The world economy

1998 ◽  
Vol 165 ◽  
pp. 3-3
Keyword(s):  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Japanese Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
South East Asia ◽  
Price Inflation ◽  
The World ◽  
Trade Growth ◽  
The Eu

•The Asia crisis will cut world trade growth by over a third in 1998.•The Japanese economy will contract by 1 per cent this year, prolonging the slump in the worst affected parts of South-East Asia.•A strong monetary stimulus and a restoration of confidence in the banking system are required to stimulate demand in Japan.•The risk of a Chinese devaluation has risen.•The EU will be the strongest performing region in the OECD in 1999 with growth of just over 2.5 per cent.•US consumer price inflation will rise sharply in 1999.

At a Glance…

2002 ◽  
Vol 180 ◽  
pp. 2-3
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Japanese Economy ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
List Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World

The world economy is starting to pick up speed again: by 2003, it will be growing by 3.7 per cent, with world trade expanding by 8.5 per cent a year.This will prompt rises in interest rates in North America and Europe.The US will grow by 2.4 per cent this year, double the rate of last year, rising to 3.5 per cent in 2003.Recovery in the euro area will be gradual, with GDP growth rising from 1.4 per cent in 2002 to 2.5 per cent in 2003.The Japanese economy will shrink by 1.2 per cent in 2002, and recovery in 2003 will be relatively modest, with GDP growth of 1.3 per cent.

The world economy

1998 ◽  
Vol 165 ◽  
pp. 35-42
Author(s):  
Nigel Pain
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
World Trade ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
The World ◽  
Asian Economies ◽  
Trade Growth ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Capital Market

Developments in the Asian economies have clearly begun to be felt in the wider global economy in recent months. It has always been expected that the OECD economies would be affected by the aftermath of the capital market turmoil last year, although the timing and magnitude of the impact was difficult to predict. Domestic demand in the affected Asian economies has proved much weaker than expected, with the effects magnified by a continued downturn in Japan. GDP fell by 5¾ per cent in Korea in the first quarter of this year and by 1¼ per cent in Japan. The aggregate volume of merchandise imports in Asia is expected to decline by around 5½ per cent this year, with falls of up to 25 per cent in countries such as Korea, Thailand and Indonesia. This largely accounts for our projected decline in world trade growth to under 6 per cent this year from an estimated 9¾ per cent in 1997.

scholarly journals World trade and regional trade orientation in the context of forthcoming transatlantic trade and investment partnership

Equilibrium ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elżbieta Czarny ◽  
Paweł Folfas
Keyword(s):  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
The United States ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Regional Trade ◽  
The World ◽  
Trade And Investment ◽  
The U.S ◽  
The Eu

We analyse potential consequences of the forthcoming Trade and Investment Partnership between the European Union and the United States (TTIP) for trade orientation of both partners. We do it so with along with the short analysis of the characteristics of the third wave of regionalism and the TTIP position in this process as well as the dominant role of the EU and the U.S. in the world economy – especially – in the world trade. Next, we study trade orientation of the hypothetical region created in result of TTIP. We use regional trade introversion index (RTII) to analyze trade between the EU and the U.S. that has taken place until now to get familiar with the potential changes caused by liberalization of trade between both partners. We analyze RTII for mutual trade of the EU and the U.S. Then, we apply disaggregated data to analyze and compare selected partial RTII (e.g. for trade in final and intermediate goods as well as goods produced in the main sectors of economy like agriculture or manufacturing). The analysis of the TTIP region’s orientation of trade based on the historical data from the period 1999-2012 revealed several conclusions. Nowadays, the trade between the EU and the U.S. is constrained by the protection applied by both partners. Trade liberalization constituting one necessary part of TTIP will surely help to intensify this trade. The factor of special concern is trade of agricultural products which is most constrained and will hardly be fully liberalized even within a framework of TTIP. Simultaneously, both parties are even now trading relatively intensively with intermediaries, which are often less protected than the average of the economy for the sake of development of final goods’ production. The manufactured goods are traded relatively often as well, mainly in consequence of their poor protection after many successful liberalization steps in the framework of GATT/WTO. Consequently, we point out that in many respects the TTIP will be important not only for its participants, but for the whole world economy as well. TTIP appears to be an economic and political project with serious consequences for the world economy and politics.

