scholarly journals Estimating abundance, temporary emigration and the pattern of density dependence in a cyclic snowshoe hare population in Yukon, Canada

Author(s):  
Madan K. Oli ◽  
Alice J. Kenney ◽  
Rudy Boonstra ◽  
Stan Boutin ◽  
Vratika Chaudhary ◽  
...  

Estimates of demographic parameters based on capture-mark-recapture (CMR) methods may be biased when some individuals in the population are temporarily unavailable for capture (temporary emigration). We estimated snowshoe hare abundance, apparent survival, and probability of temporary emigration in a population of snowshoe hares (Lepus americanus Erxleben 1777) in the Yukon using Pollock’s robust design CMR model, and population density using spatially-explicit CMR models. Survival rates strongly varied among cyclic phases, seasons, and across five population cycles. We found strong evidence that temporary emigration was Markovian (i.e., non-random), suggesting that it varied among individuals that were temporary emigrant in the previous sampling period and those that were present in the sampled area. The probability of temporary emigration for individuals that were in the study area during the previous sampling occasion (γ´´) varied among cycles. Probability that individuals that were temporarily absent from the sampled area would remain temporary emigrants (γ´) showed strongly seasonal pattern, low in winter and high during summers. Snowshoe hare population density ranged from 0.017 (0.015–0.05) hares/ha to 4.43 (3.90–5.00) hares/ha and large-scale cyclical fluctuation. Autocorrelation functions and autoregressive analyses revealed that our study population exhibited statistically significant cyclic fluctuations, with a periodicity of 9-10 years.

1995 ◽  
Vol 73 (10) ◽  
pp. 1891-1898 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara E. M. Bloomer ◽  
Thomas Willebrand ◽  
Ingegerd M. Keith ◽  
Lloyd B. Keith

We tested the hypothesis that helminth parasitism is demographically significant to a noncyclic population of snowshoe hares (Lepus americanus) near the species' geographic boundary in central Wisconsin (U.S.A.). During November 1988 to December 1991, we injected 93 individuals (≥760 g, aged ≥2 months) with anthelmintics: Ivermectin for nematode and Droncit for cestode infections. We injected 98 control hares with propylene glycol, the common vehicle for both drugs. All treated and control hares were radio-collared with mortality-sensing transmitters and monitored daily to weekly from the ground or air. Prevalence and intensity of lungworms (Protostrongylus boughtoni), intestinal worms (Nematodirus triangularis), and stomach worms (Obeliscoides cuniculi) were markedly reduced by Ivermectin treatment. No other nematodes were found to be present. Treatment with Droncit to remove intestinal cestodes was apparently unnecessary, as prevalence among necropsied untreated hares and controls was just 10%. We compared body-condition indices (mass changes, response to trap stress, and bone-marrow fat), reproduction (pregnancy rate and litter size), home-range sizes, and time-specific survival rates of anthelmintic-treated versus control hares. None of these demographic variables differed significantly between treated and control cohorts, nor was there any evidence that parasitism increased the risk of death from predation, which was the proximate cause of 96% of all natural mortalities. We conclude that helminth parasitism played no detectable role in the dynamics of this Wisconsin snowshoe hare population.


1986 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 606-610 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stan Boutin ◽  
C. J. Krebs ◽  
A. R. E. Sinclair ◽  
J. N. M. Smith

We used radiotelemetry to monitor proximate causes of mortality of snowshoe hares during a population increase, peak, and decline at Kluane Lake, Yukon. Predation and starvation rates increased 1.6- and 9-fold, respectively, in the winter of peak population density. Predation accounted for 58% of the losses during the winter of peak densities while losses were equally divided between predation and starvation in the winter following the peak. Starvation and predation rates were lower on a food-supplemented grid than on control grids in the peak winter. In the following spring and winter, starvation rates remained low on the food grid while predation rates increased to equal those on control areas. We conclude that both starvation and predation were the proximate causes of mortality during the hare decline at Kluane Lake.


1987 ◽  
Vol 65 (3) ◽  
pp. 565-567 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles J. Krebs ◽  
B. Scott Gilbert ◽  
S. Boutin ◽  
R. Boonstra

We counted the number of snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus) fecal pellets on 50 quadrats of 0.155 m2 on each of six areas near Kluane Lake, Yukon Territory, once a year from 1977 to 1983. On four of these areas we livetrapped hares once a month and estimated population density from the Jolly–Seber model. Average hare density for the year was linearly related to fecal pellet counts (r = 0.94) over the range 0–10 hares/ha. Mean turd counts also are related to the variance of these counts by Taylor's power law with exponent 1.30, indicating a clumped pattern in turd deposition. Fecal pellet counts provide a quick and accurate method for snowshoe hare censuses on an extensive scale.


Ecology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 101 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Madan K. Oli ◽  
Charles J. Krebs ◽  
Alice J. Kenney ◽  
Rudy Boonstra ◽  
Stan Boutin ◽  
...  

2001 ◽  
Vol 79 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-4 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles J Krebs ◽  
Rudy Boonstra ◽  
Vilis Nams ◽  
Mark O'Donoghue ◽  
Karen E Hodges ◽  
...  

We counted fecal pellets of snowshoe hares (Lepus americanus) once a year in 10 areas in the southwestern Yukon from 1987 to 1996. Pellets in eighty 0.155-m2 quadrats were counted and cleared each June on all areas, and we correlated these counts with estimates of absolute hare density obtained by intensive mark–recapture methods in the same areas. There is a strong relationship between pellet counts and population density (r = 0.76), and we present a predictive log–log regression to quantify this relationship, which improves on our previously published 1987 regression, particularly at low hare densities. The precision of density estimates can be improved most easily by increasing the number of sets of quadrats in an area (one set = 80 plots), rather than increasing the number of plots counted within one set. The most important question remaining concerns the generality of this relationship for snowshoe hares living in other habitats in the eastern and southern portions of their geographic range.


