scholarly journals Effects of Liquidity on the Non-Default Component of Corporate Yield Spreads: Evidence from Intraday Transactions Data

2016 ◽  
Vol 06 (03) ◽  
pp. 1650012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Song Han ◽  
Hao Zhou

We estimate the non-default component of corporate bond yield spreads and examine its relationship with bond liquidity. We measure bond liquidity using intraday transactions data and estimate the default component using the term structure of credit default swaps (CDS) spreads. With swap rate as the risk free rate, the estimated non-default component is generally moderate but statistically significant for AA-, A-, and BBB-rated bonds and increasing in this order. With Treasury rate as the risk free rate, the estimated non-default component is the largest in basis points for BBB-rated bonds but, as a fraction of yield spreads, it is the largest for AAA-rated bonds. Controlling for the unobservable firm heterogeneity, we find a positive and significant relationship between the non-default component and illiquidity for investment-grade bonds but no significant relationship for speculative-grade bonds. We also find that the non-default component comoves with indicators for macroeconomic conditions.

2015 ◽  
Vol 05 (03) ◽  
pp. 1550007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Ericsson ◽  
Joel Reneby ◽  
Hao Wang

Using a set of structural models, we evaluate the price of default protection for a sample of US corporations. In contrast to previous evidence from corporate bond data, credit default swap (CDS) premia are not systematically underestimated. In fact, one of our studied models has little difficulty on average in predicting their level. For robustness, we perform the same exercise for bond spreads by the same issuers on the same trading date. As expected, bond spreads relative to the treasury curve are systematically underestimated. This is not the case when the swap curve is used as a benchmark, suggesting that previously documented underestimation results may be sensitive to the choice of risk-free rate.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Huan Yang ◽  
Jun Cai

PurposeThe question is whether debt market investors see through managers' attempts to hide their pension obligations. The authors establish a robust relation between understated pension liabilities and corporate bond yield spreads after controlling for factors that have been previously identified as having a significant impact on firms' cost of borrowing. The results support the idea that bond market investors are not being misled by the use of high pension liability discount rates by some companies to lower their reported pension obligations. For a small fraction of debt issuers, the reported pension liabilities are larger than the pension liabilities valued at the stipulated interest rate benchmarks. For these issuers with overstated pension liabilities, bond investors adjust their borrowing costs downward.Design/methodology/approachThe authors investigate the relation between corporate bond yield spreads and understated pension liabilities relative to long-term Treasury and high-grade corporate bond yields. They aim to answer two questions. First, what are the sizes of over or understated pension liabilities relative to guideline benchmarks? Second, do debt market investors see through the potential management manipulation of pension discount rates? The authors find that firms with large understated pension liabilities face higher marginal borrowing costs after taking into account issue-specific features, firm characteristics, macroeconomic conditions and other pension information such as funded status and mandatory contributions.FindingsThe average understated projected benefit obligations (PBOs) are understated by $394.3 and $335.6, equivalent to 3.5 and 3.0% of the beginning of the fiscal year market value, respectively. The average understated accumulated benefit obligations (ABOs) are understated by $359.3 and $305.3 million, equivalent to 3.1 and 2.6%, of the beginning of the fiscal year market value, respectively. Relative to AA-grade corporate bond yields, the average difference between firm pension discount rates and benchmark yields becomes much smaller; the percentage of firm pension discount rates higher than benchmark yields is also much smaller. As a result, understated pension liabilities become negligible. The authors establish a robust relation between corporate bond yield spreads and measures of understated pension liabilities after controlling for issue-specific features, firm characteristics, other pension information (funded status and mandatory contributions), macroeconomic conditions, calendar effects and industry effects.Originality/valueS&P Rating Services recognizes the issue that there is considerably more variability in discount rate assumptions among companies than in workforce demographics or the interest rate environment in which firms operate (Standard and Poor's, 2006). S&P also indicates that it would be desirable to normalize different discount rate assumptions but acknowledges that it is difficult to do so. In practice, S&P Rating Services conducts periodic surveys to see whether firms' assumed discount rates conform to the normal standard. The paper makes an initial attempt to quantify the size of understated pension liabilities and their impact on corporate bond yield spreads. This approach can be extended to study firms' costs of equity capital, the pricing of seasoned equity offerings and the pricing of merger and acquisition transaction deals, among other questions.


