Abstract P172: Associations of Body Mass Index From Early-, Mid-, and Older- Adulthood With Incident Heart Failure and Cardiovascular Disease: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J Fliotsos ◽  
Di Zhao ◽  
Chiadi Ndumele ◽  
Eliseo Guallar ◽  
Gregory L Burke ◽  
...  

Background: Obesity contributes significantly to increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and particularly heart failure (HF). However, an elevated body mass index (BMI) in older adults might not fully reflect the additional risk associated with excess weight at a younger age. We determined the prognostic value of self-reported weights from early- and mid-adulthood, after accounting for current weight, with incident HF and CVD. Methods: We studied 6,437 MESA participants (aged 45-84 years) with self-reported weights at ages 20 and 40 (by questionnaire) and measured weight at the baseline exam (2000-2002). BMI was calculated using measured height at baseline. Cox hazard models assessed relationships between BMI at each age with HF and CVD. Results: Participant mean age was 62±10 years and 53% were women. Over a median follow-up of 13 years, 290 HF and 828 CVD events occurred. Elevated BMI at each age point (age 20, age 40, and MESA baseline) was independently associated with HF, and to lesser extent with CVD ( Figure ). After adjustment for demographics, CVD risk factors, and baseline BMI, higher self-reported BMIs at ages 20 and 40 years were independently associated with increased risk of incident HF with hazard ratios (HR) 1.18 (95% CI 1.05-1.32) and 1.30 (1.15-1.46), respectively, per 1 SD higher BMI. Participants with self-reported obesity (BMI≥30) at age 20 [HR 3.20 (1.93-5.32)] and age 40 [HR 1.92 (1.31-2.83)] had greater HF risk, even after accounting for current BMI. For incident CVD, only higher self-reported BMI at age 20 (per 1 SD) was associated after accounting for current BMI [HR 1.09 (1.01-1.17)]. Conclusions: Assessment of self-reported lifetime weights is a simple tool utilized in any clinical encounter. Although subject to recall bias, self-reported weights provide prognostic information about future HF risk, incremental to current BMI, in a multi-ethnic cohort of middle-aged to older adults.

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (34) ◽  
pp. 2849-2855 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guo-Chong Chen ◽  
Rhonda Arthur ◽  
Neil M Iyengar ◽  
Victor Kamensky ◽  
Xiaonan Xue ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Central adiposity is associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, even among people with normal body mass index (BMI). We tested the hypothesis that regional body fat deposits (trunk or leg fat) are associated with altered risk of CVD among postmenopausal women with normal BMI. Methods and results We included 2683 postmenopausal women with normal BMI (18.5 to <25 kg/m2) who participated in the Women’s Health Initiative and had no known CVD at baseline. Body composition was determined by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Incident CVD events including coronary heart disease and stroke were ascertained through February 2017. During a median 17.9 years of follow-up, 291 incident CVD cases occurred. After adjustment for demographic, lifestyle, and clinical risk factors, neither whole-body fat mass nor fat percentage was associated with CVD risk. Higher percent trunk fat was associated with increased risk of CVD [highest vs. lowest quartile hazard ratio (HR) = 1.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33–2.74; P-trend <0.001], whereas higher percent leg fat was associated with decreased risk of CVD (highest vs. lowest quartile HR = 0.62, 95% CI 0.43–0.89; P-trend = 0.008). The association for trunk fat was attenuated yet remained significant after further adjustment for waist circumference or waist-to-hip ratio. Higher percent trunk fat combined with lower percent leg fat was associated with particularly high risk of CVD (HR comparing extreme groups = 3.33, 95% CI 1.46–7.62). Conclusion Among postmenopausal women with normal BMI, both elevated trunk fat and reduced leg fat are associated with increased risk of CVD.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Iyen ◽  
Stephen Weng ◽  
Yana Vinogradova ◽  
Ralph Akyea ◽  
Nadeem Qureshi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Although obesity is a well-recognised risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), the impact of long-term body mass index (BMI) changes in overweight or obese adults, on the risk of heart failure, CVD and mortality has not been quantified. Methods: This population-based cohort study used routine UK primary care electronic health data linked to secondary care and death-registry records. We identified adults who were overweight or obese, free from CVD and who had repeated BMI measures. Using group-based trajectory modelling, we examined the BMI trajectories of these individuals and then determined incidence rates of CVD, heart failure and mortality associated with the different trajectories. Cox-proportional hazards regression determined hazards ratios for incident outcomes. Results: 264,230 individuals (mean age 49.5 years (SD 12.7) and mean BMI 33.8kg/m 2 (SD 6.1)) were followed-up for a median duration of 10.9 years. Four BMI trajectories were identified, corresponding at baseline, with World Health Organisation BMI classifications for overweight, class-1, class-2 and class-3 obesity respectively. In all four groups, there was a small, stable upwards trajectory in BMI (mean BMI increase of 1.06kg/m 2 (± 3.8)). Compared with overweight individuals, class-3 obese individuals had a 3.3-fold increased risk of heart failure (HR 3.26 (95% CI 2.98-3.57)), 2.7-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.72 (2.58-2.87)) and 3.3-fold increased risk of CVD-related mortality (HR 3.31 (2.84-3.86)) after adjusting for baseline demographic and cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusion: The majority of adults who are overweight or obese retain their degree of overweight or obesity over the long term. Individuals with stable severe obesity experience the worst heart failure, CVD and mortality outcomes. These findings highlight the high cardiovascular toll exacted by continuing failure to tackle obesity.


