Density, climate, and the processes of prespawning mortality and egg retention in Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.)
In 2004 and 2005, exceptionally large runs of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) to the Alagnak River system in Bristol Bay, Alaska, coincided with weak runs to the nearby Kvichak River system. Restricted fishing to protect the Kvichak populations resulted in densities on the Alagnak River system's spawning grounds that were 11.5-fold (in 2004) and 9.0-fold (in 2005) above the long-term (1956–2003) average. Carcass sampling indicated that 23% (2004) and 44% (2005) of the potential egg deposition was lost to prespawning mortality or incomplete spawning in the Alagnak populations. Much lower levels of egg retentions were observed in spawning populations in the Kvichak River and Wood River systems, where the runs did not appreciably exceed the escapement goals, indicating that density-dependent spawning failure may have occurred. However, in 2005, significantly higher egg retention rates were observed in the Alagnak River system despite slightly lower densities than in 2004, indicating that environmental processes (probably low river levels and high temperatures) influenced prespawning mortality as well. More limited sampling in 2006 revealed only 3% egg retention in one of the Alagnak populations, but the combination of lower density and cooler conditions did not allow us to determine the relative contributions of these two factors to spawning failure.