Author(s):  
Toby A. White

The London Inter-bank Offered Rate (LIBOR), the rate for which banks can borrow short-term from each other, and perhaps the most common floating interest rate benchmark, is going away, and may become obsolete by end of year (EOY) 2021. LIBOR is being replaced by the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) in the U.S. and by other country-specific alternative risk-free rates abroad. However, SOFR differs in several key respects from LIBOR; for example, LIBOR includes credit risk, is unsecured, is based on expert judgment, and has a full-term structure, whereas SOFR is a risk-free rate, is collateralized, is based on market transactions, and has no term structure. We examine the credit risk and maturity risk adjustments needed to ease the transition, along with fallback provisions for legacy contracts tied to LIBOR. We discuss the ramifications of rate transition to insurance companies, as it relates to their assets, liabilities, and internal processes. We then consider the perspective of both U.S. and global insurance regulators while highlighting specific areas of inquiry. We conclude with an overview of general recommendations for insurers to manage these risks, along with a detailed discussion about whether interest rate swaps tied to LIBOR will continue to be deemed as an effective hedge for accounting and valuation purposes.


2020 ◽  
pp. 2-2
Author(s):  
Menevşe Özdemir-Dilidüzgün ◽  
Ayşe Altıok-Yılmaz ◽  
Elif Akben-Selçuk

This paper investigates the effect of market and liquidity risks on corporate bond pricing in Turkey, an emerging market, and in Europe. Results show that corporate bond returns have exposure to liquidity factors and not to market factors in both settings. Corporate bonds issued in Turkey have significant exposure to fluctuations in benchmark treasury bond liquidity and corporate bond market liquidity; while corporate bonds issued in Eurozone have exposure to equity market liquidity and are sensitive to fluctuations in a 10-year generic government bond liquidity. The total estimated liquidity risk premium is 0.7% per annum for Turkish ?A? and above graded corporate bonds, and 1.08% for the last investment grade level (BBB-) long term bonds. For Eurozone, the total liquidity risk premium is 0.27% for investment grade 5-10 year term bonds, 1.05% for high-yield 1-5 year term bonds and 1.02% for high-yield 5-10 year term category.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 81-89
Author(s):  
A. A. MISHIN ◽  
◽  
V. D. IGONIN ◽  
K. E. KUCHINSKY ◽  
◽  
...  

The article examines the effectiveness of portfolios with a low level of risk, cost, and factor momentum in the corporate bond market. This paper provides empirical evidence that portfolios of size, risk-free rate, cost, and momentum factors create economically significant and statistically significant Alphas in the corporate bond market. In addition, distribution by corporate bond factors provides added value, in addition to distribution by shares in the context of multiple assets.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 134-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haitao Li ◽  
Chunchi Wu ◽  
Jian Shi

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to estimate the effects of liquidity on corporate bond spreads. Design/methodology/approach Using a systematic liquidity factor extracted from the yield spreads between on- and off-the-run Treasury issues as a state variable, the authors jointly estimate the default and liquidity spreads from corporate bond prices. Findings The authors find that the liquidity factor is strongly related to conventional liquidity measures such as bid-ask spread, volume, order imbalance, and depth. Empirical evidence shows that the liquidity component of corporate bond yield spreads is sizable and increases with maturity and credit risk. On average the liquidity spread accounts for about 25 percent of the spread for investment-grade bonds and one-third of the spread for speculative-grade bonds. Research limitations/implications The results show that a significant part of corporate bond spreads are due to liquidity, which implies that it is not necessary for credit risk to explain the entire corporate bond spread. Practical implications The results show that returns from investments in corporate bonds represent compensations for bearing both credit and liquidity risks. Originality/value It is a novel approach to extract a liquidity factor from on- and off-the-run Treasury issues and use it to disentangle liquidity and credit spreads for corporate bonds.


2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 65
Author(s):  
Massimo Mariani ◽  
Paola Amoruso ◽  
Raffaele Didonato ◽  
Alessandra Caragnano

The current paper presents an empirical analysis concerning the cat bond spread determinants at the time of issue, to evaluate potential drivers of catastrophe bond prices in the primary market. Starting from the framework description following the main branch of existing literature in this field, the statistical significance of various determinants on the pricing of cat bond is measured, paying attention to a factor representative of economic and financial circumstances and market conditions in general, consequently not associated with the catastrophe risk, namely Libor; it will be considered in order to verify the absence of influence of risk free rate on spread in the primary market. The results achieved provide insight in understanding variation of catastrophe risk prices, by taking into account term structure as well as external conditions, thus evaluating which potential spread determinants could help to improve the explanatory power of an econometric pricing model. 


CFA Digest ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 18-19
Author(s):  
Edgar J. Sullivan
Keyword(s):  

CFA Digest ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 29-30
Author(s):  
Joseph D.V. Vu

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