Susceptibility Assessment of Landslides Caused by Snowmelt in a Typical Loess Area in the Yining County, Xinjiang, China

2021 ◽  
pp. qjegh2021-024
Author(s):  
Yulong Cui ◽  
Junhong Hu ◽  
Jun Zheng ◽  
Gui Fu ◽  
Chong Xu
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Formation Mechanisms ◽  
Susceptibility Assessment ◽  
Visual Interpretation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Loess Area

Due to the unique climate and frequent human activities, the loess area in Yining County, Xinjiang, China experiences many landslides. In this study, the formation mechanisms and controlling factors of the landslides in a typical loess area in Yining were investigated, including two catastrophic landslides in 2017. Based on 0.6 m-resolution satellite images, the landslides in this area were identified using artificial visual interpretation methods. Nine influencing factors [elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, topographic position index, distance to a road, distance to a river, distance to a fault, rainfall, and normalized difference vegetation index] were selected to assess the landslide susceptibility using a logistic regression (LR) model. Finally, the potential of the LR model for assessing landslide susceptibility was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The landslide susceptibility assessment results obtained from the LR model are consistent with the actual landslide distribution. The LR model provides a powerful method for assessing the landslides susceptibility in this area. The research methods and results can provide references for the prevention and mitigation of the landslide disasters in the entire Yili Prefecture of China.Thematic collection: This article is part of the Role of water in destabilizing slopes collection available at: https://www.lyellcollection.org/cc/Role-of-water-in-destabilizing-slopes

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Different GIS-Based Bivariate Models

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nohani ◽  
Moharrami ◽  
Sharafi ◽  
Khosravi ◽  
Pradhan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Bivariate Models

Landslides are the most frequent phenomenon in the northern part of Iran, which cause considerable financial and life damages every year. One of the most widely used approaches to reduce these damages is preparing a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using suitable methods and selecting the proper conditioning factors. The current study is aimed at comparing four bivariate models, namely the frequency ratio (FR), Shannon entropy (SE), weights of evidence (WoE), and evidential belief function (EBF), for a LSM of Klijanrestagh Watershed, Iran. Firstly, 109 locations of landslides were obtained from field surveys and interpretation of aerial photographs. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (74 locations) and 30% (35 locations), randomly, for modeling and validation processes, respectively. Then, 10 conditioning factors of slope aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from fault, lithology, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance from the river, distance from the road, the slope angle, and land use were determined to construct the spatial database. From the results of multicollinearity, it was concluded that no collinearity existed between the 10 considered conditioning factors in the occurrence of landslides. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used for validation of the four achieved LSMs. The AUC results introduced the success rates of 0.8, 0.86, 0.84, and 0.85 for EBF, WoE, SE, and FR, respectively. Also, they indicated that the rates of prediction were 0.84, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for WoE, FR, SE, and EBF, respectively. Therefore, the WoE model, having the highest AUC, was the most accurate method among the four implemented methods in identifying the regions at risk of future landslides in the study area. The outcomes of this research are useful and essential for the government, planners, decision makers, researchers, and general land-use planners in the study area.

Application of Fuzzy Weights of Evidence Method in Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Based on GIS

2013 ◽  
Vol 864-867 ◽  
pp. 2756-2759
Author(s):  
Zhi Wang Wang ◽  
Jian Hua Zhang ◽  
Duan You Li
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Research Result ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Weights Of Evidence ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Assessment ◽  
Gis Technology ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Assessment ◽  
Rs And Gis ◽  
Fuzzy Weights

This paper deals with landslide hazards susceptibility assessment in the study area from Zigui to Badong counties in TGP reservoir region using RS and GIS technology. The causative factors including lithology, distance to faults, elevation, slope aspect, slope angle, drainage network, distance to river and distribution of plant are derived from geological map, Digital Elevation Model (DEM) and Spot imagery data using RS and GIS technology. The paper analyzes landslide susceptibility assessment using fuzzy weights of evidence method, which could combine knowledge-based fuzzy membership values with data-based conditional probabilities to improve the accuracy of landslide susceptibility assessment. The research result is very coincident with the occurrence of the known landslides in the study area.

