How well do ACPA discriminate and predict RA in the general population: a study based on 12 590 population-representative Swedish twins

2016 ◽  
Vol 76 (1) ◽  
pp. 119-125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aase Haj Hensvold ◽  
Thomas Frisell ◽  
Patrik K E Magnusson ◽  
Rikard Holmdahl ◽  
Johan Askling ◽  
...  

ObjectiveAnti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) are highly specific for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but the diagnostic accuracy of ACPA in the general population has not been thoroughly assessed. We aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of ACPA for RA in the general population and to further characterise the citrullinated peptide recognition pattern.MethodsSerum samples from a large population-representative twin cohort consisting of 12 590 individuals were analysed for the presence of ACPA using anti-CCP2 ELISA. All ACPA-positive samples were further tested on ELISAs for four peptide-specific ACPA. RA cases were identified by linkage to the Swedish National Patient Register at inclusion and after a median follow-up of 37 months (IQR 31–49).Results350 out of 12 590 individuals had a positive anti-CCP2 test, measuring ACPA. Of these, 103 had an RA diagnosis at the time of blood donation and inclusion. During a median follow-up of 3 years, an additional 21 of the remaining 247 ACPA-positive individuals developed RA. Overall, a positive anti-CCP2 test had a positive predictive value of 29% for prevalent RA at inclusion (negative predictive value of 99.6%). High titres (>3× cut-off) of anti-CCP2 increased the positive predictive value to 48% (negative predictive value of 99.5%). ACPA-positive individuals without RA had lower anti-CCP2 titres and fewer peptide-specific ACPA than ACPA-positive patients with RA and higher C reactive protein levels than ACPA-negative individuals without RA.ConclusionPresence of ACPA and especially high titres of anti-CCP2 have a high diagnostic accuracy for an RA diagnosis in a population setting.

Author(s):  
Elixène Jean-Baptiste ◽  
Patrick Feugier ◽  
Coralie Cruzel ◽  
Gabrielle Sarlon-Bartoli ◽  
Thierry Reix ◽  
...  

Background Color-duplex ultrasonography (DUS) could be an alternative to computed tomography-aortography (CTA) in the lifelong surveillance of patients after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR), but there is currently no level 1 evidence. The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of DUS as an alternative to CTA for the follow-up of post-EVAR patients. Methods Between December 16, 2010, and June 12, 2015, we conducted a prospective, blinded, diagnostic-accuracy study, in 15 French university hospitals where EVAR was commonly performed. Participants were followed up using both DUS and CTA in a mutually blinded setup until the end of the study or until any major aneurysm-related morphological abnormality requiring reintervention or an amendment to the follow-up policy was revealed by CTA. Database was locked on October 2, 2017. Our main outcome measures were sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive and negative likelihood ratios of DUS against reference standard CTA. CIs are binomial 95% CI. Results This study recruited prospectively 659 post-EVAR patients of whom 539 (82%) were eligible for further analysis. Following the baseline inclusion visit, 940 additional follow-up visits were performed in the 539 patients. Major aneurysm-related morphological abnormalities were revealed by CTA in 103 patients (17.2/100 person-years [95% CI, 13.9–20.5]). DUS accurately identified 40 patients where a major aneurysm-related morphological abnormality was present (sensitivity, 39% [95% CI, 29–48]) and 403 of 436 patients with negative CTA (specificity, 92% [95% CI, 90–95]). The negative predictive value and positive predictive value of DUS were 92% (95% CI, 90–95) and 39% (95% CI, 27–50), respectively. The positive likelihood ratio was 4.87 (95% CI, 2.9–9.6). DUS sensitivity reached 73% (95% CI, 51–96) in patients requiring an effective reintervention. Conclusions DUS had an overall low sensitivity in the follow-up of patients after EVAR, but its performance improved meaningfully when the subset of patients requiring effective reinterventions was considered. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT01230203.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Moshage ◽  
S Smolka ◽  
S Achenbach ◽  
F Ammon ◽  
P Ferstl ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The accuracy of CT-derived FFR (FFRCT) has been repeatedly reported. However, the influence of lesion location on accuracy is unknown. Therefore, we evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of FFRCT to detect lesion-specific ischemia and determined the influence of lesion location (proximal vs. distal vessel segments) compared to invasively measured FFR in patients with suspected CAD. Methods A total of 136 vessels in which “Dual-Source”-CT coronary angiography had been performed due to suspected CAD and who were further referred for invasive coronary angiography with invasive FFR measurement within three months of the index CT examination were retrospectively identified and screened for inclusion in this analysis. Patients with either left main coronary artery stenoses, bifurcation or ostial stenoses were excluded. Invasive FFR was measured using a pressure wire (CERTUS®, St. Jude Medical, Minnesota, USA or Verrata®, Volcano, San Diego, USA). FFRCT was calculated using an on-site prototype (cFFR Version 3.0, Siemens Healthineers, Forchheim, Germany). All vessels were analyzed by an experienced observer blinded to the results of invasive FFR. Stenoses with invasively measured FFR ≤0.80 were classified as hemodynamically significant. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of FFRCT in proximal vs. non-proximal vessel segments. Proximal lesions included stenoses located in segment one, six, eleven and twelve. All other stenoses were categorized as distal lesions. Results Out of 136 coronary stenoses, 47 (35%) were located in proximal segments and 89 (65%) lesions were located in distal segments. Compared to invasive FFR, the sensitivity of FFRCT to correctly identify/exclude hemodynamically significant stenoses in proximal vessel segments was 93% (95% CI: 68–99.8%) and the specificity was 100% (95% CI: 89–100%), compared to a sensitivity of 72% (95% CI: 46.5–90%) and a specificity of 87% (95% CI: 77–94%) for FFRCT in distal lesions. The positive predictive value was 100% and the negative predictive value was 97% (95% CI: 82.8–99.5%) compared to a positive predictive value of 59% (95% CI: 42–93.9%) and a negative predictive value of 93% (95% CI: 85.4–96.3%) for proximal vs. distal vessel segment, respectively. This corresponds to an accuracy of 98% vs. 84%, respectively (p=0.02). ROC-Curve analysis showed a slightly higher – albeit non-significant – area under the curve for FFRCT to detect hemodynamic relevance in proximal lesions compared to distal lesions (AUC 0.95, p<0.001 vs. AUC: 0.86, p<0.001, respectively, p=0.2). Conclusion FFRCT obtained using an on-site prototype shows overall a high diagnostic accuracy for detecting lesions causing ischemia as compared to invasive FFR with a trend towards better diagnostic performance in proximal vessel segments. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-25
Author(s):  
Sujan Shrestha ◽  
Mamen Prasad Gorhaly ◽  
Manil Ratna Bajracharya

