Summary and Appraisal

1991 ◽  
Vol 135 ◽  
pp. 3-8
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Slow Growth ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Investment Demand ◽  
The World ◽  
The Uk ◽  
European Economies

It is clear now that 1991 will be a year of slow growth for the world economy. In the United States in particular there is real fear that a contraction of credit will result in a sharp cutback of economic activity. Our central expectation is that a reduction in inflation, helped by lower oil prices, and a rather more relaxed monetary policy will prevent a deep or prolonged downturn in America. Moreover the buoyancy of investment demand in Germany will help sustain activity in the European economies. The case of the UK economy is potentially more serious, although even here it is reasonable to expect a recovery from the recession to be under way by the end of this year.

At a Glance …

2016 ◽  
Vol 236 ◽  
pp. 48-48
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
List Type ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
The World

The world economy is expected to grow by 3.0 per cent in 2016, down from the 3.2 per cent predicted in the February Review. Growth this year is therefore forecast to be the slowest since the 2009 recession, before picking up to 3.5 per cent in 2017.The growth downgrade is mainly due to disappointing performances in the United States and Japan. Among the emerging market economies, growth has been also been revised down for Brazil and Russia.A moderate strengthening of growth is forecast for 2017 and beyond, supported by accommodative monetary policies, lower oil prices and the gradual normalisation of conditions in stressed emerging market economies.

Chapter II. The World Economy

1982 ◽  
Vol 100 ◽  
pp. 51-64
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
World Economy ◽  
The United States ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Total Output ◽  
The World

In the United States in particular, the long-awaited upturn in economic activity has been further postponed even though inflation has been running below the rates that had generally been expected. Industry in the OECD countries may well have produced less in the first quarter of 1982 than in any quarter of 1981, and we no longer expect their total output to increase by more than about ½ per cent for the year.

United States and Its Challenge to Multilateralism in the Global Economy

2018 ◽  
Vol 74 (4) ◽  
pp. 402-419
Author(s):  
Krishnakumar S.
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Bilateral Trade ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
The United States ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World ◽  
Merchandise Trade

With Donald Trump as President of United States, multilateralism in the world economy is facing an unprecedented challenge. The international economic institutions that have evolved since the fifties are increasingly under the risk of being undermined. With the growing assertion of the emerging and developing economies in the international fora, United States is increasingly sceptical of its ability to maneuvre such institutions to suit its own purpose. This is particularly true with respect to WTO, based on “one country one vote” system. The tariff rate hikes initiated by the leader country in the recent past pose a serious challenge to the multilateral trading system. The paper tries to undertake a critical overview of the US pre-occupation of targeting economies on the basis of the bilateral merchandise trade surpluses of countries, through the trade legislations like Omnibus Act and Trade Facilitation Act. These legislations not only ignore the growing share of the United States in the growing invisibles trade in the world economy, but also read too much into the bilateral trade surpluses of economies with United States and the intervention done by them in the foreign exchange market.

Narrative Misdirection? UK Strategic Communication for Afghanistan and Beyond

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 379-392
Author(s):  
Thomas W. Cawkwell
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
National Security ◽  
Strategic Communication ◽  
The United States ◽  
Security Issue ◽  
Counter Terrorism ◽  
Defence Policy ◽  
The World ◽  
Communication Approach ◽  
The Uk

Britain’s war in Afghanistan – specifically its latter stages, where the UK’s role and casualties sustained in the conflict rose dramatically – coincided with the institutional emergence of Ministry of Defence-led ‘Strategic Communication’. This article examines the circumstances through which domestic strategic communication developed within the UK state and the manner in which the ‘narratives’ supporting Britain’s role in Afghanistan were altered, streamlined and ‘securitised’. I argue that securitising the Afghanistan narrative was undertaken with the intention of misdirecting an increasingly sceptical UK public from the failure of certain aspects of UK counter-insurgency strategy – specifically its counter-narcotics and stabilisation efforts – by focusing on counter-terrorism, and of avoiding difficult questions about the UK’s transnational foreign and defence policy outlook vis-à-vis the United States by asserting that Afghanistan was primarily a ‘national security’ issue. I conclude this article by arguing that the UK’s domestic strategic communication approach of emphasising ‘national security interests’ may have created the conditions for institutionalised confusion by reinforcing a narrow, self-interested narrative of Britain’s role in the world that runs counter to its ongoing, ‘transnationalised’ commitments to collective security through the United States and NATO.

scholarly journals The UK-US Game and UK's Return to Gold Standard

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 324
Author(s):  
Zheming Zhang
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
World War Ii ◽  
World War I ◽  
Economic System ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
International Economic Order ◽  
The United States ◽  
World War ◽  
The World ◽  
The Uk

<p>With the continuous development and evolution of the United States, especially the economic center shift after World War II, the United States become the economic hegemon instead of the UK and thus it seized the economic initiative of the world. After the World War I, the European countries gradually withdraw from the gold standard. In order to stabilize the world economy development and the international economic order, the United States prepared to build the economic system related with its own interests so as to force the UK to return to the gold standard. The game between the United States and the UK shows the significance of economic initiative. Among them, the outcome of the two countries in the fight of the financial system also demonstrates a significant change in the world economic system.</p>

scholarly journals European Direct Investment in Brazil, 1860 to the Present

2010 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sérgio de Oliveira Birchal ◽  
Âmara Fuccio de Fraga e Silva
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
World Economy ◽  
The United States ◽  
Geographical Proximity ◽  
Japanese Firms ◽  
The World ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Western European

European direct investment in Brazil dates back to the discovery of the country and has been since then either hegemonic or more important than a superficial observation can grasp, as this work aims at showing. During the 20th century, the United States has replaced Britain as the worlds economic superpower and the largest direct investor. US dominance in the world economy and geographical proximity to Brazil would suggest that US investments were by far the largest in the country during that century. Furthermore, as Japan had become the second largest economy in the world in the 1980s, we would expect that this would be reflected in the data of the largest multinationals in Brazil. However, as our investigation suggests, Western European direct investment has been as large (and in many occasions even larger) as that of the USA and Japanese firms have never had a prominent presence among the largest firms in Brazil, at least until the late 1990s.

scholarly journals Modeling and analysis of COVID-19 new deaths using tree-based ensemble

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Abaker Targio Hashem ◽  
Raja Sher Afgun Usmani ◽  
Asad Ali Shah ◽  
Abdulwahab Ali Almazroi ◽  
Muhammad Bilal
Keyword(s):  
Infectious Disease ◽  
United States ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Health Crisis ◽  
Modeling And Analysis ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
The World

The COVID-19 pandemic has emerged as the world's most serious health crisis, affecting millions of people all over the world. The majority of nations have imposed nationwide curfews and reduced economic activity to combat the spread of this infectious disease. Governments are monitoring the situation and making critical decisions based on the daily number of new cases and deaths reported. Therefore, this study aims to predict the daily new deaths using four tree-based ensemble models i.e., Gradient Tree Boosting (GB), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Voting Regressor (VR) for the three most affected countries, which are the United States, Brazil, and India. The results showed that VR outperformed other models in predicting daily new deaths for all three countries. The predictions of daily new deaths made using VR for Brazil and India are very close to the actual new deaths, whereas the prediction of daily new deaths for the United States still needs to be improved.<br>

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