scholarly journals Performance Evaluation and Comparison of Bivariate Statistical-Based Artificial Intelligence Algorithms for Spatial Prediction of Landslides

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 696
Author(s):  
Wei Chen ◽  
Zenghui Sun ◽  
Xia Zhao ◽  
Xinxiang Lei ◽  
Ataollah Shirzadi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Spatial Prediction ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Bivariate Model ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

The purpose of this study is to compare nine models, composed of certainty factors (CFs), weights of evidence (WoE), evidential belief function (EBF) and two machine learning models, namely random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM). In the first step, fifteen landslide conditioning factors were selected to prepare thematic maps, including slope aspect, slope angle, elevation, stream power index (SPI), sediment transport index (STI), topographic wetness index (TWI), plan curvature, profile curvature, land use, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil, lithology, rainfall, distance to rivers and distance to roads. In the second step, 152 landslides were randomly divided into two groups at a ratio of 70/30 as the training and validation datasets. In the third step, the weights of the CF, WoE and EBF models for conditioning factor were calculated separately, and the weights were used to generate the landslide susceptibility maps. The weights of each bivariate model were substituted into the RF and SVM models, respectively, and six integrated models and landslide susceptibility maps were obtained. In the fourth step, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and related parameters were used for verification and comparison, and then the success rate curve and the prediction rate curves were used for re-analysis. The comprehensive results showed that the hybrid model is superior to the bivariate model, and all nine models have excellent performance. The WoE–RF model has the highest predictive ability (AUC_T: 0.9993, AUC_P: 0.8968). The landslide susceptibility maps produced in this study can be used to manage landslide hazard and risk in Linyou County and other similar areas.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using Integrated Deep Learning Algorithm along the China-Nepal Highway

Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (12) ◽  
pp. 4436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liming Xiao ◽  
Yonghong Zhang ◽  
Gongzhuang Peng
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Dynamic Change ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Important Indicator

The China-Nepal Highway is a vital land route in the Kush-Himalayan region. The occurrence of mountain hazards in this area is a matter of serious concern. Thus, it is of great importance to perform hazard assessments in a more accurate and real-time way. Based on temporal and spatial sensor data, this study tries to use data-driven algorithms to predict landslide susceptibility. Ten landslide instability factors were prepared, including elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, plan curvature, vegetation index, built-up index, stream power, lithology, precipitation intensity, and cumulative precipitation index. Four machine learning algorithms, namely decision tree (DT), support vector machines (SVM), Back Propagation neural network (BPNN), and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) are implemented, and their final prediction accuracies are compared. The experimental results showed that the prediction accuracies of BPNN, SVM, DT, and LSTM in the test areas are 62.0%, 72.9%, 60.4%, and 81.2%, respectively. LSTM outperformed the other three models due to its capability to learn time series with long temporal dependencies. It indicates that the dynamic change course of geological and geographic parameters is an important indicator in reflecting landslide susceptibility.

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Commune of Oudka, Taounate Province, North Morocco: A Comparative Analysis of Logistic Regression, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline, and Artificial Neural Network Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 185-200
Author(s):  
Said Benchelha ◽  
Hasnaa Chennaoui Aoudjehane ◽  
Mustapha Hakdaoui ◽  
Rachid El Hamdouni ◽  
Hamou Mansouri ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Regression Spline ◽  
Adaptive Regression ◽  
Artificial Neural