2002 ◽  
Vol 80 (1) ◽  
pp. 169-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aaron J Wirsing ◽  
Todd D Steury ◽  
Dennis L Murray

The allegedly noncyclic dynamics of southern snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus) populations may be explained by a model invoking habitat fragmentation and facultative predation (the refugium model) under which animals dispersing from patches of preferred habitat fail to establish themselves because of predation by facultative carnivores. We compared the refugium model with a revised model invoking heavy on-site predation in preferred habitat as the proximal mechanism responsible for the stability of southern snowshoe hare populations. The survival and movements of hares in a fragmented habitat in central Idaho were monitored via radiotelemetry on 6 sites differing in habitat quality (indexed by understory cover) from 1998 to 2000. In support of the revised model, predation rates were high irrespective of cover availability or hare density, and predators did not kill dispersing animals disproportionately. Furthermore, predation was focused on small hares, suggesting that poor recruitment of juveniles may be the mechanism ultimately responsible for the damped dynamics of southern snowshoe hare populations. The low survival rates we measured suggest that the population under study was undergoing a marked decline. However, the observed decline, determined by comparing study-site population estimates, was less severe, implying that the persistence of local snowshoe hare populations in some areas of the species' southern range may be influenced by metapopulation dynamics. Specifically, southern snowshoe hare populations in small patches of usable habitat may be prevented from going extinct by the arrival of immigrants from similar nearby patches.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 432
Author(s):  
Nicolai Moos ◽  
Carsten Juergens ◽  
Andreas P. Redecker

This paper describes a methodological approach that is able to analyse socio-demographic and -economic data in large-scale spatial detail. Based on the two variables, population density and annual income, one investigates the spatial relationship of these variables to identify locations of imbalance or disparities assisted by bivariate choropleth maps. The aim is to gain a deeper insight into spatial components of socioeconomic nexuses, such as the relationships between the two variables, especially for high-resolution spatial units. The used methodology is able to assist political decision-making, target group advertising in the field of geo-marketing and for the site searches of new shop locations, as well as further socioeconomic research and urban planning. The developed methodology was tested in a national case study in Germany and is easily transferrable to other countries with comparable datasets. The analysis was carried out utilising data about population density and average annual income linked to spatially referenced polygons of postal codes. These were disaggregated initially via a readapted three-class dasymetric mapping approach and allocated to large-scale city block polygons. Univariate and bivariate choropleth maps generated from the resulting datasets were then used to identify and compare spatial economic disparities for a study area in North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW), Germany. Subsequently, based on these variables, a multivariate clustering approach was conducted for a demonstration area in Dortmund. In the result, it was obvious that the spatially disaggregated data allow more detailed insight into spatial patterns of socioeconomic attributes than the coarser data related to postal code polygons.


2012 ◽  
Vol 90 (9) ◽  
pp. 1149-1160 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.C. Winternitz ◽  
M.J. Yabsley ◽  
S.M. Altizer

Parasites can both influence and be affected by host population dynamics, and a growing number of case studies support a role for parasites in causing or amplifying host population cycles. In this study, we examined individual and population predictors of gastrointestinal parasitism on wild cyclic montane voles ( Microtus montanus (Peale, 1848)) to determine if evidence was consistent with theory implicating parasites in population cycles. We sampled three sites in central Colorado for the duration of a multiannual cycle and recorded the prevalence and intensity of directly transmitted Eimeria Schneider, 1875 and indirectly transmitted cestodes from a total of 267 voles. We found significant associations between host infection status, individual traits (sex, age, and reproductive status) and population variables (site, trapping period, and population density), including a positive association between host density and cestode prevalence, and a negative association between host density and Eimeria prevalence. Both cestode and Eimeria intensity correlated positively with host age, reproductive status, and population density, but neither parasite was associated with poorer host condition. Our findings suggest that parasites are common in this natural host, but determining their potential to influence montane vole cycles requires future experimental studies and long-term monitoring to determine the fitness consequences of infection and the impact of parasite removal on host dynamics.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Niloufar Nouri ◽  
Naresh Devineni ◽  
Valerie Were ◽  
Reza Khanbilvardi

AbstractThe annual frequency of tornadoes during 1950–2018 across the major tornado-impacted states were examined and modeled using anthropogenic and large-scale climate covariates in a hierarchical Bayesian inference framework. Anthropogenic factors include increases in population density and better detection systems since the mid-1990s. Large-scale climate variables include El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), Arctic Oscillation (AO), and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). The model provides a robust way of estimating the response coefficients by considering pooling of information across groups of states that belong to Tornado Alley, Dixie Alley, and Other States, thereby reducing their uncertainty. The influence of the anthropogenic factors and the large-scale climate variables are modeled in a nested framework to unravel secular trend from cyclical variability. Population density explains the long-term trend in Dixie Alley. The step-increase induced due to the installation of the Doppler Radar systems explains the long-term trend in Tornado Alley. NAO and the interplay between NAO and ENSO explained the interannual to multi-decadal variability in Tornado Alley. PDO and AMO are also contributing to this multi-time scale variability. SOI and AO explain the cyclical variability in Dixie Alley. This improved understanding of the variability and trends in tornadoes should be of immense value to public planners, businesses, and insurance-based risk management agencies.


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