Author(s):  
Laura M. Raffield ◽  
Annie Green Howard ◽  
Misa Graff ◽  
Dan‐Yu Lin ◽  
Susan Cheng ◽  
...  

Background Research examining the role of obesity in cardiovascular disease (CVD) often fails to adequately consider heterogeneity in obesity severity, distribution, and duration. Methods and Results We here use multivariate latent class mixed models in the biracial Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (N=14 514; mean age=54 years; 55% female) to associate obesity subclasses (derived from body mass index, waist circumference, self‐reported weight at age 25, tricep skinfold, and calf circumference across up to four triennial visits) with total mortality, incident CVD, and CVD risk factors. We identified four obesity subclasses, summarized by their body mass index and waist circumference slope as decline (4.1%), stable/slow decline (67.8%), moderate increase (24.6%), and rapid increase (3.6%) subclasses. Compared with participants in the stable/slow decline subclass, the decline subclass was associated with elevated mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.45, 95% CI 1.31, 1.60, P <0.0001) and with heart failure (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.22, 1.63, P <0.0001), stroke (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.22, 1.92, P =0.0002), and coronary heart disease (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14, 1.63, P =0.0008), adjusting for baseline body mass index and CVD risk factor profile. The moderate increase latent class was not associated with any significant differences in CVD risk as compared to the stable/slow decline latent class and was associated with a lower overall risk of mortality (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.80, 0.90, P <0.0001), despite higher body mass index at baseline. The rapid increase latent class was associated with a higher risk of heart failure versus the stable/slow decline latent class (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.10, 1.62, P =0.004). Conclusions Consideration of heterogeneity and longitudinal changes in obesity measures is needed in clinical care for a more precision‐oriented view of CVD risk.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Iyen ◽  
Stephen Weng ◽  
Yana Vinogradova ◽  
Ralph Akyea ◽  
Nadeem Qureshi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Although obesity is a well-recognised risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), the impact of long-term body mass index (BMI) changes in overweight or obese adults, on the risk of heart failure, CVD and mortality has not been quantified.Methods: This population-based cohort study used routine UK primary care electronic health data linked to secondary care and death-registry records. We identified adults who were overweight or obese, free from CVD and who had repeated BMI measures. Using group-based trajectory modelling, we examined the BMI trajectories of these individuals and then determined incidence rates of CVD, heart failure and mortality associated with the different trajectories. Cox-proportional hazards regression determined hazards ratios for incident outcomes. Results: 264,230 individuals (mean age 49.5 years (SD 12.7) and mean BMI 33.8kg/m2 (SD 6.1)) were followed-up for a median duration of 10.9 years. Four BMI trajectories were identified, corresponding at baseline, with World Health Organisation BMI classifications for overweight, class-1, class-2 and class-3 obesity respectively. In all four groups, there was a small, stable upwards trajectory in BMI (mean BMI increase of 1.06kg/m2 (± 3.8)). Compared with overweight individuals, class-3 obese individuals had a 3.3-fold increased risk of heart failure (HR 3.26 (95% CI 2.98-3.57)), 2.7-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR 2.72 (2.58-2.87)) and 3.3-fold increased risk of CVD-related mortality (HR 3.31 (2.84-3.86)) after adjusting for baseline demographic and cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusion: The majority of adults who are overweight or obese retain their degree of overweight or obesity over the long term. Individuals with stable severe obesity experience the worst heart failure, CVD and mortality outcomes. These findings highlight the high cardiovascular toll exacted by continuing failure to tackle obesity.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Iyen ◽  
Stephen Weng ◽  
Yana Vinogradova ◽  
Ralph K. Akyea ◽  
Nadeem Qureshi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Although obesity is a well-recognised risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), the impact of long-term body mass index (BMI) changes in overweight or obese adults, on the risk of heart failure, CVD and mortality has not been quantified. Methods This population-based cohort study used routine UK primary care electronic health data linked to secondary care and death-registry records. We identified adults who were overweight or obese, free from CVD and who had repeated BMI measures. Using group-based trajectory modelling, we examined the BMI trajectories of these individuals and then determined incidence rates of CVD, heart failure and mortality associated with the different trajectories. Cox-proportional hazards regression determined hazards ratios for incident outcomes. Results 264,230 individuals (mean age 49.5 years (SD 12.7) and mean BMI 33.8 kg/m2 (SD 6.1)) were followed-up for a median duration of 10.9 years. Four BMI trajectories were identified, corresponding at baseline, with World Health Organisation BMI classifications for overweight, class-1, class-2 and class-3 obesity respectively. In all four groups, there was a small, stable upwards trajectory in BMI (mean BMI increase of 1.06 kg/m2 (± 3.8)). Compared with overweight individuals, class-3 obese individuals had hazards ratios (HR) of 3.26 (95% CI 2.98–3.57) for heart failure, HR of 2.72 (2.58–2.87) for all-cause mortality and HR of 3.31 (2.84–3.86) for CVD-related mortality, after adjusting for baseline demographic and cardiovascular risk factors. Conclusion The majority of adults who are overweight or obese retain their degree of overweight or obesity over the long term. Individuals with stable severe obesity experience the worst heart failure, CVD and mortality outcomes. These findings highlight the high cardiovascular toll exacted by continuing failure to tackle obesity.


