scholarly journals Bayesian Analysis of the Weibull Paired Comparison Model Using Numerical Approximation

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Khalil Ullah ◽  
Muhammad Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Loss Function ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Numerical Approximation ◽  
Paired Comparison ◽  
Estimation Procedure ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Comparison Model

The method of paired comparisons (PC) is widely used to rank items using sensory evaluations. The PC models are developed to provide basis for such comparisons. In this study, the Weibull PC model is analyzed under the Bayesian paradigm using noninformative priors and different loss functions, namely, Squared Error Loss Function (SELF), Quadratic Loss Function (QLF), DeGroot Loss Function (DLF), and Precautionary Loss Function (PLF). Numerical approximation is used to illustrate the entire estimation procedure. A real dataset showing usage preferences for different cellphone brands, Huawei (HW), Samsung (SS), Oppo (OP), QMobile (QM), and Nokia (NK), is used. Quadrature method is used to evaluate the Bayes estimates, their posterior risks, preference probabilities, predictive probabilities, and posterior probabilities to establish and verify ranking order of the competing cellphone brands under study. The results show that the paired comparison model under the study using Bayesian approach involving various loss functions can offer mathematical approach to evaluate cellphone brand preferences. The ranking provided by the model is justifiable according to the usage preference for these cellphone brands. The ranking given by the model indicates that cellphone brand Samsung is preferred the most and QMobile is the least preferred. The plausibility of the model is also assessed using the Chi square test of goodness of fit.

scholarly journals Bayes Estimation under Conjugate Prior for the Case of Laplace Double Exponential Distribution

2018 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 151-168
Author(s):  
Md Habibur Rahman ◽  
MK Roy
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Estimation ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Bayes Estimation ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Double Exponential Distribution ◽  
Double Exponential

The Bayesian estimation approach is a non-classical device in the estimation part of statistical inference which is very useful in real world situation. The main objective of this paper is to study the Bayes estimators of the parameter of Laplace double exponential distribution. In Bayesian estimation loss function, prior distribution and posterior distribution are the most important ingredients. In real life we try to minimize the loss and want to know some prior information about the problem to solve it accurately. The well known conjugate priors are considered for finding the Bayes estimator. In our study we have used different symmetric and asymmetric loss functions such as squared error loss function, quadratic loss function, modified linear exponential (MLINEX) loss function and non-linear exponential (NLINEX) loss function. The performance of the obtained estimators for different types of loss functions are then compared among themselves as well as with the classical maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). Mean Square Error (MSE) of the estimators are also computed and presented in graphs. The Chittagong Univ. J. Sci. 40 : 151-168, 2018

scholarly journals Bayesian Estimation under Different Loss Functions Using Gamma Prior for the Case of Exponential Distribution

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-78
Author(s):  
M. R. Hasan ◽  
A. R. Baizid
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Estimation ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Life Time ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Squared Error

The Bayesian estimation approach is a non-classical estimation technique in statistical inference and is very useful in real world situation. The aim of this paper is to study the Bayes estimators of the parameter of exponential distribution under different loss functions and compared among them as well as with the classical estimator named maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). Since exponential distribution is the life time distribution, we have studied exponential distribution using gamma prior. Here the gamma prior is used as the prior distribution of exponential distribution for finding the Bayes estimator. In our study we also used different symmetric and asymmetric loss functions such as squared error loss function, quadratic loss function, modified linear exponential (MLINEX) loss function and non-linear exponential (NLINEX) loss function. We have used simulated data using R-coding to find out the mean squared error (MSE) of different loss functions and hence found that non-classical estimator is better than classical estimator. Finally, mean square error (MSE) of the estimators of different loss functions are presented graphically.

scholarly journals Bayesian Estimation of Transmuted Weibull Distribution under Different Loss Functions

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rahila Yousaf ◽  
Sajid Ali ◽  
Muhammad Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Reliability Engineering ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Credible Intervals

