Monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 is not predictive of cardiac events in patients with non-low-risk chest pain

2021 ◽  
pp. emermed-2021-211266
Author(s):  
Nicklaus P Ashburn ◽  
Anna C Snavely ◽  
Brandon R Allen ◽  
Robert H Christenson ◽  
David M Herrington ◽  
...  

BackgroundPrior studies suggest monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) may be useful for risk stratifying ED patients with chest pain. We hypothesise that MCP-1 will be predictive of 90-day major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in non-low-risk patients.MethodsA case–control study was nested within a prospective multicentre cohort (STOP-CP), which enrolled adult patients being evaluated for acute coronary syndrome at eight US EDs from 25 January 2017 to 06 September 2018. Patients with a History, ECG, Age, and Risk factor score (HEAR score) ≥4 or coronary artery disease (CAD), a non-ischaemic ECG, and non-elevated contemporary troponins at 0 and 3 hours were included. Cases were patients with 90-day MACE (all-cause death, myocardial infarction or revascularisation). Controls were patients without MACE selected with frequency matching using age, sex, race, and HEAR score or the presence of CAD. Serum MCP-1 was measured. Sensitivity and specificity were determined for cut-off points of 194 pg/mL, 200 pg/mL, 238 pg/mL and 281 pg/mL. Logistic regression adjusting for age, sex, race, and HEAR score/presence of CAD was used to determine the association between MCP-1 and 90-day MACE. A separate logistic model also included high-sensitivity troponin (hs-cTnT).ResultsAmong 40 cases and 179 controls, there was no difference in age (p=0.90), sex (p=1.00), race (p=0.85), or HEAR score/presence of CAD (p=0.89). MCP-1 was similar in cases (median 191.9 pg/mL, IQR: 161.8–260.1) and controls (median 196.6 pg/mL, IQR: 163.0–261.1) (p=0.48). At a cut-off point of 194 pg/mL, MCP-1 was 50.0% (95% CI 33.8% to 66.2%) sensitive and 46.9% (95% CI 39.4% to 54.5%) specific for 90-day MACE. After adjusting for covariates, MCP-1 was not associated with 90-day MACE at any cut-off point (at 194 pg/mL, OR 0.88 (95% CI 0.43 to 1.79)). When including hs-cTnT in the model, MCP-1 was not associated with 90-day MACE at any cut-off point (at 194 pg/mL, OR 0.85 (95% CI 0.42 to 1.73)).ConclusionMCP-1 is not predictive of 90-day MACE in patients with non-low-risk chest pain.

2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (7) ◽  
pp. 420-427 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter D W Reaney ◽  
Hamish I Elliott ◽  
Awsan Noman ◽  
Jamie G Cooper

BackgroundThe majority of patients presenting to the ED with cardiac sounding chest pain have a non-diagnostic ECG and the problem of differentiating those suffering an acute coronary syndrome from those without is familiar to all ED clinical staff. To stratify risk in these patients, specific scores have been developed. Recent work has focused on incorporating newer high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays; however, issues regarding performance and availability of these assays remain.AimProspectively compare HEART, Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) scores, using a single contemporary cTn at admission, to predict a major adverse cardiac event (MACE) at 30 days.MethodProspective observational cohort study performed in a UK tertiary hospital in patients with suspected cardiac chest pain and no significant ST elevation on initial ECG. Data collection took place 2 December 2014 to 8 February 2016. The treating clinician recorded risk score data real time and a single contemporary cTn taken at presentation was used in score calculation. The primary endpoint was 30-day MACE. C-statistic was determined for each score and diagnostic characteristics of high-risk and low-risk cut-offs were calculated.Results189/1000 patients in the study developed a 30-day MACE. The c-statistic of HEART for 30-day MACE (0.87 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.90)) was higher than TIMI (0.78 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.81)) and GRACE (0.74 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.78)).HEART score ≤3 identified low-risk patients with sensitivity 99.5% (95% CI 97.1% to 99.9%) and negative predictive value (NPV) 99.6% (95% CI 97.3% to 99.9%) exceeding TIMI 0 (sensitivity 97.4% (95% CI 93.9% to 99.1%) and NPV 97.8% (95% CI 94.8% to 99.1%)) and GRACE score 0–55 (sensitivity 95.2% (95% CI 91.1% to 97.8%) and NPV 95.8% (95% CI 92.2% to 97.7%)).ConclusionHEART outperformed both TIMI and GRACE in overall discriminative capacity for 30-day MACE. Using a single contemporary cTn at presentation, a HEART score of ≤3 demonstrated sensitivity and NPV of ≥99.5% for 30-day MACE. These results reach the threshold for a safe discharge strategy but should be interpreted thoughtfully in light of other work.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 3037
Author(s):  
Juan Antonio Franco-Peláez ◽  
Roberto Martín-Reyes ◽  
Ana María Pello-Lázaro ◽  
Álvaro Aceña ◽  
Óscar Lorenzo ◽  
...  

Our purpose was to assess a possible association of inflammatory, lipid and mineral metabolism biomarkers with coronary artery ectasia (CAE) and to determine a possible association of this with acute atherotrombotic events (AAT). We studied 270 patients who underwent coronary angiography during an acute coronary syndrome 6 months before. Plasma levels of several biomarkers were assessed, and patients were followed during a median of 5.35 (3.88–6.65) years. Two interventional cardiologists reviewed the coronary angiograms, diagnosing CAE according to previously published criteria in 23 patients (8.5%). Multivariate binary logistic regression analysis was used to search for independent predictors of CAE. Multivariate analysis revealed that, aside from gender and a diagnosis of dyslipidemia, only monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1) (OR = 2.25, 95%CI = (1.35–3.76) for each increase of 100 pg/mL, p = 0.001) was independent predictor of CAE, whereas mineral metabolism markers or proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 were not. Moreover, CAE was a strong predictor of AAT during follow-up after adjustment for other clinically relevant variables (HR = 2.67, 95%CI = (1.22–5.82), p = 0.013). This is the first report showing that MCP-1 is an independent predictor of CAE, suggesting that CAE and coronary artery disease may share pathogenic mechanisms. Furthermore, CAE was associated with an increased incidence of AAT.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 2-7
Author(s):  
Jaimi H Greenslade ◽  
Nicolas Sieben ◽  
William A Parsonage ◽  
Thomas Knowlman ◽  
Lorcan Ruane ◽  
...  