Background Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is a significant independent risk factor for diabetic foot, and an effective screening instrument is required to diagnose DPN early to prevent future ulceration and amputation. This study aims to determine the diagnostic accuracy of monofilament test to detect diabetic peripheral neuropathy. Methods This cross-sectional study was conducted in National Academy of Medical Sciences, Bir hospital, Mahabouddha, Kathmandu from February 2016 to January 2017. A total of 96 diabetic patients attending inpatient and outpatient Department were selected. Diabetic peripheral neuropathy was assessed by measurement of loss of protective sensation (LOPS) by monofilament test and compared with vibration perception threshold by standard biothesiometer. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of monofilament test were calculated. Results The prevalence of diabetic peripheral neuropathy was 26%. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of monofilament test were found to be 92.0%, 95.8%, 88.5% and 97.1% respectively. There was strong association between LOPS by monofilament and vibration perception threshold by biothesiometer. Conclusion This study showed a strong diagnostic accuracy of monofilament test to detect DPN when compared with biothesiometer. As monofilament test is a cheap, easily available, and portable, it can be used in the periphery where biothesiometer is not available.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tahir Iqbal ◽  
Muhammad Usman Shahid ◽  
Ishfaq Ahmad Shad ◽  
Shahzad Karim Bhatti ◽  
Syed Amir Gilani ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: A common surgical emergency is acute appendicitis. Various diagnostic tools are available to diagnosis acute appendicitis. Radiological investigations play an important role in making accurate and early diagnosis and thus preventing morbidity associated with the disease. OBJECTIVE: To determine the diagnostic accuracy of gray scale ultrasonography versus color Doppler in suspected cases of acute appendicitis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was carried in the department of Radiology of Mayo Hospital, Lahore. A total of 75 patients were enrolled of age 18-40 years, both genders who were suspected cases of acute appendicitis. All patients underwent baseline investigations along with gray scale ultrasonography and color Doppler. All patients were subjected to surgery to confirm the diagnosis and findings were subjected to statistical analysis. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 23.25 ±10.55 and mean transverse diameter of appendix was 8.37 ±3.39. There were 62.7% males and 37.3%females. Findings of gray scale ultrasonography and color Doppler were then correlated with surgical findings to calculate the diagnostic accuracy of these modalities. The results revealed that gray scale ultrasonography sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy was 92.7%, 94.32%, 95%, 91.4% and 93.3% respectively, whereas color Doppler had sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy of 97.7%, 93.9%, 95.3%, 97% and 96% respectively. Diagnostic accuracy of both modalities together was 98.6%. CONCLUSION: Color Doppler has better diagnostic accuracy than gray scale ultrasonography for diagnosis of acute appendicitis and the combination of both modalities yields diagnostic accuracy that is similar to gold standard.