In this article, we aim to estimate the parameters of the transmuted Weibull distribution (TWD) using Bayesian approach, as the Weibull distribution plays an important role in reliability engineering and life testing problems. Informative and non-informative priors under squared error loss function (SELF), precautionary loss function (PLF) and quadratic loss function (QLF) are assumed to estimate the scale, the shape and the transmuted parameter of the TWD. In addition to this, we also compute the Bayesian credible intervals (BCIs). To estimate parameters, we adopt Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique assuming uncensored and censored environments in terms of different sample sizes and censoring rates. The posterior risks, associated with each estimator are used to compare the performance of different estimators. Two real data sets are analyzed to illustrate the flexibility of the proposed distribution.

scholarly journals Bayesian Inference of Burr Type VIII Distribution Based on Censored Samples

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Navid Feroz
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Inference ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Simulation Study ◽  
Bayes Estimation ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Bayes Estimators ◽  
Type Viii ◽  
Censored Samples ◽  
Made In

This paper is concerned with estimation of the parameter of Burr type VIII distribution under a Bayesian framework using censored samples. The Bayes estimators and associated risks have been derived under the assumption of five priors and three loss functions. The comparison among the performance of different estimators has been made in terms of posterior risks. A simulation study has been conducted in order to assess and compare the performance of different estimators. The study proposes the use of inverse Levy prior based on quadratic loss function for Bayes estimation of the said parameter.

CHARACTERISATION OF LINEAR MINI-MAX ESTIMATORS FOR LOSS FUNCTIONS OF ARBITRARY POWER

2001 ◽  
Vol 03 (02n03) ◽  
pp. 203-211
Author(s):  
K. HELMES ◽  
C. SRINIVASAN
Keyword(s):  
Power Function ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Standard Wiener Process ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Continuous Linear ◽  
Arbitrary Power ◽  
Linear Estimators ◽  
Special Cases ◽  
General Power

Let Y(t), t∈[0,1], be a stochastic process modelled as dYt=θ(t)dt+dW(t), where W(t) denotes a standard Wiener process, and θ(t) is an unknown function assumed to belong to a given set Θ⊂L2[0,1]. We consider the problem of estimating the value ℒ(θ), where ℒ is a continuous linear function defined on Θ, using linear estimators of the form <m,y>=∫m(t)dY(t), m∈L2[0,1]. The distance between the quantity ℒ(θ) and the estimated value is measured by a loss function. In this paper, we consider the loss function to be an arbitrary even power function. We provide a characterisation of the best linear mini-max estimator for a general power function which implies the characterisation for two special cases which have previously been considered in the literature, viz. the case of a quadratic loss function and the case of a quartic loss function.

scholarly journals Bayes Estimators of Exponentiated Inverse Rayleigh Distribution using Lindleys Approximation

2021 ◽  
pp. 60-71
Author(s):  
Bashiru Omeiza Sule ◽  
Taiwo Mobolaji Adegoke ◽  
Kafayat Tolani Uthman
Keyword(s):  
Loss Function ◽  
Posterior Distribution ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Rayleigh Distribution ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Bayes Estimators ◽  
Shape Parameters ◽  
True Parameter ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Scale Parameters

In this paper, Bayes estimators of the unknown shape and scale parameters of the Exponentiated Inverse Rayleigh Distribution (EIRD) have been derived using both the frequentist and bayesian methods. The Bayes theorem was adopted to obtain the posterior distribution of the shape and scale parameters of an Exponentiated Inverse Rayleigh Distribution (EIRD) using both conjugate and non-conjugate prior distribution under different loss functions (such as Entropy Loss Function, Linex Loss Function and Scale Invariant Squared Error Loss Function). The posterior distribution derived for both shape and scale parameters are intractable and a Lindley approximation was adopted to obtain the parameters of interest. The loss function were employed to obtain the estimates for both scale and shape parameters with an assumption that the both scale and shape parameters are unknown and independent. Also the Bayes estimate for the simulated datasets and real life datasets were obtained. The Bayes estimates obtained under dierent loss functions are close to the true parameter value of the shape and scale parameters. The estimators are then compared in terms of their Mean Square Error (MSE) using R programming language. We deduce that the MSE reduces as the sample size (n) increases.

