scholarly journals Estimated and Observed Cancer Incidence in Italy: A Validation Study

2007 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 387-391 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo Capocaccia ◽  
Carlotta Buzzoni ◽  
Enrico Grande ◽  
Riccardo Inghelmann ◽  
Francesco Bellù ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Italian Population ◽  
Sudden Increase ◽  
Crude Incidence ◽  
Incidence Data ◽  
Incidence Trends ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Italian Regions

Aims and background The study aimed to validate model-based incidence estimates by means of observed incidence rates provided by Italian cancer registries, for five major cancer sites (stomach, colon and rectum, lung, breast and prostate cancers) and for all cancers together. Methods Recent incidence rates observed by Italian population-based cancer registries were extracted from the data base of the Italian Association of Cancer Registries. Regional estimates of incidence rates for the same cancers were obtained by the MIAMOD method. Observed and estimated crude incidence rates and incidence trends were compared for the period of diagnosis 1985-2000. Eight Italian cancer registries and seven regions were selected for the analysis since they had incidence data available during the entire selected period. Results and conclusions An excellent agreement between estimated and observed crude incidence rates was found for all single cancer sites, regarding absolute incidence levels and time trends. A partial exception was breast, where empirical data showed a sudden increase in the last three years of observation, perhaps due to organized screenings in some Italian regions, and not captured by statistical models. Substantial underestimation of model-based incidence rates was found for all cancers combined, where the difference tended to increase with calendar year, up to a maximum of 20% in recent years. The greatest part of the discrepancy can be attributed to multiple cancers, which were included in cancer registries statistics but were not accounted for in MIAMOD estimates.

scholarly journals Incidence of myeloid neoplasms in Spain (2002–2013): a population-based study of the Spanish network of cancer registries

2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Solans ◽  
Arantza Sanvisens ◽  
Alberto Ameijide ◽  
Susana Merino ◽  
Dolores Rojas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Myeloproliferative Neoplasms ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Incidence Data ◽  
Incidence Trends ◽  
Myeloid Neoplasms ◽  
Health Authorities ◽  
Hematological Cancers ◽  
Public Health Authorities

AbstractComprehensive population-based data on myeloid neoplasms (MNs) are limited, mainly because some subtypes were not recognized as hematological cancers prior to the WHO publication in 2001, and others are too rare to allow robust estimates within regional studies. Herein, we provide incidence data of the whole spectrum of MNs in Spain during 2002–2013 using harmonized data from 13 population-based cancer registries. Cases (n = 17,522) were grouped following the HAEMACARE groupings and 2013-European standardized incidence rates (ASRE), incidence trends, and estimates for 2021 were calculated. ASRE per 100,000 inhabitants was 5.14 (95% CI: 5.00–5.27) for myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN), 4.71 (95% CI: 4.59–4.84) for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), 3.91 (95% CI: 3.79–4.02) for acute myeloid leukemia, 0.83 (95% CI: 0.78–0.88) for MDS/MPN, 0.35 (95% CI: 0.32–0.39) for acute leukemia of ambiguous lineage, and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.53–0.62) for not-otherwise specified (NOS) cases. This study highlights some useful points for public health authorities, such as the remarkable variability in incidence rates among Spanish provinces, the increasing incidence of MPN, MDS, and MDS/MPN during the period of study, in contrast to a drop in NOS cases, and the number of cases expected in 2021 based on these data (8446 new MNs).

Prostate cancer incidence and predictions: Observational Study (Monastir, Tunisia: 2002-2030)

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
R Bannour ◽  
I Zemni ◽  
C Ben Nasrallah ◽  
N Aroua ◽  
M Kacem ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Cancer Incidence ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Cancer Site ◽  
International Agency ◽  
Crude Incidence ◽  
The Future ◽  
Spss Software