2013 ◽  
Vol 98 (12) ◽  
pp. 4899-4907 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyung Hee Park ◽  
Lesya Zaichenko ◽  
Mary Brinkoetter ◽  
Bindiya Thakkar ◽  
Ayse Sahin-Efe ◽  
...  

Context: Irisin, a recently identified hormone, has been proposed to regulate energy homeostasis and obesity in mice. Whether irisin levels are associated with risk of the metabolic syndrome (MetS), cardiometabolic variables, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in humans remains unknown. Objective: Our objective was to assess the associations between baseline serum irisin levels and MetS, cardiometabolic variables, and CVD risk. Design, Setting, and Subjects: We conducted a comparative cross-sectional evaluation of baseline circulating levels of the novel hormone irisin and the established adipokine adiponectin with MetS, cardiometabolic variables, and CVD risk in a sample of 151 subjects. Results: Baseline irisin levels were significantly higher in subjects with MetS than in subjects without MetS. Irisin was associated negatively with adiponectin (r = −0.4, P &lt; .001) and positively with body mass index (r = 0.22, P = .008), systolic (r = 0.17, P = .04) and diastolic (r = 0.27, P = .001) blood pressure, fasting glucose (r = 0.25, P = .002), triglycerides (r = 0.25, P = .003), and homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (r = 0.33, P &lt; .001). After adjustment for potential confounders, including body mass index, subjects in the highest tertile of irisin levels were more likely to have MetS (odds ratio [OR] = 9.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.66–33.44), elevated fasting blood glucose (OR = 5.80, 95% CI = 1.72–19.60), high triglycerides (OR = 3.89, 95% CI = 1.16–13.03), and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (OR = 3.30, 95% CI = 1.18–9.20). Irisin was independently associated with homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance and general Framingham risk profile in multiple linear regression analyses after adjustment for confounders. Adiponectin demonstrated the expected associations with outcomes. Conclusions: Irisin is associated with increased risk of MetS, cardiometabolic variables, and CVD in humans, indicating either increased secretion by adipose/muscle tissue and/or a compensatory increase of irisin to overcome an underlying irisin resistance in these subjects.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dipender Gill ◽  
Verena Zuber ◽  
Jesse Dawson ◽  
Jonathan Pearson-Stuttard ◽  
Alice R Carter ◽  
...  

Background: Higher body-mass index (BMI) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) increase the risk of cardiovascular disease, but the extent to which this is mediated by blood pressure, diabetes, lipid traits and smoking is not fully understood. Methods: Using consortia and UK Biobank genetic association summary data from 140,595 to 898,130 participants predominantly of European ancestry, MR mediation analysis was performed to investigate the degree to which genetically predicted systolic blood pressure (SBP), diabetes, lipid traits and smoking mediated an effect of genetically predicted BMI and WHR on risk of coronary artery disease (CAD), peripheral artery disease (PAD) and stroke. Results: The 49% (95% confidence interval [CI] 39%-60%) increased risk of CAD conferred per 1-standard deviation increase in genetically predicted BMI attenuated to 34% (95% CI 24%-45%) after adjusting for genetically predicted SBP, to 27% (95% CI 17%-37%) after adjusting for genetically predicted diabetes, to 47% (95% CI 36%-59%) after adjusting for genetically predicted lipids, and to 46% (95% CI 34%-58%) after adjusting for genetically predicted smoking. Adjusting for all the mediators together, the increased risk attenuated to 14% (95% CI 4%-26%). A similar pattern of attenuation was observed when considering genetically predicted WHR as the exposure, and PAD or stroke as the outcomes. Conclusions: Measures to reduce obesity will lower risk of cardiovascular disease primarily by impacting on downstream metabolic risk factors, particularly diabetes and hypertension. Reduction of obesity prevalence alongside control and management of its mediators is likely to be most effective for minimizing the burden of obesity.