Designing optimal estimators for fish stock assessment

1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 376-386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick L Cordue
Keyword(s):  
Loss Function ◽  
Stock Assessment ◽  
Estimation Procedure ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Bayes Estimation ◽  
Fish Stock ◽  
Linear Transformations ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Error Loss ◽  
Fish Stock Assessment

Many estimation procedures are used in the provision of fisheries stock assessment advice. Most procedures use estimators that have optimal large-sample characteristics, but these are often applied to small-sample data sets. In this paper, a minimum integrated average expected loss (MIAEL) estimation procedure is presented. By its design a MIAEL estimator has optimal characteristics for the type of data it is applied to, given that the model assumptions of the particular problem are satisfied. The estimation procedure is developed within a decision-theoretic framework and illustrated with a Bernoulli and a fisheries example. MIAEL estimation is related to optimal Bayes estimation, as both procedures seek an estimator that minimizes an integrated loss function. In most fisheries applications a global MIAEL estimator will be difficult to determine, and a MIAEL estimator will need to be found within a given class of estimators. "Squared f-error," a generalization of the common squared error loss function is defined. It is shown that an estimator can be improved (for a given squared f-error loss function) by using its best linear transformation which is the MIAEL estimator within the class of linear transformations (in f space).

scholarly journals Selected Robust Methods for Camp Model Estimation

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 58-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grażyna Trzpiot
Keyword(s):  
Risk Aversion ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Estimation Procedure ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Model Estimation ◽  
Robust Methods ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Least Squares Estimators ◽  
Highly Sensitive

Abstract This paper presents evidence that Ordinary Least Squares estimators of beta coefficients of major firms and portfolios are highly sensitive to observations of extremes in market index returns. This sensitivity is rooted in the inconsistency of the quadratic loss function in financial theory. By introducing considerations of risk aversion into the estimation procedure using alternative estimators measures of variability we can overcome this lack of robustness and improve the reliability of the results.

scholarly journals The Comparison Between the MLE and Standard Bayes Estimators of the Reliability Function of Exponential Distribution

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 103
Author(s):  
Mohammed Jamel Ali ◽  
Hazim Mansoor Gorgees
Keyword(s):  
Loss Function ◽  
Reliability Function ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Bayes Estimators ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Technique ◽  
Error Loss ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
The One

     In this paper, a Monte Carlo Simulation technique is used to compare the performance of MLE and the standard Bayes estimators of the reliability function of the one parameter exponential distribution.Two types of loss functions are adopted, namely, squared error  loss function (SELF) and modified square error loss function (MSELF) with informative and non- informative prior. The criterion integrated mean square error (IMSE) is employed to assess the performance of such estimators .

scholarly journals Bayesian Analysis of a Shape Parameter of the Weibull-Frechet Distribution

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Terna Godfrey Ieren ◽  
Angela Unna Chukwu
Keyword(s):  
Loss Function ◽  
Shape Parameter ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Loss Functions ◽  
Quadratic Loss ◽  
Bayes Estimators ◽  
Informative Priors ◽  
Fréchet Distribution ◽  
Minimum Bayes Risk ◽  
Frechet Distribution

In this paper, we estimate a shape parameter of the Weibull-Frechet distribution by considering the Bayesian approach under two non-informative priors using three different loss functions. We derive the corresponding posterior distributions for the shape parameter of the Weibull-Frechet distribution assuming that the other three parameters are known. The Bayes estimators and associated posterior               risks have also been derived using the three different loss functions. The performance of the Bayes estimators are evaluated and compared using a comprehensive simulation study and a real life application to find out the combination of a loss function and a prior having the minimum Bayes risk and hence producing the best results. In conclusion, this study reveals that in order to estimate the parameter in question, we should use quadratic loss function under either of the two non-informative priors used in this study.  

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