scholarly journals Optimization of Gravity Wave Source Parameters for Improved Seasonal Prediction of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation

2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (9) ◽  
pp. 2941-2962
Author(s):  
Cory A. Barton ◽  
John P. McCormack ◽  
Stephen D. Eckermann ◽  
Karl W. Hoppel
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Optimal Parameter ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Phase Speed ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
Forecast Lead Time ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract A methodology is presented for objectively optimizing nonorographic gravity wave source parameters to minimize forecast error for target regions and forecast lead times. In this study, we employ a high-altitude version of the Navy Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM-HA) to ascertain the forcing needed to minimize hindcast errors in the equatorial lower stratospheric zonal-mean zonal winds in order to improve forecasts of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) over seasonal time scales. Because subgrid-scale wave effects play a large role in driving the QBO, this method leverages the nonorographic gravity wave drag (GWD) parameterization scheme to provide the necessary forcing. To better constrain the GWD source parameters, we utilize ensembles of NAVGEM-HA hindcasts over the 2014–16 period with perturbed source parameters and develop a cost function to minimize errors in the equatorial lower stratosphere compared to analysis. Thus, we may determine the set of GWD source parameters that yields a forecast state that most closely agrees with observed QBO winds over each optimization time interval. Results show that the source momentum flux and phase speed spectrum width are the most important parameters. The seasonal evolution of optimal parameter value, specifically a robust semiannual periodicity in the source strength, is also revealed. Changes in optimal source parameters with increasing forecast lead time are seen, as the GWD parameterization takes on a more active role as QBO driver at longer forecast lengths. Implementation of a semiannually varying source function at the equator provides RMS error improvement in QBO winds over the default constant value.

scholarly journals Tuning of a convective gravity wave source scheme based on HIRDLS observations

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (11) ◽  
pp. 7335-7356 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quang Thai Trinh ◽  
Silvio Kalisch ◽  
Peter Preusse ◽  
Manfred Ern ◽  
Hye-Yeong Chun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Momentum Flux ◽  
Wave Spectrum ◽  
Phase Speed ◽  
Horizontal Distribution ◽  
Momentum Balance ◽  
Horizontal Scale ◽  
Full Spectrum ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Source

Abstract. Convection as one dominant source of atmospheric gravity waves (GWs) has been the focus of investigation over recent years. However, its spatial and temporal forcing scales are not well known. In this work we address this open issue by a systematic verification of free parameters of the Yonsei convective GW source scheme based on observations from the High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder (HIRDLS). The instrument can only see a limited portion of the gravity wave spectrum due to visibility effects and observation geometry. To allow for a meaningful comparison of simulated GWs to observations, a comprehensive filter, which mimics the instrument limitations, is applied to the simulated waves. By this approach, only long horizontal-scale convective GWs are addressed. Results show that spectrum, distribution of momentum flux, and zonal mean forcing of long horizontal-scale convective GWs can be successfully simulated by the superposition of three or four combinations of parameter sets reproducing the observed GW spectrum. These selected parameter sets are different for northern and southern summer. Although long horizontal-scale waves are only part of the full spectrum of convective GWs, the momentum flux of these waves is found to be significant and relevant for the driving of the QBO (quasi-biennial oscillation). The zonal momentum balance is considered in vertical cross sections of GW momentum flux (GWMF) and GW drag (GWD). Global maps of the horizontal distribution of GWMF are considered and consistency between simulated results and HIRDLS observations is found. The latitude dependence of the zonal phase speed spectrum of GWMF and its change with altitude is discussed.

Effects of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and Stratospheric Semiannual Oscillation on Tracer Transport in the Upper Stratosphere

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (5) ◽  
pp. 1370-1389 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianchuan Shu ◽  
Wenshou Tian ◽  
Dingzhu Hu ◽  
Jiankai Zhang ◽  
Lin Shang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Tracer Transport ◽  
Double Peak ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
Northern Hemispheric ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Semiannual Oscillation

Abstract Using satellite observations together with a chemistry–climate model (CCM), the effect of the stratospheric semiannual oscillation (SAO) and quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) on the equatorial double peak in observed CH4 and NO2 is reexamined. It is concluded that the lower-equatorial Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE) CH4 mixing ratio of the April double peak in 1993 and 1995 was associated with the prominent first cycle of the SAO westerlies, which causes local vertical downwelling in the upper equatorial stratosphere. The observational evidences imply that the strong westerlies of the first cycle of the stratospheric SAO in 1993 and 1995 were driven by enhanced lower-stratospheric gravity wave activity in the early parts of those years. The CCM simulations further verify that the gravity wave source strength has a large impact on the development and strength of the SAO westerlies. This result suggests that the equatorial long-lived tracer mixing ratio near the stratopause (which is associated with the strength of the SAO westerlies) was not only modulated by the QBO phase, but was also significantly influenced by interannual variation in the gravity waves. It is also found that the deeper equatorial trough of the double peak is unlikely to be always accompanied by the more prominent Northern Hemispheric lobe, and the Northern Hemispheric lobe of the double peak can be mainly attributed to subtropical upwelling. The altitude of greatest chemical destruction anomalies associated with the SAO and QBO is below the trough of the double peak, implying that the effect of the chemical process on the double peak is insignificant.