Abstract Introduction Cancer is an eminent public health issue in the developing countries. The risk factors incriminated in cancer higher incidence are multiple such as the growing population rates, increasing tobacco consumption, the changes of diet and lifestyle. In Tunisia, there are three population-based cancer registries at the present time providing data on cancer incidence and survival. According to the data published by WHO International Agency for Research on Cancer (IACR) (GLOBOCAN 2018), prostate cancer in Tunisia ranks fifth among cancers with almost 819 new cases per year. The aim of this study was to we report trends in the cancer incidence during the span of time between 2002 and 2013 from the population-based cancer registry of the centre of Tunisia, and to predict the future number of cancer cases by 2030. Methods The cancer incidence data were collected from the Center cancer registries from 2003 to 2012.The data were stratified by cancer site, sex and age. We used SPSS software in order to calculate the crude incidence rates and age-standardized incidence rates. SPSS software was used in order to estimate the future number of cancer cases by 2030. Results A total of 725 cases of prostate cancer were enregistrated. The mean age of patients was 71.6 ±10.61years. The crude incidence rates were estimated 23.537. The standardized incidence rate was 33.92. A significant positive trend was noted with a b = 0133 and p < 10-3. 1033 new cases are predicted by 2030 Conclusions The data of the cancer register of the center shows that the incidence of cancer is rising, and it is consistent with the National cancer intelligence, but some cancer incidence showed slightly higher, such as thyroid cancer and prostate cancer. In order to face this alarming situation, many preventive steps should be done such as strengthening early screening and diagnosis of cancer, improving clinical research in order to better control the risks factors. Key messages Prediction of the future number of cancer cases is of great interest to society. Prostate cancer in Tunisia ranks fifth among cancers.

scholarly journals Projecting Cancer Incidence for 2025 in the 2 Largest Populated Cities in Vietnam

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 107327481986527 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sang Minh Nguyen ◽  
Stephen Deppen ◽  
Giang Huong Nguyen ◽  
Dung Xuan Pham ◽  
Tung Duc Bui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Incidence ◽  
Cancer Control ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Cancer Site ◽  
Incidence Data ◽  
Liver Cancers ◽  
Pharynx Cancer

The population size and projected demographics of Vietnam’s 2 largest cities, Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) and Hanoi, will change dramatically over the next decade. Demographic changes in an aging population coupled with income growth and changes in lifestyle will result in a very different distribution of common cancers in the future. The study aimed to project the number of cancer incidence in the 2 largest populated cities in Vietnam for the year 2025. Cancer incidence data from 2004 to 2013 collected from population-based cancer registries in these 2 cities were provided by Vietnam National Cancer Institute. Incidence cases in 2013 and the previous decades average annual percent changes of age-standardized cancer incidence rates combined with expected population growth were modeled to project cancer incidence for each cancer site by gender to 2025. A substantial double in cancer incidence from 2013 to 2025 resulted from a growing and aging population in HCMC and Hanoi. Lung, colorectum, breast, thyroid, and liver cancers, which represent 67% of the overall cancer burden, are projected to become the leading cancer diagnoses by 2025 regardless of genders. For men, the leading cancer sites in 2025 are predicted to be lung, colorectum, esophagus, liver, and pharynx cancer, and among women, they are expected to be breast, thyroid, colorectum, lung, and cervical cancer. We projected an epidemiological transition from infectious-associated cancers to a high burden of cancers that have mainly been attributed to lifestyle in both cities. We predicted that with 16.9% growth in the overall population and dramatic aging with these 2 urban centers, the burdens of cancer incidence will increase sharply in both cities over the next decades. Data on projections of cancer incidence in both cities provide useful insights for directing appropriate policies and cancer control programs in Vietnam.

scholarly journals SUN-302 Incidence Trends in Lung and Gastroenteropancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Heba Alwan ◽  
Stefano La Rosa ◽  
Peter Kopp ◽  
Simon Germann ◽  
Manuela Maspoli-Conconi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
World Health ◽  
International Agency ◽  
Neuroendocrine Neoplasms ◽  
Incidence Trends ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Well Differentiated ◽  
Health Organization

