scholarly journals The Global Warming–Induced South Asian High Change and Its Uncertainty

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 2259-2273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xia Qu ◽  
Gang Huang

Abstract Based on models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), the present study investigates the South Asian high (SAH) change in response to global warming. Under global warming, the selected 16 coupled general circulation models all feature an elevation of geopotential height at 100 hPa to the south of the SAH climatological position; an easterly response is found over the northern Indian Ocean in all the models, while a westerly response is found over subtropical Asia. The ridges of the SAH shift equatorward in 75% of models. Using the linear baroclinic model, it is found that the combined effects of latent heating and the mean advection of stratification change (MASC) are mainly responsible for those responses. The MASC mainly leads to the aforementioned easterly and westerly responses; the latent heating contributes to the geopotential height response and the easterly response over the northern Indian Ocean. The most important intermodel diversity is found in the 100-hPa circulation change under global warming, accounting for more than half of the total intermodel variance. The intermodel spread of latent heating and the MASC are important factors in driving the 100-hPa circulation diversity. Furthermore, analysis shows that the projected uncertainties in humidity, vertical velocity, and global mean temperature change are the three most important sources of intermodel diversity for the 100-hPa circulation change.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sobhan Kumar Kompalli ◽  
Surendran Nair Suresh Babu ◽  
Krishnaswamy Krishnamoorthy ◽  
Sreedharan Krishnakumari Satheesh ◽  
Mukunda M. Gogoi ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijayakumar S. Nair ◽  
Jayachandran Venugopalan Nair ◽  
Sobhan Kumar Kompalli ◽  
Mukunda M. Gogoi ◽  
S. Suresh Babu

Abstract. Extensive measurements of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and condensation nuclei (CN) concentrations in the South Asian outflow to the northern Indian Ocean were carried out on board an instrumented research vessel, as part of the Integrated Campaign for Aerosols, gases and Radiation Budget (ICARB) during winter season (January–February 2018). Measurements include a north-south transect across the South Asian plume over the northern Indian Ocean and east–west transect over the equatorial Indian Ocean (~ 2° S), which is far away from the continental sources. South Asian outflow over the northern Indian Ocean is characterized by the high values of CCN number concentration (~ 5000 cm−3), low CCN activation efficiency (~ 25 %) and steep increase in CCN concentration with an increase in supersaturation. In contrast, low CCN concentration (~ 1000 cm−3) with flat supersaturation spectra was found over the equatorial Indian Ocean. The CCN properties exhibited significant dependence on the geometric mean diameter (GMD) of the aerosol number size distribution and CCN activation efficiency decreased to low values (


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-46
Author(s):  
Dapeng Zhang ◽  
Yanyan Huang ◽  
BoTao Zhou ◽  
Huijun Wang

AbstractThe decadal intensification of the South Asian High (SAH) after the late 1970s, which is determined based on the geopotential height (H), is suspicious due to the lifting effect upon H caused by global warming. The updated reanalysis datasets of ERA5 and JRA55 indicate that the anticyclone in the upper troposphere over the Tibetan Plateau is relatively weak during 1980–2018 compared to that during 1950–1979. This decadal weakening of the SAH after 1979 can also be observed in the radiosonde observation data. Correspondingly, the SAH defined by eddy geopotential height (H’) reflects a consistent decadal weakening variation. The decadal weakening of SAH detected from H’ after the late 1970s matches with a decadal southward shift of the East Asian Westerly Jet, causing ascending motions over the Yangtze River Valley and descending motions over North China. Moreover, the decadal weakening and westward shift of the SAH is accompanied with the positive relative vorticity anomalies over the Northwest Pacific in the upper troposphere, which implies a declining and eastward shift of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and a weakened East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM). Hence, the decadal weakening of the SAH after the late 1970s may contribute to the Yangtze-River-flooding-and-North-China-drought pattern through its connection with other circulation systems of EASM.


2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (22) ◽  
pp. 8249-8267 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Shi ◽  
Weihong Qian

Abstract Using the daily mean anomalies of atmospheric variables from the NCEP Reanalysis-1 (NCEP R1), this study reveals the connection between anomalous zonal activities of the South Asian high (SAH) and Eurasian climate anomalies in boreal summer. An analysis of variance identifies two major domains with larger geopotential height variability located in the eastern and western flanks of the SAH at around 100 and 150 hPa, respectively. For both eastern and western domains, extreme events are selected during 1981–2014 when normalized height anomalies are greater than 1.0 (less than −1.0) standard deviation for at least 10 consecutive days. Based on these events, four SAH modes that include strong and weak Tibetan modes (STM and WTM, respectively) and strong and weak Iranian modes (SIM and WIM, respectively) are defined to depict the zonal SAH features. The positive composite in the eastern (western) domain indicates the STM (SIM) manifests a robust wavelike pattern with an anomalous low at 150 hPa, and surface cold and wet anomalies over Mongolia and northern China (Kazakhstan and western Siberia) are surrounded by three anomalous highs at 150 hPa and surface warm and dry anomalies over Eurasia. Opposite distributions are also evident in the negative composites of the two domains (WTM and WIM). The surface air temperature anomalies are the downward extension of an anomalous air column aloft while the precipitation anomalies are directly associated with the height anomalies above the air column.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (13) ◽  
pp. 4163-4180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akitomo Yamamoto ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi ◽  
Yasuhiro Yamanaka

Abstract. Global warming is expected to significantly decrease oceanic carbon uptake and therefore increase atmospheric CO2 and global warming. The primary reasons given in previous studies for such changes in the oceanic carbon uptake are the solubility reduction due to seawater warming and changes in the ocean circulation and biological pump. However, the quantitative contributions of different processes to the overall reduction in ocean uptake are still unclear. In this study, we investigated multi-millennium responses of oceanic carbon uptake to global warming and quantified the contributions of the physical and biological pumps to these responses using an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model and a biogeochemical model. We found that global warming reduced oceanic CO2 uptake by 13 % (30 %) in the first 140 years (after 2000 model years), consistent with previous studies. Our sensitivity experiments showed that this reduction is primarily driven by changes in the organic matter cycle via ocean circulation change and solubility change due to seawater warming. These results differ from most previous studies, in which circulation changes and solubility change from seawater warming are the dominant processes. The weakening of biological production and carbon export induced by circulation change and lower nutrient supply, diminishes the vertical DIC gradient and substantially reduces the CO2 uptake. The weaker deep-ocean circulation decreases the downward transport of CO2 from the surface to the deep ocean, leading to a drop in CO2 uptake in high-latitude regions. Conversely, weaker equatorial upwelling reduces the upward transport of natural CO2 and therefore enhances the CO2 uptake in low-latitude regions. Because these effects cancel each other out, circulation change plays only a small direct role in the reduction of CO2 uptake due to global warming but a large indirect role through nutrient transport and biological processes.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document