scholarly journals The quasi-biennial oscillation in a warmer climate: sensitivity to different gravity wave parameterizations

2014 ◽  
Vol 45 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 825-836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Schirber ◽  
Elisa Manzini ◽  
Thomas Krismer ◽  
Marco Giorgetta
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Climate Sensitivity ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

scholarly journals Momentum forcing of the quasi-biennial oscillation by equatorial waves in recent reanalyses

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. 6577-6587 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y.-H. Kim ◽  
H.-Y. Chun
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Transition Phase ◽  
Equatorial Waves ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Opposite Phase ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Equatorial Wave ◽  
Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Modes

Abstract. The momentum forcing of the QBO (quasi-biennial oscillation) by equatorial waves is estimated using recent reanalyses. Based on the estimation using the conventional pressure-level data sets, the forcing by the Kelvin waves (3–9 m s−1 month−1) dominates the net forcing by all equatorial wave modes (3–11 m s−1 month−1) in the easterly-to-westerly transition phase at 30 hPa. In the opposite phase, the net forcing by equatorial wave modes is small (1–5 m s−1 month−1). By comparing the results with those from the native model-level data set of the ERA-Interim reanalysis, it is suggested that the use of conventional-level data causes the Kelvin wave forcing to be underestimated by 2–4 m s−1 month−1. The momentum forcing by mesoscale gravity waves, which are unresolved in the reanalyses, is deduced from the residual of the zonal wind tendency equation. In the easterly-to-westerly transition phase at 30 hPa, the mesoscale gravity wave forcing is found to be smaller than the resolved wave forcing, whereas the gravity wave forcing dominates over the resolved wave forcing in the opposite phase. Finally, we discuss the uncertainties in the wave forcing estimates using the reanalyses.

Parameterized Gravity Wave Momentum Fluxes from Sources Related to Convection and Large-Scale Precipitation Processes in a Global Atmosphere Model

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (11) ◽  
pp. 4349-4371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew C. Bushell ◽  
Neal Butchart ◽  
Stephen H. Derbyshire ◽  
David R. Jackson ◽  
Glenn J. Shutts ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Momentum Flux ◽  
Initial Assessment ◽  
Source Spectrum ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variability ◽  
Earth System ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
System Models ◽  
Earth System Models

Abstract Analysis of a high-resolution, convection-permitting simulation of the tropical Indian Ocean has revealed empirical relationships between precipitation and gravity wave vertical momentum flux on grid scales typical of earth system models. Hence, the authors take a rough functional form, whereby the wave flux source spectrum has an amplitude proportional to the square root of total precipitation, to represent gravity wave source strengths in the Met Office global model’s spectral nonorographic scheme. Key advantages of the new source are simplicity and responsiveness to changes in convection processes without dependence upon model-specific details of their representation. Thus, the new source scheme is potentially a straightforward adaptation for a class of spectral gravity wave schemes widely used for current state-of-the-art earth system models. Against an invariant source, the new parameterized source generates launch-level flux amplitudes with greater spatial and temporal variability, producing probability density functions for absolute momentum flux over the ocean that have extended tails of large-amplitude, low-occurrence events. Such distributions appear more realistic in comparison with reported balloon observations. Source intermittency at the launch level affects mean fluxes at higher levels in two ways: directly, as a result of upward propagation of the new source variation, and indirectly, through changes in filtering characteristics that arise from intermittency. Initial assessment of the new scheme in the Met Office global model indicates an improved representation of the quasi-biennial oscillation and sensitivity that offers potential for further impact in the future.

scholarly journals The Seasonal Cycle of Gravity Wave Drag in the Middle Atmosphere