Abstract Abstract Introduction The incidence of neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) seems to increase worldwide. However, long-term, population-based data that consider differentiation levels are sparse. Objective To evaluate the incidence trend of lung and gastroenteropancreatic (GEP) NENs according to the latest International Agency for Research on Cancer/World Health Organization classification over a 41-year time period in two Swiss regions. Methods All cases of lung and GEP NENs recorded in the Vaud and Neuchâtel Cancer Registries from 1976–2016 were included. NENs were stratified into well-differentiated neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) and poorly differentiated neuroendocrine carcinomas (NECs). Changes in annual age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for lung and GEP NETs and NECs by sex. Results There were 4141 patients diagnosed with NENs, of which 65% were men. The incidence of lung NETs did not reveal any statistically significant trend in men, but increased in women by 4.9%/year between 1976–2016. The incidence of lung NECs in men decreased significantly by 2.6%/year from 1985–2016 whereas the incidence of lung NECs in women increased significantly between 1976–1998 by 6%/year. For GEP NETs, a steady annual increase in incidence occurred between 1976–2016 with a magnitude of 1.7% in men and 1.3% in women. No trend in incidence of GEP NECs was found for both sexes. Conclusions The incidence trends of lung NECs in men and women parallel changes in smoking prevalence in the population whereas causes of the increase in incidence of GEP NETs are not fully understood. Our study supports the importance of evaluating the epidemiology of NENs by their differentiation level.

scholarly journals Thyroid Cancer Incidences From Selected South America Population-Based Cancer Registries: An Age-Period-Cohort Study

2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne Karin da Mota Borges ◽  
Adalberto Miranda-Filho ◽  
Sérgio Koifman ◽  
Rosalina Jorge Koifman
Keyword(s):  
Thyroid Cancer ◽  
Costa Rica ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Period Effect ◽  
Incidence Trends ◽  
Drift Model ◽  
Age Cohort ◽  
Rate Ratios

Purpose The incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has increased substantially worldwide. However, there is a lack of knowledge about age-period-cohort (APC) effects on incidence rates in South American countries. This study describes the TC incidence trends and analyzes APC effects in Cali, Colombia; Costa Rica; Goiânia, Brazil; and Quito, Ecuador. Materials and Methods Data were obtained from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents series, and the crude and age-standardized incidence rates were calculated. Trends were assessed using the estimated annual percentage change, and APC models were estimated using Poisson regression for individuals between age 20 and 79 years. Results An increasing trend in age-standardized incidence rates was observed among women from Goiânia (9.2%), Costa Rica (5.7%), Quito (4.0%), and Cali (3.4%), and in men from Goiânia (10.0%) and Costa Rica (3.4%). The APC modeling showed that there was a period effect in all regions and for both sexes. Increasing rate ratios were observed among women over the periods. The best fit model was the APC model in women from all regions and in men from Quito, whereas the age-cohort model showed a better fit in men from Cali and Costa Rica, and the age-drift model showed a better fit among men from Goiânia. Conclusion These findings suggest that overdiagnosis is a possible explanation for the observed increasing pattern of TC incidence. However, some environmental exposures may also have contributed to the observed increase.

scholarly journals Colorectal cancer in Porto Alegre and Fortaleza, Brazil: incidence trends and distribution pattern from 1990 to 1999

2009 ◽  
Vol 25 (5) ◽  
pp. 1046-1053 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rejane de Souza Reis ◽  
Marceli de Oliveira Santos ◽  
Katia Vergetti Bloch
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Lifestyle Changes ◽  
Porto Alegre ◽  
Annual Percent Change ◽  
Incidence Trends ◽  
Adjusted Incidence

The aim of this study was to describe the incidence distribution of colorectal cancer in Fortaleza, Ceará State, and Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul State, Brazil, and the time trend in the disease from 1990 to 1999. Mean annual age-adjusted incidence rates and estimated annual percent change were calculated by gender, using population-based cancer registries. EAPC showed an increase in the rates in Porto Alegre and Fortaleza for men, +4.2% (p = 0.14) and +9.3% (p < 0.001), and women, +4.6% (p = 0.11) and +5.3% (p = 0.15), respectively. The mean adjusted incidence rates were three times higher in Porto Alegre than in Fortaleza both for men (25.1 vs. 8.6/100 thousand) and women (19.9 vs. 7.1/100 thousand). This rise in incidence rates may be due to early cancer detection strategies, lifestyle changes, and alterations in the population age structure. A population profile similar to that of developed countries may explain the higher incidence rates in Porto Alegre. However, Fortaleza showed the largest increases during the period studied.