2001 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 359-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Tintoré ◽  
A Rovira ◽  
L Brieva ◽  
E Grivé ◽  
R Jardí ◽  
...  

Aim of the study: To evaluate and compare the capacity of oligoclonal bands (OB) and three sets of MR imaging criteria to predict the conversion of clinically isolated syndromes (CIS) to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS). Patients and methods: One hundred and twelve patients with CIS were prospectively studied with MR imaging and determination of OB. Based on the clinical follow-up (conversion or not conversion to CDMS), we calculated the sensitivity, specificity accuracy, positive and negative predictive value of the OB, and MR imaging criteria proposed by Paty et al, Fazekas et al and Barkhof et al. Results: CDMS developed in 26 (23.2%) patients after a mean follow-up of 31 months (range 12-62). OB were positive in 70 (62.5%) patients and were associated with a higher risk of developing CDMS. OB showed a sensitivity of 81%, specificity of 43%, accuracy of 52%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 30% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 88%. Paty and Fazekas criteria showed the same results with a sensitivity of 77%, specificity of 51%, accuracy of 57%, positive predictive value of 32% and negative predictive value of 88%. Barkhof criteria showed a sensitivity of 65%, specificity of 70%, accuracy of 69%, PPV of 40% and NPV of 87%. The greatest accuracy was achieved when patients with positive OB and three or four Barkhof's criteria were selected. Conclusions: We observed a high prevalence of OB in CIS. OB and MR imaging (Paty's and Fazekas' criteria) have high sensitivity. Barkhof's criteria have a higher specificity. Both OB and MR imaging criteria have a high negative predictive value.


Author(s):  
Danquale Vance Kynshikhar ◽  
Chaman Lal Kaushal ◽  
Ashwani Tomar ◽  
Neeti Aggarwal

Background: To study the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound in the detection of pneumothorax in chest trauma patients with CT as the Gold Standard Methods: The present study was conducted from 31th July 2018 to 30th July 2019. A total of 36 patients were enrolled in the study. Results: By chest ultrasound, pneumothorax was detected in 15 of 24 patients. The sensitivity of chest ultrasound for the diagnosis of pneumothorax was 62.5%, specificity was 100%, positive predictive value (PPV) was 100%, negative predictive value (NPV) was 54.14% and accuracy was 75%. Conclusion: Chest ultrasound can play an important role in the emergency department aiding a physician for bedside rapid and accurate diagnosis of pneumothorax without interruption in the resuscitation process and without transferring the patient to the radiology section. Keywords: Ultrasound, CT, Pneumothorax


BMJ Open ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. e023766 ◽  
Author(s):  
Selina Nath ◽  
Elizabeth G Ryan ◽  
Kylee Trevillion ◽  
Debra Bick ◽  
Jill Demilew ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo estimate the population prevalence of anxiety disorders during pregnancy and investigate the diagnostic accuracy of the two-item Generalised Anxiety Disorder scale (GAD-2) for a) GAD and b) any anxiety disorder.DesignCross-sectional survey using a stratified sampling design. Sampling weights were used in the analysis to adjust for the bias introduced by the stratified sampling.SettingInner-city maternity service, South London.Participants545 pregnant women were interviewed after their first antenatal appointment; 528 provided answers on the GAD-2 questions.Main outcome measuresDiagnosis generated by the Structured Clinical Interview for Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition (SCID).ResultsPopulation prevalence of anxiety disorders was 17% (95% CI 12% to 21%): 5% (95% CI 3% to 6%) for GAD, 4% (95% CI 2% to 6%) for social phobia, 8% (95% CI 5% to 11%) for specific phobia and 2% (95% CI 1% to 4%) for obsessive-compulsive disorder. Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) prevalence was unclear due to higher levels of reluctance to respond to PTSD interview questions but sensitivity analyses suggest population prevalence maybe up to 4% (95% CI 2% to 6%). Weighted sensitivity of GAD-2 for GAD (cut-off ≥3) was 69%, specificity 91%, positive predictive value 26%, negative predictive value 98% and likelihood ratio 7.35. For any anxiety disorder the weighted sensitivity was 26%, specificity 91%, positive predictive value 36%, negative predictive value 87% and likelihood ratio 2.92.ConclusionsAnxiety disorders are common but GAD-2 generates many false positives and may therefore be unhelpful in maternity services.


