Tropical Atmospheric Variability Forced by Oceanic Internal Variability

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 765-771 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Jochum ◽  
Clara Deser ◽  
Adam Phillips
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Rainfall Variability ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Internal Variability ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Instability Waves ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract Atmospheric general circulation model experiments are conducted to quantify the contribution of internal oceanic variability in the form of tropical instability waves (TIWs) to interannual wind and rainfall variability in the tropical Pacific. It is found that in the tropical Pacific, along the equator, and near 25°N and 25°S, TIWs force a significant increase in wind and rainfall variability from interseasonal to interannual time scales. Because of the stochastic nature of TIWs, this means that climate models that do not take them into account will underestimate the strength and number of extreme events and may overestimate forecast capability.

scholarly journals Tropical Pacific spatial trend patterns in observed sea level: internal variability and/or anthropogenic signature?

2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 787-802 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Meyssignac ◽  
D. Salas y Melia ◽  
M. Becker ◽  
W. Llovel ◽  
A. Cazenave
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Internal Variability ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
External Forcing ◽  
Spatial Trend ◽  
Trend Pattern ◽  
Coupled Climate Models ◽  
Sea Level Trend ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract. In this study we focus on the sea level trend pattern observed by satellite altimetry in the tropical Pacific over the 1993–2009 time span (i.e. 17 yr). Our objective is to investigate whether this 17-yr-long trend pattern was different before the altimetry era, what was its spatio-temporal variability and what have been its main drivers. We try to discriminate the respective roles of the internal variability of the climate system and of external forcing factors, in particular anthropogenic emissions (greenhouse gases and aerosols). On the basis of a 2-D past sea level reconstruction over 1950–2009 (based on a combination of observations and ocean modelling) and multi-century control runs (i.e. with constant, preindustrial external forcing) from eight coupled climate models, we have investigated how the observed 17-yr sea level trend pattern evolved during the last decades and centuries, and try to estimate the characteristic time scales of its variability. For that purpose, we have computed sea level trend patterns over successive 17-yr windows (i.e. the length of the altimetry record), both for the 60-yr long reconstructed sea level and the model runs. We find that the 2-D sea level reconstruction shows spatial trend patterns similar to the one observed during the altimetry era. The pattern appears to have fluctuated with time with a characteristic time scale of the order of 25–30 yr. The same behaviour is found in multi-centennial control runs of the coupled climate models. A similar analysis is performed with 20th century coupled climate model runs with complete external forcing (i.e. solar plus volcanic variability and changes in anthropogenic forcing). Results suggest that in the tropical Pacific, sea level trend fluctuations are dominated by the internal variability of the ocean–atmosphere coupled system. While our analysis cannot rule out any influence of anthropogenic forcing, it concludes that the latter effect in that particular region is stillhardly detectable.

scholarly journals Spectral signatures of the tropical Pacific dynamics from model and altimetry: A focus on the meso/submesoscale range

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michel Tchilibou ◽  
Lionel Gourdeau ◽  
Rosemary Morrow ◽  
Guillaume Serazin ◽  
Bughsin Djath ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Internal Waves ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Equatorial Region ◽  
Internal Tides ◽  
Spectral Energy ◽  
Instability Waves ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
Geostrophic Turbulence ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract. The processes that contribute to the flat Sea Surface Height (SSH) wavenumber spectral slopes observed in the tropics by satellite altimetry are examined in the tropical Pacific. The tropical dynamics are first investigated with a 1/12° global model. The equatorial region from 10° N–10° S is dominated by Tropical Instability Waves with a peak of energy at 1000 km wavelength, strong anisotropy, and a cascade of energy from 600 km down to smaller scales. The off-equatorial regions from 10–20° latitude are characterized by a narrower mesoscale range, typical of mid latitudes. In the tropics, the spectral taper window and segment lengths need to be adjusted to include these larger energetic scales. The equatorial and off-equatorial regions of the 1/12° model have surface kinetic energy spectra consistent with quasi-geostrophic turbulence. The balanced component of the dynamics slightly flatten the EKE spectra, but modeled SSH wavenumber spectra maintain a steep slope that does not match the observed altimetric spectra. A second analysis is based on 1/36° high-frequency regional simulations in the western tropical Pacific, with and without explicit tides, where we find a strong signature of internal waves and internal tides that act to increase the smaller-scale SSH spectral energy power and flattening the SSH wavenumber spectra, in agreement with the altimetric spectra. The coherent M2 baroclinic tide is the dominant signal at ~ 140 km wavelength. At short scales, wavenumber SSH spectra are dominated by incoherent internal tides and internal waves which extend up to 200 km in wavelength. These incoherent internal waves impact on space scales observed by today's alongtrack altimetric SSH, and also on the future SWOT 2D swath observations, raising the question of altimetric observability of the shorter mesoscale structures in the tropics.