ABSTRACT Landslide susceptibility indices were calculated and landslide susceptibility maps were generated for the Oudka, Morocco, study area using a geographic information system. The spatial database included current landslide location, topography, soil, hydrology, and lithology, and the eight factors related to landslides (elevation, slope, aspect, distance to streams, distance to roads, distance to faults, lithology, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index [NDVI]) were calculated or extracted. Logistic regression (LR), multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARSpline), and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) were the methods used in this study to generate landslide susceptibility indices. Before the calculation, the study area was randomly divided into two parts, the first for the establishment of the model and the second for its validation. The results of the landslide susceptibility analysis were verified using success and prediction rates. The MARSpline model gave a higher success rate (AUC (Area Under The Curve) = 0.963) and prediction rate (AUC = 0.951) than the LR model (AUC = 0.918 and AUC = 0.901) and the ANN model (AUC = 0.886 and AUC = 0.877). These results indicate that the MARSpline model is the best model for determining landslide susceptibility in the study area.

scholarly journals Landslides susceptibility modelling using Multivariate Logistic Regression Model in the Sahla Watershed in Northern Morocco

2021 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed El-Fengour ◽  
Hanifa El Motaki ◽  
Aissa El Bouzidi
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Potential Hazard ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence

This study aimed to assess landslide susceptibility in the Sahla watershed in northern Morocco. Landslides hazard is the most frequent phenomenon in this part of the state due to its mountainous precarious environment. The abundance of rainfall makes this area suffer mass movements led to a notable adverse impact on the nearby settlements and infrastructures. There were 93 identified landslide scars. Landslide inventories were collected from Google Earth image interpretations. They were prepared out of landslide events in the past, and future landslide occurrence was predicted by correlating landslide predisposing factors. In this paper, landslide inventories are divided into two groups, one for landslide training and the other for validation. The Landslide Susceptibility Map (LSM) is prepared by Logistic Regression (LR) Statistical Method. Lithology, stream density, land use, slope curvature, elevation, topographic wetness index, slope aspect, and slope angle were used as conditioning factors. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) was employed to examine the performance of the model. In the analysis, the LR model results in 96% accuracy in the AUC. The LSM consists of the predicted landslide area. Hence it can be used to reduce the potential hazard linked with the landslides in the Sahla watershed area in Rif Mountains in northern Morocco.

scholarly journals GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping using bivariate statistical methods in North-western Tunisia

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 708-726
Author(s):  
Zorgati Anis ◽  
Gallala Wissem ◽  
Vakhshoori Vali ◽  
Habib Smida ◽  
Gaied Mohamed Essghaier
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Satellite Image ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Weight Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
North Western ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

AbstractThe Tunisian North-western region, especially Tabarka and Ain-Drahim villages, presents many landslides every year. Therefore, the landslide susceptibility mapping is essential to frame zones with high landslide susceptibility, to avoid loss of lives and properties. In this study, two bivariate statistical models: the evidential belief functions (EBF) and the weight of evidence (WoE), were used to produce landslide susceptibility maps for the study area. For this, a landslide inventory map was mapped using aerial photo, satellite image and extensive field survey. A total of 451 landslides were randomly separated into two datasets: 316 landslides (70%) for modelling and 135 landslides (30%) for validation. Then, 11 landslide conditioning factors: elevation, slope, aspect, lithology, rainfall, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), land cover/use, plan curvature, profile curvature, distance to faults and distance to drainage networks, were considered for modelling. The EBF and WoE models were well validated using the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) curve with a success rate of 87.9% and 89.5%, respectively, and a predictive rate of 84.8% and 86.5%, respectively. The landslide susceptibility maps were very similar by the two models, but the WoE model is more efficient and it can be useful in future planning for the current study area.

scholarly journals Assessing the spatial variability of coefficients of landslide predictors in different regions of Romania using logistic regression

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 3339-3355 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. C. Mărgărint ◽  
A. Grozavu ◽  
C. V. Patriche
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Spatial Variability ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Hazard Mapping ◽  
Correct Identification

