studied. In this study, the known hydrodynamic model of the ocean Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO) is used with assimilation of observation data on the sea surface height taken from the Archiving, Validating and Interpolation Satellite Observation (AVISO) archive. We use the Generalized Kalman filter (GKF) method, developed earlier by the authors of this study, in conjunction with the method of decomposition of symmetric matrices into empirical orthogonal functions (EOF, Karhunen–Loeve decomposition). The investigations are focused mostly on the northern seas of Russia. The main characteristics of the ocean, such as the current velocity, sea surface height, and sea surface temperature are calculated with data assimilation (DA) and without DA (the control calculation). The calculation results are analyzed and their spatial–temporal variability over a time period of 14 days is studied. It is shown that the main spatial variability of characteristics after DA is in good agreement with the localization of currents in the North Atlantic and in the Arctic zone of Russia. The contribution of each of the eigenvectors and eigenvalues of the covariation matrix to the spatial–temporal variability of the calculated characteristics is shown by using the EOF analysis.


Author(s):  
Huug van den Dool

This clear and accessible text describes the methods underlying short-term climate prediction at time scales of 2 weeks to a year. Although a difficult range to forecast accurately, there have been several important advances in the last ten years, most notably in understanding ocean-atmosphere interaction (El Nino for example), the release of global coverage data sets, and in prediction methods themselves. With an emphasis on the empirical approach, the text covers in detail empirical wave propagation, teleconnections, empirical orthogonal functions, and constructed analogue. It also provides a detailed description of nearly all methods used operationally in long-lead seasonal forecasts, with new examples and illustrations. The challenges of making a real time forecast are discussed, including protocol, format, and perceptions about users. Based where possible on global data sets, illustrations are not limited to the Northern Hemisphere, but include several examples from the Southern Hemisphere.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 265
Author(s):  
Harika Munagapati ◽  
Virendra M. Tiwari

The nature of hydrological seasonality over the Himalayan Glaciated Region (HGR) is complex due to varied precipitation patterns. The present study attempts to exemplify the spatio-temporal variation of hydrological mass over the HGR using time-variable gravity from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite for the period of 2002–2016 on seasonal and interannual timescales. The mass signal derived from GRACE data is decomposed using empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs), allowing us to identify the three broad divisions of HGR, i.e., western, central, and eastern, based on the seasonal mass gain or loss that corresponds to prevailing climatic changes. Further, causative relationships between climatic variables and the EOF decomposed signals are explored using the Granger causality algorithm. It appears that a causal relationship exists between total precipitation and total water storage from GRACE. EOF modes also indicate certain regional anomalies such as the Karakoram mass gain, which represents ongoing snow accumulation. Our causality result suggests that the excessive snowfall in 2005–2008 has initiated this mass gain. However, as our results indicate, despite the dampening of snowfall rates after 2008, mass has been steadily increasing in the Karakorum, which is attributed to the flattening of the temperature anomaly curve and subsequent lower melting after 2008.


Author(s):  
Gudmund Kleiven

The Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF) technique has widely being used by oceanographers and meteorologists, while the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD being a related technique is frequently used in the statistics community. Another related technique called Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is observed being used for instance in pattern recognition. The predominant applications of these techniques are data compression of multivariate data sets which also facilitates subsequent statistical analysis of such data sets. Within Ocean Engineering the EOF technique is not yet widely in use, although there are several areas where multivariate data sets occur and where the EOF technique could represent a supplementary analysis technique. Examples are oceanographic data, in particular current data. Furthermore data sets of model- or full-scale data of loads and responses of slender bodies, such as pipelines and risers are relevant examples. One attractive property of the EOF technique is that it does not require any a priori information on the physical system by which the data is generated. In the present paper a description of the EOF technique is given. Thereafter an example on use of the EOF technique is presented. The example is analysis of response data from a model test of a pipeline in a long free span exposed to current. The model test program was carried out in order to identify the occurrence of multi-mode vibrations and vibration mode amplitudes. In the present example the EOF technique demonstrates the capability of identifying predominant vibration modes of inline as well as cross-flow vibrations. Vibration mode shapes together with mode amplitudes and frequencies are also estimated. Although the present example is not sufficient for concluding on the applicability of the EOF technique on a general basis, the results of the present example demonstrate some of the potential of the technique.


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