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (18) ◽  
pp. 4664-4679 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuel Pulido ◽  
John Thuburn
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Wave Drag ◽  
Smooth Transition ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Summer Hemisphere ◽  
Jet Streaks ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract Using a variational technique, middle atmosphere gravity wave drag (GWD) is estimated from Met Office middle atmosphere analyses for the year 2002. The technique employs an adjoint model of a middle atmosphere dynamical model to minimize a cost function that measures the differences between the model state and observations. The control variables are solely the horizontal components of GWD; therefore, the minimization determines the optimal estimate of the drag. For each month, Met Office analyses are taken as the initial condition for the first day of the month, and also as observations for each successive day. In this way a three-dimensional GWD field is obtained for the entire year with a temporal resolution of 1 day. GWD shows a pronounced seasonal cycle. During solstices, there are deceleration regions of the polar jet centered at about 63° latitude in the winter hemisphere, with a peak of 49 m s−1 day−1 at 0.24 hPa in the Southern Hemisphere; the summer hemisphere also shows a deceleration region but much weaker, with a peak of 24 m s−1 day−1 centered at 45° latitude and 0.6 hPa. During equinoxes GWD is weak and exhibits a smooth transition between the winter and summer situation. The height and latitude of the deceleration center in both winter and summer hemispheres appear to be constant. Important longitudinal dependencies in GWD are found that are related to planetary wave activity; GWD intensifies in the exit region of jet streaks. In the lower tropical stratosphere, the estimated GWD shows a westward GWD descending together with the westward phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation. Above, GWD exhibits a semiannual pattern that is approximately out of phase with the semiannual oscillation in the zonal wind. Furthermore, a descending GWD pattern is found at those heights, similar in magnitude and sign to that in the lower stratosphere.

scholarly journals Constraints on Wave Drag Parameterization Schemes for Simulating the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation. Part I: Gravity Wave Forcing

2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (12) ◽  
pp. 4178-4195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucy J. Campbell ◽  
Theodore G. Shepherd
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Shear Zones ◽  
Wave Drag ◽  
Planetary Waves ◽  
Vertical Diffusion ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Parameterization Schemes ◽  
Downward Propagation ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract Parameterization schemes for the drag due to atmospheric gravity waves are discussed and compared in the context of a simple one-dimensional model of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO). A number of fundamental issues are examined in detail, with the goal of providing a better understanding of the mechanism by which gravity wave drag can produce an equatorial zonal wind oscillation. The gravity wave–driven QBOs are compared with those obtained from a parameterization of equatorial planetary waves. In all gravity wave cases, it is seen that the inclusion of vertical diffusion is crucial for the descent of the shear zones and the development of the QBO. An important difference between the schemes for the two types of waves is that in the case of equatorial planetary waves, vertical diffusion is needed only at the lowest levels, while for the gravity wave drag schemes it must be included at all levels. The question of whether there is downward propagation of influence in the simulated QBOs is addressed. In the gravity wave drag schemes, the evolution of the wind at a given level depends on the wind above, as well as on the wind below. This is in contrast to the parameterization for the equatorial planetary waves in which there is downward propagation of phase only. The stability of a zero-wind initial state is examined, and it is determined that a small perturbation to such a state will amplify with time to the extent that a zonal wind oscillation is permitted.

scholarly journals Gravity Wave Investigations over Comandante Ferraz Antarctic Station in 2017: General Characteristics, Wind Filtering and Case Study

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 880
Author(s):  
Gabriel Augusto Giongo ◽  
José Valentin Bageston ◽  
Cosme Alexandre Oliveira Barros Figueiredo ◽  
Cristiano Max Wrasse ◽  
Hosik Kam ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Phase Speed ◽  
Propagation Direction ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
Medium Scale ◽  
Reliable Source ◽  
The Fourier Transform

This work presents the characteristics of gravity waves observed over Comandante Ferraz Antarctic Station (EACF: 62.1° S, 58.4° W). A total of 122 gravity waves were observed in 34 nights from March to October 2017, and their parameters were obtained by using the Fourier Transform spectral analysis. The majority of the observed waves presented horizontal wavelength ranging from 15 to 35 km, period from 5 to 20 min, and horizontal phase speed from 10 to 70 ± 2 m·s−1. The propagation direction showed an anisotropic condition, with the slower wave propagating mainly to the west, northwest and southeast directions, while the faster waves propagate to the east, southeast and south. Blocking diagrams for the period of April–July showed a good agreement between the wave propagation direction and the blocking positions, which are eastward oriented while the waves propagate mainly westward. A case study to investigate wave sources was conducted for the night of 20–21 July, wherein eight small-scale and one medium-scale gravity waves were identified. Reverse ray tracing model was used to investigate the gravity wave source, and the results showed that six among eight small-scale gravity waves were generated in the mesosphere. On the other hand, only two small-scale waves and the medium-scale gravity wave had likely tropospheric or stratospheric origin, however, they could not be associated with any reliable source.

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