scholarly journals Impacts of Interhemispheric Asymmetric Thermal Forcing on Tropical Pacific Climate: Surface Air–Sea Coupling and Subduction

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 575-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun Li ◽  
Lixin Wu ◽  
Shang-Ping Xie
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Cold Water ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
Feedback Mechanism ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Second Stage ◽  
The North ◽  
Mean Circulation ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract Paleoclimate observations and modeling studies suggest that extratropical climate change affects the tropical Pacific. A global coupled general circulation model is used to investigate the equatorial Pacific response to extratropical surface heat flux forcing that is downward (upward) poleward of 40°N (S). The equatorial response consists of two distinct stages: the zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient strengthens for the first two to three decades and then weakens afterward. In the first stage, fast surface air–sea coupling feedback mechanism communicates the extratropical warming (cooling) from the North (South) Pacific toward the equator. The second stage is characterized by a basinwide shoaling of the tropical Pacific thermocline as the subtropical cell (STC) advects cold water from the South Pacific along the thermocline. This preference of Southern Hemisphere anomalies is due to the meridional asymmetry in the mean circulation: the interior pathway for STC is open south but partially blocked north of the equator. Paleoclimate implications are discussed.

scholarly journals U.K. HiGEM: The New U.K. High-Resolution Global Environment Model—Model Description and Basic Evaluation

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (8) ◽  
pp. 1861-1896 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. C. Shaffrey ◽  
I. Stevens ◽  
W. A. Norton ◽  
M. J. Roberts ◽  
P. L. Vidale ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Model Description ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Environmental Model ◽  
Instability Waves ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
Global Environmental ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract This article describes the development and evaluation of the U.K.’s new High-Resolution Global Environmental Model (HiGEM), which is based on the latest climate configuration of the Met Office Unified Model, known as the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 1 (HadGEM1). In HiGEM, the horizontal resolution has been increased to 0.83° latitude × 1.25° longitude for the atmosphere, and 1/3° × 1/3° globally for the ocean. Multidecadal integrations of HiGEM, and the lower-resolution HadGEM, are used to explore the impact of resolution on the fidelity of climate simulations. Generally, SST errors are reduced in HiGEM. Cold SST errors associated with the path of the North Atlantic drift improve, and warm SST errors are reduced in upwelling stratocumulus regions where the simulation of low-level cloud is better at higher resolution. The ocean model in HiGEM allows ocean eddies to be partially resolved, which dramatically improves the representation of sea surface height variability. In the Southern Ocean, most of the heat transports in HiGEM is achieved by resolved eddy motions, which replaces the parameterized eddy heat transport in the lower-resolution model. HiGEM is also able to more realistically simulate small-scale features in the wind stress curl around islands and oceanic SST fronts, which may have implications for oceanic upwelling and ocean biology. Higher resolution in both the atmosphere and the ocean allows coupling to occur on small spatial scales. In particular, the small-scale interaction recently seen in satellite imagery between the atmosphere and tropical instability waves in the tropical Pacific Ocean is realistically captured in HiGEM. Tropical instability waves play a role in improving the simulation of the mean state of the tropical Pacific, which has important implications for climate variability. In particular, all aspects of the simulation of ENSO (spatial patterns, the time scales at which ENSO occurs, and global teleconnections) are much improved in HiGEM.

scholarly journals Hydroclimate variability in Scandinavia over the last millennium – insights from a climate model–proxy data comparison

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 1831-1850 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristina Seftigen ◽  
Hugues Goosse ◽  
Francois Klein ◽  
Deliang Chen
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Hydroclimate Variability ◽  
Transient Simulations