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuliya Mints ◽  
Asya Lyass ◽  
Michelle D Schmiegelow ◽  
morten schou ◽  
Gunnar H Gislason ◽  
...  

Introduction: Peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM) is a form of systolic heart failure that occurs during pregnancy or in the early post-partum period. Obesity is known to be associated with other forms of heart failure in young adults, however it is unclear if it is also a risk factor for the development of PPCM. Objectives: To investigate the association of body mass index (BMI) with PPCM and heart failure in the years following childbirth. Methods: We conducted a retrospective review of pregnant women in the Danish National Patient Registry between 2004 - 2017. Baseline characteristics and other risk factors were obtained at the first prenatal visit (occurring at 8-11 weeks post-conception). Women were followed until the end of the study period, emigration, or death. Logistic regression was performed, adjusting for age as well as other known risk factors for PPCM. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to assess the long-term risk of development of heart failure. Results: There were 403,820 pregnancies evaluated in 300,892 women, with an average age of 29 years. The average BMI was 24.4 kg/m2, with 21.6% classified as overweight (BMI 25 - 30 kg/m2) and 12.8% as obese (BMI > 30 kg/m2). The rate of PPCM was 0.1 per 1,000 in normal weight and overweight groups, and 0.3 per 1,000 in the obese women. After adjustment for age, ethnicity, smoking status, gestational diabetes, and presence of preeclampsia, there was a statistically significant increased risk of the development of PPCM up to 6 months after childbirth in patients who had class I (odds ratio [OR] 2.25, 95% CI 1.08-4.68) but not class II/III obesity (OR 1.63, 95% CI 0.60-4.43). This elevated risk persisted during long term follow up, with hazard ratios of 2.43 (95% CI 1.55 - 3.80) in women with class I obesity and 3.20 (95% CI 1.93 - 5.30) in women with class II/III obesity. Conclusions: High early pregnancy BMI is associated with elevated risk of development of peripartum cardiomyopathy even after adjustment for traditional risk factors. This risk of heart failure persists for several years after childbirth.


2014 ◽  
Vol 62 (11) ◽  
pp. 2215-2216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael L. Alosco ◽  
Mary Beth Spitznagel ◽  
Ronald Cohen ◽  
Lawrence H. Sweet ◽  
Richard Josephson ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (7) ◽  
pp. 717-725 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaojing Chen ◽  
Erik Thunström ◽  
Per-Olof Hansson ◽  
Annika Rosengren ◽  
Zacharias Mandalenakis ◽  
...  

Background Knowledge about long-term risk factors and the prevalence of heart failure stages in general population is limited. We aimed to study the prevalence of cardiac dysfunction and heart failure in 71-year-old men and potential risk factors in the past two decades. Design This research was based on a randomized selected population study with longitudinal follow-up. Methods A random sample of men born in 1943 in Gothenburg, Sweden were examined in 1993 (at 50 years of age) and re-examined 21 years later in 2014 (at 71 years of age). Cardiac dysfunction or heart failure was classified into four stages (A–D) according to American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines on heart failure. Results Of the 798 men examined in 1993 (overall cohort), 535 (67%) were re-examined in 2014 (echo cohort). In the echo cohort 122 (23%) men had normal cardiac function, 135 (25%) were at stage A, 207 (39%) men were at stage B, 66 (12%) men were at stage C, and five (1%) men were at stage D. Multivariable logistic regression demonstrated that elevated body mass index at 50 years old was the only independent risk factor for developing heart failure/cardiac dysfunction during the subsequent 21 years. For each unit (1 kg/m2) of increased body mass index, the odds ratio for stages C/D heart failure vs no heart failure/stage A increased by 1.20 (95% confidence interval, 1.11–1.31, p < 0.001), after adjustment for smoking, sedentary life style, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia. Conclusion In a random sample of men at 71 years of age, half presented with either cardiac dysfunction or clinical heart failure. High body mass index was associated with an increased risk for developing cardiac dysfunction or heart failure over a 21-year period.


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