BackgroundEmergency physicians frequently assess risk of acute cardiac events (ACEs) in patients with undifferentiated chest pain. Such estimates have been shown to have moderate to high sensitivity for ACE but are conservative. Little is known about the factors implicitly used by physicians to determine the pretest probability of risk. This study sought to identify the accuracy of physician risk estimates for ACE in patients presenting to the ED with chest pain and to identify the demographic and clinical information emergency physicians use in their determination of patient risk.MethodsThis study used data from two prospective studies of consenting adult patients presenting to the ED with symptoms of possible acute coronary syndrome. ED physicians estimated the pretest probability of ACE. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to identify predictors of physician risk estimates. Logistic regression was used to determine whether there was a correlation between physicians’ estimated risk and ACE.ResultsIncreasing age, male sex, abnormal ECG features, heavy/crushing chest pain and risk factors were correlated with physician risk estimates. Physician risk estimates were consistently found to be higher than the expected proportion of ACE from the sampled population.ConclusionPhysicians systematically overestimate ACE risk. A range of factors are associated with physician risk estimates. These include factors strongly predictive of ACE, such as age and ECG characteristics. They also include other factors that have been shown to be unreliable predictors of ACE in an ED setting, such as typicality of pain and risk factors.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ng Mingwei ◽  
Hong Jie Gabriel Tan ◽  
Fei Gao ◽  
Jack Wei Chieh Tan ◽  
Swee Han Lim ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Chest pain scores allow emergency physicians to identify low-risk patients for whom discharge can be safely expedited. While their utility have been extensively studied and validated in Western cohorts, data in patients of Asian heritage is lacking. This study aimed to determine the accuracy of HEART, EDACS and GRACE in risk-stratifying which emergency patients with chest pain or angina-equivalent symptoms are at risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) within 30 days (composite of all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and coronary revascularization). This single-centre prospective cohort-study enrolling 1200 patients was conducted by a large urban tertiary centre in Singapore. The chest pain scores were reported prior to disposition by research assistants blinded to the physician’s clinical assessment. Outcome adjudication was performed by an independent blinded cardiologist and emergency physician, while a second cardiologist adjudicated in the case of discrepancies. \Results Of 1200 patients enrolled, 5 withdrew consent and were excluded from analyses. 135 patients (11.3%) suffered MACE within 30 days. HEART, which ruled-out acute coronary syndrome in 52.8% of patients with 88.1% sensitivity, and EDACS, which ruled-out acute coronary syndrome in 57.5% of patients with 83.7% sensitivity, proved comparable to clinical judgment which ruled-out acute coronary syndrome in 73.0% of patients with 85.5% sensitivity. GRACE was weaker – ruling-out acute coronary syndrome in 79.2% of patients but with a dismal sensitivity of 45.0%. The correlation-statistic for HEART (79.4%) was also superior to EDACS (69.9%) and GRACE (69.2%). Conclusions HEART more accurately identified low-risk chest pain patients in an Asian emergency department who were suitable for expedited discharge and demonstrated comparable performance characteristics to clinical judgment. This has major implications on the use of chest pain scores to safely expedite disposition decisions for low-risk chest pain patients in the emergency department.


Author(s):  
Eduard Permanyer ◽  
Christian Munoz-Guijosa ◽  
Josep-Maria Padró ◽  
Antonino Ginel ◽  
José Montiel ◽  
...  

Abstract OBJECTIVES Both off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting surgery (OPCABG) and mini-extracorporeal circulation (MECC) have been associated with lower morbidity and mortality and less inflammation than conventional cardiopulmonary bypass. However, studies comparing the 2 techniques are scarce and the results are controversial. We compared the clinical outcomes and inflammatory response of low-risk patients undergoing coronary bypass grafting with MECC versus OPCABG. METHODS We conducted a prospective, randomized study in patients undergoing coronary heart surgery. Two hundred and thirty consecutive low-risk patients were randomly assigned to either receive OPCABG (n = 117) or MECC (n = 113). Clinical outcomes and postoperative biochemical results were analysed in both groups. We also analysed 19 circulating inflammatory markers in a subgroup of 40 patients at 4 perioperative time points. The area under the curve for each marker was calculated to monitor differences in the inflammatory response. RESULTS No significant differences were found between groups regarding perioperative clinical complications and no deaths occurred during the trial. Plasma levels in 9 of the 19 inflammatory markers were undetectable or showed no temporal variation, 3 were higher in the MECC group [interleukin (IL)-10, macrophage inflammatory protein-1β and epidermal growth factor] and 7 were higher in the OPCABG group (growth regulator oncogene, IL-6, IL-8, soluble CD40 ligand, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, monocyte chemoattractant protein-3 and tumour necrosis factor-α). Differences in 2 proinflammatory cytokines, IL-6 and monocyte chemoattractant protein 1, between the 2 surgical procedures were statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS No clinical differences were observed between in low-risk patients undergoing MECC or OPCABG surgery, but OPCABG was associated with an increased release of proinflammatory cytokines compared with MECC. Studies in larger cohorts and in patients at higher risk are needed to confirm these findings. Clinical trial registration number NCT02118025.


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