Abstract. The integration of climate proxy information with general circulation model (GCM) results offers considerable potential for deriving greater understanding of the mechanisms underlying climate variability, as well as unique opportunities for out-of-sample evaluations of model performance. In this study, we combine insights from a new tree-ring hydroclimate reconstruction from Scandinavia with projections from a suite of forced transient simulations of the last millennium and historical intervals from the CMIP5 and PMIP3 archives. Model simulations and proxy reconstruction data are found to broadly agree on the modes of atmospheric variability that produce droughts–pluvials in the region. Despite these dynamical similarities, large differences between simulated and reconstructed hydroclimate time series remain. We find that the GCM-simulated multi-decadal and/or longer hydroclimate variability is systematically smaller than the proxy-based estimates, whereas the dominance of GCM-simulated high-frequency components of variability is not reflected in the proxy record. Furthermore, the paleoclimate evidence indicates in-phase coherencies between regional hydroclimate and temperature on decadal timescales, i.e., sustained wet periods have often been concurrent with warm periods and vice versa. The CMIP5–PMIP3 archive suggests, however, out-of-phase coherencies between the two variables in the last millennium. The lack of adequate understanding of mechanisms linking temperature and moisture supply on longer timescales has serious implications for attribution and prediction of regional hydroclimate changes. Our findings stress the need for further paleoclimate data–model intercomparison efforts to expand our understanding of the dynamics of hydroclimate variability and change, to enhance our ability to evaluate climate models, and to provide a more comprehensive view of future drought and pluvial risks.

scholarly journals Impact of tropical instability waves-induced SST forcing on the atmosphere in the tropical Pacific, evaluated using CAM5.1

2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 186-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rong-Hua Zhang ◽  
Zhongxian Li ◽  
Jieshun Zhu ◽  
Xianbiao Kang ◽  
Jinzhong Min
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Instability Waves ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
Sst Forcing ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

scholarly journals Improving SST Anomaly Simulations in a Layer Ocean Model with an Embedded Entrainment Temperature Submodel

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (18) ◽  
pp. 4638-4663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rong-Hua Zhang ◽  
Antonio J. Busalacchi ◽  
Raghuram G. Murtugudde
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Tropical Pacific ◽  
Subsurface Water ◽  
Subsurface Temperature ◽  
Sst Anomaly ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sst Anomalies ◽  
The Tropical Pacific

Abstract In this study, an improved sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly (SSTA) solution for the tropical Pacific is presented by explicitly embedding into a layer ocean general circulation model (OGCM) a separate SSTA submodel with an empirical parameterization for the temperature of subsurface water entrained into the ocean mixed layer (Te). Instead of using subsurface temperature directly from the OGCM, Te anomalies for the embedded SSTA submodel are calculated from a historical data-based empirical procedure in terms of sea level (SL) anomalies simulated from the OGCM. An inverse modeling approach is first adopted to estimate Te anomalies from the SSTA equation using observed SST and simulated upper-ocean currents from the OGCM. A relationship between Te and SL anomalies is then obtained by utilizing an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis technique. The empirical Te parameterization optimally leads to a better balanced depiction of the subsurface effect on SST variability by the mean upwelling of anomalous subsurface temperature and vertical mixing in the equatorial Pacific. As compared with a standard OGCM simulation, SSTA simulations from the embedded submodel exhibit more realistic variability, with significantly increased correlation and reduced SSTA errors due to the optimized empirical Te parameterization. In the Niño-3 region (5°S–5°N, 150°–90°W), the anomaly correlation and root-mean-square (RMS) error of the simulated SST anomalies for the period 1963–96 from the standard OGCM are 0.74° and 0.58°C, while from the embedded SSTA submodel they are 0.94° and 0.29°C in the Te-dependent experiment, and 0.86° and 0.41°C in the experiment with one-dependent-year data excluded, respectively. Cross validation and sensitivity experiments to training periods for building the Te parameterization are made to illustrate the robustness and effectiveness of the approach. Moreover, the impact on simulations of SST anomalies and El Niño are examined in hybrid coupled atmosphere–ocean models (HCMs) consisting of the OGCM and a statistical atmospheric wind stress anomaly model that is constructed from a singular value decomposition (SVD) analysis. Results from coupled runs with and without embedding the SSTA submodel are compared. It is demonstrated that incorporating the embedded SSTA submodel in the context of an OGCM has a significant impact on performance of the HCMs and the behavior of the coupled system, with more realistic simulations of interannual SST anomalies (e.g., the amplitude and structure) in the tropical Pacific.

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