Abstract. In landslide susceptibility assessment, an important issue is the correct identification of significant contributing factors, which leads to the improvement of predictions regarding this type of geomorphologic processes. In the scientific literature, different weightings are assigned to these factors, but contain large variations. This study aims to identify the spatial variability and range of variation for the coefficients of landslide predictors in different geographical conditions. Four sectors of 15 km × 15 km (225 km2) were selected for analysis from representative regions in Romania in terms of spatial extent of landslides, situated both on the hilly areas (the Transylvanian Plateau and Moldavian Plateau) and lower mountain region (Subcarpathians). The following factors were taken into consideration: elevation, slope angle, slope height, terrain curvature (mean, plan and profile), distance from drainage network, slope aspect, land use, and lithology. For each sector, landslide inventory, digital elevation model and thematic layers of the mentioned predictors were achieved and integrated in a georeferenced environment. The logistic regression was applied separately for the four study sectors as the statistical method for assessing terrain landsliding susceptibility. Maps of landslide susceptibility were produced, the values of which were classified by using the natural breaks method (Jenks). The accuracy of the logistic regression outcomes was evaluated using the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve and AUC (area under the curve) parameter, which show values between 0.852 and 0.922 for training samples, and between 0.851 and 0.940 for validation samples. The values of coefficients are generally confined within the limits specified by the scientific literature. In each sector, landslide susceptibility is essentially related to some specific predictors, such as the slope angle, land use, slope height, and lithology. The study points out that the coefficients assigned to the landslide predictors through logistic regression are capable to reveal some important characteristics in landslide manifestation. The study also shows that the logistic regression could be an alternative method to the current Romanian methodology for landslide susceptibility and hazard mapping.

scholarly journals Polygon-based Landslide Inventory for Bandung Basin Using Google Earth

2021 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sukristiyanti Sukristiyanti ◽  
Ketut Wikantika ◽  
Imam A. Sadisun ◽  
Lissa F. Yayusman ◽  
Jevon A. Telaumbanua
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Susceptibility Assessment ◽  
Visual Interpretation ◽  
Research Papers ◽  
Source Areas ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Assessment ◽  
Key Factor

A landslide inventory representing landslide locations is used as a key factor in landslide susceptibility assessment. This paper explores Google Earth (GE) for generating a polygon-based landslide inventory in Bandung Basin. How far GE can identify landslides and their boundaries, source areas, and types were discussed here. Visual interpretation of GE images supported by path tool in GE, official landslide reports, previous research papers, and media was performed. The result is a polygon-based landslide inventory consisting of 194 landslide areas and 194 landslide source areas during 1993-2020. The limitations of GE in preparing the landslide inventory are (1) not covering the timing of the landslide occurrences, (2) tricky to identify small landslides (<100 m2) in anthropogenically transformed areas, and (3) not able to distinguish between earth and debris of landslide material.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping using Bivariate Statistical Models and GIS in Chattagram District, Bangladesh

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Sharafat Chowdhury ◽  
Bibi Hafsa
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Weight Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Conditioning Factors

Abstract This study attempts to produce Landslide Susceptibility Map for Chattagram District of Bangladesh by using five GIS based bivariate statistical models, namely the Frequency Ratio (FR), Shanon’s Entropy (SE), Weight of Evidence (WofE), Information Value (IV) and Certainty Factor (CF). A secondary landslide inventory database was used to correlate the previous landslides with the landslide conditioning factors. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors of Slope Aspect, Slope Angle, Geology, Elevation, Plan Curvature, Profile Curvature, General Curvature, Topographic Wetness Index, Stream Power Index, Sediment Transport Index, Topographic Roughness Index, Distance to Stream, Distance to Anticline, Distance to Fault, Distance to Road and NDVI were used. The Area Under Curve (AUC) was used for validation of the LSMs. The predictive rate of AUC for FR, SE, WofE, IV and CF were 76.11%, 70.11%, 78.93%, 76.57% and 80.43% respectively. CF model indicates 15.04% of areas are highly susceptible to landslide. All the models showed that the high elevated areas are more susceptible to landslide where the low-lying river basin areas have a low probability of landslide occurrence. The findings of this research will contribute to land use planning, management and hazard mitigation of the CHT region.

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