1988 ◽  
Vol 27 (04) ◽  
pp. 135-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Critchley ◽  
C. R. Squire ◽  
T. M. D. Gimlette

187 patients, euthyroid for more than a year after radioiodine treatment for hyperthyroidism, were studied for 10 years; 81 (43%) became hypothyroid. The incidence of hypothyroidism was lower in patients initially presenting with large thyroids (28%) or with nodular thyroids (22%) and in those without thyroid autoantibodies (31 %). During follow-up, an elevated serum TSH was present in all 81 patients when they became hypothyroid (sensitivity and negative predictive value 100%), and was present for at least a year in 98% of these. However, an elevated serum TSH was also present in 48% of 106 patients remaining euthyroid (positive predictive value 61 %). FT4I was low in 94% of patients who became hypothyroid and normal in 80% of patients who remained euthyroid (positive predictive value 78%, negative predictive value 93%). Serum TSH and FT4I were the best biochemical predictors. FT3I and serum cholesterol were less satisfactory. A palpable thyroid becoming impalpable, though readily assessed, was limited in usefulness. Clinical appraisal remains important and a progressive, though perhaps less rapid, later increase in the incidence of hypothyroidism appears likely.


2020 ◽  
pp. emermed-2020-210125
Author(s):  
Svenja L Haak ◽  
Iris JE Renken ◽  
L Cara Jager ◽  
Heleen Lameijer ◽  
Brigitta (Britt) YM van der Kolk

BackgroundA promising modality for diagnosing pulmonary manifestations of COVID-19 in the emergency department (ED) is point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the lungs. The currently used PCR as well as chest X-ray and CT scanning have important disadvantages. The aim of this study is to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of POCUS in patients with suspected pulmonary manifestations of COVID-19 in the ED.MethodsThis prospective diagnostic accuracy study was conducted at the ED of our non-academic level 1 trauma centre (Isala, Zwolle, the Netherlands). Patients were enrolled between 14 April and 22 April 2020. Patients (aged ≥16 years) with suspected COVID-19 presenting to the ED underwent POCUS. All patients received current standard of care, including PCR (naso-oropharyngeal swab). Outcome of POCUS was compared with PCR or CT scan outcome to determine diagnostic accuracy. Diagnostic accuracy measures were calculated using 2×2 contingency tables.Results100 patients were eligible to participate in this study, data of 93 patients were analysed. 27 (29%) patients were found positive for COVID-19 by PCR or CT. POCUS had a sensitivity of 89% (95% CI 70% to 97%), specificity of 59% (95% CI 46% to 71%), negative predictive value of 93% (95% CI 79% to 98%) and positive predictive value of 47% (95% CI 33% to 61%). In a subgroup of patients without previous cardiopulmonary disease (n=37), POCUS had a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 70% to 100%), specificity of 76% (95% CI 54% to 90%), negative predictive value of 100% (95% CI 79% to 100%) and positive predictive value of 67% (95% CI 41% to 86%).ConclusionPOCUS of the lungs could serve as a valuable, radiation-free tool for excluding pulmonary manifestations of COVID-19 in patients in the ED at the point of assessment, especially in patients without previous cardiopulmonary disease.Trial registrationDutch Trial Register, No: NTR8544.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga Furashova ◽  
Egbert Matthé

AbstractTo investigate the prevalence and predictive value of the foveal crack sign (FCS) in fellow eyes of patients with full-thickness macular holes (FTMH) regarding future macular hole (MH) formation. In a retrospective observational case series, 113 fellow eyes of 113 patients with FTMH have been observed during a mean follow-up time of 21 months. According to baseline SD-OCT images, patients were divided into 4 separate groups: patients with FCS and vitreous adhesion, patients with FCS and vitreous detachment, patients without FCS with vitreous adhesion, patients without FCS with vitreous detachment. Progression rate to MH formation, predictive value of FCS and of vitreous interface status were calculated and compared across the four groups. FCS was observed in 19 of 113 fellow eyes (17%) of patients with FTMH, 10 of them with progression to MH during the mean follow up time of 21 months. 2 other eyes with progression to MH showed no FCS at baseline. Progression rate was shown to be 77% (10 of 13 eyes) in patients with FCS and vitreous adhesion, 0% (none of 6 eyes) in patients with FCS and vitreous detachment, 4% (2 of 48 eyes) in patients without FCS with vitreous adhesion, 0% (none of 46 eyes) in patients without FCS with vitreous detachment. FCS had sensitivity of 83.3% (95% CI 50.9–97.1%) and specificity of 91.1% (95% CI 83.3–95.6%) in predicting MH formation, positive predictive value of FCS was 52.6% (95% CI 29.5–74.8%) and negative predictive value 97.9% (95% CI 91.8–99.6%). Having simultaneously FCS and vitreous adhesion showed 83.3% (95% CI 50.9–97.1%) sensitivity and 97.1% (95% CI 91.1–99.2%) specificity in predicting macular hole formation; positive predictive value was 76.9% (95% CI 46.0–93.8%) and negative predictive value was 98.0% (95% CI 92.4–99.7%). Fellow eyes of patients with FTMH with foveal crack sign are at a very high risk (77%) of FTMH development, as long as posterior vitreous adhesion is present.


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