scholarly journals Incidence and Trends of the Leading Cancers with Elevated Incidence Among American Indian and Alaska Native Populations, 2012–2016

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie C Melkonian ◽  
Hannah K Weir ◽  
Melissa A Jim ◽  
Bailey Preikschat ◽  
Donald Haverkamp ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
American Indian ◽  
Cancer Incidence ◽  
Alaska Native ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Breast Cancers ◽  
Age Adjusted Rates ◽  
Incident Cases ◽  
Hispanic White

Abstract Cancer incidence varies among American Indian and Alaska Native (AI/AN) populations, as well as between AI/AN and White populations. This study examined trends for cancers with elevated incidence among AI/AN compared with non-Hispanic White populations and estimated potentially avoidable incident cases among AI/AN populations. Incident cases diagnosed during 2012–2016 were identified from population-based cancer registries and linked with the Indian Health Service patient registration databases to improve racial classification of AI/AN populations. Age-adjusted rates (per 100,000) and trends were calculated for cancers with elevated incidence among AI/AN compared with non-Hispanic White populations (rate ratio &gt;1.0), by region. Trends were estimated using joinpoint regression analyses. Expected cancers were estimated by applying age-specific cancer incidence rates among non-Hispanic White populations to population estimates for AI/AN populations. Excess cancer cases among AI/AN populations were defined as observed minus expected cases. Liver, stomach, kidney, lung, colorectal and female breast cancers had higher incidence rate among AI/AN populations across most regions. Between 2012 and 2016, nearly 5,200 excess cancers were diagnosed among AI/AN populations, with the largest number of excess cancers (1,925) occurring in the Southern Plains region. Culturally informed efforts may reduce cancer disparities associated with these and other cancers among AI/AN populations.

Variations in the Survival of Adult Cancer Patients in Italy

1997 ◽  
Vol 83 (1) ◽  
pp. 497-504 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gemma Gatta ◽  
Eva Buiatti ◽  
Ettore Conti ◽  
Vincenzo De Lisi ◽  
Fabio Falcini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Geographical Area ◽  
Central Italy ◽  
Relative Survival ◽  
Cancer Registries ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Italian Population ◽  
Age Class ◽  
General Survival ◽  
General Improvement

Aims As part of the ITACARE project, the present study analyzed and compared population-based data on the survival of adult cancer patients in Italy, according to sex, age, period of diagnosis and geographical area. Methods Nine Italian population-based cancer registries provided data on all their cancer patients (total 90,431 cases) followed for at least 5 years and diagnosed during the period 1978–1989. About 10% of the Italian population is covered by these registries. The data was analyzed by means of a multivariate model. Results The major findings were that there was a general improvement in 5-year relative survival over the study period (from 33% to 39%) and that there were significant differences in survival between different areas of the country, particularly for cancer sites which respond well to treatment. In general, the area covered by the Ragusa (Sicily) registry was characterized by significantly worse survival than other registry populations. Other important findings were that for all malignant cancer sites 5-year relative survival decreased with age from 50% for the youngest age class (15–44 years) to 27% for the oldest age class (75+ years) and that women have a better prognosis for most cancer sites (overall 5-year relative survival in women 48% vs 32% in men). Conclusions The significant regional differences in survival may reflect unequal provision of care, particularly between northern-central Italy and the south. The reasons for the general survival improvement with time are not completely understood, whereas the marked overall sex difference is related to the fact that the commonest cancer in women (breast cancer) is eminently more treatable than the commonest malignancy in men (lung cancer). The unfavorable trend with increasing age may be due to increasing difficulty in applying complete therapy protocols as general health declines, sometimes in relation to an advanced cancer stage at diagnosis.

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