At a Glance…

2010 ◽  
Vol 212 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
Us Economy ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World

The world economy will expand by 3.9 per cent in 2010 and 3.8 per cent in 2011.World trade will increase by 9.6 per cent this year and 5.7 per cent in 2011.The Chinese economy will grow by 9.8 per cent in 2010 and 9 per cent next year.Japanese GDP will expand by 2 per cent this year and 1.5 per cent in 2011.The US economy will grow by 2.9 per cent in 2010 and 2.7 per cent next year.The Euro Area will expand by 1.2 per cent this year and 1.8 per cent in 2011.

scholarly journals The position of developing countries in international trade

2004 ◽  
Vol 49 (162) ◽  
pp. 65-97
Author(s):  
Radovan Kovacevic
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Developing Country ◽  
World Trade ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Substantial Reduction ◽  
Steady Increase ◽  
The World ◽  
Trade Growth ◽  
Dramatic Shift

Recent years have seen a substantial reduction in trade policy and other barriers inhibiting developing country participation in the world trade. Lower barriers have contributed to a dramatic shift in the pattern of developing country trade -away from dependence on commodity exports to much greater reliance on manufactures and services. In addition, exports to other developing countries have become much more important. These changes have profound implications for the role played by developing countries in the world economy and the trade system. Developing countries have become major players in the global economy. The outward-oriented strategies of many economies in emerging Asia have been reflected in high trade growth and a steady increase in their share in the world trade.

AT a Glance … The World Economy

2013 ◽  
Vol 223 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World

World growth remains below trend at 3.3 per cent in 2013 and 3.7 per cent in 2013, little changed from our previous forecast.World trade will only grow slightly faster, and again below trend.The Euro Area will grow only slightly next year, while Japan is forecast to grow by 1.4 per cent, the US by 2.4 per cent, and China by 7.3 per cent.Interest rates will remain extremely low by historical standards, and inflationary pressures will remain subdued.

The World Economy

1995 ◽  
Vol 154 ◽  
pp. 27-52
Author(s):  
Ray Barrell ◽  
Nigel Pain ◽  
Julian Morgan
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
East Asia ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
South East Asia ◽  
Regional Impact ◽  
The World ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Trade Growth ◽  
The Uk

Indications from the first half of the year suggested that the present cyclical expansion was starting to slow in much of the OECD. The pace of activity moderated particularly sharply in North America. Canadian GDP fell slightly in the second quarter of the year and inventory levels rose considerably. Trade growth was also lower than expected, although this partially reflected the regional impact of recent developments in Mexico. Within Europe, GDP growth slowed in the UK, France and Italy, although growth proved unexpectedly robust in a number of the smaller economies, particularly Ireland, Sweden and Finland. Output also continued to grow sharply in Australia and South East Asia.

The World Economy

1998 ◽  
Vol 163 ◽  
pp. 3-3
Keyword(s):  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
The World ◽  
Asian Economies

Outlook for 1998 •Asian fall-out on Western economies limited, provided no further setbacks•World trade to grow by 5.75 per cent and OECD output by 2.6 per cent•Japan the main loser with growth almost halved to 1.4 per cent because of Asia effect; a one in five chance of recession•US and EU to grow by 2.6 per cent•Recovery of smaller Asian economies quicker than anticipated: S.Korea to grow by 2 per cent•Fed to hold fire but short rates to rise by half a per cent in core EU•Dollar to peak in first quarter but subsequent decline modest•OECD inflation to decline, but no threat of deflation

The World Economy: Forecast Summary

2016 ◽  
Vol 237 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Federal Reserve ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
European Central Bank ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
List Type ◽  
European Central ◽  
The World ◽  
Single Rulebook

The world economy is expected to grow by 3.0 per cent in 2016, an unchanged forecast from the May Review. However, world growth in 2017 is revised down to 3.3 per cent from 3.5 per cent.A number of financial sector risks remain. Many large Euro Area banks are fragile, with the banking system in Italy particularly weak. This is likely to test the viability of the Single Rulebook covering financial services.Inflation is likely to be below target in the OECD economies in 2017. The European Central Bank (ECB) stands ready to ease monetary conditions while the Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates very gradually.

At a Glance …

2010 ◽  
Vol 213 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
Us Economy ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World

The world economy will expand by 5.0 per cent in 2010 and 4.4 per cent in 2011.World trade will increase by 14.2 per cent this year and 8.8 per cent in 2011.The Chinese economy will grow by 11.6 per cent in 2010 and 8.3 per cent next year.Japanese GDP will expand by 3.3 per cent this year and 1.1 per cent in 2011.The US economy will grow by 3.1 per cent in 2010 and 3.0 per cent next year.The Euro Area will expand by 1.3 per cent this year and 1.8 per cent in 2011.

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